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Andre Kaspura
The Engineering Profession, A Statistical Overview, Seventh Edition, 2010 ISBN 978-0858259553 Author: Andre Kaspura Institution of Engineers Australia 2010 All rights reserved. Other than brief extracts, no part of this publication may be reproduced in any form without the written consent of the publisher. The report can be downloaded at www.engineersaustralia.org.au
National and International Policy Engineers Australia 11 National Circuit, Barton ACT 2600 Tel: 02 6270 6555 Fax: 02 6273 4200 Email: policy@engineersaustralia.org.au www.engineersaustralia.org.au
CONTENTS
1 THE ENGINEERING PROFESSION AND STATISTICAL MEASUREMENT 1.1 The Purpose of the Statistical Handbook 1.2 The Engineering Profession 1.3 Methodology 1.4 Outline of the Statistical Handbook 2 UNIVERSITY COURSES IN ENGINEERING 2.1 Engineers Australias Role 2.2 Year 12 School Participation in Mathematics and Science 2.3 Commencements 2.4 Overall Enrolments 2.5 Completions 2.6 Engineering Completions Compared to Other Disciplines 3 NEW ENTRY LEVEL ENGINEERS 3.1 The Engineering Profession in Australia 3.2 Three Year Degrees in Engineering 3.3 Four Year Degrees in Engineering 3.4 Double Degrees in Engineering 3.5 Unknown Duration 3.6 Engineering Degree Completions 3.7 Completion of Associate Degrees and Diplomas 3.8 The Potential Flow of Graduates to the Engineering Profession 4 SKILLED MIGRATION 4.1 Skilled Migrants and the Recognition of Engineering Qualifications 4.2 Permanent Migration 4.3 Temporary Migration 5 OTHER CHARACTERISTICS OF ENGINEERS 5.1 Introduction 5.2 Responsibility Levels 5.3 Age 5.4 Work Experience 5.5 Salary Packages 5.6 Graduate Commencing Salaries 6 WHAT DO WE KNOW ABOUT ENGINEERING SKILLS SHORTAGES? 6.1 Introduction 6.2 The Base Line for Evaluation of Skill Shortages 6.3 Survey Evidence 6.4 Relative Skills Shortage Index 6.5 Surrogate Measures of Supply and Demand 1 1 2 4
6 6 9 14 17 20
22 23 24 26 27 27 29 30
33 34 37
39 39 40 42 44 48
50 50 53 56 57
CONTENTS
LIST OF TABLES
CHAPTER 2 Table 2.1 Participation in Mathematics in Australia Table 2.2. Year 12 Science Participation in Australian Schools Table 2.3 Students Commencing Australian University Engineering and Related Technology Courses, by Domicile Table 2.4 Students Commencing Australian University Engineering and Related Technology Courses, by Gender Table 2.5 Domestic Students Commencing Australian University Engineering and Related Technology Courses Table 2.6 Overseas Students Commencing Australian University Engineering and Related Technology Courses Table 2.7 Students Enrolled in Australian University Engineering and Related Technology Courses, by Domicile Table 2.8 Students Enrolled in Australian University Engineering and Related Technology Courses, by Gender Table 2.9 Domestic Students Enrolled in Australian University Engineering and Related Technology Cours Table 2.10 Overseas Students Enrolled in Australian University Engineering and Related Technology Courses Table 2.11 Students Completing Awards in Engineering and Related Technologies from Australian Universities, by Domicile Table 2.12 Students Completing Awards in Engineering and Related Technologies from Australian Universities, by Gender Table 2.13 Domestic Students Completing Awards in Engineering and Related Technologies from Australian Universities Table 2.14 Overseas Students Completing Awards in Engineering and Related Technologies from Australian Universities CHAPTER 3 Table 3.1 Domestic Students CompletingThree Year Bachelors Degrees in Engineering, By Engineering Discipline Table 3.2 Domestic Students Completing Four Year Bachelors Degrees in Engineering, By Engineering Discipline Table 3.3 Domestic Students Completing Four Year Double Degree Programs In Engineering, By Engineering Discipline Table 3.4 Domestic Students Completing Bachelors Degrees in Engineering Of all Durations, by Engineering Discipline Table 3.5 Students Completing AQF Diplomas and Advanced Diplomas in Engineering From Australian TAFE Colleges, by Engineering Discipline Table 3.6 University Completions of Associate Degrees, Diplomas and Advanced Diplomas in Engineering Table 3.7 The Potential Flow of New Graduates to the Engineering Profession CHAPTER 4 Table 4.1 Immigration of Engineers to Australia Table 4.2 Immigration of Civil Engineers to Australia Table 4.3 Immigration of Electrical and Electronic Engineers to Australia Table 4.4 Immigration of Mechanical and Production Engineers to Australia Table 4.5 Immigration of Mining and Materials Engineers to Australia Table 4.6 Immigration of Engineering Technologists to Australia Table 4.7 Immigration of Other Engineers to Australia 7 8 10 10 11 12 15 15 16 16 18 18 19 19
23 25 26 27 29 30 31
34 35 35 36 36 36 37
CONTENTS
