Vermont Poll

HOW THE POLL WAS CONDUCTED This poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Washington, D.C., from October 11 through October 13, 2010. A total of 625 registered Vermont voters were interviewed statewide by telephone. All indicated they were likely to vote in the November general election. Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect the voter turn-out by county. The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 4 percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a regional or gender grouping. -----------------------------------------------------------------SAMPLE FIGURES: Men 307 (49%) REGION Chittenden County Northwest Vermont Northeast Vermont Southern Vermont 155 175 90 205 interviews interviews interviews interviews Women 318 (51%)

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Vermont Poll
REGIONAL GROUPINGS NORTHWEST VERMONT: Voters interviewed in Addison, Franklin, Grand Isle, Lamoille, and Washington Counties. NORTHEAST VERMONT: Voters interviewed in Caledonia, Essex, Orange, and Orleans Counties. SOUTHERN VERMONT: Voters interviewed in Bennington, Rutland, Windham, and Windsor Counties. STATEWIDE NAME RECOGNITION QUESTION: I am going to read a list of names. Do you recognize the name ________? (IF YES) Do you have a favorable, unfavorable or neutral opinion of ________? RECOGNIZE FAVORABLE U.S. SENATE Patrick Leahy Len Britton 61% 19% 23% 7% 15% 29% 1% 45% RECOGNIZE UNFAVORABLE RECOGNIZE DON'T NEUTRAL RECOGNIZE

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Vermont Poll
GOVERNOR Brian Dubie Peter Shumlin U.S. HOUSE Peter Welch Paul Beaudry LT GOVERNOR Phil Scott Steve Howard SECRETARY OF STATE Jim Condos Jason Gibbs 20% 17% 9% 10% 26% 30% 45% 43% 29% 19% 11% 5% 30% 32% 30% 44% 61% 19% 17% 11% 20% 22% 2% 48% 47% 41% 31% 37% 18% 17% 4% 5%

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Vermont Poll
QUESTION: If the 2010 election for Vermonts U.S. Senate seat were held today, would you vote for: Patrick Leahy, Democrat Len Britton, Republican Pete Diamondstone, Socialist Cris Ericson, US Marijuana Party Stephen Cain, Independent Daniel Freilich, Independent Johenry Nunes, Independent Undecided (NOT READ) LEAHY STATE REGION Chittenden County Northwest Vermont Northeast Vermont Southern Vermont SEX Men Women PARTY ID Democrats Republicans Independents 62% LEAHY 71% 63% 52% 59% LEAHY 52% 71% LEAHY 94% 29% 58% BRITTON 27% BRITTON 21% 25% 38% 29% BRITTON 34% 21% BRITTON 1% 63% 24% OTHER 4% OTHER 3% 5% 3% 4% OTHER 4% 4% OTHER 1% 3% 7% 62% 27% 1% 1% 1% 1% 7% UNDECIDED 7% UNDECIDED 5% 7% 7% 8% UNDECIDED 10% 4% UNDECIDED 4% 5% 11%

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Vermont Poll
QUESTION: If the 2010 election for Vermonts U.S. House seat were held today, would you vote for: Peter Welch, Democrat Paul Beaudry, Republican Gus Jaccaci, Independent Jane Newton, Socialist Undecided (NOT READ) WELCH STATE REGION Chittenden County Northwest Vermont Northeast Vermont Southern Vermont SEX Men Women PARTY ID Democrats Republicans Independents 61% WELCH 67% 66% 44% 59% WELCH 56% 66% WELCH 92% 27% 57% BEAUDRY 25% BEAUDRY 17% 21% 41% 29% BEAUDRY 29% 21% BEAUDRY 1% 62% 21% 61% 25% 3% 1% 10% OTHER 4% OTHER 3% 6% 3% 3% OTHER 4% 4% OTHER 2% 4% 6% UNDECIDED 10% UNDECIDED 13% 7% 12% 9% UNDECIDED 11% 9% UNDECIDED 5% 7% 16%

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Vermont Poll
QUESTION: If the 2010 election for Governor were held today, would you vote for: Brian Dubie, Republican Peter Shumlin, Democrat/Working Families Ben Mitchell, Liberty Union Party Cris Ericson, US Marijuana Party Dan Feliciano, Independent Em Peyton, Independent Dennis Steele, Independent Undecided (NOT READ) SHUMLIN STATE REGION Chittenden County Northwest Vermont Northeast Vermont Southern Vermont SEX Men Women PARTY ID Democrats Republicans Independents 43% SHUMLIN 49% 45% 34% 41% SHUMLIN 35% 51% SHUMLIN 84% 5% 33% DUBIE 44% DUBIE 38% 41% 54% 47% DUBIE 49% 39% DUBIE 5% 86% 49% OTHER 5% OTHER 4% 3% 6% 7% OTHER 6% 4% OTHER 2% 5% 7% 44% 43% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 8%

UNDECIDED 8% UNDECIDED 9% 11% 6% 5% UNDECIDED 10% 6% UNDECIDED 9% 4% 11%

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Vermont Poll
DEMOGRAPHICS: SEX: Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Refused Democrat Republican Independent Chittenden County Northwest VT Northeast VT Southern VT 307 (49%) 318 (51%) 73 176 184 191 1 (12%) (28%) (29%) (31%)

AGE:

PARTY ID:

205 (33%) 162 (26%) 258 (41%) 155 175 90 205 (25%) (28%) (14%) (33%)

REGION:

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