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GOP Death List

GOP Death List

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Published by Daily Kos Elections

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Published by: Daily Kos Elections on Oct 24, 2008
Copyright:Attribution Non-commercial

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04/05/2011

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CompetitiveHouseRepublican
RacesDRAFT
10/23/20089:25
AM
AK-ALDon
Young
EthanBerkowitz
5
-!,
$275,887$383,842Bush61%R+14Young
57'%
$692KAZ-01OPEN(Renzi)--Hay
AnnKirkpatrick
5
-!,
$123,870
$306,384
Bush54%R+2Renzi51%$2M
IL-11
OPEN(Weller)-Ozinga
DebbieHalvorson
5
-!,
$175,508$274,545Bush53%
R+1
Weller55%$2.2MNJ-03OPEN(Saxton)--Myers
John
H.
Adler
5
-!,
$287,832$1,275,514Bush51%D+3Saxton59%$1.9MNJ-07OPEN(Ferguson)--Lance
Linda
O.
Stender
5
-!,
$258,032
$602,285
Bush
530(0
R+1
Ferguson50%$2.2MNY-13
OPEN
(Fossella)--Straniere
Michael
E.
McMahon
5
-!,
$84,427$482,984Bush55%
D+1
Fossella57%$1.3MNY-25
OPEN
(Walsh)--Sweetland
DanMaffei
5
-!,
$136,671$598,624Kerry50%D+3Walsh51%$2.7MVA-11OPEN(Davis)--Fimian
GerryConnolly
5
-!,
$718,630$646,252Bush50%
R+1
Davis55%$1.43MFL-24TomFeeney
SuzanneKosmas
5
-!,
$736,226
$356,280
Bush55%R+3Feeney57%$1MNY-29RandyKuhl
EricMassa
5
-!,
$374,722
$401,061
Bush56%R+5Kuh151%$2.7MMI-07TimWalberg
MarkSchauer
5
-!,
$691,635$856,148Bush54%
R+2
Walberg51%$1.5MMD-01OPEN(Gilchrest)--Harris
Frank
M.
Kratovil
Jr
4$749,060
$517,602
Bush62%R+10Gilchrest68%
NM-01
OPEN(Wilson)--White
MartinHeinrich
4$678,371
$327,608
Kerry
51
%D+2Wilson50%$1.6MOH-16OPEN(Regula)--Schuring
John
A.
Boccieri
4$127,606$464,479Bush54%R+4Regula58%$1.7MCA-04
OPEN(Doolittle)--McClintock
CharlesBrown
4
-!,
$94,214$456,833Bush61%
R+11
Doolittle49%$2MNC-08RobinHayes
LarryKissell
4$1,113,272
$250,134
Bush54%R+3Hayes50%$1.9MCO-04MarilynMusgrave
BetsyMarkey
4
-!,
$798,310$381,894Bush58%R+9Musgrave46%$667KMI-09
JoeKnollenberg
GaryPeters
4
-!,
$1,947,431
$472,108
Bush58%
R+O
Knollenberg54%
$1.2.M
CT-04
Christopher
Shays
JimHimes
3$1,790,385$441,228Kerry52%D+5Shays50%$862KIL-10Mark
Kirk
DanSeals
3
t
$1,814,770
$240,479
Kerry53%D+4Kirk53%$1.5MLA-04
~ P E N
(McCrery)--Runoff
11
Runoff11/4
3Bush
59%
R+7McCrery58%MN-03OPEN(Ramstad)-Paulsen
AshwinMadia
3
-!,
$1,100,918
$995,003
Bush51%
R+1
Ramstad65%$1.5MMO-06SamGraves
KayBarnes
3$521,779
$304,284
Bush57%R+5Graves61%$830KNM-02OPEN(Pearce)--Tinslety
HarryTeague
3
-!,
$456,116
$147,087
Bush58%R+6Pearce62%$1.2MNV-03
Jon
Porter
DinaTitus
3
-!,
$835,950$245,832Bush50%
D+1
Porter48%$916KNY-26OPEN(Reynolds)--Lee
AliceKryzan
3$327,198$115,379Bush55%R+3Reynolds52%$916KOH-15OPEN(Pryce)--Stivers
Mary
Jo
Kilroy
3$570,127$569,772Bush50%
R+1
Pryce51%$1.6MWA-08DaveReichert
DarcyBurner
3$1,194,150
$770,988
Kerry51%
0+2
Reichert
51
%$949KMO-09
OPEN
(Hulshof)--luetkemeyer
JudithWBaker
3
-!,
$42,901$325,958Bush
59%
R+7Hulshof
61%
$941KOH-01SteveChabot
StevenLeoOriehaus
3$828,651
$362,270
Bush51%
R+1
Chabot53%$1.1MPA-03Phil
English
KathleenOahlkemper
3$394,011
$274,850
Bush53%
R+2
English54%$198KMN-06MicheleBachmann
ElwynTinklenberg
3
-!,
$1,368,186$356,721Bush57%R+5Bachmann49%WY-ALOPEN(Cubin)--Lummis
Gary
Trauner
3$201,906$595,912Bush69%R+19Cubin48.3%AL-02OPEN(Everett)--Love
BobbyNealBright
3
-!,
$306,682$66,189Bush67%R+13Everett69%$658KCA-50Brian
Bilbray
NicholasLeibham
2$382,375$333,997Bush55%R+5Bilbray54%FL-08RicKeller
AlanGrayson
2
-!,
$982,636
$310,271
Bush55%R+3Keller53%FL-13VernBuchanan
ChristineJennings
2
t
$277,637
$330,094
Bush56%R+4Buchanan50%FL-21
Lincoln
Diaz-Balart
Raul
L.
Martinez
2$1,742,662$1,118,166Bush57%R+6Oiaz-Balart59%$1.4MFL-25
Mario
Diaz-Balart
JoeGarcia
2$1,132,082
$373,047
Bush56%R+4Oiaz-Balart58%$1.4MIL-06PeterRoskam
JillMorgenthaler
2
t
$1,103,367
$160,800
Bush53%R+3Roskam53%OH-02Jean
Schmidt
VictoriaWulsin
2$346,501
$304,798
Bush63%R+13Schmidt51%PA-06
Jim
Gerlach
RobertRoggio
2$701,482
$216,408
Kerry51%D+2Gerlach51%
ID-01
Bill
Sali
WalterMinnick
2$202,377$176,844Bush69%R+19Sali50%VA-02ThelmaDrake
GlennNye
2$706,867$349,349Bush58%R+6Drake51%AZ-03
John
Shadegg
BobLord
2
-!,
$923,312
$149,905
Bush58%R+6Shaddegg58%VA-05
Virgil
Goode
TomPerriello
2$686,050$321,232Bush56%R+6Goode59%
=
TX-10MichaelMcCaul
LarryJoeDoherty
2$597,740
$220,675
Bush62%R+13McCaul55%NJ-05
Scott
Garrett
DennisShulman
2
-!,
$570,777
$279,096
Bush
57%
R+4Garrett55%
 
