Professional Documents
Culture Documents
10
Republic of Korea
Economic Bulletin
The Green Book : Current Economic Trends
Overview
2. Private consumption
3. Facility investment
12
4. Construction investment
14
16
18
20
8. Employment
22
9. Financial markets
9.1 Stock market
9.2 Exchange rate
9.3 Bond market
9.4 Money supply & money market
26
30
32
36
40
Policy Issues
2012 Budget and 2011-2015 fiscal management plan
42
48
Statistical Appendices
51
Aug or Sep)
US
US GDP in the second quarter of 2011 has been revised upward to 1.3 percent (annualized
q-o-q) from 1.0 percent, and economic indicators have improved to a certain extent.
Industrial production and personal consumption expenditure grew in August following the
previous month.
Industrial production (m-o-m, %)
0.7 (Mar 2011)
-0.3 (Apr)
0.2 (May)
0.4 (Jun)
0.9 (Jul)
0.2 (Aug)
0.7 (Jul)
0.2 (Aug)
0.3 (Apr)
0.2 (May)
-0.2 (Jun)
The ISM manufacturing index and the consumer sentiment index improved slightly in
September after declining in July and August.
ISM manufacturing index (base=50)
61.4 (Feb 2011)
61.2 (Mar)
60.4 (Apr)
53.5 (May)
55.3 (Jun)
50.9 (Jul)
50.6 (Aug)
51.6 (Sep)
63.7 (Jul)
55.7 (Aug)
59.4 (Sep)
69.8 (Apr)
74.3 (May)
71.5 (Jun)
The US strengthened its economic recovery measures, with the administration unveiling a
$447 billion economic stimulus package on September 4 and the Federal Reserve
announcing Operation Twist aimed at expanding its long-term bond holdings.
(Percentage change from previous period)
2009
Real GDP
20111
2010
Jul
Aug
Annual
Annual
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
-3.5
3.0
3.9
3.8
2.5
2.3
0.4
1.0
-1.9
2.0
2.7
2.9
2.6
3.6
2.1
0.4
-17.8
4.4
6.0
18.6
11.3
8.7
2.1
9.9
-16.0
14.6
-15.3
22.8
-27.7
2.5
-2.4
3.4
Industrial production
-11.2
5.3
2.0
1.7
1.6
0.8
1.2
0.3
0.9
0.2
-1.7
3.8
1.1
0.8
0.9
1.4
1.5
0.9
0.7
0.2
5.2
-4.5
-12.3
7.5
-25.1
13.8
8.2
-4.9
-3.5
7.7
Unemployment rate3
9.3
9.6
9.7
9.6
9.6
9.6
8.9
9.1
9.1
9.1
-0.3
1.6
0.3
-0.1
0.4
0.7
1.3
1.0
0.5
0.4
Retail sales
Consumer prices
1. Preliminary
October 2011
3. Seasonally adjusted
1-1
1-2
1-3
Economic Bulletin
China
Chinas economy continued to grow at a robust pace, expanding 9.5 percent year-on-year in
the second quarter, but production and consumption slowed down gradually.
The year-on-year consumer price index slightly slowed down to 6.2 percent.
(Percentage change from same period in previous year)
Q1
2010
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
20111
Q2
Jul
11.9
10.3
9.6
9.8
9.7
9.5
15.7
19.6
16.0
13.5
13.3
14.9
13.9
14.0
13.5
30.5
24.5
26.4
25.5
24.5
24.5
32.5
27.0
27.2
28.1
15.5
23.3
23.7
23.8
23.9
22.0
17.1
18.2
17.6
17.0
-16.0
31.3
28.7
40.9
32.2
24.9
26.4
22.0
20.4
24.5
-0.7
3.3
2.2
2.9
3.5
4.7
4.9
5.7
6.5
6.2
-5.4
5.5
5.2
6.8
4.5
5.7
7.0
6.9
7.5
7.3
2009
Annual
Annual
9.1
10.3
11.0
Real GDP
Industrial production
Exports
Consumer prices2
2
Producer prices
Aug
1. Preliminary
2. Quarterly change: average of monthly change
Source: China National Bureau of Statistics
Japan
Japans industrial production and exports showed a recovery trend with the supply chain
continuing to recover, while personal consumption gradually increased.
The countrys Cabinet Office said in its Monthly Economic Report on September 20 that despite
difficulties due to the Great East Japan Earthquake, the recovery of the economy was continuing.
(Percentage change from previous period)
2009
Annual
Real GDP
Industrial production
Retail sales (y-o-y)
Exports (y-o-y)
Consumer prices (y-o-y)
1. Preliminary
Q3
Q4
Q1
20111
Jul
Q2
0.5
0.8
-0.3
-0.9
-0.5
0.7
-1.1
-0.1
-2.0
-4.0
0.4
0.8
Annual
Q1
2010
Q2
-6.3
4.0
1.5
-21.9
16.4
7.4
Aug
-2.3
2.5
3.8
3.7
3.2
-0.4
-3.0
-1.7
0.6
-2.6
-33.1
24.4
43.2
33.2
17.8
10.0
2.4
-8.0
-3.4
2.8
-1.4
-0.7
-1.2
-0.9
-0.8
0.1
-1.4
-0.9
0.2
0.2
Source: Japan's Statistics Bureau and Statistics Centre, Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry, Ministry of Finance
Eurozone
The recovery of the eurozone economy was limited due to uncertainties from government
debt problems, while the upward trend of consumer prices continued.
Policy measures were strengthened as the European Central Bank said on September 15 that
it would provide three-month dollar liquidity to euro-area banks and mentioned on
September 26 the possibility of resuming covered bond purchases, while the German
parliament on September 29 approved the planned expansion of the European Financial
Stability Facility (EFSF).
(Percentage change from previous period)
Real GDP
Industrial production
Retail sales
Exports (y-o-y)
Consumer prices (y-o-y)
1. Preliminary
Source: Eurostat
October 2011
2009
Annual
Annual
-4.0
1.7
-14.7
7.4
Q1
2010
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
20111
Jul
Q2
0.4
1.0
0.3
0.3
0.8
0.2
2.6
2.4
1.0
1.8
0.9
0.2
1.0
Aug
-2.4
0.8
0.4
0.2
0.2
0.3
-0.1
-0.3
0.2
-18.1
20.1
12.9
22.3
22.8
21.8
21.2
12.6
5.4
0.3
1.6
1.1
1.5
1.7
2.0
2.5
2.8
2.5
2.5
1-4
1-5
1-6
Economic Bulletin
2. Private consumption
Private consumption (preliminary) increased 0.9 percent quarter-on-quarter and 3.0 percent
year-on-year in the second quarter of 2011.
(Percentage change from same period in previous year)
2010 1
2009
Private consumption
q-o-q
20111
Annual
Q2
Q3
Q4
Annual
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
0.0
-1.1
0.4
5.6
4.1
6.6
3.5
3.6
2.9
2.8
3.0
3.7
1.4
0.9
0.5
0.7
1.4
0.3
0.4
0.9
1. Preliminary
2. National accounts
Source: The Bank of Korea
Retail sales in August increased 5.2 percent year-on-year. However, it declined 0.2 percent
month-on-month despite strong sales of durable and semi-durable goods, as non-durable
goods sales slowed down affected by declining gasoline demand, which soared shortly before
the price return to the normal level.
On a year-on-year basis, durable goods sales slowed down but remained at a high level, while
sales of semi-durable and non-durable goods grew.
(Percentage change from same period in previous year)
2009
Automobiles
- Semi-durable goods3
- Non-durable goods
20111
2010
Annual
Annual
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Jul1
Aug1
2.7
6.6
9.7
4.9
7.5
5.1
5.1
5.7
5.3
5.2
0.6
-0.1
3.3
0.8
1.1
0.2
2.3
-0.2
8.2
14.9
29.6
5.6
17.0
10.6
12.9
17.5
12.6
12.2
21.8
11.1
48.9
-2.1
12.0
0.1
10.2
13.0
10.8
7.1
1.3
6.8
2.5
6.2
6.6
11.1
6.1
5.6
3.9
4.0
1.2
2.2
3.2
3.3
3.0
-0.7
0.8
-0.4
2.2
2.5
1. Preliminary
2. Durable goods: Automobiles, electronic appliances, furniture, telecommunications devices, etc.
3. Semi-durable goods: Clothing, footwear, etc.
4. Non-durable goods: Food, medicine, cosmetics, fuel, tobacco, etc.
Source: Statistics Korea
Sales at department stores and nonstore retailers jumped 8.0 percent, respectively, while
those at large discounters rose 2.4 percent, from the effect of Chuseok holiday-related
expenditures, but sales at specialized retailers dropped 2.5 percent.
On a year-on-year basis, the sales of department stores, large discounters, specialized
retailers and nonstore retailers all continued to gain ground.
(Percentage change from same period in previous year)
- Department stores
- Large discounters
- Specialized retailers
- Nonstore retailers
Annual
Annual
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Jul1
Aug1
4.3
8.8
7.5
9.2
7.4
10.5
11.5
9.7
7.1
7.9
-2.2
4.4
5.4
4.1
7.6
0.8
3.5
5.1
3.5
3.0
3.0
5.6
9.7
1.8
7.3
4.2
4.3
4.9
6.0
3.8
8.7
15.6
20.1
17.9
11.4
13.5
11.5
9.2
6.1
15.3
1. Preliminary
2. Specialized retailers are defined as stores carrying a few (1 to 3) specialized items.
Source: Statistics Korea
October 2011
20111
2010
2009
2-1
Private consumption
Source: The Bank of Korea (national accounts)
2-2
2-3
Economic Bulletin
There is a possibility that retail sales will slow down considering advanced indicators and a
drop in consumer sentiment due to concern over a global economic slowdown.
As Chuseok-related expenditures accounted for a considerable part of the retail sales in
August, there is a possibility of a slowdown in retail sales, particularly those of non-durable
goods, in September.
Increasing volatility in financial markets due to the downgrading of the US credit rating and
concern over a global economic slowdown has been followed by the plummeting of stock
prices, resulting in worries over their effect on assets.
KOSPI (monthly average)
2,153 (Apr 2011)
2,122 (May)
2,075 (Jun)
2,150 (Jul)
1,869 (Aug)
1,791 (Sep)
In September, the consumer sentiment index was 99, falling below the benchmark of 100 for
the second month in a row.
Consumer sentiment index (CSI, base=100)
105 (Feb 2011)
98 (Mar)
100 (Apr)
104 (May)
102 (Jun)
102 (Jul)
99 (Aug)
99 (Sep)
Advanced indicators for September showed that retail sales slowed down overall.
Credit card use and sales of department stores and large discounters slowed down, with a
particular year-on-year drop in sales of large discounters.
The decline in gasoline sales continued, as fuel prices remained high due to the rising
exchange rate.
Credit card use (y-o-y, %)
16.3 (Apr 2011)
21.1 (May)
19.8 (Jun)
16.6 (Jul)
19.8 (Aug)
16.6 (Sep)
8.7 (May)
8.2 (Jun)
8.5 (Jul)
8.3 (Aug)
5.8 (Sep)
2.4 (May)
2.7 (Jun)
4.9 (Jul)
2.0 (Aug)
-1.4 (Sep)
-2.6 (May)
-3.4 (Jun)
9.2 (Jul)
-0.3 (Aug)
0.9 (Sep)
3.7 (May)
6.0 (Jun)
6.1 (Jul)
3.7 (Aug)
3.8 (Sep)
28.1 (May)
27.2 (Jun)
33.3 (Jul)
28.6 (Aug)
Although situations related to retail sales are improving with a recovery in employment and
a slowdown in consumer price inflation, the growth of retail sales are predicted to be limited
by external uncertainties.
Employment (y-o-y, thousand)
469 (Mar 2011)
379 (Apr)
355 (May)
472 (Jun)
335 (Jul)
490 (Aug)
10
October 2011
4.2 (Apr)
4.1 (May)
4.4 (Jun)
4.7 (Jul)
5.3 (Aug)
4.3 (Sep)
2-4
2-5
2-6
Economic Bulletin
11
3. Facility investment
Facility investment (preliminary GDP) in the second quarter of 2011 increased 3.9 percent
quarter-on-quarter and 7.5 percent year-on-year.
(Percentage change from same period in previous year)
20101
2009
Facility investment
q-o-q
- Machinery
- Transportation equipment
20111
Annual
Q4
Annual
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
-9.8
12.2
25.0
29.1
30.5
26.6
15.9
11.7
7.5
7.8
2.8
7.9
5.6
-1.0
-1.1
3.9
-13.5
10.1
30.8
30.0
35.3
38.9
20.5
13.9
9.0
2.8
19.1
6.7
24.2
15.6
-6.6
0.6
3.2
2.0
1. Preliminary
2. National accounts
Source: The Bank of Korea
Facility investment in August, while rising 1.3 percent month-on-month, fell 3.7 percent yearon-year due to weak investment in machinery. Facility investment is projected to return to
moderate recovery given domestic consumption in good shape and leading indicators
improving. Still, mounting uncertainties triggered by Europes debt crisis and shrinking
corporate investment sentiment are likely to limit gains.
(Percentage change from same period in previous year)
2009
20111
2010
Annual
Annual
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
-9.4
25.1
29.5
29.3
13.6
6.6
q-o-q, m-o-m
6.7
7.2
-5.4
- Machinery
-12.6
30.5
37.1
37.4
17.1
Facility investment
- Transportation equipment
Jun
Jul1
Aug1
4.8
4.7
-2.8
-3.7
-0.2
3.0
0.7
-5.7
1.3
6.8
7.0
5.2
-2.5
-6.0
4.6
4.3
2.8
-0.1
-1.2
5.6
-5.7
2.6
-4.2
10.6
-10.3
11.2
24.7
-0.2
11.3
19.5
8.2
18.5
-4.4
6.0
15.2
-3.6
4.1
3.6
3.9
10.2
-16.4
1.0
- Public
62.4
-37.9
-42.2
-71.7
31.4
-10.3
82.0
205.2
44.9
8.0
- Private
-18.2
21.8
35.5
22.0
7.8
22.7
3.1
4.0
-7.0
5.8
-16.6
40.4
51.3
40.0
26.3
8.0
10.5
3.3
12.4
11.3
-3.5
8.8
10.8
1.8
5.3
2.6
-0.3
-0.4
-2.4
0.8
-3.7
9.5
12.1
3.4
4.6
4.1
1.6
1.5
-0.5
1.3
Machinery imports
1. Preliminary
2. Production growth rate minus production capacity growth rate in the manufacturing sector (%p)
Sources: Statistics Korea, the Korea International Trade Association (machinery imports data)
2011
12
October 2011
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
103
102
103
103
100
98
3-1
3-2
3-3
Machinery imports
Source: Korea International Trade Association (KITA)
Economic Bulletin
13
4. Construction investment
Construction investment (preliminary GDP) in the second quarter of 2011 rose 1.6 percent
quarter-on-quarter, and fell 6.8 percent year-on-year.
