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Published by: api-3710332 on Oct 14, 2008
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03/18/2014

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PR OJ EC T G U ID E :
Dr . K. R aja
TE AM M EMB ER S:
S. L. K okila Bai
20 053 832
K. M ana sa
20 053 834
N. M ano j
20 053 835
PROBLEM DESCRIPTION:

A Knowledge Based System (KBS) can be said to be a computer system that is
programmed to imitate human problem-solving with reference to a database of knowledge on a
particular subject. The modeling techniques generally used in KBS such as the rule based
reasoning, case based reasoning, etc have been observed to have certaindisadvantages such as
not being able to handle missing or unexpected information, users might allow cases to bias
new problem solutions, a large case base adding to the challenge to storage and search
processes, adaptation problem, i.e., modifying solutions of former similar cases to fit for a
current problem etc. However, the Bayesian network which is a probabilistic graphical model
that is based on Bayes Rule given as:

For any two events, A and B,
p(B|A) = p(A|B) x p(B) / p ( A ), where you read
'p(A)' as "the probability of A",
and 'p(A|B)' as "the probability of A given that B has occurred".

is known to possess certain properties such as readily being able to handle
incomplete data sets, adaptable, is based on the best mathematical and statistical knowledge to
date and models the scenario in a graphical model which makes it easy for one to understand
the causal relationships between the variables.

Hence, based upon the afore mentioned inherent properties of the Bayes
Networks which overcome disadvantages of other modeling techniques, we propose to

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