Scribd Logo
Upload

Welcome to Scribd!

  • Vernon Poll Memo

    Uploaded by

    PoliticsPA
    839 views2 pages
    Nrc poll: Casey's favorable rating is 47%, his job approval rating is 46%. Vernon is clearly the most attractive candidate to our base and to swing voters, it says. He leads among key groups, including Republicans (31%), conservatives (32%), seniors (30%), "t" residents (33%), most major media markets.

    Original Description:

    Copyright

    © Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)

    Available Formats

    PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd

    Did you find this document useful?

    Is this content inappropriate?

    Report this Document
    Nrc poll: Casey's favorable rating is 47%, his job approval rating is 46%. Vernon is clearly the most attractive candidate to our base and to swing voters, it says. He leads among key groups, including Republicans (31%), conservatives (32%), seniors (30%), "t" residents (33%), most major media markets.

    Copyright:

    Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Flag for inappropriate content
    839 views2 pages

    Vernon Poll Memo

    Uploaded by

    PoliticsPA
    Nrc poll: Casey's favorable rating is 47%, his job approval rating is 46%. Vernon is clearly the most attractive candidate to our base and to swing voters, it says. He leads among key groups, including Republicans (31%), conservatives (32%), seniors (30%), "t" residents (33%), most major media markets.

    Copyright:

    Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Flag for inappropriate content
    of 2

    MEMORANDUM

    TO: FROM: DATE: RE: INTERESTED PARTIES ADAM GELLER, NATIONAL RESEARCH INC. SEPT. 30, 2011 POLLING RESULTS IN PENNSYLVANIA 1. Senator Robert Casey exhibits early signs of vulnerability. Caseys favorable rating is 47%, his job approval rating is 46%, and his ballot score against a generic Republican is only 46%. Among crucial Independent voters, Caseys job approval is 41% and his ballot against an unnamed generic Republican is 45%. The top of the ticket will not provide cover for Casey: President Obamas job approval number is only 48%.

    2. In a biographical description of the major Republican candidates running for the partys nomination, John Vernon is clearly the most attractive candidate to our base and to swing voters, based on the following descriptions, read only to Republican and Independent respondents.
    13% 6% 6% 5% 15% 29% Laureen Cummings is a Nurse and small business owner who helped form the Scranton Tea Party. Tom Smith is a coal industry executive and the outgoing Chairman of the IndianaArmstrong Patriots, a Tea Party organization. David Christian is a businessman and Vietnam Veteran who served in government and unsuccessfully ran for Congress previously in the 1980s. Marc Scaringi is an attorney who previously served as a Legislative Aide to Rick Santorum on Capitol Hill Steven Welch is a successful businessman and former congressional candidate who will focus on job creation, and was previously a Democrat. John Vernon is a retired US Army Colonel who served his country for over 32 years, serving in Operations Desert Storm, Iraqi Freedom, and as a Department of Defense Inspector General. He is a conservative Republican. Undecided/Neither/Other

    24%

    John leads the pack among key groups, including Republicans (31%), conservatives (32%) seniors (30%), PA T residents (33%), most major media markets including Pittsburgh (41%), Wilkes Barre/Scranton (47%), Harrisburg/ Lancaster/Lebanon/York (29%) and Philadelphia (18%). He also leads among Obama unfavorable (38%) and Toomey favorables (35%)

    3.

    Voters respond very positively to Johns background and policy positions. Voters were more likely to support John Vernon against Senator Casey once they learn his positions on the issues, such as his desire to reduce the federal tax burden (64% more likely), end government over-regulation (61% more likely) and end government bailouts (62% more likely).

    4.

    After voters learn about Johns background and positions, the head to head ballot is 42%-43% - a statistical tie. The ballot is 72-13 among Republicans and 46-39 among Independents. The ballot is 80-7 among Tea Party members or supporters The ballot is 42-42 among seniors.

    Keep in mind that Casey is an incumbent with a golden name and pedigree, facing a first-time office seeker. The Bottom Line John Vernon is one of the few candidates who can win in a Presidential year for the following reasons: A. B. C. D. E. He unites the establishment and Tea party wings. He has the right messages and the right background. He is popular with base Republicans, but also with Independent voters. He is an outsider and a fresh face when that is exactly what voters want. Besides his fiscal positions, he has an experience in military and foreign affairs unmatched by any of the other candidates.

    #####

    National Research Inc. conducted a telephone survey in Pennsylvania on September 19-20, 2011. The survey was conducted among 500 likely voters and has a margin of error of +/- 4.38% in 95 out of 100 cases. National Research Inc. is a Republican polling firm, whose client list includes Governor Chris Christie, the National Republican Senatorial Committee, The Club for Growth, and Republican elected officials throughout the country.

    National Research Inc. CONFIDENTIAL

    You might also like