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THE ENGINEERING PROFESSION; A Statistical Overview, Seventh Edition 2010 CHAPTER 5 Table 5.1 The Mean Age of Private Sector Engineers Table 5.2 The Mean Age of Public Sector Engineers Table 5.3 The Mean Ages of Engineers in Australia Table 5.4 Mean Years of Work Experience of Private Sector Engineers Table 5.5 Mean Years of Work Experience of Public Sector Engineers Table 5.6 Mean Salaries of Private Sector Engineers (2007-08 Prices) Table 5.7 Mean Salaries of Public Sector Engineers (2007-08 Prices) Table 5.8 Mean Graduate Engineering Commencing Salaries CHAPTER 6 Table 6.1 Unemployment Rates for Qualified Engineers in the 2006 Population Census Table 6.2 Unemployment Rates for Engineering Education Specialisations in 2006 Table 6.3 An Overview of Engineering Skills Shotages Since 2006 Table 6.4 Recruiting Problems Experienced as a Result of Engineering Skills Shortages Table 6.5 Consequences of Engineering Skills Shortages Table 6.6 New Graduate Relative Skills Shortage Index Table 6.7 Relative Skills Shortage Index foe Engineering Disciplines
40 40 41 42 42 44 44 48
51 52 53 54 54 56 56
LIST OF FIGURES
CHAPTER 2 Figure 2.1 Year 12 Participation in Mathematics in Australia Figure 2.2 Year 12 Participation in Physics and Chemistry in Australia Figure 2.3 The Trend in Domestic and Overseas Student Commencements in Bachelors Degrees Figure 2.4 The Gender Composition of Domestic Commencements in Bachelors Degrees Figure 2.5 The Trend in Domestic and Overseas Coursework Masters Degree Commencements Figure 2.6 The Distribution of Domestic Bachelors Commencements In Engineering And Related Technologies Between Jurisdictions Figure 2.7 The Distribution of Overseas Students Commencing Courses in Engineering and Relate Technologies Across Jurisdictions Figure 2.8 Domestic Engineering & Related Technologies Course Completions as Shares of Domestic Course Completions in All Disciplines Figure 2.9 Engineering and Related Technologies Completions by Overseas Students as a Share of all Overseas Completions CHAPTER 3 Figure 3.1 Completions of Bachelors Degrees in Engineering since 2001 Figure 3.2 Engineering Specialisations Among Completions of Bachelors Degrees Figure 3.3 The Potential Flow of New Graduates to the Engineering Profession CHAPTER 4 Figure 4.1 Engineers Migrating to Australia by Visa Type Figure 4.2 Domestic Engineering Bachelors Completions Compared to Permanent And Temporary Migration of Engineers CHAPTER 5 Figure 5.1 The Mean Ages of Australian Engineers Figure 5.2 Mean Years of Work Experience of Private Sector Engineers Figure 5 3 Mean Years of Work Experience of Public Sector Engineers Figure 5.4 Comparing Private and Public Sector Engineers Level 1 Salary Packages Figure 5.5 Comparing Private and Public Sector Engineers Level 2 Salary Packages Figure 5.6 Comparing Private and Public Sector Engineers Level 3 Salary Packages Figure 5.7 Comparing Private and Public Sector Engineers Level 4 Salary Packages Figure 5.8 Comparing Private and Public Sector Engineers Level 5 Salary Packages Figure 5.9 Comparing Private and Public Sector Salary Packages for Engineer Above Level 5 Figure 5.10 Engineering Graduate Salaries relative to Average Ordinary Earnings CHAPTER 6 Figure 6.1 Unemployment Rates for Qualified Engineers in 2006 Figure 6.2 Engineering Skills Shortages in Australia for Different Responsibility Levels Figure 6.3 Engineering Skill Shortages by Discipline Figure 6.4 Forecasting Engineering Construction Compared to Corresponding Growth in New Domestic Graduates 7 8 12 12 13 13 14 20 21
28 28 31
34 37
41 43 43 45 45 46 46 47 47 48
51 55 55 57
iv
1.
Adapted from Joseph W Barker, McGraw Hill Dictionary of Scientific and Technical Terms, 2 Ed, New York, 1993, pp409-10 2 Op cit 3 For an analysis of the US situation see The Education and Employment of Engineering Graduates, Engineering Workforce Project Report No 1, Abt Associates, for the National Science Foundation, June 2004, www.abtassociates.com 4 See for example Department of Education, Science and Training, Science, Engineering and Technology Skills Audit, July 2006, www.dest.gov.au 5 See the description of engineering responsibility levels, how they are connected to qualifications and experience and the associated job titles in APESMA, Professional Engineer Remuneration Survey Report, December 2007, pp8-9, www.apesma.asn.au
nd
THE ENGINEERING PROFESSION; A Statistical Overview, Seventh Edition 2010 system used by the Australian Bureau of Statistics, but often users limit their attention the first group of occupations. Past Editions of this Statistical Overview have examined the distinction between the number of individuals in Australia holding engineering qualifications and the engineering profession using pre-designed statistical tables from the Population Census provided by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) on a consultancy basis. The ABS has now made available a flexible facility to analyse Census statistics (Tablebuilder) and this has been used to undertake a more extensive and robust profile of engineers and the engineering profession in Australia published6 separately. Accordingly, this Edition of the Statistical Overview does not repeat the Chapter 2 of past Editions.