(Percentage change from same period in previous year)
20101
2009
20111
Annual
Q4
Annual
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
3.4
4.0
-1.4
4.3
-2.3
-3.1
-2.9
-11.9
-6.8
0.7
2.0
-4.2
-0.8
-1.0
-6.7
1.6
- Building construction
-2.3
2.4
-2.9
4.5
-5.1
-6.3
-2.8
-11.3
-3.7
11.6
5.6
0.5
4.0
1.0
1.7
-2.9
-12.7
-10.4
Construction investment
q-o-q
1. Preliminary
2. National accounts
Source: The Bank of Korea
The value of construction completion (constant) in August increased 1.1 percent month-onmonth, but declined 9.2 percent year-on-year due to a drop in both building construction
and civil engineering works.
(Percentage change from same period in previous year)
2009
20111
2010
Annual
Annual
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Jun
Jul1
Aug1
1.6
-3.3
-4.3
-6.8
-4.3
-12.6
-6.61
-1.41
-14.6
-9.2
-3.1
-4.3
-1.6
-4.6
3.51
14.51
-16.5
1.1
- Building construction
-6.4
-7.1
-7.7
-12.3
-8.5
-15.2
-8.4
-3.5
-14.3
-10.5
16.1
2.2
0.6
1.9
1.2
-9.2
-4.3
1.1
-14.9
-7.5
5.0
-18.7
-6.7
-3.6
-40.2
-12.8
-3.3
13.3
-34.6
75.4
0.2
-1.4
-22.9
12.8
9.8
37.0
-30.4
65.8
-14.2
-9.9
55.3
-1.3
-46.4
-9.7
-4.0
8.3
-41.8
87.7
44.3
-29.5
-49.7
-7.0
-29.9
-17.0
-1.5
22.1
-26.7
50.7
-12.9
19.3
47.4
-14.3
18.1
21.5
3.8
7.8
31.4
87.8
1. Preliminary
Source: Statistics Korea, the Ministry of Land, Transport and Maritime Affairs
2009
Unsold houses
14
October 2011
2010
2011
Dec
Dec
Jun
Jul
Aug
123,000
89,000
73,000
70,000
69.000
4-1
Construction investment
Source: The Bank of Korea (national accounts)
4-2
4-3
Economic Bulletin
15
Exports
(y-o-y, %)
Average daily exports
Imports
(y-o-y, %)
Average daily imports
2010
2011
Annual
Annual
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Aug
Sep1
363.53
466.38
101.08
120.24
116.32
128.75
131.00
142.74
142.24
45.94
47.12
-13.9
28.3
35.8
33.1
22.7
23.8
29.6
18.7
22.3
25.9
19.6
1.30
1.70
1.51
1.76
1.72
1.79
1.99
2.08
2.05
1.91
2.14
323.08
425.21
98.16
105.63
105.70
115.73
123.64
134.36
142.24
45.46
45.68
-25.8
31.6
37.4
42.8
24.6
24.6
25.9
27.2
22.3
28.9
30.5
11.6
1.46
0.47
1.54
1.57
1.61
1.87
1.96
2.05
1.90
2.08
1. Preliminary
Source: Korea Customs Service
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
4.25
2.41
-0.35
2.16
3.64
(US$ billion)
2009
Trade Balance
1. Preliminary
Source: Korea Customs Service
16
October 2011
2010
2011
Annual
Annual
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Aug
Sep1
40.45
41.17
2.93
14.61
10.62
13.02
7.37
9.37
6.81
0.48
1.44
5-1
5-2
5-3
Trade balance
Source: Korea Customs Service & Ministry of Knowledge Economy (export and import trend)
Economic Bulletin
17
Aug
Q1
Q2
Jun
Jul1
Aug1
4.2
-1.5
6.1
0.0
0.9
-0.3
-1.9
(y-o-y)
16.2
18.8
15.9
10.6
7.2
6.6
4.0
4.8
- Manufacturing
16.7
19.3
16.2
10.9
7.4
6.6
3.9
4.9
ICT
Annual
Production (q-o-q, m-o-m)
Mining and
manufacturing
activity2
2011
25.2
26.7
21.7
14.3
10.5
6.9
3.6
2.8
Automobiles
23.1
32.1
18.3
16.1
12.1
17.2
12.0
23.6
Shipment
14.4
15.9
15.3
11.9
7.2
5.9
3.2
4.4
- Domestic demand
11.5
13.3
12.0
7.2
3.8
3.7
1.2
2.7
- Exports
18.2
19.5
19.8
18.4
11.6
8.8
5.9
6.3
Inventory4
17.4
17.5
20.1
10.3
10.0
10.0
9.8
11.9
81.2
82.3
79.7
83.1
81.4
82.5
82.1
80.5
7.2
7.2
8.3
6.8
5.8
5.1
4.4
3.6
1. Preliminary
2. Including mining, manufacturing, electricity, and gas industry
3. Information and Communications Technology
4. End-period
Source: Statistics Korea
22.0 (May)
11.2 (Jun)
21.7 (Jul)
25.9 (Aug)
19.6 (Sep)
18
October 2011
389 (May)
438 (Jun)
392 (Jul)
320 (Aug)
374 (Sep)
6-1
Industrial production
Source: Statistics Korea (industrial activity trend)
6-2
6-3
Inventory
Source: Statistics Korea (industrial activity trend)
Economic Bulletin
19
2009
2010
Annual Annual
2011
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Jul1
Aug1
100.0
1.8
3.9
6.2
4.2
2.3
3.2
2.7
3.3
3.8
4.8
21.8
-0.4
5.7
7.4
5.6
5.0
4.7
4.0
4.8
3.1
4.6
- Transportation services
9.0
-6.6
12.0
14.1
14.3
10.1
10.0
7.2
3.5
4.1
4.6
7.7
-1.4
1.2
1.2
0.7
1.3
1.7
-0.6
1.9
2.6
0.9
8.4
0.9
1.9
1.0
0.4
2.2
3.6
3.9
3.4
4.0
6.0
15.3
7.8
4.6
6.7
2.5
1.4
8.2
7.2
8.2
7.8
10.6
6.3
5.3
-8.6
11.5
-2.4
-15.9
-24.2
-17.7
-11.5
-3.5
-3.4
4.8
1.2
-0.5
0.8
2.1
-3.9
-1.3
-3.6
-1.4
0.6
3.7
- Business services
2.9
-3.0
7.5
5.3
8.1
7.6
8.6
5.7
5.5
4.4
1.6
10.8
2.1
2.0
3.2
1.4
0.5
3.1
1.1
0.2
1.9
2.7
6.0
10.4
8.8
11.7
11.0
8.6
4.6
6.2
5.0
4.8
5.2
2.9
-0.5
-0.4
-3.9
-0.1
-0.4
2.7
2.4
1.2
3.1
1.1
- Membership organizations
3.8
-2.1
4.3
1.6
6.0
5.0
4.5
2.9
2.4
2.0
1.5
0.4
3.7
5.1
6.7
6.0
1.7
6.4
0.0
-3.1
-5.2
6.8
- Educational services
1. Preliminary
Source: Statistics Korea
20
October 2011
es
usin ty m
ess ana
sup gem
port ent
serv &
ices
Edu
cati
ona
l se
rvic
es
Hea
lthc
are
&s
ocia
l we
Ente
serv lfare
rtai
ices
nme
nt, c
ultu
ral &
sp
Me
serv orts
& o mbersh
ices
ther ip o
pers rgan
ona izat
l se ions
rvic , re
es
pair
Sew
mat erage
eria
,
w
ls re aste
cove ma
ry & nage
rem men
edi t,
acti ation
vitie
s
Prof
& re
ntin
g
ess
iona
l
,
tech scie
nica ntif
Bus
l se ic &
ines
rvic
s fa
es
cili
b
rvic
ns
rant
ion
atio
e se
tate
ranc
l es
insu
stau
unic
& re
omm
els
ex
tail
rtat
& re
spo
ale
Tran
oles
&c
Rea
l&
tion
ncia
rma
Fina
Info
Hot
Wh
7-3
l ind
7-2
Tota
7-1
Service industry
Economic Bulletin
21
8. Employment
The number of workers on payroll in August increased by 490,000 from a year earlier, while
the employment rate (seasonally adjusted) rose by 0.5 percentage points year-on-year to
59.6 percent.
By industry, employment in services (up 572,000) led the upward trend. The service sector
continued to expand employment with increasing health & welfare (up 111,000) and
professional, scientific & technical services (up 97,000). In addition, transportation services
(up 79,000) and wholesale & retail sales (up 88,000) contributed to the increase.
Meanwhile, employment in manufacturing (down 28,000) declined due to the base effect
from August last year, when the manufacturing sector gained 297,000 jobs.
By status of workers, the number of regular workers (up 559,000) continued to increase,
while self-employed workers (up 53,000) increased year-on-year for the first time since
April 2006.
2009
Annual
Number of employed (million)
Q3
2010
Q4
Annual
Q1
Q2
2011
Q3
Q4
Aug
Q1
Q2
Jul
Aug
23.51 23.75 23.63 23.83 23.04 24.17 24.12 23.99 24.01 23.46 24.57 24.64 24.50
58.6
59.1
58.7
58.7
57.0
59.6
59.3
58.9
59.1
57.4
59.9
60.0
59.6
(seasonally adjusted)
58.6
58.7
58.5
58.7
58.3
58.9
58.9
58.6
58.9
58.8
59.2
59.1
59.5
-72
-1
-6
323
132
433
369
358
386
423
402
335
490
-34
24
110
405
296
518
414
393
421
451
39
390
529
-126 -143
-49
191
61
172
262
269
297
228
112
40
-28
- Construction
33
-61
44
92
57
109
-3
-41
-55
-1
- Services
179
261
200
313
325
83
80
36
224
331
410
572
-38
-25 -116
-82 -164
-85
-45
-35
-35
-28
-55
-38
- Wage workers
247
356
385
517
371
623
541
532
569
519
421
439
462
Regular workers
383
386
515
697
651
766
671
699
679
605
621
611
559
22
125
105
-34
-37
42
-26 -114
-88 -137
-78
-91
- Manufacturing
Temporary workers
261
Daily workers
-53 -115
- Non-wage workers
-96
Self-employed workers
- Male
-94
-6
-19 -104
-63
-28
-39
-39
53
31
34
89
181
117
188
207
212
218
266
221
175
267
- Female
-103
-34
-94
142
15
245
163
146
167
157
181
160
223
- 15 to 29
-127 -123
-77
-43
-12
-58
-44
-57
-55
-49
-74
-44
39
- 30 to 39
-4
-42
-13
21
17
37
-34
-13
-52
-93
- 40 to 49
-24
-30
-46
29
-21
48
40
50
44
77
59
63
61
- 50 to 59
198
211
230
294
251
342
295
287
309
286
294
269
300
54
109
37
47
-44
114
57
60
50
143
137
98
182
- 60 or more
Source: Statistics Korea
22
October 2011
8-1
8-2
8-3
Economic Bulletin
23
2009
2010
Annual
Q3
Q4
Annual
889
886
817
920 1,130
119
134
60
31
222
- Male
80
95
25
-7
- Female
40
39
36
3.6
3.6
(Seasonally adjusted)
3.6
- 15 to 29
8.1
- 30 to 39
- 40 to 49
Q1
2011
Q2
Q3
Q4
Aug
Q1
Q2
Jul
868
873
808
831 1,028
-75
-13
-10
-74
-101
83
-47
-48
-16
-83
38
139
-29
35
3.3
3.7
4.7
3.5
3.5
3.7
3.5
3.7
4.3
3.5
8.1
7.6
8.0
9.5
7.7
3.6
3.5
3.3
3.5
3.9
2.4
2.4
2.3
2.5
2.9
Aug
865
837
762
-3
-95
-69
-70
-32
-68
-37
-32
29
-27
-32
3.3
3.3
4.2
3.4
3.3
3.0
3.6
3.4
3.4
3.9
3.4
3.3
3.1
7.6
7.1
7.0
8.8
7.9
7.6
6.3
3.6
3.5
3.2
3.6
4.0
3.5
3.1
3.4
2.3
2.5
2.2
2.3
2.5
2.1
2.0
2.0
- 50 to 59
2.5
2.5
2.2
2.5
3.2
2.1
2.3
2.3
2.1
2.7
2.0
2.0
2.0
- 60 or more
1.6
1.6
1.5
2.8
5.8
2.1
2.0
1.9
1.8
4.5
2.3
2.5
1.8
The economically inactive population in August was up 47,000 from a year earlier to
15,860,000. Meanwhile, the labor force participation rate rose 0.3 percentage point year-onyear to 61.4 percent.
The number of workers quitting jobs due to rest, time-off and leisure (up 162,000),
housework (up 78,000), and childcare (up 19,000) increased, while those who quit jobs due
to education (down 125,000) and old age (down 12,000) decreased.
2009
Annual
Q3
2011
2010
Q4
Annual
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Aug
Q1
Q2
Jul
Aug
Economically inactive population (million) 15.70 15.53 15.83 15.84 16.25 15.49 15.66 15.96 15.82 16.39 15.56 15.61 15.86
Labor force participation rate (%)
60.6
61.3
60.7
61.0
59.8
61.8
61.5
60.8
61.1
59.9
62.0
62.0
61.4
(seasonally adjusted)
60.6
60.9
60.6
61.0
61.0
61.0
61.1
60.8
61.0
61.1
61.3
61.1
61.3
447
374
456
143
166
146
128
133
172
138
66
231
47
40
19
-93
-44
-16
19
- Housework
148
100
235
201
237
175
203
189
118
130
27
104
78
- Education
31
11
-36
12
-74
23
46
55
38
-16
-39
-61
-125
88
105
92
80
193
59
43
25
123
94
123
-56 -187
-27
15
-27
- Childcare
- Old age
- Rest, time-off and leisure
Source: Statistics Korea
24
October 2011
24 -103
-58
241
-58
-22
-12
163
215
162
8-4
Employment rate
Source: Statistics Korea (employment trend)
8-5
Unemployment rate
Source: Statistics Korea (employment trend)
8-6
Economic Bulletin
25
9. Financial market
9.1 Stock market
The Korean stock price index in September fell 5.9 percent month-on-month to 1,770 points
from the previous months 1,880 points. Due to weak investment sentiment affected by
worries over the spread of European debt crisis and the possibility of a double dip recession,
the Korean stock market recorded 1,653 points on September 26, the lowest level this year.
