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Russia, China and the United States, From Strategic Triangularism to the Post-modern Triangle

Russia, China and the United States, From Strategic Triangularism to the Post-modern Triangle

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Published by IFRI
by Bobo Lo
Proliferation Papers, n° 32, Winter 2010 / Russie.Nei.Visions, No.47, February 2010

Over the past decade, there has been much talk about a new world order, in which American "unipolarity" would be superseded by more equal arrangements between the great powers. One such idea is a return to the Russia-China-US triangle. In truth, however, the time for such geopolitical schemes has long passed. The contemporary international system is too complex and interdependent to be reduced to crude strategic balancing-a reality underlined by the global financial crisis. The most likely successor to US global leadership is not a "multipolar world order" dominated by the great powers, but a rough Sino-American bipolarity. This would bear little resemblance to the stark model of the cold war era, but instead foreshadow a new, post-modern triangle. The "third side" would not be Russia, but a mass of formal and informal networks involving nation-states, multilateral institutions, and non-state actors.
by Bobo Lo
Proliferation Papers, n° 32, Winter 2010 / Russie.Nei.Visions, No.47, February 2010

Over the past decade, there has been much talk about a new world order, in which American "unipolarity" would be superseded by more equal arrangements between the great powers. One such idea is a return to the Russia-China-US triangle. In truth, however, the time for such geopolitical schemes has long passed. The contemporary international system is too complex and interdependent to be reduced to crude strategic balancing-a reality underlined by the global financial crisis. The most likely successor to US global leadership is not a "multipolar world order" dominated by the great powers, but a rough Sino-American bipolarity. This would bear little resemblance to the stark model of the cold war era, but instead foreshadow a new, post-modern triangle. The "third side" would not be Russia, but a mass of formal and informal networks involving nation-states, multilateral institutions, and non-state actors.

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Published by: IFRI on Jan 24, 2012
Copyright:Attribution Non-commercial

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 ______________________________________________________________________ 
 
Russia, China and the United States
From Strategic Triangularismto the Post-modern Triangle
 
 ______________________________________________________________________ 
In collaboration with the Atomic Energy Commission (CEA
 )
Bobo Lo
Winter 2010 
.
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Security Studies Center
In cooperation with the Russia/NISCenter, Ifri
 
The Institut Français des Relations Internationales (Ifri) is a researchcenter and a forum for debate on major international political andeconomic issues. Headed by Thierry de Montbrial since its founding in1979, Ifri is a non-governmental, non-profit organization.As an independent think tank, Ifri sets its own research agenda,publishing its findings regularly for a global audience.Using an interdisciplinary approach, Ifri brings together political andeconomic decision-makers, researchers and internationally renownedexperts to animate its debate and research activities.With offices in Paris and Brussels, Ifri stands out as one of the rareFrench think tanks to have positioned itself at the very heart ofEuropean debate.
The opinions expressed in this text are the responsibility of the author alone.
ISBN : 978-2-86592-664-0 © Ifri – 2010 – All rights reserved
 
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Winter 2010 
Russia, China and the United States: From Strategic Triangularism to the Postmodern Triangle 
Bobo Lo 

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