1.3 Methodology
In Australia the engineering profession is organised into three occupational groups according to the educational qualifications held and the professional experience of individuals. The groups are: Professional Engineers apply lifelong learning, critical perception and engineering judgment to the performance of engineering services. Professional Engineers challenge current thinking and conceptualise alternative approaches, often engaging in research and development of new engineering principles, technologies and materials. Professional Engineers apply their analytical skills and well developed grasp of scientific principles and engineering theory to design original and novel solutions to complex problems. Professional Engineers exercise a disciplined and systemmatic approach to innovation and creativity, comprehension of risks and benefits and use informed professional judgment to select optimal solutions, justify and defend these selections to clients, colleagues and the community. Professional Engineers require at least the equivalent of the competencies in a four year Bachelors degrees in engineering. Engineering Technologists exercise ingenuity, originality and understanding in adapting and applying technologies, developing related new technologies or applying scientific knowledge within their specialised environment. The education, expertise and analytical skills of Engineering Technologists equip them with a robust understanding of the theoretical and practical application of engineering and technical principles. Within their specialisation, Engineering Technologists contribute to the improvement of standards and codes of practise, and the adaptation of established technologies to new situations. Engineering Technologists require at least the equivalent of the competencies in a three year Bachelors degree in engineering. Engineering Associates apply detailed knowledge of standards and codes of practice to selecting, specifying, installing, commissioning, monitoring, maintaining, repairing and modifying complex assets such as structures, plant, equipment, components and systems. The education, training and experience of Engineering Associates equip them with the necessary theoretical knowledge and analytical skills for testing, fault diagnosis and understanding the limitations of complex assets in familiar operating situations. Engineering Associates require at least the equivalent of the competencies in an Associate degree in engineering or a diploma or advanced diploma in engineering from a university or TAFE college.
All data available from the ABS are classified according to standard classification systems described on the ABS web-site. Education statistics are classified according to the Australian Standard Classification of Education (ASCED). ASCED differentiates between fields of
Engineers Australia, Engineers and the Engineering Profession in Australia: A Profile from the 2006 Population Census, 2010, www.engineersaustralia.org.au
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THE ENGINEERING PROFESSION; A Statistical Overview, Seventh Edition 2010 education and levels of education. So far as level of education is concerned, Bachelors Honours degrees are treated as notionally of four years duration and Bachelors Pass degrees are notionally treated as between three and six years duration7. This means that in ABS census and other data collections, no distinction is drawn between Professional Engineers and Engineering Technologists. However, because the ABS data are organised around the AQF framework, separate data for Engineering Associates can be obtained. There is also an important issue that involves the fields dimension for the main element of the classification dealing with engineering, ASCED 03 Engineering and Related Technologies. This is one of 12 broad fields of education identified in ASCED and covers all the accepted fields of engineering education. The issue is that ASCED 0311 Geomatic Engineering is treated as an engineering field of education instead of a separate profession, surveying. By including surveying with engineering, the numbers of engineering graduates is overstated. In the past, the extent of this problem was unknown, but as a result of tailored data request to the ABS and to the organisations from which education statistics were sourced, separation between engineering and surveying graduates is now possible for large amounts of data. Unfortunately, resource limitations and some data limitations mean that the problem persists in some cases. The University statistics in Chapter 3 were obtained from the Department of Education, Employment and Workplace Relations (DEEWR) and the TAFE statistics in Chapter 4 from the National Centre for Vocational Education Research (NCVER). Both agencies use the ASCED classification system. DEEWR data were obtained for commencing students, students currently studying and completing students. These statistics are provided for ASCED 03 Engineering and Related Technologies and thus include ASCED 0311 Geomatic Engineering or surveying. However, entry level completions data for Australian universities were obtained in more detailed form and it was possible to separate Geomatic Engineering from mainstream engineering. Unlike the ABS, DEEWR was also able to separate completions of three year degrees, four year degrees and degrees longer than four years (mainly double degrees). All educational qualifications in Australia are classified according to the Australian Standard Classification of Qualifications framework (AQF). This ensures that equivalent qualifications are treated consistently. This is particularly important in respect to the qualifications for Engineering Associates. Some universities offer Associate degrees and Diplomas and Advanced Diplomas in Engineering. But, the main body of potential Engineering associates graduate from Australias Tertiary and Further Education (TAFE) system. Statistics on TAFE graduations are available from 2002 onwards, one year less than for university statistics, and use different rounding and randomizing for privacy reasons. The terminology used generally are the terms used by the agencies collecting the statistics reported. When there is a need to relate statistical desciptions to terms used by engineering organisations this is done appropriately. In the Sixth and earlier Editions of the Statistics Handbook time series statistics before and a change in classification systems in 2001 were combined. Relevant caveats applying to the discontinuity in the series in the year of the change were explained. This continuity was relatively minor at aggregate level but quite important at disaggregated levels. In this Edition sufficient statistics have been collected using current classifications for most time series purposes and the use of pre-2001 statistics has been discontinued. Readers interested in earlier statistics are referred to the Sixth Edition of the Statistical Overview. As was the case in the Sixth Edition, only aggregate Australia wide data are presented here, except for a few examples to illustrate distributional issues. Users who require data on the
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THE ENGINEERING PROFESSION; A Statistical Overview, Seventh Edition 2010 engineering profession at State and/or Territory level can obtain this from the Supplement to the Statistical Handbook available from the Engineers Australia web-site8. Finally, a comment on data and resource availability is required. The availability of data freely on the internet has improved significantly in recent years. Each of the agencies (DEEWR. ABS, NCVER and the Department of Immigration and Citizenship) from which data were obtained for the Statistical Overview provide large amounts of data in this way. However, in most cases, the data required for useful analyses of engineers and engineering require a more detailed level of disaggregation than generally available on the web. In most cases disaggregated statistics are obtainable, but on a fee for service basis. Resource constraints mean that improvements in statistics requires an incremental approach over time. The main improvement in this round is the result of investment in the ABS Tablebuilder facility. This process will continue so that over time, continuous improvement is achieved.
