MEMORANDUM

TO: FROM: RE: DATE: Interested Parties Jefrey Pollock & Joe Hickerson CD 12 Democratic Primary Poll Results February 14, 2012

The results of our survey of Democratic primary voters in Pennsylvanias 12th Congressional District put Mark Critz in a solid position to overtake Jason Altmire and win the primary in April once voters become more familiar with Critz and aware of the candidates recent votes on key issues important to Democrats.

P O LL RE S ULTS
If the Democratic primary for Congress was today, 47% of likely voters say they would vote for Jason Altmire, and 37% would vote for Mark Critz. Among voters who are already familiar with both candidates, the race is essentially tied, with Critz at 46% and Altmire at 45%. In the Johnstown-Altoona media market (Cambria and Somerset counties), Critz holds a commanding lead over Altmire, 88% to 4%. Mark Critz is familiar to just under half of the primary electorate (47% familiar), with 39% viewing him favorably, and 8% viewing him unfavorably. Jason Altmire starts the race much more familiar to primary voters (71% familiar), with 52% viewing him favorably and 19% viewing him unfavorably. After voters are read brief positive profiles of both candidates and no negative information about either Critz moves into a seven-point lead over Altmire, 46% to 39%. Note that the profile of Altmire that was read to voters was the same profile Altmire used in his own poll and released to the press.

ME THO DO LO G Y
This memorandum summarizes results from a telephone poll of 400 randomly selected likely Democratic primary voters in Pennsylvania conducted February 2-5, 2012. The estimation error associated with a sample of 400 is 4.9% at the 95% confidence interval. This means that in 95 of 100 cases, the results of this poll are within plus or minus 4.9 points of the results that would have been obtained if all likely voters had been interviewed. Note that special care was taken to ensure the geographic and demographic divisions of the actual electorate are properly represented.

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