The index decelerated the decline thereafter, helped by mounting expectations of policy
coordination in Europe as German lawmakers approved a bill to increase the size of the
European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF) on September 29.
Foreign investors maintained a net-selling position but the sales volume decelerated to 1.4
trillion won in September from the previous months 5.1 trillion won.
(End-period, point, trillion won)
KOSPI
Aug 2011
Sep 2011
1,880.1
1,769.7
Market capitalization
KOSDAQ
Change1
Aug 2011
Sep 2011
-110.5 (-5.9%)
493.4
449.7
Change1
-43.8 (-8.9%)
1,062.7
1,001.9
-60.7 (-5.7%)
102.2
93.2
-9.0 (-8.8%)
8.0
6.3
-1.7 (-21.0%)
2.6
2.2
-0.4 (-15.7%)
32.0
32.9
+0.9 (+2.9%)
9.9
9.9
-0.1 (-0.6%)
2008
2009
2010
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Aug
2011
Sep
Change1
Won/Dollar
936.1
1,259.5
1,164.5
1,134.8
1,066.8
1,178.1
-3.7
Won/100 Yen
828.6
1,396.8
1,264.5
1,393.6
1,393.4
1,539.0
-9.4
1. Appreciation from the end of the previous year (%); the exchange rate is based on the closing price at 3:00 p.m., local time.
26
October 2011
9-1
Stock prices
9-2
9-3
Economic Bulletin
27
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Jul
Aug
Sep
4.60
5.02
3.02
2.01
2.51
3.27
3.27
3.28
Change1
+1
CD (91 days)
4.86
5.82
3.93
2.88
2.80
3.59
3.59
3.58
-1
4.92
5.74
3.41
4.44
3.38
3.85
3.49
3.55
+6
5.29
6.77
7.72
5.56
4.27
4.54
4.23
4.36
+13
5.00
5.78
3.77
4.98
4.08
4.02
3.62
3.66
+4
M1
2008
2009
2010
2011
Annual
Annual
Annual
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Jul1
-1.8
16.3
11.8
14.5
10.7
10.8
11.2
9.6
7.4
5.4
3.84
419.04
1,705.54
2,208.64
M2
14.3
10.3
8.7
9.4
9.5
8.6
7.4
3.9
3.7
3.0
3.2
Lf
11.9
7.9
8.2
8.5
9.1
8.2
7.1
4.5
4.4
4.1
4.64
In August, bank deposits decelerated the increase while asset management company (AMC)
deposits accelerated the rise. It was attributable to the slower growth in time deposits in line
with the lowering of interest rates and accelerated decline in instant access account deposits
due to payments of corporate taxes.
Asset management company (AMC) deposits expanded due to increases in equity-type
funds and fund inflows from banks.
(Monthly change, end-period, trillion won)
2009
2010
2011
Annual
Jul
Annual
Jul
Jun
Jul
Aug
Aug1
Bank deposits
54.8
-0.6
36.9
3.5
6.7
7.1
3.9
1,079.2
AMC deposits
-27.6
-2.2
-16.7
-6.5
-1.9
0.6
4.4
1,306.1
28
October 2011
9-4
Interest rates
Source: The Bank of Korea
9-5
9-6
Economic Bulletin
29
2.58 (Jul)
0.49 (Aug)
2.91 (Sep)
3.73 (Oct)
The goods account surplus continued the upward trend helped by robust exports in
petroleum products and automobiles. The surplus, however, decelerated to US$480 million
from the previous months US$4.73 billion led by seasonal factors such as fewer working
days during the summer vacation period.
The service account deficit narrowed to US$580 million from the previous months US$690
million as the travel account improved.
The primary income account surplus widened to US$700 million from the previous months
US$70 million due to decreased dividend payments. Meanwhile, the secondary income
account deficit contracted to US$200 million from the deficit of US$340 million a month
earlier, affected by increased inward remittance.
(US$ billion)
2009
2010
2011
Annual
Annual
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Jul
Aug1
Current account
32.79
28.21
0.26
8.86
9.93
9.16
2.72
5.49
3.77
0.40
- Goods balance
37.87
41.90
4.79
12.24
12.54
12.34
5.95
7.66
4.73
0.48
- Service balance
-6.64
-11.23
-4.20
-1.87
-2.96
-2.20
-2.54
-0.80
-0.69
-0.58
- Income balance
2.28
0.77
0.55
-1.01
1.30
-0.07
0.39
-0.82
0.07
0.70
- Current transfers
-0.71
-3.23
-0.87
-0.50
-0.95
-0.91
-1.08
-0.55
-0.34
-0.20
1. Preliminary
Source: The Bank of Korea
The capital and financial account (preliminary) in August registered an outflow of US$2.37
billion, slightly decreasing from the previous months outflow of US$2.48 billion.
Capital & financial account balance (US$ billion)
0.52 (Mar 2011)
0.39 (Apr)
-3.96 (May)
-3.25 (Jun)
-2.47 (Jul)
-2.33 (Aug1)
1. Preliminary
The direct investment account turned to an outflow of US$1.04 billion from the previous
months inflow of US$330 million as overseas direct investment by locals increased.
The portfolio investment account shifted to an outflow of US$2.92 billion from the previous
months inflow of US$9.26 billion as foreign funds registered a huge outflow in the
equity market.
The financial derivatives account turned to an outflow of US$1.87 billion from the previous
months inflow of US$530 million. Meanwhile, the other investment account shifted to an
inflow of US$4.0 billion from the previous months outflow of US$6.58 billion as local banks
borrowing increased.
The current account in September is expected to expand the surplus, helped by increased
exports to major trade markets such as the US, EU and ASEAN.
30
October 2011
Economic Bulletin
31
2011
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Month-on-Month (%)
0.3
1.1
0.2
-0.6
0.6
0.8
0.5
0.0
0.0
0.2
0.7
0.9
0.1
Year-on-Year (%)
2.6
3.6
4.1
3.3
3.5
4.5
4.7
4.2
4.1
4.4
4.7
5.3
4.3
1.8
1.9
1.9
1.8
2.0
3.1
3.3
3.2
3.5
3.7
3.8
4.0
3.9
(m-o-m)
0.2
0.3
0.0
0.1
0.3
0.7
0.3
0.2
0.5
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.2
2.6
4.1
4.8
3.6
3.9
5.2
4.9
4.1
3.8
4.3
4.8
5.2
3.8
While most agricultural, livestock & fishery product prices fell (down 0.1%, m-o-m), those of
chili powder and some other agricultural products rose.
Prices of agricultural, livestock & fishery products in September (m-o-m, %)
Grape (-27.6), Chinese cabbage (-11.1), turnip (-5.4), pork (-4.4), mackerel (-0.2), rice (0.6), egg (1.6), chili
powder (38.2)
Prices of industrial products continued to rise (up 0.5%, m-o-m), led by gold accessories, in
particular gold rings (up 8.1%, m-o-m).
Public service charges fell (down 0.1%, m-o-m), as the rise in water fees (up 0.2%, m-o-m) was
offset by the decrease in mobile service fees (down 1.4%, m-o-m). Price increases in personal
services (down 0.2%, m-o-m), which include dining out costs, gradually stabilized.
Month-on-Month (%)
Contribution (%p)
Total
Agricultural,
livestock & fishery
products
0.1
0.1
0.5
-0.1
0.08
0.01
0.18
0.00
Industrial
products
Oil
products
Housing
rents
Public
utility
Personal
services
0.4
-0.1
-0.2
0.04
-0.01
-0.06
Year-on-Year (%)
4.3
2.3
7.7
16.5
4.7
0.6
3.2
Contribution (%p)
4.25
0.23
2.40
0.96
0.42
0.10
1.11
32
October 2011
11-1 Prices
Source: Statistics Korea (consumer prices, core inflation) & The Bank of Korea (producer prices)
Economic Bulletin
33
106.2 (week 2)
105.7 (week 3)
101.6 (week 4)
(US$/barrel, period average)
Dubai crude
2008
2009
2010
2011
Annual
Annual
Annual
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
94.3
61.9
78.1
108.5
115.8
108.0
107.5
110.2
105.0
105.7
Brent crude
97.5
61.7
79.7
114.6
123.3
114.3
114.0
116.8
110.0
111.5
WTI crude
99.9
61.9
79.5
103.0
110.0
101.3
96.3
97.3
86.3
85.6
Domestic oil product prices fell by a small margin in September, as the effect of lower
international oil prices in August took effect gradually over the course of 1~2 weeks.
However, weekly prices continued the upward trend due to the weakening won.
Gasoline prices in September (per week, won/liter)
1,935 (week 1)
1,942 (week 2)
1,947 (week 3)
1,956 (week 4)
1,095 (week 2)
1,141 (week 3)
1,181 (week 4)
(Won/liter, period average)
2008
2009
2010
2011
Annual
Annual
Annual
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Gasoline prices
1,692
1,601
1,710
1,939
1,951
1,938
1,915
1,935
1,946
1,945
Diesel prices
1,614
1,397
1,503
1,756
1,793
1,773
1,736
1,754
1,758
1,746
International grain prices fell due to the possibility of slow demand amid increased
production and inventories.
The world grain production outlook for 2011~12 has been revised to 2.267 billion tons in the
latest USDA reports released on September 12, up 0.1 percent from the previous month. The
outlook for inventories revised up 2.1 percent month-on-month to 442 million tons.
Prices of grain in September (m-o-m, %)
Wheat (-5.6), corn (-4.2), soybean (-2.2), raw sugar (-5.7)
Reuters index*
(Period average)
2008
2009
Annual
Annual
Annual
2010
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
2,536
2,079
2,553
3,221
3,246
3,128
3,143
3,145
3,038
2,978
34
October 2011
2011
Economic Bulletin
35
2011
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
0.6
0.7
Nationwide
2.3
1.6
2.5
0.6
1.1
1.3
1.2
1.0
0.7
Seoul
3.2
2.6
-2.2
0.2
0.3
0.1
0.0
-0.1
-0.1
-0.2 -0.1
Gangnam2
-1.9
3.9
-1.8
0.2
0.4
0.2
0.0
-0.1
-0.2
-0.2 -0.1
Gangbuk3
9.4
0.9
-2.7
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0 -0.1
-0.1 -0.1
2.9
0.7
-2.9
0.1
0.3
0.3
0.1
0.0 -0.1
-0.1
0.0
5 metropolitan cities
1.0
2.8
8.7
1.2
2.0
2.3
2.4
2.2
1.4
1.4
1.4
1. Weekly trends
3. Northern Seoul
1.6
0.7
Nationwide apartment rental prices in September were up 1.8 percent, accelerating from the
previous months 1.5 percent. The prices slightly picked up in Seoul (up 2.2%, m-o-m),
Gyeonggi Province (up 2.1%, m-o-m) and the Seoul metropolitan area (up 2.0%, m-o-m).
Apartment rental price increase in major districts in Seoul (m-o-m, %)
Gangnam (2.1), Songpa (2.5), Gangdong (3.0), Nowon (3.3)
2011
Nationwide
Seoul
Gangnam
Gangbuk3
Seoul metropolitan area
5 metropolitan cities
1. Weekly trends
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
0.8
4.5
8.8
1.1
2.0
2.3
1.6
1.1
0.8
1.0
1.5
1.8
-1.8
8.1
7.4
1.1
2.1
1.8
0.7
0.3
0.5
1.1
1.7
2.2
-3.6 10.4
Feb
8.8
1.3
1.9
1.4
0.6
0.3
0.6
1.2
1.7
2.1
0.5
5.4
5.6
1.0
2.4
2.3
0.8
0.4
0.2
1.0
1.8
2.3
-0.4
5.6
7.2
1.0
2.1
2.4
1.2
0.5
0.5
0.9
1.6
2.0
3.9 12.0
1.3
2.1
2.2
2.2
1.9
1.3
1.0
1.3
1.4
1.6
3. Northern Seoul
Apartment sales transactions in August increased 3.1 percent from the previous months
42,718 to 44,049. The transactions were up 42.1 percent from 31,007 a year earlier.
2008
2009
2010
38
39
44
40
31
36
October 2011
2011
Sep
Oct
Nov
34
41
54
Dec Jan
63
45
Feb
Mar
52
59
Apr May
56
48
Jun
Jul
Aug
47
43
44
Economic Bulletin
37
0.11 (Apr)
0.10 (May)
0.10 (Jun)
0.10 (Jul)
0.10 (Aug)
Land prices in areas excluding the Seoul metropolitan area rose 0.09 percent month-onmonth in August, continuing the upward trend since October 2010.
Land price increases in areas excluding Seoul metropolitan area (m-o-m, %)
0.08 (Mar 2011)
0.07 (Apr)
0.09 (May)
0.09 (Jun)
0.10 (Jul)
0.09 (Aug)
2007 2008
2009
2010
Q4
Annual Q2
2011
Q3
Q4
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May Jun
Jul
Aug
Nationwide
3.88
-0.31 0.96
0.88 0.94
1.05 0.29
0.11
0.10
0.10
0.10
0.10
0.09
Seoul
5.88
-1.00 1.40
1.30 0.81
0.53 0.02
0.15
0.12
0.09
0.07
0.07
0.05
Gyeonggi
4.22
-0.26 1.22
1.13 1.36
1.49 0.53
0.10
0.11
0.12
0.14
0.15
0.15
Incheon
4.86
1.37 1.99
1.16 1.70
1.43 0.43
0.06
0.06
0.06
0.06
0.05
0.06
Nationwide land transactions in August recorded 196,000 land lots, down 0.2 percent from
the previous month and up 19.9 percent from 163,000 a year earlier. Land transactions were
7.0 percent more than the five-year August average of 183,000 land lots.