CompetitiveHouseRepublican
RacesDRAFT
10/23/20089:25
AM
NE-02
lee
Terry
JimEsch
2$514,338$266,247Bush68%R+9Terry55%KY-02OPEN
(lewis)--Guthrie
DavidBoswell
2$680,238
$232,103
Bush65%R+13Lewis56%NV-02Dean
Heller
JillDerby
2$405,997$245,767Bush57%R+8Heller51%FL-15OPEN
(Weldon)--Posey
SteveBlythe
1$220,700$9,256Bush57%R+4Weldon56%IL-18OPEN
(laHood)-Schock
ColleenCallahan
1$466,301$53,168Bush58%R+5LaHood67%PA-18
TimMurphy
StephenPaulOdonnell
1$1,094,819
$102,942
Bush54%R+2Murphy58%TX-07
JohnCulberson
MichaelPeterSkelly
1$744,056
$1,140,775
Bush64%R+16Culberson59%VA-10
Frank
Wolf
JudyFeder
1
{,
$1,007,139$647,796Bush55%R+5
Wolf
57%OH-07OPEN
(Hobson)--Austria
SharenNeuhardt
1$279,798$214,553Bush57%R+6Hobson61%
Ranking
System
Cash
on
Hand
numbers
as
of
September
30,2008
Trend=Momentuminthe
Race({,
isbadforincumbent)
5--seat
is
mostlikelygoneunlesssignificant
turn
of
events
4--leaningDemocrat;expecttolosemost
of
theseseatsunlessthere'sseriouschange3--truetoss-up,slightwindcouldpusheitherway;environmentiscriticaltotheseraces
CONFIDENTIALITYNOTE:
This
document
is
2--leaning
Republican;
if
there's
a
wave,
several
could
be
in
trouble
confidential.
Itis
intended
for
yourinformationonly
1--should
be
ok
butif
there'sawave,wecould
see
asurprise
andany
disclosure,
copying
or
unauthorized
distributionis
prohibited.
 
