Copyright © 2011 by David P. GoldmanAll rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced or transmit-ted in any form or by any means electronic or mechanical, including photocopy,recording, or any information storage and retrieval system now known or to beinvented, without permission in writing from the publisher, except by a reviewerwho wishes to quote brief passages in connection with a review written for inclu-sion in a magazine, newspaper, or broadcast.Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication DataGoldman, David P.How civilizations die (and why Islam is dying too) / by David P. Goldman.p. cm.Includes bibliographical references.ISBN 978-1-59698-273-41. Civilization--History. 2. Regression (Civilization) 3. Civilization--Philosophy.4. Islamic civilization. 5. Civilization, Arab. 6. Islam and culture. 7. Religion andcivilization. 8. United States--Civilization. I. Title.CB151.G64 2011909’.09767--dc232011030144Published in the United States by Regnery Publishing, Inc.One Massachusetts Avenue, NWWashington, DC 20001www.regnery.comManufactured in the United States of America10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1Books are available in quantity for promotional or premium use. Write to Directorof Special Sales, Regnery Publishing, Inc., One Massachusetts Avenue NW, Wash-ington, DC 20001, for information on discounts and terms or call (202) 216-0600.Distributed to the trade by:Perseus Distribution387 Park Avenue SouthNew York, NY 10016
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opulation decline is the elephant in the world’s living room. As a matterof arithmetic, we know that the social life of most developed countrieswill break down within two generations. Two out of three Italians and threeof four Japanese will be elderly dependents by 2050.
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If present fertility rateshold, the number of Germans will fall by 98 percent over the next twocenturies. No pension and health care system can support such an invertedpopulation pyramid. Nor is the problem limited to the industrial nations.Fertility is falling at even faster rates—indeed, at rates never before regis-tered anywhere—in the Muslim world. The world’s population will fall by as much as a fifth between the middle and the end of the twenty-first cen-tury, by far the worst decline in human history.The world faces a danger more terrible than the worst Green imagin-ings. The European environmentalist who wants to shrink the world’s
INTRODUCTION
THE FIFTH HORsEMANOF THE APOCAlYPsE
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In How Civilizations Die (and Why Islam is Dying Too), David P. Goldman, author of the "Spengler" column, reveals how, almost unnoticed, massive shifts in global power are remaking our future.
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