Monthly land transactions decreased significantly in areas such as Incheon (down 13.9%),
Busan (down 6.6%), Ulsan (down 10.1%), and North Chungcheong Province (down 10.9%).
2007 2008
2009
2010
2011
Annual 1 Annual1 Annual1 Oct Nov Dec Annual 1 Aug Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
Nationwide
Jul
Aug
208
208
203
212
207
241
187
163
208
257
191
176
244
226
212
207
196
196
Seoul
33
26
22
25
19
21
16
12
18
24
18
17
23
19
18
18
15
17
Gyeonggi
49
45
46
52
48
58
41
36
45
58
46
38
52
46
43
40
40
39
Incheon
13
13
10
14
11
12
11
13
11
13
10
11
1. Monthly average
Source: Korea Land & Housing Corporation
38
October 2011
Economic Bulletin
39
The year-on-year leading composite index also stayed flat from the previous month.
Among the components of the leading composite index, three components, including the
value of construction orders, rose while seven other factors, such as the composite stock
price index and ratio of job openings to job seekers, dropped.
Components of the leading composite index in August (m-o-m)
Value of construction orders received (17.1%), liquidity in the financial institutions (0.8%), net terms of trade
(0.6%), value of capital goods imports (-0.1%), spreads between long & short term interest rates (-0.1%p),
indicator of inventory cycle (-2.2%p), value of machinery orders received (-2.3%), consumer expectations
(-2.6p), ratio of job openings to job seekers (-3.4%p), composite stock price (-3.8%)
2011
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May1
Jun1
Jul1
Aug1
3.2
-4.7
2.8
-1.3
1.7
2.1
-2.4
-0.3
(y-o-y, %)
8.4
0.1
3.4
3.2
4.5
4.2
2.7
3.9
1.5
0.1
0.4
-0.3
0.8
0.8
0.7
0.4
100.8
100.6
100.6
99.9
100.2
100.6
100.9
100.9
1.0
-0.2
0.0
-0.7
0.3
0.4
0.3
0.0
0.6
-0.2
-0.3
-0.4
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.2
3.0
2.3
1.6
1.0
1.3
1.7
2.0
2.0
(m-o-m, %p)
0.1
-0.7
-0.7
-0.6
0.3
0.4
0.3
0.0
1. Preliminary
40
October 2011
Economic Bulletin
41
Policy Issues
2012 Budget and 2011-2015 Fiscal Management Plan
The Korean government unveiled the 2012 budget based on the mid-term fiscal management
plan between 2011 and 2015.
187.6 (2011)
24.5 (2011)
102.2 (2011)
204.2 (2012)
221.1 (2013)
30.2 (2012)
29.9 (2013)
108.4 (2012)
114.2 (2013)
241.7 (2014)
29.1 (2014)
120.2 (2014)
Government expenditures are expected to increase, with rising mandatory expenditures such
as support for local governments, and payment of national pensions and interest on
sovereign debts. They are also expected to rise as budgets for boosting the real economy and
bridging gaps between large enterprises and small- and medium-sized enterprises(SMEs)
increase, and investment in R&D, education and others expands.
42
October 2011
Between 2011 and 2015, fiscal conditions are projected to improve compared to those
between 2010 and 2014, as the 2010 fiscal balance posted a deficit of 1.1 percent of GDP, up
from the expected deficit of 2.7 percent. Sovereign debts also declined 2.7 percentage
points to 33.4 percent of GDP rather than the originally forecast 36.1 percent, a drop which
will set favorable conditions for reaching the sovereign debt target of the lower half of the 30
percent range in 2014.
(trillion won, %)
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Change1 (%)
Fiscal revenue
314.4
344.1
375.7
395.8
415.3
7.2
- Revenue budget
212.2
234.5
259.4
273.9
286.8
7.8
187.6
205.9
224.2
242.6
262.3
8.7
24.5
28.6
35.2
31.3
24.5
0.0
102.2
109.6
116.3
121.9
128.5
5.9
Tax revenue
Nontax revenue
- Funds revenue
1. Annual average
43
(trillion won, %)
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Change1 (%)
Fiscal expenditures
309.1
326.1
341.9
357.5
373.1
4.8
- Budget expenditures
216.3
227.0
239.1
248.9
260.0
4.7
- Funds Expenditures
92.7
99.1
102.9
108.6
113.1
5.1
1. Annual average
The consolidated fiscal balance, excluding social security funds which have a surplus account,
is forecast to swing into a surplus in 2013 and maintain a moderate surplus from 2014.
Meanwhile, sovereign debts are expected to be in the lower half of the 30 percent range to
GDP in 2013, and to be managed in the upper half of the 20 percent range from 2014.
(trillion won, %)
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
-25.0
-14.3
0.2
3.1
5.3
-2.0
-1.0
0.0
0.2
0.3
422.7
448.2
460.0
466.4
471.6
33.3
32.8
31.3
29.6
27.9
Percentage to GDP, %
Sovereign debts
Percentage to GDP, %
Tax revenue as percentage of GDP is expected to be in the 19 percent range between 2011
and 2015, reaching 19.7 percent in 2015 on the back of the withdrawal of the current tax
exemption and reduction. Tax revenue including social security contributions is projected to
be 25.7 percent to GDP in 2015.
(%)
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
19.3
19.2
19.4
19.5
19.7
25.1
25.1
25.3
25.5
25.7
2012 Budget
Current fiscal situation and future tasks
Although the fiscal condition has been improved as Korea successfully rode out the 2008
financial crisis, the country needs to increase its fiscal soundness due to growing external
uncertainties.
2007
2008
2009
2010
0.7
-1.1
-4.1
-1.1
30.7
30.1
33.8
33.4
44
October 2011
Despite the countrys economic growth of 6.2 percent in 2010 that was higher than the
expected 5.8 percent, there is a growing need to create more jobs and secure the livelihoods
of vulnerable groups. In this respect, the 2012 budget centers on creating more jobs and
improving the welfare system, while at the same time establishing a basis for achieving a
fiscal balance in 2013.
Four main focuses of the 2012 budget
1. Job creation
The 2012 budget puts first priority on creating jobs and supporting those who want to work
but are faced with difficult situations, by providing customized welfare services such as
expanded daycare services or visiting carer services. This is to ensure that the virtuous cycle
of work, economic growth, and better welfare systems can take root.
2. Better welfare
The 2012 budget focuses on daycare, education, housing, and health care, so it can provide
customized welfare services in each stage of peoples lives. The welfare system will be
improved in a way for those who want to work to focus on working by providing the most
needed welfare services in each stage of life.
3. Stronger domestic demand and development of future growth engines
The 2012 budget puts an emphasis on increasing domestic demand through expanded
social overhead capital (SOC) investment including improvement of water quality and
through more sophisticated service industries, and also on developing future growth
engines by nurturing green growth-related industries and cultivating human resources.
4. Pursuit of budget balance in 2013
The Korean government will keep the spending increase at the lowest possible level until the
country achieves a budget balance in 2013. In 2011, the spending increase was 2.6
percentage points less than the revenue increase.
Budgets and budget allocation
1. Spending
The total spending of budgets and funds in 2012 will be 326.1 trillion won, a 5.5 percent
increase from the 2011 spending, but 4.0 percentage points less than the revenue increase
rate of 9.5 percent.
<2012 spending>
(trillion won, %)
2011 budget
Total spending
309.1
5.5
326.1
5.5
- budgets
216.3
5.4
227.0
4.9
92.7
6.0
99.1
6.9
- funds
Economic Bulletin
45
2. Revenue
The total revenue is expected to be 344.1 trillion won in 2012, growing 9.5 percent from 2011.
<2012 revenue>
(trillion won, %)
2011 budget
314.4
8.1
344.1
9.5
212.1
(187.6)
8.9
(10.1)
234.5
(205.9)
10.6
(9.7)
- funds
102.2
6.5
109.6
7.2
19.3
19.2
Total revenue
- budgets
(tax revenue)
(trillion won, %)
2011 budget
-25.0
-14.3
(Percentage to GDP, %)
(-2.0)
(-1.0)
5.3
18.0
National debt
435.5
448.2
(Percentage to GDP, %)
(35.1)
(32.8)
(trillion won, %)
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Annual increase
Total revenue
314.4
344.1
375.7
395.8
415.3
7.2
Total spending
309.1
326.1
341.9
357.5
373.1
4.8
Fiscal balance
(Percentage to GDP, %)
-25.0
(-2.0)
-14.3
(-1.0)
0.2
(0.0)
3.1
(0.2)
5.3
(0.3)
46
October 2011
5. Budget allocation
(trillion won, %)
2011 budget
(A)
Change
(B-A)
Change
(B/A, %)
R&D
14.9
16.0
1.1
7.3
15.2
(6.0)
15.2
(6.2)
0.1
(0.2)
0.6
(3.1)
SOC
(excluding Four Major River Restoration Projects)
24.4
(21.4)
22.6
(22.3)
-1.8
(0.9)
-7.3
(4.5)
17.6
(15.1)
18.1
(15.8)
0.5
(0.7)
2.7
(4.7)
86.4
92.0
5.6
6.4
41.2
(35.3)
45.1
(38.5)
3.9
(3.2)
9.3
(9.1)
4.2
4.4
0.2
5.7
Environment
5.8
6.1
0.3
6.3
31.4
33.2
1.8
5.6
Education
(government support for local government-run
educational institutions)
National defense
Foreign relations, reunification
3.7
3.9
0.2
8.1
13.7
14.5
0.8
6.5
52.4
(30.2)
56.6
(33.1)
4.2
(2.9)
8.2
(9.5)
Total budgets
309.1
326.1
17.0
5.5
Economic Bulletin
47
Economic
News Briefing
48
October 2011
Economic Bulletin
49
central government debt, while 17.8 trillion won will be the net debt of provincial
governments. The projected debt-to-GDP ratio for 2011 is 33.3 percent. This ratio is expected
to decrease gradually, reaching the pre-crisis level of 31.3 percent by the end of 2013, and
maintaining mid-20 percent levels from 2014. Meanwhile, national debt at the end of 2010
was 392.2 trillion won, with the debt-to-GDP ratio standing at 33.4 percent.
2012
2013
2014
2015
422.7
448.2
460.0
466.4
471.6
33.3
32.8
31.3
29.6
27.9
50
October 2011
Statistical
Appendices
Tables & Figures
1. National accounts
2. Production, shipment and inventory
3. Production capacity and operation ratio
4. Consumer goods sales index
5. Consumer goods shipment index and consumer sentiment index
6. Machinery orders received, domestic machinery shipment,
and estimated facility investment index
7. Value of construction completion and domestic construction orders received
8. Composite indices of business cycle indicators and BSI
9. Balance of payments (I)
10. Balance of payments (II)
11. Prices
12. Employment
13. Financial indicators
14. Monetary indicators
15. Exchange rates
Economic Bulletin
51
1. National accounts
(year-on-year change, %, chained 2005 year prices)
Real GDP
Period
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010P
Final
consumption
expenditure
Agri., fores.