CompetitiveHouseDemocrat
RacesDRAFT
10/23/20089:25AMFL-16
Tim
Mahoney
TomRooney
5{.$190,225
$370,724
Bush54%R+2Mahoney49%$1.5M
I
AL-05
OPEN(Cramer)--Griffith
WayneParker
3
t
$254,821$127,253Bush60%R+6Cramer100%$825KNH-01
CarolShea-Porter
JebBradley
3
{.
$165,949
$507,551
Bush51%
R+O
Shea-Porter
51
%$1.1MIPA-10
ChrisCarney
ChristopherHackett
3
{.
$330,673$584,198Bush60%R+8Carney53%$10K
I
TX-22
NickLampson
Peter
Graham
Olson
3$468,630$1,175,912Bush64%R+15Lampson52%$1.5M
I
GA-08
JimMarshall
RickGoddard
2$480,042
$1,098,012
Bush53%R+8Marshall51%WI-08
SteveKagen
John
Gard2$607,712$668,821Bush55%R+4Kagen51%$475KAZ-05
HarryMitchell
David
Schweikert
2
t
$149,946$547,253Bush54%R+4Mitchell
51
%$2MLA-06
DonCazayoux
WilliamCassidy
2$476,881$37,924Bush59%R+7Cazayoux49%$740KMS-01
TravisChilders
GregDavis2$177,618
$302,206
Bush62%R+10Childers54%$1.1MOR-05
OPEN(Hooley)--Schrader
MikeErickson
2$41,763$232,912Bush50%0+1Hooley56%$1.2MPA-11
PaulKanjorski
Louis
J.Barletta2{.$251,226
$1,349,801
Kerry53%
0+5
Kanjorski72%$282KKS-02
NancyBayda
LynnJenkins
2
{.
$553,287
$622,330
Bush59%R+7Boyda51%$1.2MIN-09
BaronHill
Michael
E.
Sodrel
1
t
$263,806
$684,909
Bush59%R+7Hill49%$1.64MAZ-08
GabrielleGiffords
Timothy
Bee1$255,005$917,335Bush53%
R+1
Giffords54%$740KCA-11
JerryMcNerney
DeanAndal1$849,727
$1,022,121
Bush54%R+3McNerney53%$570KIL-14
BillFoster
Jim
Oberweis1$324,028$691,793Bush55%R+5Foster52%$1MKY-03
JohnYarmuth
AnneNorthup
1$764,150$762,795Kerry
51
%
0+2
Yarmuth51%$659KPA-04
JasonAltmire
Melissa
Hart
1$811,946
$1,174,130
Bush54%R+3Altmire52%$554K
~
5 ~ D f ~ ~
(these
ate
frompent
..
;,
.
"
Ie
CashonHand
numbers
as
of
September
30,2008
Trend=Momentuminthe
Race({.
is
bad5--seat
is
mostlikelygoneunlesssignificant
turnof
events
for
incumbent)
4--leaningRepublican
CONFIDENTIALITYNOTE:
This
document
is
3--truetoss-up,slightwindcouldpusheitherway;environmentiscriticaltotheseraces
confidential.
It
isintended
foryour
information
only
2--leaning
democrat
andanydisclosure,copying
or
distribution
is
1--outsideshot
of
an
upset
prohibited.

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