FOR RELEASE: SEPTEMBER 22, 2011
PERRY LEADS GOP PACK, TOPS ROMNEY 1 ON 1 IN FLORIDA,QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS;OBAMA TRAILS ROMNEY AND TIES PERRY
Texas Gov. Rick Perry has a small lead over the Republican presidential pack in Florida with 28 percent, followed by former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney with 22 percent, but Perry topsRomney 31 – 22 percent if Sarah Palin doesn’t run and leads Romney 46 – 38 percent in a two-man face-off, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.Romney has barely moved since he led the Florida GOP pack with 23 percent in anAugust 4 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University, while Perry hassurged from 13 percent in that survey conducted before he formally announced his candidacy.All Florida voters disapprove 57 – 39 percent of the job President Barack Obama isdoing, his worst score in any Quinnipiac University poll in any state.In possible 2012 presidential matchups, Romney tops the president 47 – 40 percent whilePerry gets 42 percent to Obama’s 44 percent, a dead heat. In the August 4 Florida poll, Romneyand Obama were deadlocked 44 – 44 percent while the president led Perry 44 – 39 percent.Obama does not deserve a second term, Florida voters say 53 – 41 percent.“Gov. Rick Perry has the lead – and the momentum – among Florida Republicans, whileformer Gov. Mitt Romney can point to a better general election showing,” said Peter A. Brown,assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.“Adding to Perry’s strength is support among Sarah Palin backers, who shift more to theTexas governor if the former Alaska governor stays out of the race.“And when voters are asked to choose just between the two front-runners, Perry’s lead iseight points.”
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Peter Brown, Assistant Director,Quinnipiac University PollingInstitute(203) 535-6203Rubenstein Associates, Inc.Public RelationsContact: Pat Smith 212 843-8026
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Quinnipiac University Poll/September 22, 2011 – page 2
Perry leads Romney 55 – 35 percent among Republican voters who describe themselvesas part of the Tea Party movement. Perry leads 50 – 36 percent among GOP men and wins 42 percent of women to Romney’s 41 percent.Most of the difference between how Romney and Perry run against President Obama isamong independent voters. The president leads Perry 42 – 36 percent among Floridaindependents, while Romney tops the president 44 – 35 percent among the same group.“This finding is consistent with Quinnipiac University polls in other states and re-enforces Perry’s need to improve his standing with independent voters,” said Brown.Voters in Florida, with the nation’s highest concentration of senior citizens, say 58 – 33 percent that it is “unfair” to describe Social Security as a “Ponzi scheme,” as Perry has done.But among Republicans, the only ones allowed to vote in the state’s crucial primary, 52 percentsay that is a fair way to describe the nation’s retirement system.Perry’s position on Social Security leads 35 percent of Florida voters to think he wants tofix it, while 37 percent feel he wants to end it. Republicans, however, say 60 – 14 percent thatPerry wants to fix Social Security.Florida voters, like voters nationwide, are opposed to virtually all proposals to reduceSocial Security, with the exception of 65 – 28 percent support for raising the cap from the current$106,800 in salary subject to taxation. Raising the Social Security salary cap will not leademployers to do less hiring, voters say 61 – 32 percent.By 38 – 20 percent voters say they are less likely, rather than more likely, to support a presidential candidate who called for reducing the benefits for younger workers when they retire,while not touching those of current retirees.In Florida’s U.S. Senate race, incumbent Bill Nelson deserves a second term, voters say44 – 33 percent and Nelson leads an unnamed GOP candidate 43 – 34 percent. In theRepublican primary to challenge Nelson, 58 percent are undecided, with former Sen. GeorgeLeMieux at 17 percent, followed by businessman Mike McCalister with 11 percent.From September 14 – 19, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,007 registered voters with amargin of error of +/- 3.1 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.The Republican primary includes 374 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 5.1 percent.The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts publicopinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginiaand the nation as a public service and for research.
For more data or RSS feed– http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, orfollow us onTwitter.
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1. (If Registered Republican)If the 2012 Republican primary for President were being heldtoday, and the candidates were - Rick Perry, Sarah Palin, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney,Michele Bachmann, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, Jon Huntsman, Herman Cain andThaddeus McCotter for whom would you vote?REGISTERED REPUBLICANS..............PrtOf WtBrnAgnTot Men Wom TeaPty EvnglclPerry 28% 34% 22% 36% 26%Palin 8 7 8 11 7Gingrich 7 5 10 7 6Romney 22 19 24 17 18Bachmann 5 3 7 8 7Santorum 2 1 3 3 2Paul 6 9 2 3 9Huntsman 2 3 1 1 1Cain 7 7 6 6 7McCotter - - - - -SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - - 2WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 - - -DK/NA 12 8 17 8 14TREND: (If registered Republican) If the 2012 Republican primary for President were beingheld today, and the candidates were - Rick Perry, Sarah Palin, Newt Gingrich,Mitt Romney, Michele Bachmann, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, Jon Huntsman, Herman Cain andThaddeus McCotter for whom would you vote? (*na=not asked in survey reported)REGISTERED REPUBLICANSSep 22 Aug 042011 2011Perry 28 13Palin 8 9Gingrich 7 4Romney 22 23Bachmann 5 6Santorum 2 1Paul 6 9Huntsman 2 1Cain 7 8McCotter - -Pawlenty na 3SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 3WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 3DK/NA 12 17
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