& fisheries
Manufacturing
2.8
4.6
4.0
5.2
5.1
2.3
0.3
6.2
-5.4
9.1
1.3
1.5
4.0
5.6
3.2
-4.3
5.4
10.0
6.2
8.1
7.2
2.8
-1.5
14.6
0.5
1.0
4.6
5.1
5.1
2.0
1.2
3.9
Construction
Facilities
4.4
2.1
1.9
3.4
4.2
-1.9
-1.0
7.0
8.5
1.3
-0.4
0.5
1.4
-2.8
3.4
-1.4
-1.5
3.8
5.3
8.2
9.3
-1.0
-9.8
25.0
2003
I
II
III
IV
3.5
1.8
2.0
3.9
0.7
-1.6
-9.6
-8.0
5.4
3.1
4.3
8.5
2.0
0.3
0.0
-0.4
5.1
4.7
2.8
5.0
8.2
8.4
8.3
9.0
2.9
-0.7
-5.8
-2.2
2004
I
II
III
IV
5.2
5.9
4.8
2.7
8.2
7.6
8.3
11.6
10.9
12.9
10.4
6.2
-0.1
1.3
1.0
1.8
2.3
4.9
3.1
-1.4
5.3
4.2
1.2
-3.5
-0.6
6.4
7.7
1.8
2005
I
II
III
IV
2.7
3.4
4.5
5.1
0.4
4.8
3.8
-3.1
4.8
3.9
6.7
9.3
2.7
4.7
5.9
4.9
-0.3
1.8
1.5
3.9
-3.1
0.9
-0.3
0.3
3.4
2.8
4.1
10.8
2006
I
II
III
IV
6.1
5.1
5.0
4.6
3.9
-0.3
-1.4
4.2
9.4
9.1
8.7
5.4
5.8
4.9
4.6
5.1
3.8
0.1
4.0
5.7
1.9
-4.2
-0.5
5.1
7.2
8.0
12.0
5.7
2007
I
II
III
IV
4.5
5.3
4.9
5.7
1.6
7.0
8.2
-0.7
4.5
7.2
6.3
10.2
5.1
5.4
5.3
4.7
7.3
5.7
1.5
3.1
4.4
2.0
-0.2
0.4
12.6
13.0
4.0
8.0
2008
I
II
III
IV
5.5
4.4
3.3
-3.3
7.8
4.6
4.3
6.5
8.9
8.3
5.3
-9.4
4.3
3.0
2.4
-1.7
-0.6
0.6
2.1
-8.7
-2.5
-0.5
0.4
-7.7
2.8
2.0
5.3
-13.3
2009
I
II
III
IV
-4.2
-2.1
1.0
6.3
2.5
0.0
5.0
5.0
-13.6
-7.1
1.8
13.1
-2.2
0.7
1.5
4.8
-7.5
-3.0
-1.0
6.2
1.6
4.3
3.2
4.0
-21.9
-18.1
-9.4
12.2
2010P
I
II
III
IV
8.5
7.5
4.4
4.7
0.9
-2.2
-7.3
-6.7
22.2
17.8
9.8
11.1
5.9
3.4
3.4
3.0
12.5
6.8
6.8
3.4
4.3
-2.3
-3.1
-2.9
29.1
30.5
26.6
15.9
2011P
I
II
4.2
3.4
-8.6
1.0
9.8
7.2
2.5
2.8
-2.2
-1.1
-11.9
-6.8
11.7
7.5
P: Preliminary
Source: The Bank of Korea
52
October 2011
Economic Bulletin
53
2. Production, shipment and inventory See graphs 6-1, 6-3, 7-1, 7-2 & 7-3
(constant prices, 2005 = 100)
Period
Production
index
2009
2010
Y-o-Y
change (%)
Shipment
index
Y-o-Y
change (%)
Inventory
index
Y-o-Y
change (%)
Service
production
index
Y-o-Y
change (%)
119.7
139.1
-0.1
16.2
116.7
133.5
-1.4
14.4
115.5
135.6
-7.8
17.4
118.3
122.9
1.8
3.9
2009
I
II
III
IV
103.5
118.7
125.3
131.2
-15.1
-5.4
4.9
16.8
102.6
116.6
120.7
126.9
-14.4
-5.2
2.3
12.9
115.9
110.4
113.0
115.5
-6.2
-17.0
-14.3
-7.8
112.9
118.0
118.9
123.4
-1.1
1.1
2.4
4.8
2010
I
II
III
IV
129.8
141.0
139.0
146.6
25.4
18.8
10.9
11.7
124.0
135.1
132.7
142.0
20.9
15.9
9.9
11.9
124.6
127.7
134.6
135.6
7.5
17.5
19.1
17.4
119.9
122.9
121.6
127.3
6.2
4.2
2.3
3.2
2011
I
II
143.6
151.2
10.6
7.2
138.7
144.8
11.9
7.2
137.4
142.7
10.3
10.0
123.1
127.0
2.7
3.3
2009
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
94.4
100.7
115.3
117.2
116.1
122.7
124.6
117.8
133.4
128.1
130.7
134.8
-25.3
-9.4
-10.1
-7.4
-8.2
-0.6
1.0
1.4
12.1
1.2
18.5
34.8
93.7
100.3
113.8
115.6
113.8
120.5
120.1
113.6
128.3
124.0
126.6
130.1
-23.1
-8.7
-10.7
-7.4
-7.9
0.0
-1.2
-1.0
9.1
-0.2
15.3
26.2
123.9
117.7
115.9
112.3
111.5
110.4
111.5
112.0
113.0
112.4
113.6
115.5
0.1
-5.2
-6.2
-9.8
-13.3
-17.0
-15.7
-15.1
-14.3
-16.4
-14.6
-7.8
112.1
109.9
116.7
117.1
117.6
119.2
117.9
117.0
121.8
119.3
119.3
131.6
-1.6
0.0
-1.4
0.9
-0.2
2.6
1.2
1.6
4.5
2.3
4.2
7.7
2010
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
129.3
119.1
141.1
140.0
140.0
142.9
143.1
136.5
137.3
145.3
145.3
149.2
37.0
18.3
22.4
19.5
20.6
16.5
14.8
15.9
2.9
13.4
11.2
10.7
123.1
113.6
135.2
134.7
133.4
137.3
135.7
131.0
131.4
140.8
141.4
143.9
31.4
13.3
18.8
16.5
17.2
13.9
13.0
15.3
2.4
13.5
11.7
10.6
119.8
123.3
124.6
126.3
129.9
129.7
134.1
134.5
134.6
133.5
132.8
135.6
-3.3
4.8
7.5
12.5
16.5
17.5
20.3
20.1
19.1
18.8
16.9
17.4
118.5
116.7
124.4
121.5
123.3
124.0
122.4
120.9
121.6
123.2
123.8
134.9
5.7
6.2
6.6
3.8
4.8
4.0
3.8
3.3
-0.2
3.3
3.8
2.5
146.9
129.8
154.0
149.7
151.5
152.3
148.8
143.0
13.6
9.0
9.1
6.9
8.2
6.6
4.0
4.8
141.4
125.2
149.6
144.6
144.4
145.4
140.1
136.7
14.9
10.2
10.7
7.3
8.2
5.9
3.2
4.4
135.4
137.1
137.4
137.3
140.2
142.7
147.3
150.5
13.0
11.2
10.3
8.7
7.9
10.0
9.8
11.9
124.1
116.9
128.2
125.2
127.4
128.4
127.0
126.7
4.7
0.2
3.1
3.0
3.3
3.5
3.8
4.8
2011
1
2
3
4
5
6
7P
8P
P: Preliminary
Source: Statistics Korea
54
October 2011
Period
Y-o-Y
change (%)
Operation
ratio index
(2005=100)
Y-o-Y
change (%)
Average
operation
ratio (%)
119.3
127.9
3.5
7.2
93.8
102.1
-3.5
8.8
74.4
81.2
Production
capacity index
(2005=100)
2009
2010
2009
I
II
III
IV
117.0
118.0
120.1
122.2
2.8
2.5
3.5
5.0
81.7
95.3
97.8
100.3
-17.7
-7.6
2.4
10.1
67.0
74.3
77.8
78.4
2010
I
II
III
IV
124.3
126.5
129.5
131.3
6.2
7.2
7.8
7.4
97.4
105.6
99.6
105.6
19.2
10.8
1.8
5.3
80.4
82.3
81.2
80.8
2011
I
II
132.7
133.8
6.8
5.8
99.9
105.3
2.6
-0.3
83.1
81.4
2009 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
116.9
116.9
117.1
117.7
117.7
118.5
119.3
119.8
121.1
121.6
121.9
123.1
2.7
2.7
2.8
3.0
2.0
2.4
3.1
3.3
4.2
4.6
4.8
5.5
73.7
79.8
91.6
94.1
93.3
98.4
98.8
91.0
103.6
99.1
100.5
101.2
-28.6
-10.8
-12.8
-10.1
-9.7
-2.8
-1.0
-1.3
9.6
-4.8
12.4
27.0
63.7
67.3
70.0
72.5
73.7
76.6
77.7
76.4
79.3
77.8
78.0
79.3
2010 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
123.6
123.9
125.3
125.5
126.5
127.4
128.6
129.7
130.1
130.8
131.1
132.1
5.7
6.0
7.0
6.6
7.5
7.5
7.8
8.3
7.4
7.6
7.5
7.3
97.1
88.4
106.7
106.1
103.8
107.0
105.3
96.2
97.2
106.6
105.4
104.9
31.8
10.8
16.5
12.8
11.3
8.7
6.6
5.7
-6.2
7.6
4.9
3.6
79.3
80.5
81.5
81.7
82.1
83.1
82.7
79.7
81.2
79.7
80.5
82.2
2011 1
2
3
4
5
6
7P
8P
132.2
132.5
133.4
133.8
133.7
133.9
134.2
134.4
7.0
6.9
6.5
6.6
5.7
5.1
4.4
3.6
102.5
89.5
107.8
104.6
104.7
106.6
102.8
97.0
5.6
1.2
1.0
-1.4
0.9
-0.4
-2.4
-0.8
84.8
82.2
82.4
80.4
81.3
82.5
82.1
80.5
P: Preliminary
Source: Statistics Korea
Economic Bulletin
55
4. Consumer goods sales index See graphs 2-2, 2-3, 2-4 & 2-5
(constant prices, 2005 = 100)
Period
Consumer
goods
sales
index
2009
2010
Y-o-Y
change (%)
Durable
goods
Y-o-Y
change (%)
Semi-durable
goods
Y-o-Y
change (%)
Non-durable
goods
Y-o-Y
change (%)
113.6
121.1
2.7
6.6
136.8
157.2
8.2
14.9
106.3
113.5
1.3
6.8
111.3
113.7
1.2
2.2
2009
I
II
III
IV
106.5
113.4
111.9
122.4
-4.5
1.5
2.8
10.9
114.7
142.0
135.5
155.1
-11.7
5.9
7.7
34.1
103.1
107.7
94.3
120.2
-0.5
0.5
0.3
4.5
107.7
109.2
114.3
113.9
-1.4
0.4
1.8
4.0
2010
I
II
III
IV
116.8
118.9
120.3
128.6
9.7
4.9
7.5
5.1
148.7
149.9
158.5
171.6
29.6
5.6
17.0
10.6
105.7
114.4
100.5
133.6
2.5
6.2
6.6
11.1
111.1
112.8
117.7
113.1
3.2
3.3
3.0
-0.7
2011
I
II
122.7
127.7
5.1
5.7
167.9
176.2
12.9
17.5
112.2
120.8
6.1
5.6
112.0
112.4
0.8
-0.4
2009 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
108.5
101.2
109.7
108.6
117.0
114.6
110.8
106.7
118.2
120.6
119.6
127.1
-2.9
-5.7
-4.9
-4.2
1.7
7.6
1.1
0.5
6.8
9.9
9.8
12.8
104.1
116.0
124.0
123.9
144.0
158.0
138.2
122.5
145.9
144.8
153.5
167.1
-18.9
-1.5
-13.6
-10.9
5.9
24.3
-1.8
0.8
26.6
16.9
41.0
46.1
103.6
97.1
108.5
109.3
113.3
100.4
95.4
86.5
101.1
116.1
121.8
122.6
-0.8
-0.7
0.0
0.7
1.1
-0.5
-2.3
0.3
3.1
4.0
1.2
8.4
114.8
99.2
109.2
106.8
113.1
107.6
110.8
112.9
119.3
116.6
109.2
116.0
5.5
-8.5
-1.2
-2.5
0.7
3.0
4.4
0.8
0.4
9.4
1.4
1.5
2010
115.8
114.2
120.3
116.5
121.2
118.9
120.7
116.7
123.5
125.5
127.8
132.6
6.7
12.8
9.7
7.3
3.6
3.8
8.9
9.4
4.5
4.1
6.9
4.3
145.5
141.3
159.2
144.6
147.0
158.1
164.0
154.4
157.0
165.2
172.1
177.4
39.8
21.8
28.4
16.7
2.1
0.1
18.7
26.0
7.6
14.1
12.1
6.2
108.4
99.6
109.1
113.1
120.7
109.3
103.5
90.2
107.7
130.0
133.4
137.3
4.6
2.6
0.6
3.5
6.5
8.9
8.5
4.3
6.5
12.0
9.5
12.0
108.7
112.1
112.6
110.4
116.0
112.1
115.1
116.4
121.6
111.1
111.9
116.2
-5.3
13.0
3.1
3.4
2.6
4.2
3.9
3.1
1.9
-4.7
2.5
0.2
128.1
113.3
126.6
122.4
128.8
125.8
127.1
122.8
10.6
-0.8
5.2
5.1
6.3
5.8
5.3
5.2
165.9
154.2
183.5
167.4
176.4
184.9
184.6
173.3
14.0
9.1
15.3
15.8
20.0
17.0
12.6
12.2
120.4
101.6
114.6
121.5
127.0
114.0
107.5
93.8
11.1
2.0
5.0
7.4
5.2
4.3
3.9
4.0
118.9
104.3
112.7
108.7
116.3
112.2
117.6
119.3
9.4
-7.0
0.1
-1.5
0.3
0.1
2.2
2.5
2011
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
1
2
3
4
5
6
7P
8P
P: Preliminary
Source: Statistics Korea
56
October 2011
Period
2009
2010
Domestic consumer
goods shipment index
(2005=100)
Y-o-Y
change (%)
Durable
goods
Y-o-Y
change (%)
Non-durable
goods
Y-o-Y
change (%)
Consumer
sentiment index
116.4
122.0
1.4
4.8
135.1
139.6
6.5
3.3
108.9
115.0
-0.9
5.6
2009
I
II
III
IV
107.7
114.8
119.9
123.3
-8.3
-0.8
5.4
10.2
113.4
139.9
139.4
147.8
-14.9
2.5
13.3
29.2
105.3
104.7
112.0
113.4
-5.2
-2.5
1.7
2.2
2010
I
II
III
IV
118.5
119.9
122.0
127.6
10.0
4.4
1.8
3.5
136.7
139.5
139.2
142.9
20.5
-0.3
-0.1
-3.3
111.2
112.1
115.1
121.6
5.6
7.1
2.8
7.2
2011
I
II
120.8
117.8
1.9
-1.8
134.9
134.6
-1.3
-3.5
115.2
111.0
3.6
-1.0
2009 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
107.6
103.8
111.7
112.6
113.5
118.4
119.0
110.9
129.7
121.7
118.5
129.6
-14.2
-2.5
-7.4
-6.0
-1.9
6.0
1.0
-0.7
15.8
1.7
10.7
18.8
99.0
115.5
125.7
120.6
140.7
158.4
146.3
125.8
146.1
139.5
146.7
157.1
-25.3
-6.2
-12.8
-16.4
2.8
23.3
8.9
6.1
25.8
9.2
32.2
50.5
111.0
99.0
106.0
109.3
102.6
102.3
108.0
104.9
123.1
114.5
107.2
118.6
-9.4
-0.8
-4.6
-0.7
-4.3
-2.6
-2.8
-3.7
11.6
-1.8
1.7
6.8
