Muhlenberg College/Morning Call December 2011 Pennsylvania State Survey Final Frequency Report Sample - 447 Adult Pennsylvanians

422 Registered Voters Fielding Dates: November 28 December 7, 2011 Margin of Error = +/- 5% at 95% Level of Confidence AAPOR RR1 Response Rate = 20% 5 Callback Attempts Data Weighted by Age, Race, Educational Attainment, Gender and Region
Q1: Thank you. In which of the following categories does your current age fall? (READ LIST)
1. 2. 3. 4.

18-3420% 35-4926% 50-6434% Or over 6521%

Q2: Next, I would like for you to rate the performance of a few political officials. For each name that I read, please tell me if you approve or disapprove of the way he is doing his job. First, President Barack Obama
1. Approve.45% 2. Disapprove50% 3. Not Sure..5%

TREND April 2009 April 2010 September 2010 March 2011 August 2011 December 2011 Approve 61% 45% 40% 48% 35% 45% Disapprove 24% 46% 56% 44% 58% 50% Not Sure 15% 9% 4% 9% 7% 5%

Q3: Governor Tom Corbett?

1. Approve51% 2. Disapprove. 30% 3. Not Sure19%

TREND March 2011 August 2011 December 2011 Q4: Senator Pat Toomey?
1. Approve44% 2. Disapprove28% 3. Not Sure28%

Approve 36% 35% 51%

Disapprove 15% 33% 30%

Not Sure 49% 32% 19%

TREND March 2011 August 2011 December 2011 Approve 39% 40% 44% Disapprove 19% 30% 28% Not Sure 42% 31% 28%

Q5: And Senator Bob Casey, Jr.?

1. Approve.54% 2. Disapprove24% 3. Not Sure22%

TREND
March 2011 August 2011 December 2011 Approve 48% 40% 54% Disapprove 22% 35% 24% Not Sure 30% 26% 22%

Q6: Which of the following categories best describes your current voting status? Are you registered as a (READ LIST)?
1. Democrat.45%.

2. Republican.. 40% 3. Independent.11% 4. Other Party1% 5. Not registered to Vote in Pa..3% 6. Not Sure.1% Q7: Do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
1. Reelected..41% 2. Not reelected51% 3. Not Sure..8%

TREND March 2011 August 2011 December 2011 Yes 40% 36% 41% No 45% 55% 51% Not Sure 14% 9% 8%

Q8: Now, if the 2012 presidential election was being held today Do you think you would vote for Barack Obama, the Democratic candidate, or the Republican Candidate?
1. Barack Obama..45% 2. Republican Candidate..37% 3. Depends on the Candidate...14%

4. Not sure.5% TREND Obama March 2011 August 2011 December 2011 37% 36% 45% Republican 33% 31% 37% Depends on Candidate (vol) 22% 31% 14% Not Sure 8% 3% 5%

Q9: Now, if the 2012 presidential election was being held today and the race was between Barack Obama and Mitt Romney, who would you vote for?
1. Barack Obama..45% 2. Mitt Romney41% 3. Some other Candidate8%

4. Not sure.6% Q10: If the 2012 presidential election was being held today and the race was between Barack Obama and Rick Perry, who would you vote for?
1. Barack Obama..48% 2. Rick Perry.....30% 3. Some other Candidate..11%

4. Not sure10% Q11: Now, if the 2012 presidential election was being held today and the race was between Barack Obama and Herman Cain, who would you vote for?
1. Barack Obama..55%

2. Herman Cain 28% 3. Some other Candidate...10% 4. Not sure..8% Q12: Now, if the 2012 presidential election was being held today and the race was between Barack Obama and Newt Gingrich, who would you vote for?
1. Barack Obama.52%

2. Newt Gingrich 35% 3. Some other Candidate6% 4. Not sure..6%

Q13: Do you feel that Pennsylvania Senator Bob Casey, Jr. deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
1. Reelected ..54% 2. Not Reelected 27%

3. Not Sure.19% TREND March 2011 August 2011 December 2011 Yes 48% 41% 54% No 24% 30% 27% Not Sure/Refused 28% 30% 19%

Q14: If the 2012 election for United States Senator were being held today, do you think you would vote for Bob Casey Jr. the Democratic candidate, or the Republican candidate?
1. 2. 3. 4.

Bob Casey Jr. ..49% Republican Candidate..27% Depends on Candidate.16% Not Sure8% Casey Republican 27% 25% 28% Depends on Candidate (vol) 18% 25% 14% Not Sure/Refused 24% 18% 6%

TREND

March 2011 August 2011 December 2011

41% 33% 51%

Q15: If the elections for Congress were being held today, which party's candidate would you vote for in your congressional district. The Democratic Party's candidate, or the Republican Party's candidate?
1. Democratic Candidate 40%

2. Republican Candidate 35% 3. Depends on Candidate.19% 4. Not Sure 6%

Q16: How would you describe the state of the nation's economy today? Would you say that it is excellent, good, not so good, or poor?
1. Excellent..<1%

2. 3. 4. 5.

Good.7% Not So Good...27% Poor.64% Not Sure.1%

TREND
Excellent April 2011 August 2011 December 2011 <1% <1% <1% Good 11% 3% 7% Not So Good 51% 32% 27% Poor 31% 64% 64% Not Sure/Refuse d 5% 1% 1%

Q17: Do you think the nation's economy is getting better, getting worse, or staying about the same?
1. Getting Better.16% 2. Getting Worse.33% 3. About the same....50%

4. Not Sure<1% TREND

Getting Better April 2011 August 2011 December 2011 28% 12% 16% Getting Worse 27% 55% 34% Staying About The Same 38% 29% 50% Not Sure/Refused 5% 3% <1%

Q18: Do you think President Obama's policies have helped the economy, hurt the economy, or haven't made a difference?
1. Helped the economy.25% 2. Hurt the economy.38% 3. Made no difference...33%

4. Not sure.5%

Q19: When the Federal Reserve lowers interest rates in a given year, does that tend to make unemployment better or worse?"
1. 2. 3. 4.

Better.46% Worse.16% No Effect (Vol)..16% Not Sure (Vol)22%

Finally, I have a few questions about yourself. Q20: What county do you reside in? (CODED INTO REGIONS) Southeast.34% Southwest19% Remainder of State..48% Q: 21: What is your current marital status? (READ LIST)
1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6.

Single ..21% Married54% Separated3% Divorced.7% Widowed..14% Partnered1%

Q: 22: What is your highest level of education? (READ LIST) 1. 2. 3. 4. Less than HS 7% Hs grad34% Some college.. 29% College graduate.19% 5. Graduate or professional degree.11% 6. Not sure1%

Q23:
7

Which of the following categories best describes your racial identity? Are you (READ LIST)?
1. White/Caucasian.78%

2. African-American 10% 3. Hispanic5% 4. Asian American....2% 5. Native-American.1% 6. Mixed Race 4% 7. Other1% Q24: Which of the following categories best describes your family income? Is it?
1. Under $20,00013%

2. 3. 4. 5.

$20-40,000..25% $40-60,000..21% $60-80,000..15% $80-100,00012% 6. Over $100,000.12% 7. Not sure.2% Q25: Thank you for your help with the survey. We appreciate your time. 1. Male..48% 2. Female. 52%