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Issue 3 - Al Waref Institute Newsletter, Aug 29, 2011

Issue 3 - Al Waref Institute Newsletter, Aug 29, 2011

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Published by Nasreddine Zakzouk
Al Waref E-Newsletter on Syrian Revolution

AL WAREF INSTITUTE

Page 1 / 9

FOR HUMANITARIAN STUDIES
E–NEWSLETTER on SYRIAN REVOLUTION
August 29, 2011 Volume 1, Issue 3

Qaddafi & Assad… a Unity of History, but a Unity of Fate?
Syrian protesters chant “Bye, bye Qaddafi, Bashar your turn is coming” overnight. The new chant, inspired by the apparent collapse of Muammar Qaddafi’s rule in Libya, was filmed by residents in the Damascus suburb of Duma after prayers on Wednesday. … more on pages 2&3

S
Al Waref E-Newsletter on Syrian Revolution

AL WAREF INSTITUTE

Page 1 / 9

FOR HUMANITARIAN STUDIES
E–NEWSLETTER on SYRIAN REVOLUTION
August 29, 2011 Volume 1, Issue 3

Qaddafi & Assad… a Unity of History, but a Unity of Fate?
Syrian protesters chant “Bye, bye Qaddafi, Bashar your turn is coming” overnight. The new chant, inspired by the apparent collapse of Muammar Qaddafi’s rule in Libya, was filmed by residents in the Damascus suburb of Duma after prayers on Wednesday. … more on pages 2&3

S

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Published by: Nasreddine Zakzouk on Sep 15, 2011
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 Al Waref Institute for Humanitarian StudiesSyria Watch Project, August 29, 2011
 Al Waref E-Newsletter on Syrian Revolution
Page1/9 
 August 29, 2011 Volume 1, Issue 3
Qaddafi & 
 Assad… a
Unity of History, buta Unity of Fate?
Syrian protesters chant
 Bye, byeQaddafi, Bashar your turn iscoming
” overnight
.The new chant, inspired by theapparent collapse of Muammar
Qaddafi’s rule in Libya, was filmed
 by residents in the Damascussuburb of Duma after prayers on Wednesday.
… m
ore on pages
2&3
 
SyrianCivilians NeedProtection,Says UnitedNations...
(page.
 )
Syrian Prayers Attacked InDamascus Mosque
(page.
6
 )
 World-RenownedCartoonist Attacked By Syrian Security Forces
(pages.
 4&5 
 )
 
 AL WAREF INSTITUTE
FOR HUMANITARIAN STUDIES
 E 
 NEWSLETTER on
 
 SYRIAN REVOLUTION 
SyrianOppositionFiguresBannedFromTravel...
(page.
8
 )
Upcoming Events In SupportFor Syrian Revolution
(page.
8
 )
 
 
 Al Waref Institute for Humanitarian StudiesSyria Watch Project, August 29, 2011
 Al Waref E-Newsletter on Syrian Revolution
Page2/9 
Qaddafi Gone! Will Assad Follow?
a Unity of History, but a Unity of Fate?
 Assad, who has tried in vain to crush the 5-month-old revolt,appears increasingly out of touch as he refuses to acknowledgethe hundreds of thousands of people demanding his ouster,analysts say. Instead, he blames the unrest on Islamic extremistsand thugs. But many observers say Assad should heed thelessons of Libya."Gadhafi is gone; now it's your turn, Bashar!" protestersshouted in several cities across the country hours after Assaddismissed calls to step down during an interview on state TV."Leaders should know that they will be able to remain in power as long as they remain sensitive to thedemands of the people," Turkish Foreign Minister Ahmet Davutoglu said, according to Turkey's Anatolianews agency.Turkey, a former close ally of Syria and an important trade partner, has grown increasingly frustrated withDamascus over its deadly crackdown. The violence has left Syria facing the most serious internationalisolation in decades, with widespread calls for Assad to step down.Human rights groups say more than 2,000 people
most of them unarmed protesters
have been killed inthe government's crackdown on the uprising.Britain's Defense Secretary Liam Fox told BBC radio that Assad would "be thinking again in light of whathas happened in Tripoli overnight.""There is an unavoidable change in the area
and I think the message to those in that region is that if you donot allow change to be a process it can become an event," he said.Syria presented a different case than other Arab nations swept by unrest this year. A military intervention has been all but ruled out, given the quagmire in Libya and the lack of any strongopposition leader in Syria to rally behind. The U.S. and other nations have little leverage to threaten furtherisolation or economic punishment of Assad's pro-Iranian regime.
Taking inspiration from the rapid unraveling of theregime in Libya, thousands of Syrians poured into thestreets and taunted President Bashar Assad withshouts that his family's 40-year dynasty will be thenext dictatorship to crumble
 
 
 Al Waref Institute for Humanitarian StudiesSyria Watch Project, August 29, 2011
 Al Waref E-Newsletter on Syrian Revolution
Page3/9 
 After Libya it is Syria's turn, or is it? Inthe end game of the campaign to causeregime change in Libya, the questionhas gained momentum in policy circles East and West.The answer depends on whether Syria's political crisis leads to more civilian
 
deaths, thus warranting a United 
 
 Nations Security Council "humanitarian intervention" that would authorize another militarygambit from the North Atlantic TreatyOrganization (NATO) in the volatile
U.S. State Department spokeswoman Victoria Nuland dismissed the idea of arming the Syrian rebels. "Idon't think anybody thinks that more guns into Syria is going to be the right answer right now," she said:
The Syrians themselves don't want that. So that's why our focus has been on political and economicpressure.
  With neither side in the conflict showing any signs of backing down, many fear a drawn-out and bloody stalemate."What is so shocking is that the Syrian people have been really resilient, determined to continue to fightthe regime for almost half a year and this is something, I believe, (Assad) did not count on," said LabibKamhawi, a political analyst in Jordan. Assad has had four public appearances since the uprising began in March, the latest one on Sunday night.His remarks have stayed remarkably similar even as the uprising gained momentum, with the presidenttrying to convey a sense of confidence while insisting his security forces were fighting a foreignconspiracy to stir up sectarian strife. He has also pledged reforms, but theopposition says the promises are empty. Assad told state-run TV that he was not worried about security in hiscountry and warned against any Libya-style foreign military intervention.U.N. Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon criticized Assad for breaking hispledge last week to halt the violence."It is troubling that he has not kept his word," Ban said.

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