84
85
84
98
105
106
109
114
114
117
113
113
2010 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
123.7
110.3
121.6
120.5
117.5
121.8
121.9
120.5
123.6
129.3
128.3
125.3
15.0
6.3
8.9
7.0
3.5
2.9
2.4
8.7
-4.7
6.2
8.3
-3.3
136.0
129.7
144.5
135.4
135.3
147.7
145.6
133.9
138.0
145.7
144.7
138.4
37.4
12.3
15.0
12.3
-3.8
-6.8
-0.5
6.4
-5.5
4.4
-1.4
-11.9
118.8
102.6
112.3
114.6
110.4
111.4
112.4
115.2
117.8
122.8
121.8
120.1
7.0
3.6
5.9
4.8
7.6
8.9
4.1
9.8
-4.3
7.2
13.6
1.3
113
111
110
110
111
112
112
110
109
108
110
109
2011 1
2
3
4
5
6
7P
8P
9
129.6
105.9
127.0
118.6
115.7
119.1
119.9
120.4
-
4.8
-4.0
4.4
-1.6
-1.5
-2.2
-1.6
-0.1
-
133.0
125.6
146.1
133.1
131.4
139.4
141.9
132.1
-
-2.2
-3.2
1.1
-1.7
-2.9
-5.6
-2.5
-1.3
-
128.2
98.0
119.4
112.7
109.4
110.9
111.1
115.7
-
7.9
-4.5
6.3
-1.7
-0.9
-0.4
-1.2
0.4
-
108
105
98
100
104
102
102
99
99
Economic Bulletin
57
2010
Estimated
facility investment
index
(2005=100)
Domestic
machinery
shipment
excluding ship
(2005=100)
Total
Public
Private
23,360
2,330
21,030
12,279
133.2
135.0
Manufacturing
2010
I
ll
III
IV
5,544
6,247
5,662
5,908
525
402
380
1,023
5,019
5,845
5,282
4,885
2,910
3,564
3,026
2,779
120.5
137.5
139.1
135.6
116.7
144.2
136.2
142.8
2011
I
ll
6,627
6,760
471
732
6,156
6,029
3,744
3,684
128.5
144.1
133.1
148.4
2010 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
1,767
1,641
2,135
1,843
2,189
2,214
2,092
1,710
1,860
1,719
1,770
2,418
169
107
249
127
115
160
105
106
169
101
102
820
1,598
1,534
1,886
1,716
2,074
2,055
1,987
1,604
1,691
1,618
1,668
1,599
1,008
880
1,022
1,054
1,329
1,180
1,068
897
1,061
964
981
834
103.7
112.8
145.1
132.9
132.4
147.2
139.1
140.8
137.5
130.8
134.7
141.2
108.3
102.7
139.1
139.4
140.9
152.2
138.6
132.8
137.1
134.8
136.7
156.9
2011 1
2
3
4
5
6
7P
8P
2,115
2,070
2,442
1,965
2,171
2,624
2,000
1,812
116
122
233
102
142
487
152
115
2,000
1,948
2,209
1,869
2,029
2,137
1,848
1,698
1,156
1,148
1,440
1,158
1,190
1,336
1,027
1,007
125.7
113.9
145.8
132.5
146.1
154.1
135.2
135.6
127.6
123.6
148.1
138.3
150.9
156.0
136.7
123.3
11.2
-37.9
32.3
25.1
22.5
2010
2010
I
ll
III
IV
10.3
24.7
-0.2
11.3
-43.7
-42.2
-71.7
31.4
22.6
35.5
22.0
7.8
45.6
58.5
27.4
4.5
30.0
29.5
29.3
13.6
18.1
25.7
27.4
18.4
2011
I
ll
19.5
8.2
-10.3
82.0
22.7
3.1
28.7
3.4
6.6
4.8
14.1
2.9
2010 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
11.8
-2.0
20.6
27.2
56.3
2.6
-16.5
26.6
2.3
9.9
-9.2
34.9
-27.1
-79.4
37.2
39.0
19.6
-68.6
-90.2
48.9
-15.5
20.8
-76.5
213.9
18.5
32.8
18.7
26.4
59.1
24.4
38.7
25.3
4.5
9.3
10.0
4.3
39.4
66.8
36.7
57.1
101.1
28.8
41.8
37.1
9.6
13.2
4.2
-3.7
26.3
23.7
38.3
32.5
28.4
27.7
31.5
41.2
17.1
21.6
13.1
7.4
27.6
5.2
22.1
24
32.1
21.8
28.1
36.9
18.8
25
19.5
12.4
2011
19.7
26.1
14.4
6.6
-0.8
18.5
-4.4
6.0
-31.5
14.0
-6.3
-19.6
23.4
205.2
44.9
8.0
25.1
27.0
17.1
8.6
-2.2
4.0
-7.0
5.8
14.6
30.4
41.0
9.8
-10.5
13.2
-3.9
12.2
22.2
1.0
0.5
-0.3
10.3
4.7
-2.8
-3.7
17.8
20.4
6.5
-0.8
7.1
2.5
-1.4
-7.2
1
2
3
4
5
6
7P
8P
P: Preliminary
Source: Statistics Korea
58
October 2011
Period
Type of order
Private
Public
Private
35,163
52,777
88,675
29,013
54,628
Public
92,238
2010
Type of order
Domestic
construction
orders received
(total)
Value of
construction
completion
(total)
2010
I
ll
llI
lV
20,329
24,082
22,005
25,823
7,467
9,129
7,784
10,784
11,977
13,931
13,160
13,708
18,110
25,295
19,095
26,175
7,955
6,890
6,814
7,355
9,087
16,737
11,406
17,399
2011
I
ll
19,067
23,898
7,288
9,304
10,857
13,195
15,796
24,473
4,053
6,067
10,743
16,821
2010
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
6,496
6,145
7,687
7,354
7,741
8,986
7,453
7,150
7,401
7,356
8,041
10,426
2,257
2,303
2,908
2,628
2,841
3,660
2,690
2,460
2,634
2,856
3,278
4,650
3,972
3,614
4,391
4,460
4,537
4,934
4,419
4,370
4,371
4,135
4,401
5,173
7,043
4,752
6,314
6,636
8,717
9,941
7,475
4,145
7,475
4,415
7,551
14,209
2,410
2,170
3,375
1,829
1,672
3,388
3,903
1,327
1,584
1,185
2,023
4,146
4,274
2,232
2,582
4,456
6,652
5,629
3,351
2,698
5,355
3,111
5,217
9,071
6,157
5,277
7,634
7,053
7,435
9,410
6,793
6,921
2,415
2,047
2,827
2,721
2,189
3,765
2,441
2,520
3,476
2,991
4,391
3,981
4,226
4,989
4,044
4,071
4,658
4,959
7,179
6,459
6,753
11,260
4,892
7,269
1,295
1,396
1,362
1,413
1,861
2,793
1,735
1,505
2,697
2,445
5,601
4,452
4,428
7,941
3,042
5,503
2.7
8.5
-18.7
-43.7
2.8
2011
1
2
3
4
5
6
7P
8P
2010
2010
I
ll
llI
lV
6.3
2.0
-0.4
3.3
13.8
5.5
-1.1
15.9
3.8
2.6
1.0
-4.8
-1.6
-6.7
-3.6
-40.2
-14.9
-61.9
-22.0
-52.1
8.0
105.4
13.2
34.4
2011
I
ll
-6.2
-0.8
-2.4
1.9
-9.4
-5.3
-12.8
-3.3
-49.1
-11.9
18.2
0.5
2010
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
7.2
0.8
10.5
-1.0
7.3
0.2
6.7
6.5
-11.8
0.9
-0.5
8.2
5.1
12.9
22.2
-0.1
9.6
6.7
14.0
1.4
-14.6
10.5
17.1
18.6
9.6
-3.5
5.3
1.0
7.8
-0.3
3.9
11.2
-9.8
-4.8
-9.4
-0.5
20.2
-4.6
-16.5
-14.1
17.4
-16.9
25.6
-12.5
-18.1
-58.8
-48.7
-22.5
-11.5
-22.2
-11.9
-68.7
-62.9
-56.0
23.5
-26.2
-58.0
-75.0
-61.4
-22.8
49.2
8.0
-25.8
178.8
138.3
49.8
38.3
-5.0
11.4
-45.7
-41.2
-23.9
-5.2
-14.1
-0.7
-4.1
-4.0
4.7
-8.8
-3.2
7.0
-11.1
-2.8
3.5
-0.8
2.9
-9.3
2.4
-12.5
-17.3
0.0
-10.7
-6.9
1.1
-8.5
-6.8
-33.9
-16.7
13.7
-2.7
-22.5
13.3
-34.6
75.4
-46.3
-35.7
-59.6
-22.7
11.3
-17.6
-55.5
13.4
-36.9
9.5
117.0
-0.1
-33.4
41.1
-9.3
103.9
2011
1
2
3
4
5
6
7P
8P
P: Preliminary
Source: Statistics Korea
Economic Bulletin
59
Y-o-Y
change (%)
Coincident
index
(2005=100)
Cycle of
coincident
index
(2005=100)
BSI (results)
BSI (prospects)
109.1
110.0
110.4
111.0
111.2
112.0
112.8
113.6
114.2
115.2
116.1
116.7
5.4
5.8
5.8
5.9
5.7
6.1
6.4
6.7
6.7
7.1
7.5
7.4
110.9
111.3
111.9
112.4
113.0
113.8
114.6
115.3
115.6
116.4
117.2
118.3
101.4
101.4
101.4
101.5
101.6
101.9
102.2
102.4
102.2
102.5
102.7
103.2
85.6
87.5
109.4
105.8
104.1
100.2
95.8
94.4
101.5
108.3
106.0
98.9
96.5
93.4
112.3
107.7
110.9
105.6
99.3
102.5
111.8
116.3
112.4
103.4
2008 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
116.3
115.6
115.1
114.9
114.8
114.2
113.5
113.3
113.1
112.5
111.3
110.5
6.5
5.1
4.0
3.2
2.5
1.4
0.2
-0.4
-0.9
-1.7
-3.1
-3.9
119.3
119.6
119.9
119.9
120.0
119.8
119.8
120.0
120.3
120.3
118.8
116.1
103.7
103.5
103.4
102.9
102.6
102.0
101.5
101.3
101.1
100.6
99.0
96.4
95.2
95.6
101.1
101.7
98.1
79.1
80.8
83.1
76.8
64.6
53.7
52.4
103.0
94.8
102.1
98.1
104.7
95.3
83.2
80.8
98.3
84.9
63.7
55.0
2009 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
110.8
112.2
113.4
115.3
117.3
119.9
121.5
122.5
123.4
124.6
126.4
127.2
-3.6
-2.4
-1.3
0.5
2.6
5.4
7.2
8.4
9.4
10.4
11.7
12.0
114.1
114.1
115.3
117.1
118.1
120.4
121.7
122.7
123.5
124.4
125.2
125.8
94.3
93.9
94.5
95.5
96.0
97.4
98.0
98.4
98.7
98.9
99.2
99.2
58.1
62.4
89.0
93.7
100.9
96.6
98.5
96.0
110.5
107.5
103.8
104.8
52.0
66.0
76.1
86.7
103.8
100.2
98.7
99.8
117.0
116.5
109.0
105.9
2010 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
127.5
127.0
127.1
126.9
127.3
127.7
128.4
128.8
128.8
128.4
128.7
129.3
11.6
10.4
9.6
8.6
7.7
6.8
6.2
5.4
4.5
3.3
2.8
2.9
126.6
127.8
128.8
129.6
130.5
131.4
132.4
132.6
132.2
131.8
132.1
133.1
99.5
100.0
100.3
100.5
100.8
101.0
101.4
101.1
100.4
99.6
99.5
99.8
99.2
98.7
113.1
108.9
111.9
109.4
105.0
98.6
104.1
104.3
103.5
102.1
103.1
102.3
116.2
111.2
113.4
108.9
107.3
100.7
111.1
113.1
107.1
104.2
2011 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
130.1
129.8
129.4
129.0
129.5
130.2
130.8
131.0
-
3.0
2.4
1.6
1.1
1.3
1.7
2.0
2.0
-
135.1
135.3
135.8
135.5
136.6
137.7
138.6
139.2
-
100.8
100.6
100.5
99.9
100.3
100.6
100.9
100.9
-
99.1
92.2
107.8
98.4
98.9
99.6
96.2
86.8
96.4
-
101.8
98.0
113.5
99.3
104.3
104.3
101.3
98.9
96.3
101.4
Period
Leading
index
(2005=100)
2007 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
60
October 2011
9. Balance of payments (I) See graphs 5-1, 5-2, 5-3, 10-1 & 10-2
(million US$)
Current
balance
Period
2009
2010P
Goods
trade
balance
Exports
32,790.5
28,213.6
37,866.0
41,904.0
Imports
Services
trade
balance
Income
trade
balance
Current
transfers
358,189.7
464,286.9
320,323.7
422,383.1
-6,640.5
-11,229.4
2,276.7
768.4
-711.7
-3.229.4
2009
I
II
III
IV
4,543.3
11,557.4
8,613.2
8,076.6
2,819.2
13,553.3
10,914.6
10,578.9
73,334.9
87,038.0
95,485.2
102,331.6
70,515.7
73,484.7
84,570.6
91,752.7
-26.0
-1,291.4
-2,663.3
-2,659.8
393.9
-151.1
948.6
1,085.3
1,356.2
-553.4
-586.7
-927.8
2010P
I
II
III
IV
263.3
8,857.9
9,931.1
9,161.3
4,785.4
12,240.4
12,542.3
12,335.9
101,354.5
117,585.0
118,257.3
127,090.1
96,569.1
105,344.7
105,715.1
114,754.2
-4,201.1
-1,873.1
-2,954.6
-2,200.6
546.5
-1,006.5
1,296.1
-67.6
-867.4
-502.9
-952.7
-906.4
2011P
2,610.3
5,842.7
127,691.2
121,848.5
-2,538.0
387.9
-1,082.3
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
-1,800.2
2,579.8
3,763.7
3,511.2
3,153.8
4,892.4
4,054.8
1,300.2
3,258.2
3,202.9
4,165.0
708.7
-2,441.3
1,766.2
3,494.3
4,255.5
3,822.6
5,475.2
5,021.2
1,920.5
3,972.9
3,546.1
4,851.1
2,181.7
21,910.3
24,179.6
27,245.0
28,832.5
27,228.8