www.engineersaustralia.org.au/resources-and-library/resources-and-library-home.cfm
Chapter 5 looks at several characteristics of engineers using survey data from the remuneration surveys undertaken by the Association of Professional Engineers, Scientists and Managers, Australia (APESMA). This survey has been running for over two decades and offers the opportunity to consider how the average age, work experience and salary packages of engineers have changed for different experience categories. These statistics relate only to Professional Engineers. Ideally, the adequacy of engineers in the Australian labour market should be investigated using consistent statistics for the supply of, and demand for, engineers in the different circumstances in engineers are employed. Unfortunately, this is not possible with the statistics presently available in Australia. Limitations include differences in definitions and classification systems, the ways in which some data are gathered and the need to use data designed to meet other needs9. As is often the case, what is available determines what is possible. Despite the difficulties, the statistics in this Handbook build a useful narrative describing the engineering profession in Australia. Chapter 6 complies a range of statistics on the adequacy of engineering numbers. Direct evidence on the shortage of engineers from the Population Census in 2006 is reported as well as alternative indirect or surrogate approaches for subsequent years. Surrogate measures have important limitations, but when considered together and in conjunction with the direct evidence from the Census, they provide useful confirmation of anecdotal information available to Engineers Australia and other organisations. The most important information gap relates to the retirement of engineers from the labour market. Census statistics show that the age structure of qualified engineers is older than the age structure of the equivalently qualified individuals in Australian workforce. The age structure for the engineering profession is dicotomous with higher shares in the oldest age groups but also higher shares in some of the younger age groups. Retirement patterns for engineers requires more research and the first step is an Engineers Australia retirement intentions survey. The results of this work will be available later in 2010.
In the USA data on engineering and science professionals are collected in several inter-related and purpose designed surveys undertaken by the National Science Board, see National Science Board, Science and Engineering Indicators, 2008, www.nsf.gov . This is a different methodological approach to the Australian data collection.
2.
Table 2.1 shows the number of year 12 students studying advanced, intermediate and fundamental mathematics since 2001 and Figure 2.1 illustrates the trends in this Table.. A key conclusion, from Barrington, noted in earlier Editions was that the proportion of year 12 studying advanced and intermediate mathematics has fallen. The ACER statistics confirm this conclusion as shown in Figure 3.1. In 2001, 26,216, or 13.9% of year 12 students studied advanced mathematics but, by 2007, the number had fallen to 22,999 and the share to 11.6%. A similar change took place in intermediate mathematics with numbers falling from 65,323 in 2001 to 60,723 in 2007 and shares falling from 34.7% to 30.6% respectively. Conversely, both the numbers and shares of students undertaking other levels of mathematics have both increased.
www.engineersaustralia.org.au/education John Ainley, Julie Kos and Marina Nicholas, Participation in Science, Mathematics and Technology in Australian Education, ACER Research Monograph No 63, August 2008, www.acer.edu.au 12 Frank Barrington, Participation in Year 12 Mathematics across Australia 1995-2004, 2006, ICE-EM Publications, University of Melbourne 13 Ainley et al, p29
11
10
TABLE 2.1 YEAR 12 PARTICIPATION IN MATHEMATICS IN AUSTRALIA LEVEL 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 ADVANCED Number 26216 26350 27096 27873 25144 Percent 13.9 13.6 14 14.4 12.9 INTERMEDIATE Number 65323 63933 63923 63167 64203 Percent 34.7 33 33 32.7 33.1 OTHER LEVELS Number 79644 83047 83023 83020 81771 Percent 42.3 42.9 42.9 43 42.1 Source: Ainley, Kos and Nicholas, ACER, 2008 2006 2007
23997 22999 12.2 11.6 62071 60723 31.6 30.6 84122 92044 42.8 46.4
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
In the past, the mathematics background of students commencing engineering was relatively homogeneous. Most were expected to have advanced school mathematics, but the declining proportion of year 12 student with advanced level mathematics has meant that universities have considered programs to upgrade student mathematics understanding. The greater diversity of mathematics backgrounds accepted by universities and ways to deal with this by different universities was recently examined by the Carrick Institute to better inform educators to facilitate a more concerted national effort14. Table 2.2 shows the trends in year 12 participation in science subjects since 2001. Figure 2.2 puts the trends for physics and chemistry into a longer term context. Physics and chemistry are both important enabling subjects for engineering courses. Table 2.2 shows that the number of year 12 students studying chemistry has increased from 33,554, or 17.8% in 2001 to 35,697, or 18.0% in 2007. But as Figure 2.2 shows, this recent change leaves the share of students taking chemistry well below long term trends. In 1976,
Philip Broadbridge and Simi Henderson, Mathematics Education for 21 Century Engineering Students, sponsored by the Carrick Institute, Australian Mathematical Sciences Institute, March 2008, www.amsi.org.au
14 st
THE ENGINEERING PROFESSION; A Statistical Overview, Seventh Edition 2010 28.6% of year 12 students studied chemistry and this share fell continuously to a minimum of 17.1% in 2002..
