Universidad del Valle de Guatemala

Ing. Sanitaria
Pablo Champet 07141
Franz von Quednow 07611

Hoja de Trabajo
Aos
Poblacin

1993
832,266

1995
877,338

1997
925,041

1999
972,415

2001
1,016,205

Mtodo Aritmtico
K

3610
2027
2037

1,154,144
1,190,244

incluir el 20% de la poblacion

Mtodo Geomtrico
K

0.003336636
2027
2037

1,156,583
1,195,825

Metodo Interes Compuesto

I2-I1
I3-I2
I4-I3
I5-I4
1.026720879 1.026826388 1.025286723
1.022268171
1.018949061

Ipromedio
2027
2037

1,307,207
1,446,682

Modelo Geomtrico Decreciente

Limite de poblacin

2000000

Kd

1.96812%
1.71852%

Promedio
2027
2037

Modelo logstico

1,331,505
1,437,058

2.17101%

2.25356%

2.17746%

L
m
a

1110126.247
0.06
-0.26869939
2027
2037

1,109,630
1,110,092

Mtodo de Incremento Diferencial

PD
1993
1995
1997
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
2011
2013
2015
2017
2019
2021
2023
2025
2027
2029
2031
2033
2035
2037

832,266
877,338
925,041
972,415
1,016,205
1,050,878
1,074,724
1,089,164
1,113,010
1,146,262
1,188,920
1,240,984
1,302,454
1,373,330
1,453,612
1,543,300
1,642,394
1,750,894
1,868,800
1,996,112
2,132,830
2,278,954
2,434,484

SD
45,072
47,703
47,374
43,790
34,673
23,846
14,440
23,846
33,252
42,658
52,064
61,470
70,876
80,282
89,688
99,094
108500
117,906
127,312
136,718
146,124
155530

2,631
329
3,584
9,117
10,827
9,406
9,406
9,406
9,406
9,406
9,406
9,406
9,406
9,406
9,406
9406
9,406
9,406
9,406
9,406
9406

ecaballeros@acerosdeguatemala.com

2003
1,050,878

2005
1,074,724

2009
1,089,164

Dotacion

350

Qm

r el 20% de la poblacion

I6-I5
1.01691695

Qm
Qm

935.07037
964.318056

Qmd

936.37037
965.618056

Qm
Qm

937.046329
968.83962

Qmd

938.346329
970.13962

1059.08009
1172.08003

Qmd

1060.38009
1173.38003

1078.76553
1164.28292

Qmd

1080.06553
1165.58292

I7-I6
I8-I7
1.011282108
1.003342209

Qm
Qm

1.79401%

1.27226%

0.39323%

Qm
Qm

Qm
Qm

899.005695
899.380448

Qmd

900.305695
900.680448

Qm

1418.54838

Qmd

1419.84838

Qm

1972.38287

Qmd

1973.68287

Qmh

2337.67593
2410.79514

Qmh

2342.61582
2422.09905

Qmh

2647.70023
2930.20007

Qmh

2696.91383
2910.70731

Qmh

2247.51424
2248.45112

Qmh

3546.37095

Qmh

4930.95718

Universidad del Valle de Guatemala

Ing. Sanitaria
Pablo
Franz

Hoja de Trabajo
Aos
Poblacin

1992
2,938

1994
2,872

1996
2,681

1998
3,801

2000
3,730

Mtodo Aritmtico
K

460
2036
2037

19,800
19,914

incluir el 20% de la poblacion

Mtodo Geomtrico
K

0.062411532
2036
2037

39,723
39,139

Metodo Interes Compuesto

I2-I1
I3-I2
I4-I3
I5-I4
0.98870407 0.966175875 1.190694994
0.990616326
1.050514869

Ipromedio
2027
2037

7,041
7,817

Modelo Geomtrico Decreciente

Limite de poblacin

2000000

Kd

-0.00165%
0.00972%

Promedio
2027
2037

Modelo logstico

9,721
11,655

-0.00478%

0.02805%

-0.00178%

L
m
a

4545.054994
(0.02)
0.540557974
2027
2037

(2)
(0)

Mtodo de Incremento Diferencial

PD
1993
1995
1997
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
2011
2013
2015
2017
2019
2021
2023
2025
2027
2029
2031
2033
2035
2037

832,266
877,338
925,041
972,415
1,016,205
1,050,878
1,074,724
1,089,164
1,113,010
1,146,262
1,188,920
1,240,984
1,302,454
1,373,330
1,453,612
1,543,300
1,642,394
1,750,894
1,868,800
1,996,112
2,132,830
2,278,954
2,434,484

SD
45,072
47,703
47,374
43,790
34,673
23,846
14,440
23,846
33,252
42,658
52,064
61,470
70,876
80,282
89,688
99,094
108500
117,906
127,312
136,718
146,124
155530

2,631
329
3,584
9,117
10,827
9,406
9,406
9,406
9,406
9,406
9,406
9,406
9,406
9,406
9,406
9406
9,406
9,406
9,406
9,406
9406

ecaballeros@acerosdeguatemala.com

2002
4,650

2004
4,869

r el 20% de la poblacion

2006
5,654

2008
6,920

2010
7,840

Qm
Qm

18.2002315
6.91458333

Qm
Qm

35.4947888
13.5899489

I6-I5
I7-I6
I8-I7
1.116534278
1.023277467
1.077601072

Qm
Qm

0.02305%

0.00549%

2.44496395
2.7142995

0.01968%

Qm
Qm

3.37537353
4.04682721

Qm
Qm

-0.00082201
-3.6901E-06

Qm

607.949306

Qm

845.306944

Dotacion

150

Qm
Qmd

19.5002315
8.21458333

Qmh

45.5005787
17.2864583

Qmd

36.7947888
14.8899489

Qmh

88.7369721
33.9748722

Qmd

3.74496395
4.0142995

Qmh

6.11240988
6.78574875

Qmd

4.67537353
5.34682721

Qmh

8.43843384
10.117068

Qmd

1.29917799
1.29999631

Qmh

-0.00205502
-9.2252E-06

Qmd

609.249306

Qmh

1519.87326

Qmd

846.606944

Qmh

2113.26736