30,976.7
32,688.5
29,001.4
33,795.3
33,474.6
34,055.5
34,801.5
24,351.6
22,413.4
23,750.7
24,577.0
23,406.2
25,501.5
27,667.3
27,080.9
29,822.4
29,928.5
29,204.4
32,619.8
-98.9
-64.1
137.0
-15.8
-555.6
-720.0
-1,241.2
-761.3
-660.8
-505.9
-643.6
-1,510.3
502.7
366.2
-475.0
-835.1
205.0
479.0
366.3
367.9
214.4
336.2
272.5
476.6
237.3
511.5
607.4
106.6
-318.2
-341.8
-91.5
-226.9
-268.3
-173.5
-315.0
-439.3
2010 P 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
-571.8
-363.1
1,198.2
529.0
3,998.9
4,330.0
4,457.9
1,975.7
3,497.5
5,112.5
1,934.4
2,114.4
996.7
586.3
3,202.4
3,740.1
3,658.4
4,841.9
5,268.9
2,826.0
4,447.4
5,484.9
3,170.8
3,680.2
31,806.6
31,119.7
38,428.2
39,186.7
38,250.1
40,148.2
41,130.1
37,903.4
39,223.8
42,012.2
41,939.6
43,138.3
30,809.9
30,533.4
35,225.8
35,446.7
34,591.7
35,306.3
35,861.3
35,077.4
34,776.4
36,527.3
38,768.8
39,458.1
-1,651.8
-1,270.7
-1,278.6
-1,268.9
147.4
-751.6
-859.3
-902.5
-1,192.8
-749.9
-304.5
-1,146.2
414.6
497.4
-365.6
-1,452.5
219.8
226.2
352.3
518.7
425.1
657.1
-690.2
-34.5
-331.3
-176.1
-360.0
-489.7
-26.7
13.5
-304.0
-466.5
-182.2
-279.6
-241.7
-385.1
2011P 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
154.7
1,126.1
1,329.5
1,277.6
2,183.9
2,030.7
3,773.6
401.3
1,557.9
1,530.8
2,754.0
3,327.6
1,633.8
2,699.6
4,728.0
480.2
42,662.8
37,228.3
47,800.4
47,879.4
47,149.8
47,693.6
48,555.9
45,794.8
41,104.9
35,697.2
45,046.4
44,551.8
45,516.0
44,994.0
43,827.9
45,314.6
-1,640.9
-569.1
-328.0
-178.8
15.5
-632.7
-690.9
-577.9
703.7
542.6
-858.4
-1,581.9
517.3
239.8
72.3
699.6
-466.0
-378.2
-238.1
-289.3
17.3
-276.0
-335.8
-200.6
2009
P: Preliminary
Source: The Bank of Korea & Korea Customs Service
Economic Bulletin
61
Errors and
omissions
289.6
-174.2
-68,666.4
-27,094.5
1,860.7
-2,882.1
6,917.1
-7,914.9
-251.1
3,287.8
382.3
25.8
-103.9
-14.6
-9,017.4
-19,541.8
-23,492.6
-16,614.6
-175.0
1,379.4
-1,636.0
2,292.3
746.6
-983.9
-388.6
618.5
16.7
-7,076.3
-4,725.3
-5,443.2
-175.6
27.1
31.1
-56.8
-8,595.1
-5,600.2
-10,411.5
-2,487.7
-108.0
241.1
-2,251.5
-763.7
-1,379.1
730.3
6,251.6
-181.4
-3,479.2
143.8
-643.0
-1,095.1
-1,039.8
-695.3
-855.9
-480.8
-1,644.2
-865.9
-795.6
-749.1
-2,855.1
-3,228.2
4,715.2
122.8
-2,053.4
6,879.7
4,157.3
4,890.2
8,470.1
4,004.4
8,752.4
5,829.4
2,992.6
967.0
473.2
-771.2
-2,358.9
274.1
1,279.7
-954.8
-155.1
-870.3
-25.5
-509.1
614.2
-89.3
2,644.7
-1,255.7
5,528.1
-4,669.7
1,818.3
-5,063.5
-3,538.9
2,696.1
591.7
-1,429.4
712.9
4,004.3
61.9
195.6
124.8
60.3
-16.5
-18.0
3.4
-29.4
-77.9
6.9
-56.4
34.9
-4,488.6
-1,260.0
-3,268.8
-5,444.1
-10,248.6
-3,849.1
-5,573.6
-7,095.2
-10,823.8
-7,965.8
-5,637.4
-3,011.4
-963.2
1,483.8
-695.6
83.9
711.9
583.6
-1,616.6
860.1
-879.5
1,614.1
64.2
614.0
-686.4
1,398.3
-867.2
641.8
-5,611.5
-4,129.3
-3,528.4
-1,421.7
-2,729.5
-5,869.7
-2,191.7
-336.2
-1,070.2
-613.7
-623.6
-1,163.6
-571.7
-828.8
-1,773.0
-1,184.2
-3,260.2
-5,393.9
-1,286.8
-1,610.0
118.0
2,484.0
7,557.6
5,792.1
747.2
559.1
8,592.4
1,061.0
4,378.7
7,447.3
2,227.2
-2,412.2
241.8
549.3
-44.5
80.6
-854.8
-209.7
-297.3
61.3
-152.6
0.4
106.9
511.2
7,076.7
-1,692.8
-5,367.2
5,343.4
-12,116.8
-302.9
-4,029.4
93.3
-789.2
-5,216.8
-1,494.4
1,268.0
-70.0
-43.2
-62.4
-120.5
101.3
46.3
-0.2
57.9
-26.6
-48.1
-25.3
16.6
-6,982.7
714.7
-2,327.1
-9,290.2
7083.3
-3393.3
-6020.9
-1,511.0
-2,879.6
-2,658.6
-1,719.3
1,890.2
1,258.2
-1,035.2
-331.0
-1,170.8
1,612.6
-200.7
-929.5
-554.0
-768.2
757.2
257.3
-1,778.2
-1,282.0
-1,996.2
524.1
394.7
-3,956.7
-3,246.0
-2,469.2
-2,328.1
-1,725.4
-1,635.1
-1,335.8
-7.38.8
-1,254.7
-2,144.6
327.1
-1,036.4
904.6
-3,004.0
720.3
4,575.0
-1,140.1
-1,399.5
9,258.3
-2,923.0
569.3
-363.3
524.3
-206.2
165.1
-501.8
526.6
-1,868.6
1,773.3
5,126.9
-648.6
-145.9
-821.7
-464.9
-6,581.0
4,000.9
-120.7
-32.7
-28.0
-33.6
-49.9
-28.4
13.8
41.5
-2,683.1
-2,088.0
1,291.9
-3,055.8
-855.4
1,293.2
-6,014.0
-542.5
1,127.3
870.1
-1,853.6
-1,672.3
1,772.8
1,215.3
-1,304.4
1,926.8
Period
Capital &
financial
account
Direct
investment
Portfolio
investment
Financial
derivative
2009
2010P
-34,651.2
-25,331.5
-14,948.0
-19,379.7
49,727.7
38,552.4
-3,093.0
-7.4
2,038.9
-17,228.1
I
II
III
IV
-4,368.3
-12,936.8
-6,977.2
-10,368.9
-2,777.9
-2,032.0
-3,305.7
-6,832.4
2,784.6
15,927.2
21,226.9
9,789.0
-2,656.9
599.0
-1,050.9
15.8
2010P I
II
III
IV
-155.3
-9,099.0
-7,679.6
-8,397.6
-2,307.5
-2,564.1
-6,217.4
-8,290.7
10,159.6
7,098.4
14,032.1
7,262.3
2011P I
-2,754.1
-4,696.3
2009 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
2,763.4
-4,063.6
-3,068.1
-3,595.1
-3,865.7
-5,476.0
-2,438.2
-2,160.3
-2,378.7
-4,817.0
-4,229.2
-1,322.7
2010 P 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
2011P 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
2009
P: Preliminary
Source: The Bank of Korea
62
October 2011
Capital transfers
Other
& acquisition of
investment non-financial
assets
Consumer prices
Period
All Items
Commodity
Service
Core
All items
Commodity
Export
Import
2009
2010
112.8
116.1
113.6
118.8
112.2
114.3
112.5
114.5
110.9
115.1
111.9
117.0
109.2
106.4
137.7
145.0
2009 7
8
9
10
11
12
113.0
113.4
113.5
113.2
113.4
113.8
113.9
114.5
114.6
113.9
114.2
115.0
112.5
112.7
112.7
112.8
112.9
113.0
112.7
112.8
112.9
113.0
113.2
113.3
111.1
111.7
111.8
110.9
111.3
111.9
112.1
112.9
113.0
111.8
112.5
113.1
109.0
109.3
107.3
104.0
104.3
105.1
136.6
139.5
136.8
135.3
137.9
138.6
2010 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
114.2
114.6
115.0
115.6
115.7
115.5
115.9
116.3
117.6
117.8
117.1
117.8
115.6
116.1
116.9
118.1
118.1
117.6
118.3
119.0
121.8
122.1
120.4
121.9
113.3
113.6
113.8
114.0
114.1
114.2
114.4
114.6
114.9
115.0
114.9
115.0
113.4
113.6
113.7
113.9
114.2
114.4
114.6
114.8
115.1
115.1
115.2
115.6
112.7
113.0
113.7
114.6
115.2
114.8
114.9
115.2
116.3
116.4
116.7
117.8
113.9
114.5
115.3
116.4
117.1
116.6
116.7
117.1
118.6
118.6
118.9
120.5
103.5
104.7
104.0
103.8
106.7
109.9
109.4
107.4
106.9
105.0
106.3
109.6
136.9
137.6
139.2
140.9
144.7
147.6
147.0
147.4
147.4
146.1
149.2
156.1
2011 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
118.9
119.8
120.4
120.4
120.4
120.6
121.4
122.5
122.6
123.8
125.1
123.1
125.7
125.1
125.3
127.0
129.1
129.6
115.8
116.4
116.6
116.9
117.3
117.5
117.8
118.1
118.1
116.3
117.1
117.4
117.6
118.2
118.6
119.0
119.4
119.6
119.7
120.5
122.0
122.4
122.3
121.9
122.4
122.8
122.9
122.7
123.9
125.8
126.2
126.0
125.5
126.0
126.7
126.9
108.6
110.6
113.5
111.8
110.2
109.4
108.0
109.4
113.1
156.1
160.9
166.5
167.6
163.9
163.2
161.4
162.1
168.1
2009
2010
2.8
2.9
3.4
4.6
2.4
4.2
3.6
1.8
-0.2
3.8
-0.5
4.6
-0.2
-2.6
-4.1
5.3
2009 7
8
9
10
11
12
1.6
2.2
2.2
2.0
2.4
2.8
0.9
2.0
2.2
2.0
3.5
4.4
2.2
2.2
2.1
2.0
1.8
1.8
3.2
3.1
2.7
2.6
2.5
2.2
3.8
-3.0
-2.6
-3.1
-0.4
1.8
-5.1
-4.0
-3.4
-4.2
-0.7
2.0
-2.7
-1.1
-7.2
-16.5
-13.4
-8.6
-12.9
-7.0
-10.8
-15.3
-7.5
-1.4
2010 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
3.1
2.7
2.3
2.6
2.7
2.6
2.6
2.6
3.6
4.1
3.3
3.5
4.7
3.6
3.2
3.8
4.0
3.8
3.9
3.9
6.3
7.2
5.4
6.0
2.0
2.2
1.8
1.8
1.9
1.9
1.7
1.7
2.0
2.0
1.8
1.8
2.1
1.9
1.5
1.5
1.6
1.7
1.7
1.8
1.9
1.9
1.8
2.0
2.8
2.4
2.6
3.2
4.6
4.6
3.4
3.1
4.0
5.0
4.9
5.3
3.2
2.7
2.9
3.8
5.5
5.5
4.1
3.7
5.0
6.1
5.7
6.5
-6.9
-10.2
-12.2
-6.7
0.4
1.5
0.3
-1.7
-0.4
1.0
1.9
4.3
-0.9
-4.1
-4.3
5.1
11.3
8.0
7.5
5.7
7.8
8.1
8.2
12.7
2011 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
4.1
4.5
4.7
4.2
4.1
4.4
4.7
5.3
4.3
7.1
7.8
7.9
6.4
5.9
6.5
7.4
8.5
6.4
2.2
2.5
2.5
2.5
2.8
2.9
3.0
3.1
2.8
2.6
3.1
3.3
3.2
3.5
3.7
3.8
4.0
3.9
6.2
6.6
7.3
6.8
6.2
6.2
6.5
6.6
5.7
7.7
8.2
9.1
8.4
7.6
7.6
8.0
8.2
7.0
4.9
5.6
9.1
7.7
3.3
-0.4
-1.3
1.8
5.8
14.1
16.9
19.6
19.0
13.2
10.5
9.8
10.0
14.0
Economic Bulletin
63
Unemployment (%)
Regular
Temporary
Daily
24,394
24,748
23,506
23,829
3,836
4,028
17,998
18,214
3.6
3.7
16,454
16,971
9,390
10,086
5,101
5,068
1,963
1,817
2009 7
8
9
10
11
12
24,756
24,525
24,630
24,655
24,625
24,063
23,828
23,620
23,805
23,856
23,806
23,229
3,802
3,761
3,810
3,858
3,855
3,872
18,210
18,048
18,155
18,130
18,267
18,104
3.7
3.7
3.4
3.2
3.3
3.5
16,589
16,479
16,687
16,690
16,790
16,555
9,383
9,472
9,606
9,628
9,603
9,632
5,255
5,117
5,151
5,170
5,256
5,074
1,952
1,890
1,931
1,892
1,931
4,860
2010 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
24,082
24,035
24,382
24,858
25,099
25,158
25,232
24,863
24,911
25,004
24,847
24,538
22,865
22,867
23,377
23,924
24,306
24,280
24,301
24,005
24,054
24,172
24,109
23,684
3,924
3,886
3,924
3,991
4,036
4,017
4,040
4,058
4,062
4,098
4,139
4,156
17,796
17,762
18,047
18,285
18,499
18,422
18,489
18,175
18,216
18,264
18,340
18,272
5.0
4.9
4.1
3.8
3.2
3.5
3.7
3.3
3.4
3.3
3.0
3.5
16,297
16,282
16,617
16,994
17,255
17,193
17,228
17,048
17,103
17,178
17,300
17,154
9,712
9,786
9,926
10,011
10,078
10,089
10,107
10,151
10,217
10,280
10,334
10,347
4,860
4,838
4,976
5,147
5,223
5,165
5,215
5,122
5,106
5,089
5,069