TABLE 2.2 YEAR 12 SCIENCE PARTICIPATION IN AUSTRALIAN SCHOOLS SUBJECT 2001 2002 2003 2004 Students enrolled BIOLOGY 47744 47770 48532 48774 CHEMISTRY 33554 33105 34074 35230 PHYSICS 31016 30552 31141 31588 PSYCHOLOGY 14670 15037 15824 16386 GEOLOGY 1888 1809 1865 1956 OTHER 14713 14650 14617 13823 Percent of Year 12 cohort BIOLOGY 25.4 24.7 25.1 25.2 CHEMISTRY 17.8 17.1 17.6 18.2 PHYSICS 16.5 15.8 16.1 16.3 PSYCHOLOGY 7.8 7.8 8.2 8.5 GEOLOGY 1.0 0.9 1.0 1.0 OTHER 7.8 7.6 7.5 7.2 Percent of original Year 8 cohort BIOLOGY 18.6 18.5 18.9 19.1 CHEMISTRY 13.1 12.8 13.3 13.8 PHYSICS 12.1 11.8 12.1 12.4 PSYCHOLOGY 5.7 5.8 6.2 6.4 GEOLOGY 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 OTHER 5.7 5.7 5.7 5.4 Source: Ainley, Kos and Nicholas, ACER, 2008 2005 48807 35734 29506 16982 2070 13421 25.1 18.4 15.2 8.7 1.1 6.9 18.9 13.9 11.4 6.6 0.8 5.2 2006 49245 35490 28730 18124 1883 13532 25.1 18.1 14.6 9.2 1.0 6.9 18.7 13.5 10.9 6.9 0.7 5.1 2007 48964 35697 28931 16858 1684 16386 24.7 18.0 14.6 8.5 0.8 8.3 18.4 13.4 10.8 6.3 0.6 6.1
24 23 22 21 20
19 18 17 16 15 14 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
In physic, the recent statistics in Table 2.2 are a continuation of the long term trend. In 1976, 27.5% of year 12 students studied physics but by 2007 this had fallen to 14.6%.
THE ENGINEERING PROFESSION; A Statistical Overview, Seventh Edition 2010 Engineering competes with many other disciplines for year 12 students with advanced mathematics and physics and chemistry backgrounds. The demands for professional skills in science, mathematics, medicine, accounting and engineering have increased significantly in line with the growth of the Australian economy. The trends discussed above indicate that this increasing demand confronts a declining pool of eligible year 12 graduates.
2.3 Commencements
This Section looks at commencements in Engineering and Related Technologies university courses. Tables 2.3 to 2.4 show these statistics in different forms. Table 2.3 looks at commencements by course level and domicile, drawing the distinction between domestic and overseas commencements from 2001 to 2008. Table 2.4 highlights the gender composition of commencements. Tables 2.5 and 2.6 look at domestic and overseas commencements in more detail. All four Tables look at the level of course commenced15. Overall commencements in Engineering and related Technology courses increased from 19,304 in 2001 to 23,271 in 2008, an increase of 3,967 or 20.6%. This increase was in two parts. Domestic student commencements increased from 14,024 in 2001 to 14,680 in 2008, having first fallen to 13,580 in 2005. The increase was 656, or 4.7% of the 2001 figure. Another way to view this is that the increase in domestic commencements was 16.5% of the overall increase. The remaining 3,311 increase in commencements came from overseas students. This was an increase of 62.7%. Between 2007 and 2008 domestic student commencements fell by 2.1% from 15,002 to 14,680 while overseas student commencements increased by 3.8% from 8,278 to 8,591. Domestic commencements in doctoral programs fell (-3.9%), increased in research masters programs (14.5%), increased in coursework masters programs (9.4%), increased in other postgraduate programs (9.9%) and increased in bachelors programs (2.2%) but fell sharply in associate degree and diploma programs (-69.0%) and in other undergraduate courses (56.3%). Nearly all the domestic increase in bachelors degrees were men. Women commencements in bachelors degrees were at their highest in 2001 (1,638) but fell to 1,257 by 2005. Since then numbers have steadily recovered but 2008 commencements (1,597) were still below the 2001 figure. Domestic men commencements in bachelors degrees had fallen to 8,574 in 2004 and have grown steadily to 9,697 in 2008, but the increase between 2007 and 2008 was the first substantive increase above the 9,432 commencements recorded in 1997. Over 81% of overseas student commencements were in coursework masters and bachelors degrees, repeating the pattern of previous years. The number of commencements in coursework masters degrees increased marginally from 2,528 to 2,552. However, there was a sharp fall in overseas student commencements in bachelors degrees from 4,289 in 2007 to 2,552 in 2008. This was the lowest figure this decade by a significant margin. In contrast to previous years doctorate degree commencements increased sharply from 431 in 2007 to 573 in 2008. There are now more overseas doctorate commencements than domestic. Overseas female commencements continued to increase strongly.
