THE RISE OF HERMAN CAIN: GOP VOTERS GIVE HIMA DOUBLE-DIGIT LEAD OVER ROMNEY
Thisweek’s
Economist
/YouGovPollresultsprovidenodoubtwhotheGOPfavoriteis: businessman Herman Cain has a double-digit lead over former MassachusettsGovernor Mitt Romney. And now Cain’s popularity with registered voters who saythey will vote in a Republican primary or caucus next year is not only because of his support from those GOP voters who identify with the Tea Party.
If you had to choose one, which of these individuals would you wantto be the Republican nominee for president in 2012?
Registered voters who are likelyto vote in Republican primary or caucusAll Tea Party followers Non-Tea Party followersMitt Romney 21% 19% 22%Newt Gingrich 11% 11% 10%Michele Bachmann 4% 2% 6%Jon Huntsman 3% 0% 6%Ron Paul 10% 10% 9%Herman Cain 31% 38% 24%Rick Santorum 3% 4% 2%Rick Perry 8% 8% 7%Gary Johnson 0% 1% 0%Other 5% 3% 6%No preference 6% 4% 8%
Cain leads Romney 31% to 21% among all Republican voters, and by 38% to 19%among Tea Partiers (who make up nearly half of all Republican voters). He andRomney are co-frontrunners with the 56% of Republican voters who do not iden-tify with that group. 24% of non-Tea Party GOP voters favor Cain, 22% Romney.As for the rest of the field, former House Speaker Newt Gingrich, Texas Congress-man Ron Paul and Texas Governor Rick Perry have the support of about one in tenGOP voters. Minnesota Congresswoman Michele Bachmann, once a favorite, hasdropped to only 4% support.Cain may yet have a long way to go to reach Democratic and independent voters.But Republican voters see him as caring, sharing their values, tough and capable
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enough to do the job. In fact, he does better than Romney does with Republicanvoters when it comes to caring about them, and sharing their values.
He is tough enough forthe job of president.He understandscomplex issues.He sharesmy values.He cares about peoplelike me.
68%68%68%63%48%65%50%63%Herman CainMitt Romney
Please tell us whether you agree or disagree with each of thefollowing statements about these Republican presidential candidates.
(Registered voters who are likely to vote in Republican primary or caucus)
Displaying percent who agree only
But among the public overall, both Cain and Romney are seen mostly negatively.However, Americans are more likely to see both Republicans as tough enough tohandle the job. Romney scores better than Cain with the public overall when itcomes to understanding the complex problems a President must face, and havingthe overall qualifications to be a good president.Romney is seen as more electable that Cain is. By 40% to 27%, Americans think the President would defeat Cain. They see a Romney-Obama matchup as morecompetitive. But both men would now give President Barack Obama a very closecontest if next November’s election were being held today. When registered votersare asked who they would support today, Obama leads Romney by just four points,and Cain by just three.
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Mitt RomneyHerman Cain
45%41%8%6%45%42%6%7%
Barack ObamaRepublican CandidateOtherNot sure
If the 2012 presidential election were being held today,and the candidates were Barack Obama, the Democrat,and the following Republican candidate, would you vote forBarack Obama or the Republican candidate?
(Registered voters only)
WHAT’S 9-9-9?: MOST HAVE HEARD OF IT, BUTAMERICANSOPPOSECAIN’SPLAN35%TO24%
Businessman Herman Cain’s top economic proposal is his 9-9-9 tax plan: a 9%federal business tax, a 9% federal payroll tax and a 9% sales tax. Two out of threerespondents in the latest
Economist
/YouGov Poll have heard of this plan — and —more importantly – so have 84% of Republican primary voters.GOP voters and the public overall hold very different opinions of 9-9-9: Repub-lican voters are twice as likely to favor as oppose it, while the public is negative.However, many people aren’t sure quite what to think of it.
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