4,999
1,725
1,657
1,714
1,836
1,953
1,938
1,905
1,775
1,780
1,809
1,898
1,808
2011 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
24,114
24,431
24,918
25,240
25,480
25,592
25,473
25,257
23,196
23,336
23,846
24,303
24,661
24,752
24,636
24,495
4,148
4,149
4,122
4,108
4,137
4,135
4,079
4,031
18,007
3.8
18,019
4.5
18,244
4.3
18,536
3.7
18,731
3.2
18,812
3.3
18,844
3.3
18,739
3.0
Y-o-Y change (%)
16,832
16,856
17,065
17,357
17,626
17,720
17,667
17,510
10,305
10,390
10,543
10,618
10,708
10,716
10,718
10,710
4,848
4,781
4,782
4,928
5,064
5,132
5,137
5,031
1,680
1,684
1,740
1,812
1,854
1,872
1,811
1,769
2009
2010
0.2
1.5
-0.3
1.4
-3.2
5.0
0.5
1.2
1.5
3.1
4.3
7.4
0.4
-0.7
-7.4
-7.4
2009 7
8
9
10
11
12
0.3
0.6
0.7
0.3
0.2
0.1
-0.3
0.0
0.3
0.0
0.0
-0.1
-4.3
-3.5
-3.0
-2.2
-1.1
-0.4
0.7
1.0
1.1
0.7
1.0
0.9
1.4
2.3
2.9
2.3
2.5
2.3
3.6
4.0
5.1
5.4
5.4
6.2
1.8
3.0
2.7
2.7
3.7
-0.2
-9.1
-6.7
-6.5
-11.7
-12.0
-9.3
2010 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
1.6
1.6
1.3
1.6
1.8
0.9
1.9
1.3
1.1
1.4
0.9
2.0
0.0
0.5
1.2
1.7
2.5
1.3
2.0
1.6
1.0
1.3
1.3
2.0
0.8
1.2
2.9
3.8
4.9
4.7
6.2
7.9
6.6
6.2
7.4
7.3
0.8
1.3
2.0
2.2
2.7
0.9
1.5
0.7
0.3
0.7
0.4
0.9
1.5
2.1
3.4
3.9
4.7
2.7
3.9
3.5
2.5
2.9
3.0
3.6
6.7
6.4
8.2
8.5
8.2
8.0
7.7
7.2
6.4
6.8
7.6
7.4
-2.4
-0.5
0.7
1.9
2.9
-2.2
-0.8
0.1
-0.9
-1.6
-3.6
-1.5
-12.4
-12.6
-12.6
-11.5
-6.6
-8.4
-2.4
-6.1
-7.8
-4.4
-1.7
-2.2
2011 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
0.1
1.6
2.2
1.5
1.5
1.7
1.0
1.7
1.4
2.1
2.0
1.6
1.5
1.9
1.4
2.0
5.7
6.7
5.1
2.9
2.5
2.9
1.0
-0.7
1.2
1.4
1.1
1.4
1.3
2.1
1.9
3.1
3.3
3.5
2.7
2.1
2.2
3.1
2.5
2.7
6.1
6.2
6.2
6.1
6.3
6.2
6.0
5.5
-0.3
-1.2
-3.9
-4.3
-3.0
-0.6
-1.5
-1.8
-2.6
1.6
1.5
-1.3
-5.1
-3.4
-4.9
-0.3
64
October 2011
Stock
Period
Call rate
(1 day)
CD
(91 days)
Corporate bonds
(3 years, AA-)
Treasury bonds
(3 years)
Treasury bonds
(5 years)
KOSPI
(end-period)
2007 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
4.6
4.6
4.6
4.7
4.6
4.5
4.7
4.9
5.0
5.0
5.0
5.0
4.9
5.0
4.9
5.0
5.0
5.0
5.1
5.2
5.3
5.3
5.4
5.7
5.3
5.3
5.2
5.3
5.5
5.6
5.8
5.7
5.9
6.0
6.2
6.7
5.0
4.9
4.8
4.9
5.1
5.2
5.4
5.3
5.4
5.4
5.5
5.9
5.0
4.9
4.8
5.0
5.1
5.4
5.4
5.3
5.4
5.5
5.6
5.9
1,360.20
1,417.30
1,452.60
1,542.24
1,700.91
1,743.60
1,933.27
1,873.24
1,946.48
2,064.95
1,906.00
1,897.10
2008 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
5.0
5.0
5.0
5.0
5.0
5.0
5.0
5.2
5.2
4.9
4.0
3.3
5.8
5.3
5.3
5.4
5.4
5.4
5.5
5.8
5.8
6.0
5.6
4.7
6.6
6.3
6.1
5.9
6.2
6.7
7.0
7.1
7.5
8.0
8.6
8.4
5.4
5.1
5.2
5.0
5.3
5.7
6.0
5.8
5.8
5.1
5.0
4.0
5.5
5.1
5.2
5.0
5.4
5.8
6.0
5.8
5.8
5.2
5.2
4.3
1,624.68
1,711.62
1,703.99
1,825.47
1,852.02
1,674.92
1,594.67
1,474.24
1,448.06
1,113.06
1,076.07
1,124.47
2009 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
2.4
2.1
1.8
1.8
1.9
1.9
1.9
2.0
2.0
2.0
2.0
2.0
3.2
2.7
2.5
2.4
2.4
2.4
2.4
2.5
2.6
2.8
2.8
2.8
7.3
7.1
6.1
5.7
5.2
5.2
5.5
5.7
5.6
5.6
5.4
5.4
3.4
3.8
3.7
3.8
3.8
4.1
4.1
4.4
4.4
4.5
4.3
4.2
4.0
4.6
4.5
4.4
4.5
4.7
4.6
4.9
4.9
4.9
4.8
4.8
1,162.11
1,063.03
1,206.26
1,369.40
1,395.89
1,390.07
1,577.29
1,591.85
1,673.14
1,580.69
1,555.60
1,682.77
2010 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
2.0
2.0
2.0
2.0
2.0
2.0
2.2
2.3
2.3
2.3
2.4
2.5
2.9
2.9
2.8
2.5
2.5
2.5
2.6
2.6
2.7
2.7
2.7
2.8
5.4
5.3
5.0
4.7
4.5
4.7
4.8
4.7
4.4
4.1
4.2
4.2
4.3
4.2
3.9
3.8
3.7
3.8
3.9
3.7
3.5
3.2
3.4
3.3
4.8
4.8
4.5
4.4
4.4
4.4
4.5
4.3
3.9
3.7
4.0
4.0
1,602.43
1,594.58
1,692.85
1,741.56
1,641.25
1,698.29
1,759.33
1,742.75
1,872.81
1,882.95
1,904.63
2,051.00
2011 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
2.7
2.8
2.9
3.0
3.0
3.2
3.3
3.3
3.3
2.9
3.1
3.4
3.4
3.5
3.5
3.6
3.6
3.6
4.5
4.7
4.5
4.5
4.4
4.4
4.5
4.2
4.2
3.7
3.9
3.7
3.7
3.7
3.7
3.8
3.6
3.5
4.3
4.4
4.1
4.1
4.0
3.9
4.0
3.7
3.6
2,069.73
1,939.30
2,106.70
2,192.36
2,142.47
2,100.69
2,133.21
1,880.11
1,769.65
Economic Bulletin
65
Period
(billion won)
Reserve money
M1
M2
Lf
2009
2010
61,739.6
67,585.1
357,344.1
399,412.3
1,508,550.4
1,639,675.1
1,937,336.0
2,096,534.8
2009 7
8
9
10
11
12
59,420.2
60,570.3
59,650.3
63,681.7
61,154.5
62,633.2
363,421.4
361,012.4
367,070.3
371,531.7
370,979.7
376,977.3
1,512,822.5
1,524,879.7
1,535,279.8
1,551,319.5
1,564,175.8
1,570,027.1
1,940,223.0
1,956,130.6
1,972,408.5
1,990,372.5
2,000,503.6
2,014,950.4
2010 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
65,054.7
66,563.8
65,643.6
64,274.7
67,835.1
66,250.8
66,958.2
67,318.7
70,266.5
69,905.0
69,476.8
71,472.9
381,218.2
387,858.6
386,015.4
388,174.7
394,880.2
400,132.8
403,785.1
400,882.5
403,413.5
405,000.1
414,912.8
425,673.9
1,574,215.8
1,595,403.8
1,607,896.1
1,621,176.9
1,630,904.7
1,647,981.2
1,653,057.5
1,653,907.2
1,659,400.1
1,669,376.6
1,679,909.9
1,682,871.9
2,019,563.5
2,041,164.1
2,056,233.7
2,069,616.1
2,084,007.4
2,104,724.0
2,111,672.2
2,113.052.7
2,123.558.2
2,134,385.4
2,145,901.5
2,154,538.9
2011 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
73,540.8
75,432.1
73,012.7
73,206.1
73,828.5
74,705.5
74,069.7
75,642.3
429,368.1
432,482.8
430,936.6
425,420.5
423,994.7
421,885.3
418,973.1
422,649.3
Y-o-Y change (%)
1,676,448.8
1,674,390.5
1,677,475.9
1,684,792.3
1,690,543.0
1,697,204.2
1,705,451.5
1,719,437.8
2,152,814.0
2,148,254.1
2,152,736.5
2,163,485.7
2,175,557.3
2,189,729.2
2,208,624.3
2,230,191.9
2009
2010
18.1
9.5
16.3
11.8
10.3
8.7
7.9
8.2
2009 7
8
9
10
11
12
17.4
16.5
11.9
20.2
12.7
5.6
18.5
18.5
19.5
19.6
17.3
16.4
9.7
10.0
10.0
10.5
9.7
9.3
7.7
8.0
7.7
7.8
7.6
8.1
2010 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
1.6
5.6
0.0
4.7
12.9
11.3
12.7
11.1
17.8
9.8
13.6
14.1
15.0
15.9
12.6
10.8
10.9
10.5
11.1
11.0
10.2
9.0
11.8
12.9
9.3
9.4
9.3
9.4
9.3
9.7
9.3
8.5
8.1
7.6
7.4
7.2
8.1
8.6
8.8
9.0
8.9
9.3
8.8
8.0
7.7
7.2
7.3
6.9
2011 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
13.0
13.3
11.2
13.9
8.8
12.8
10.6
12.4
12.6
11.5
11.6
9.6
7.4
5.4
3.8
5.4
6.5
5.0
4.3
3.9
3.7
3.0
3.2
4.0
6.6
5.2
4.7
4.5
4.4
4.0
4.6
5.5
66
October 2011
/US$
/100
/Euro
Period
End-period
Average
End-period
Average
End-period
Average
2009
2010
1,167.6
1,138.9
1,276.4
1,156.3
1,262.8
1,397.1
1,363.1
1,320.6
1,674.3
1,513.6
1,774.4
1,532.9
2009 7
8
9
10
11
12
1,240.5
1,244.9
1,188.7
1,200.6
1,167.4
1,167.6
1,264.0
1,238.4
1,219.2
1,175.3
1,164.2
1,166.5
1,299.2
1,332.8
1,318.8
1,312.6
1,348.3
1,262.8
1,338.1
1,304.3
1,332.4
1,300.8
1,304.4
1,300.8
1,745.9
1,779.1
1,734.3
1,781.3
1,751.7
1,674.3
1,778.8
1,776.3
1,774.2
1,742.9
1,736.6
1,703.7
2010 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
1,156.5
1,158.4
1,130.8
1,115.5
1,200.2
1,210.3
1,187.2
1,189.1
1,142.0
1,126.6
1,157.3
1,138.9
1,138.8
1,157.1
1,137.6
1,117.1
1,163.1
1,212.3
1,207.3
1,179.9
1,167.0
1,123.4
1,126.2
1,147.6
1,287.0
1,299.3
1,217.7
1,186.8
1,318.5
1,364.6
1,370.0
1,406.0
1,363.3
1,390.7
1,373.4
1,397.1
1,248.3
1,281.7
1,255.8
1,195.3
1,265.2
1,333.6
1,377.7
1,380.2
1,384.2
1,371.1
1,366.6
1,376.7
1,614.6
1,569.2
1,518.2
1,479.3
1,474.2
1,475.4
1,552.4
1,505.9
1,556.0
1,569.3
1,518.3
1,513.6
1,627.5
1,584.5
1,544.9
1,501.7
1,460.7
1,480.9
1,540.3
1,523.3
1,518.7
1,559.6
1,541.3
1,515.4
2011 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
1,114.3
1,127.9
1,107.2
1,072.3
1,080.6
1,078.1
1,052.6
1,071.7
1,179.5
1,120.1
1,118.1
1,122.5
1,086.8
1,083.5
1,081.3
1,059.5
1,073.2
1,118.6
1,356.6
1,380.7
1,331.9
1,313.8
1,335.6
1,335.7
1,353.2
1,396.8
1,536.6
1,356.3
1,351.0
1,376.2
1,304.8
1,333.6
1,342.8
1,333.4
1,391.4
1,456.5
1,514.0
1,549.5
1,563.5
1,591.2
1,549.7
1,560.5
1,507.9
1,547.3
1,601.4
1,495.4
1,524.6
1,572.6
1,569.4
1,551.3
1,555.4
1,515.4
1,538.7
1,542.4
-7.1
-2.5
15.8
-9.4
26.6
-3.1
-5.7
-9.6
10.4
-13.6
2009 7
8
9
10
11
12
23.0
15.1
0.1
-7.0
-21.3
-7.1
24.0
18.9
7.9
-11.4
-16.2
-15.1
39.3
34.9
15.3
0.5
-13.2
-9.4
40.2
36.9
25.6
-2.0
-9.1
-13.5
11.1
11.9
1.6
7.0
-8.4
-5.7
10.7
13.1
9.0
-1.3
-1.8
-7.7
2010 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
-15.5
-23.6
-17.9
-17.2
-5.7
-5.8
-4.3
-4.5
-3.9
-6.2
-0.9
-2.5
-15.4
-19.1
-22.2
-16.8
-7.6
-3.9
-4.5
-4.7
-4.3
-4.4
-3.3
-1.6
-15.4
-15.7
-13.9
-14.2
0.3
2.1
5.4
5.5
3.4
5.9
1.9
10.6
-16.1
-17.1
-16.0
-11.9
-3.0
2.2
3.0
5.8
3.9
5.4
4.8
5.8
-8.7
-18.7
-16.4
-17.2
-16.8
-18.5
-11.1
-15.4
-10.3
-11.9
-13.3
-9.6
-9.3
-13.4
-18.9
-15.2
-15.0
-16.2
-13.4
-13.8
-14.4
-10.5
-11.2
-11.1
2011 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
-3.6
-2.6
-2.1
-3.9
-10.0
-10.9
-11.3
-9.9
3.3
-1.6
-3.4
-1.3
-2.7
-6.8
-10.8
-12.2
-9.0
-4.1
5.4
6.3
9.4
10.7
1.3
-2.1
-1.2
-0.7
12.7
8.7
5.4
9.6
9.2
5.4
0.7
-3.2
0.8
5.2
-6.2
-1.3
3.0
7.6
5.1
5.8
-2.9
2.7
2.9
-8.1
-3.8
1.8
4.5
6.2
5.0
-1.6
1.0
1.6
2009
2010
Economic Bulletin
67
Editor-in-Chief
Hong Nam-Ki (MOSF)
Editorial Board
Kim Young-Min (MOSF)
Shim Jae-Hak (KDI)
Lee Sung-Shin (KDI)
Coordinators
Kim Dae-Hyun (MOSF)
Cho Hyun-Joo (KDI)
Editors
Cho Eun-Hyung (MOSF)
Eli Horn (MOSF)
Lee Ji-Youn (KDI)