Public Policy Polling3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604Phone: 888 621-6988Web: www.publicpolicypolling.comEmail: information@publicpolicypolling.com
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE September 29, 2011INTERVIEWS: Tom Jensen 919-744-6312IF YOU HAVE BASIC METHODOLOGICAL QUESTIONS, PLEASE E-MAILinformation@publicpolicypolling.com, OR CONSULT THE FINAL PARAGRAPHOF THE PRESS RELEASE
Obama leads Romney and Paul by only a point in Florida
Raleigh, N.C. –
In what has been perpetually one of the closest and most important statesin the last few presidential elections, President Obama now leads two of his potentialopponents by only a single point. The leader in the Florida primary, per yesterday’srelease, Mitt Romney trails only 46-45, up from 47-43 in June. The surprise is the othercandidate breathing down his neck: Ron Paul, who lags only 45-44.Obama’s approval rating in Florida has declined a little since PPP last polled the statethree months ago. Then, voters about broke even on him, with 48% approving and 49%disapproving. That is now a 46-51 spread. Michele Bachmann’s favorability has shifted29 points in the wrong direction since the previous poll. In June, 36% saw her favorablyand 37% unfavorably. That is now 26-56, making her narrowly the least popular of theRepublicans, followed closely by Newt Gingrich (28-57) and Rick Perry (29-58). Paulstands at 31-51, with Romney by far the best-liked of the GOP bunch, at 40-46, downslightly from 41-45 in June. Perry, Gingrich, and Paul were not tested then.Despite Bachmann’s personal slide being much greater than the president’s, she has onlygained on him. Obama led her, 49-40, when she was first bursting onto the scene, but shenow trails only 49-44—actually closer than Perry’s and Gingrich’s respective 50-43 and50-42 deficits.By a 42-49 margin, voters disapprove of the president’s handling of Israel, but Jewishvoters approve, 61-31. Only a quarter of voters think Social Security is a Ponzi scheme,and 63% disagree.“Florida makes it pretty clear that out of the two Republican front runners there’s onewho can beat Barack Obama and one who can’t,” said Dean Debnam, President of PublicPolicy Polling. “There’s no way the GOP wins next year without Florida, and it doesn’tlook like Rick Perry can do that.”PPP surveyed 476 Florida voters from September 22
nd
to 25
th
. The margin of error for thesurvey is +/-4.5%. This poll was not paid for or authorized by any campaign or politicalorganization. PPP surveys are conducted through automated telephone interviews. PPP isa Democratic polling company, but polling expert Nate Silver of the
New York Times
found that its surveys in 2010 actually exhibited a slight bias toward Republicancandidates.
September 22-25, 2011
Survey of 476 Florida voters
September 22-25, 2011
Survey of 476 Florida voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-69883020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Florida Survey Results
Q1
Do you approve or disapprove of PresidentBarack Obama’s job performance?46%
Approve
..........................................................
51%
Disapprove
......................................................
3%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q2
Do you approve or disapprove of BarackObama’s leadership on Israel?42%
Approve
..........................................................
49%
Disapprove
......................................................
9%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q3
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Michele Bachmann?26%
Favorable
........................................................
56%
Unfavorable
....................................................
18%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q4
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Newt Gingrich?28%
Favorable
........................................................
57%
Unfavorable
....................................................
15%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q5
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Ron Paul?31%
Favorable
........................................................
51%
Unfavorable
....................................................
18%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q6
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Rick Perry?29%
Favorable
........................................................
58%
Unfavorable
....................................................
13%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q7
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Mitt Romney?40%
Favorable
........................................................
46%
Unfavorable
....................................................
14%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q8
If the candidates for President next year wereDemocrat Barack Obama and RepublicanMichele Bachmann, who would you vote for?49%
Barack Obama
................................................
44%
Michele Bachmann
.........................................
7%
Undecided
.......................................................
Q9
If the candidates for President next year wereDemocrat Barack Obama and RepublicanNewt Gingrich, who would you vote for?50%
Barack Obama
................................................
42%
Newt Gingrich
.................................................
8%
Undecided
.......................................................
Q10
If the candidates for President next year wereDemocrat Barack Obama and Republican RonPaul, who would you vote for?45%
Barack Obama
................................................
44%
Ron Paul
.........................................................
11%
Undecided
.......................................................
Q11
If the candidates for President next year wereDemocrat Barack Obama and Republican RickPerry, who would you vote for?50%
Barack Obama
................................................
43%
Rick Perry
.......................................................
8%
Undecided
.......................................................
September 22-25, 2011
Survey of 476 Florida voters
September 22-25, 2011
Survey of 476 Florida voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-69883020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Q12
If the candidates for President next year wereDemocrat Barack Obama and Republican MittRomney, who would you vote for?46%
Barack Obama
................................................
45%
Mitt Romney
....................................................
9%
Undecided
.......................................................
Q13
Do you agree or disagree with the followingstatement: “Social Security is a PonziScheme.”25%
Agree
..............................................................
63%
Disagree
.........................................................
12%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q14
Who did you vote for President in 2008?45%
John McCain
...................................................
48%
Barack Obama
................................................
7%
Someone else/Don't remember
......................
Q15
Would you describe yourself as very liberal,somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhatconservative, or very conservative?10%
Very liberal
......................................................
14%
Somewhat liberal
............................................
32%
Moderate
.........................................................
27%
Somewhat conservative
..................................
16%
Very conservative
...........................................
Q16
If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.52%
Woman
...........................................................
48%
Man
.................................................................
Q17
If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,press 2. If you are an independent or identifywith another party, press 3.40%
Democrat
........................................................
37%
Republican
......................................................
23%
Independent/Other
..........................................
Q18
If you are Hispanic, press 1. If white, press 2.If African-American, press 3. If other, press 4.16%
Hispanic
..........................................................
67%
White
..............................................................
12%
African-American
............................................
6%
Other
...............................................................
Q19
If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you areolder than 65, press 4.16%
18 to 29
...........................................................
22%
30 to 45
...........................................................
36%
46 to 65
...........................................................
26%
Older than 65
..................................................
Q20
Are you Jewish, Catholic, Protestant, anotherreligion, or no religion at all?5%
Jewish
.............................................................
27%
Catholic
...........................................................
51%
Protestant
.......................................................
5%
Another religion
...............................................
10%
No religion at all
..............................................
1%
Don't care to say
.............................................
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