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CBSNewsPoll 010912 Obama GOP

CBSNewsPoll 010912 Obama GOP

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Published by cbsnews
CBS News poll on President Obama and Republican presidential candidates, Jan. 9, 2012
CBS News poll on President Obama and Republican presidential candidates, Jan. 9, 2012

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Published by: cbsnews on Jan 09, 2012
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 CBS NEWS POLLFor Release: Monday, January 9, 20126:30 pm (ET)President Obama, the Economy and the November Election
January 4-8, 2012
If the election for president were held today, President Obama would be in a tight raceagainst either Mitt Romney or Ron Paul. He leads against Rick Santorum or NewtGingrich.
The President’s job approval rating is at 45% in this poll, not much different than it waslast month. Just 38% approve of his handling of the economy, also similar to last month.
Four in five Americans continue to rate the economy poorly, and just a quarter think it isgetting better. But looking ahead to the coming year, some Americans are optimistic.40% expect 2012 to be better than 2011, while just 11% think it will be worse. 46% thinkit will be about the same.
Looking Ahead to the General Election
In a series of possible general election match-ups based on the current field of Republicanpresidential candidates, if the election were held today Mitt Romney would have a slight edgeover Barack Obama, while the President would lead Ron Paul poll by just a point. PresidentObama leads against Rick Santorum, Newt Gingrich, Rick Perry, and Jon Huntsman.Among all registered voters, Mitt Romney (47%) has a 2-point edge over President Obama(45%), while Ron Paul gets 45% against the President at 46%. President Obama (47%) leadsRick Santorum (43%) with a four point margin, and he holds larger single-digit leads againstNewt Gingrich, Jon Huntsman, and Rick Perry.
Who Would You Vote For in November if the Candidates Were…?
(Among registered voters)Total Republicans Democrats IndependentsMitt Romney 47% 90% 10% 45%Barack Obama 45 5 87 39Ron Paul 45% 81% 10% 47%Barack Obama 46 9 85 40Rick Santorum 43% 83% 9% 41%Barack Obama 47 6 87 44Newt Gingrich 41% 81% 8% 38%Barack Obama 49 9 89 45Rick Perry 42% 85% 8% 39%Barack Obama 49 9 89 46Jon Huntsman 41% 80% 8% 40%Barack Obama 48 8 89 42
If the general election were held today, it would break down along highly partisan lines nomatter who gets the Republican nomination. A large percentage of Republicans rally behindany of the Republican nominees, though Romney does the best among registered Republicanswith 90% of their vote. About nine in 10 Democrats pick Barack Obama over any of theRepublican candidates. Independents show a preference for both Mitt Romney and Ron Paulover Barack Obama, though independents choose the President over the rest of the field.
The President’s Job Performance
Americans overall are divided in their assessment of the job Barack Obama is doing aspresident: 45% approve while 47% disapprove. The President’s approval rating has beenbelow 50% for much of the last year and a half.
President Obama’s Overall Job Rating
Now 12/2011 11/2011 9/2011Approve 45% 47% 43% 43%Disapprove 47 44 47 50Assessments of how the President is doing his job are highly partisan, with 84% of Democratsapproving of the job he is doing and 86% of Republicans disapproving. Independents are moredivided, though more independents disapprove (49%) than approve (38%) of how PresidentObama is handling his job.
President Obama’s Overall Job Rating
Total Republicans Democrats IndependentsApprove 45% 9% 84% 38%Disapprove 47 86 12 49While more approve than disapprove of the president’s handling of foreign policy, 55% ofAmericans disapprove of his handling of the economy.
Obama’s Job Rating
Foreign Policy EconomyNow 12/2011 Now 12/2011Approve 46% 51% 38% 40%Disapprove 37 32 55 53
The Economy
Despite some good news on the unemployment level last Friday, this poll shows little recentchange so far in evaluations of the economy. 80% of Americans view the economy as fairly orvery bad, while just 19% say it is at least fairly good. Nevertheless, the percentage that saysthe economy is good has almost doubled since last September.
Condition of the Economy
Total 12/2011 11/2011 10/2011 9/2011Good 19% 19% 13% 14% 10%Bad 80 81 86 86 88Assessments of the economic outlook show little recent change either. Just 25% of Americansthink the economy is getting better – similar to last month. 29% think it is getting worse and
45% think it is staying about the same. Again, there has been improvement since lastSeptember; the percentage that says the economy is improving has doubled since then.
Direction of the Economy
Now 12/2011 11/2011 10/2011 9/2011Getting better 25% 24% 18% 14% 12%Getting worse 29 30 32 36 40The same 45 45 50 49 46The economy and jobs remains the most important problem facing the country today accordingto most Americans, and most are at least somewhat concerned that they or someone else intheir household might lose their job in the next twelve months.
Americans remain highly critical of Congress. Just 12% of Americans approve of the jobCongress is doing, while 80% disapprove. Disapproval cuts across party lines, with largemajorities of Republicans, Democrats, and independents all disapproving of the job Congress isdoing.
Job Rating of Congress
Total Republicans Democrats IndependentsApprove 12% 20% 10% 8%Disapprove 80 74 85 82
Direction of the Country
There is some optimism in the poll. While two-thirds of Americans think the country is off on thewrong track, the percentage that says it is heading in the right direction has been growing overthe past few months. Now 29% say the country is headed in the right direction, up four pointsfrom last month and up 10 points from September.
Direction of the Country
Now 12/2011 10/2011 9/2011 6/2011Right direction 29% 25% 21% 19% 28%Wrong track 65 69 74 73 63Looking ahead to the coming year, some Americans are optimistic. 40% expect 2012 to bebetter than 2011, while just 11% think it will be worse. 46% think it will be about the same.
Expectations for 2012
Better than 2011 40%Worse than 2011 11The same 46
 ____________________________________________________________________________________ This poll was conducted by telephone from January 4-8, 2012 among 1,413 adults nationwide, including1,247 interviews were conducted with registered voters. Phone numbers were dialed from samples ofboth standard land-line and cell phones. The error due to sampling for results based on the entire samplecould be plus or minus three percentage points. The margin of error for the sample of registered voterscould be plus or minus three points. The error for subgroups may be higher. This poll release conformsto the Standards of Disclosure of the National Council on Public Polls.

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