EN OPEN COMPETITIONS EPSO/A/17/04 - EPSO/AD/24104 ADMINISTRATORS iN SPECIALIST FIELDS OF RESEARCH Field 3: Socie-economics and risk Test a) Atest comprising a series of multiple-choice questions to assess your specialised knowledge in your chosen field Questions numbered fram 1 to 40 and Test b} A test comprising a series of multiple choice questions relating ta the main developments in European integration and in the various Community poltcias Quastions numbered from 41 to 80 Time allowed for tests a) and b) together: 1 hour 20 minutes Incorrect answers will not be penalised. | ~ ‘Do not turn this page before the : sgiven! European Communities 2003 Corvmamairés euronéennes 200% & Curopissche clerneinachanen 205,ERSO:a 730M BPSOVALYDA OL EK Preselostna Thats Field ‘What is the Delphi mothod in the context of risk analysis? 4 A metnod ror combming expert opinions b) A method for forecasting future system per formance e} | Amethedl for matching mechanistic models in sirnctural reliabitity to experimental data qd} Amethod for assessing uncertainty using Bayesian approaches a) cquity b) efficiency ©) feasibitity 4) sustainabitity ‘When dealing with decisions with multiple objectives, what js the mcaning of ‘Sweighls’ in a lincar aggreustion mle? a) Relevance 0) Runking ¢nefficicnts 8) Trade-nfls d} Normalisalion The Precautionary Principle, aveerding ts the (amnmaunication from the Commission on the Precautionary Principle, is “particularly relevant” 1o the: ) management of tisk Dh asscssment of rish ©) chacacterizulion of risk a) mitigation of risk © Borarean Conirumines 2003 2+ Cominunmus européennes 20% € Europese Gettcuanchofon 2004 1RESOLA/ITHN EPSCHAN.2G1S EN Proselectuai Test 9} Fis 3 5. A Monte Caria study is! «statistical teetmique fue assessing the reliability of cxpert opinions a statistical tou! designed lo study a set of time-series a simulation tectanique for pooling a set of expert opinions a simulation exercise to explore sample properties of competing estimators Within the EU there is groal diversity in Research and Development (R&D) expenditure 25 a percentage of GDP. Two Member States have a significantly hiyber level of RAD spending than the other Member States. Thesc bvo ‘Meniber States are; a) i) *) a Sweden and Finland Ireland and the United Kingdom Sweden and the Netherlands Finland and Germany To obtain aw unconditional forecast Iront a reyression model, which of the following statements must he truc? The model can net include simuftancous equations ‘The regression movie! must be estimated with a nom-binear astimalur No cartection for serial autocorrelation must he prosont in the model Txplanatory variables must be known for the entire period of the forecast Box-Jenkins tochniyuas are used far forecasting by estimating: a) 6) e} a nondincar molels time-series models pane] data models cross-sectional models oF Parnes Comumnines 2009 32 Comemunastis curspéennes 2003 -D Europarscle Gensemschafien 2003 2