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Most course levels are self explanatory but some are not. Other post-graduate programs include preparatory courses for higher awards, post-graduate certificates and post-graduate diplomas. Associate Degrees and AQF Diplomas include associate degrees, advanced AQF Diplomas and AQF Diplomas. Other under-graduate includes enabling courses and various under-graduate certificates.
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 534 614 615 687 550 486 519 324 366 322 347 292 257 234 798 1007 1007 964 876 943 1031 1093 998 1106 1017 1092 1039 955 10786 10278 10089 9910 9920 10288 11051 252 335 295 294 420 439 694 237 573 599 523 430 480 518 14024 14171 14033 13742 13580 13932 15002
OVERSEAS STUDENTS DOCTORAL 237 RESEARCH MASTERS 121 COURSEWORK MASTERS 1305 OTHER POSTGRADUATE 221 BACHELORS 3374 ASSOCIATE DEGREE & DIP's 17 OTHER UNDERGRADUATE 5 TOTAL 5280
ALL STUDENTS DOCTORAL 771 840 872 951 822 847 950 RESEARCH MASTERS 445 506 480 550 469 435 432 COURSEWORK MASTERS 2103 2752 3857 3751 3455 3238 3559 OTHER POSTGRADUATE 1314 1255 1254 1179 1386 1361 1258 BACHELORS 14160 14137 14369 13846 13698 14142 15340 ASSOCIATE DEGREE & DIP's 269 412 322 336 569 603 1170 OTHER UNDERGRADUATE 242 583 662 565 481 553 571 TOTAL 19304 20485 21816 21178 20880 21179 23280 Source: Data provided by DEEWR
TABLE 2.4 STUDENTS COMMENCING AUSTRALIAN UNIVERSITY ENGINEERING AND RELATED TECHNOLOGIES COURSES, BY GENDER MEN LEVEL DOCTORAL RESEARCH MASTERS COURSEWORK MASTERS OTHER POSTGRADUATE BACHELORS ASSOCIATE DEGREE & DIP's OTHER UNDERGRADUATE TOTAL WOMEN DOCTORAL RESEARCH MASTERS COURSEWORK MASTERS OTHER POSTGRADUATE BACHELORS ASSOCIATE DEGREE & DIP's OTHER UNDERGRADUATE TOTAL 175 76 368 214 2194 15 32 3074 182 97 461 213 2139 55 55 3202 173 101 574 179 2138 21 69 3255 201 108 612 195 1989 11 35 3151 163 100 586 226 1926 87 74 3162 197 89 539 251 2045 113 96 3330 196 109 605 208 2357 145 116 3736 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 596 658 699 750 659 650 754 369 409 379 442 369 346 323 1735 2291 3283 3139 2869 2699 2954 1100 1042 1075 984 1160 1110 1050 11966 11998 12231 11857 11772 12097 12983 254 357 301 325 482 490 1025 210 528 593 530 407 457 455 16230 17283 18561 18027 17718 17849 19544
ALL STUDENTS DOCTORAL 771 840 872 951 822 847 950 RESEARCH MASTERS 445 506 480 550 469 435 432 COURSEWORK MASTERS 2103 2752 3857 3751 3455 3238 3559 OTHER POSTGRADUATE 1314 1255 1254 1179 1386 1361 1258 BACHELORS 14160 14137 14369 13846 13698 14142 15340 ASSOCIATE DEGREE & DIP's 269 412 322 336 569 603 1170 OTHER UNDERGRADUATE 242 583 662 565 481 553 571 TOTAL 19304 20485 21816 21178 20880 21179 23280 Source: Data provided by DEEWR
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ALL DOMESTIC STUDENTS DOCTORAL 534 614 615 687 550 486 519 RESEARCH MASTERS 324 366 322 347 292 257 234 COURSEWORK MASTERS 798 1007 1007 964 876 943 1031 OTHER POSTGRADUATE 1093 998 1106 1017 1092 1039 955 BACHELORS 10786 10278 10089 9910 9920 10288 11051 ASSOCIATE DEGREE & DIP's 252 335 295 294 420 439 694 OTHER UNDERGRADUATE 237 573 599 523 430 480 518 TOTAL DOMESTIC STUDENTS 14024 14171 14033 13742 13580 13932 15002 Source: Data provided by DEEWR TABLE 2.6 OVERSEAS STUDENTS COMMENCING AUSTRALIAN UNIVERSITY ENGINEERING AND RELATED TECHNOLOGIES COURSES
MEN LEVEL DOCTORAL RESEARCH MASTERS COURSEWORK MASTERS OTHER POSTGRADUATE BACHELORS ASSOCIATE DEGREE & DIP's OTHER UNDERGRADUATE TOTAL WOMEN DOCTORAL RESEARCH MASTERS COURSEWORK MASTERS OTHER POSTGRADUATE BACHELORS ASSOCIATE DEGREE & DIP's OTHER UNDERGRADUATE TOTAL 47 24 216 27 556 1 3 874 40 23 303 38 653 19 1 1077 50 25 407 20 716 1 17 1236 51 30 443 28 653 2 8 1215 50 40 437 35 669 45 10 1286 89 43 355 53 670 69 10 1289 95 54 427 52 766 65 19 1478 161 48 468 52 784 56 13 1582 2001 190 97 1089 194 2818 16 2 4406 2002 186 117 1442 219 3206 58 9 5237 2003 207 133 2443 128 3564 26 46 6547 2004 213 173 2344 134 3283 40 34 6221 2005 222 137 2142 259 3109 104 41 6014 2006 272 135 1940 269 3184 95 63 5958 2007 336 144 2101 251 3523 411 34 6800 2008 412 131 2084 254 1597 399 50 4927
ALL OVERSEAS STUDENTS DOCTORAL 237 RESEARCH MASTERS 121 COURSEWORK MASTERS 1305 OTHER POSTGRADUATE 221 BACHELORS 3374 ASSOCIATE DEGREE & DIP's 17 OTHER UNDERGRADUATE 5 TOTAL 5280 Source: Data provided by DEEWR
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FIGURE 2.3: THE TREND IN DOMESTIC AND OVERSEAS STUDENT COMMENCEMENTS IN BACHELORS DEGREES
18000
16000
14000
12000
NUMBERS
6000
4000
2000
Figure 2.3 illustrates the trends in domestic and overseas commencements in bachelors degrees. This clearly shows the fall in domestic commencements to 2004 while overseas commeements kept total commencements relatively steady. From 2005 onwards, both domestic and overseas commencements began to increase and in 2007 and 2008 total commencements recorded successive historical record levels.
FIGURE 2.4: THE GENDER COMPOSITION OF DOMESTIC COMMENCEMENTS IN BACHELORS DEGREES
12000
10000
8000
NUMBER
6000
WOMEN MEN
4000
2000
Figure 2.4 ilustrates the gender composition of domestic commencements in bachelors degrees, the main entry level qualification for the engineering profession. In 2001, the proportion of women was 15.2% but then steadily fell to 12.7% in 2005. The share recovered to 14.4% in 2007, but in the latest year has contracted to 14.1%. Figure 2.5 illustrates the rapid expansion in commencements in coursework masters degrees in engineering. The number of domestic commencements has been relatively steady with some annual movements. Most of the expansion in these courses is due to increasing overseas student numbers. Commencements peaked in 2003 and then fell until 2006. In the
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THE ENGINEERING PROFESSION; A Statistical Overview, Seventh Edition 2010 last two years shown, commencements have resumed their earlier growth but overall numbers are still somewhat below their peak.
FIGURE 2.5: THE TREND IN DOMESTIC AND OVERSEAS COURSEWORK MASTERS DEGREE COMMENCEMENTS
4500
4000
3500
3000
NUMBERS
1500
1000
500
FIGURE 2.6: THE DISTRIBUTION OF DOMESTIC BACHELORS COMMENCEMENTS IN ENGINEERING AND RELATER TECHNOLOGIES BETWEEN JURISDICTIONS
4000 3500 3000
NUMBER
2002
VICTORIA
2003
2004
WA SA
2005
TASMANIA
2006
NT ACT
2007
2008
QUEENSLAND
Figure 2.6 illustrates the distribution of bachelors degree commencements between States and Territories. The highest level of commencements was in Victoria in 2001. This level of domestic commencements has yet to be repeated in any jurisdiction. Victorian and New South Wales commencements fell until 2005 and then began to increase. In the case of New South Wales this increase continued to 2008 and this State now has the highest level of domestic commencements. Victorian commencements increased in 2006 and 2007, but fell away in 2008. Queensland commencements were relatively static until 2004 and have increased each year since. Commencements in Western Australia have steadily increased each year. South Australian commencements show no obvious trend. The remaining jurisdictions have quite small commencement levels. Figure 2.7 illustrates the trend in overseas student commencements in engineering courses of all levels. Annual figures show some fluctuations but it is evident that the largest numbers of overseas students are in Victoria, followed by New South Wales. Queensland
13
THE ENGINEERING PROFESSION; A Statistical Overview, Seventh Edition 2010 commencements grew in the first 3 years shown but have fallen away since. Apart from Victoria, the greatest changes have been in Western and South Australia where commencements have increased significantly and the numbers in both States have exceeded those in Queensland since 2005. The remaining jurisdictions once again have very small numbers.
FIGURE 2.7: THE DISTRIBUTION OF OVERSEAS STUDENTS COMMENCING COURSES IN ENGINEERING AND RELATED TECHNOLOGIES ACROSS JURISDICTIONS
3500 3000 2500
NUMBERS
2002
VICTORIA
2003
2004
WA SA
2005
TASMANIA
2006
NT ACT
2007
2008
QUEENSLAND
14
ALL STUDENTS DOCTORAL 3245 RESEARCH MASTERS 1172 COURSEWORK MASTERS 3799 OTHER POSTGRADUATE 2157 BACHELORS 47210 ASSOCIATE DEGREE & DIP's 716 OTHER UNDERGRADUATE 287 TOTAL 58586 Source: Data provided by DEEWR
TABLE 2.8 STUDENTS ENROLED IN ENGINEERING & RELATED TECHNOLOGIES COURSES, BY GENDER MEN LEVEL DOCTORAL RESEARCH MASTERS COURSEWORK MASTERS OTHER POSTGRADUATE BACHELORS ASSOCIATE DEGREE & DIP's OTHER UNDERGRADUATE TOTAL WOMEN DOCTORAL RESEARCH MASTERS COURSEWORK MASTERS OTHER POSTGRADUATE BACHELORS ASSOCIATE DEGREE & DIP's OTHER UNDERGRADUATE TOTAL 696 197 693 370 7290 12 38 9296 699 205 800 399 7521 41 62 9727 756 222 1036 369 7593 60 78 10114 829 241 1148 378 7441 41 44 10122 845 265 1191 408 7176 69 84 10038 884 252 1111 471 7194 133 114 10159 940 254 1150 437 7582 322 31 10716 1062 242 1366 472 8023 329 123 11617 2001 2549 975 3106 1787 39920 704 249 49290 2002 2675 1023 3906 1836 40438 784 592 51254 2003 2943 973 5548 1901 41056 724 632 53777 2004 3156 1053 5956 1870 41141 763 568 54507 2005 3265 993 5989 2044 41094 857 462 54704 2006 3315 973 5546 2076 41899 1039 522 55370 2007 3400 920 5819 1966 44016 1967 485 58573 2008 3492 800 6324 2060 46530 2447 226 61879
ALL STUDENTS DOCTORAL 3245 RESEARCH MASTERS 1172 COURSEWORK MASTERS 3799 OTHER POSTGRADUATE 2157 BACHELORS 47210 ASSOCIATE DEGREE & DIP's 716 OTHER UNDERGRADUATE 287 TOTAL 58586 Source: Data provided by DEEWR
15
ALL DOMESTIC STUDENTS DOCTORAL 2551 RESEARCH MASTERS 937 COURSEWORK MASTERS 1773 OTHER POSTGRADUATE 1836 BACHELORS 38828 ASSOCIATE DEGREE & DIP's 684 OTHER UNDERGRADUATE 281 TOTAL 46890 Source: Data provided by DEEWR
TABLE 2.10 OVERSEAS STUDENTS ENROLED IN ENGINEERING & RELATED TECHNOLOGIES COURSES MEN LEVEL DOCTORAL RESEARCH MASTERS COURSEWORK MASTERS OTHER POSTGRADUATE BACHELORS ASSOCIATE DEGREE & DIP's OTHER UNDERGRADUATE TOTAL WOMEN DOCTORAL RESEARCH MASTERS COURSEWORK MASTERS OTHER POSTGRADUATE BACHELORS ASSOCIATE DEGREE & DIP's OTHER UNDERGRADUATE TOTAL 134 38 379 43 1394 2 4 1994 137 47 457 53 1682 20 1 2397 157 49 660 35 1919 34 18 2872 193 54 758 34 2025 34 10 3108 210 81 803 50 2061 52 12 3269 263 90 682 66 2125 114 12 3352 310 112 690 59 2284 172 20 3647 423 111 861 65 2449 117 14 4040 2001 560 197 1647 278 6988 30 2 9702 2002 617 213 2193 332 7566 79 12 11012 2003 704 232 3674 219 8287 63 53 13232 2004 791 306 4051 208 8736 83 42 14217 2005 901 320 4109 335 9100 137 48 14950 2006 1001 338 3662 359 9346 167 72 14945 2007 1113 334 3743 332 10257 706 36 16521 2008 1284 309 4065 345 11414 760 54 18231
ALL OVERSEAS STUDENTS DOCTORAL 694 RESEARCH MASTERS 235 COURSEWORK MASTERS 2026 OTHER POSTGRADUATE 321 BACHELORS 8382 ASSOCIATE DEGREE & DIP's 32 OTHER UNDERGRADUATE 6 TOTAL 11696 Source: Data provided by DEEWR
16
THE ENGINEERING PROFESSION; A Statistical Overview, Seventh Edition 2010 Enrolments in bachelors degrees increased from 47,210 in 2001 to 54,553 in 2008, an increase of 7,343, or 15.6%. Domestic enrollments in bachelors degrees increased by 1,862 over this period, but this change was in two parts. From 2001 to 2006 domestic enrolments fell by 1,206 to 37,622. By 2008 domestic enrolments had increased by 3,068 to produce a smaller net change over the full period. Overseas student enrolments in bachelors degrees increased steadily each year from 8,382 in 2001 to 13,863 in 2008, an increase of 65.4%. In 2008, overseas students accounted for a quarter of all enrolments in bachelors degrees. Enrolments in associate degrees and diploma courses almost trebled between 2001 and 2008 from 716 to 2,776. There were strong increases in both domestic and overseas students. In 2001 684 domestic students were enrolled in these courses. Until 2005 numbers fluctuated annually but no discernible trend emerged. Since then numbers have increased strongly to 1,899 in 2008. In 2001, only 32 overseas students were enroled in associate degrees and diploma courses. Numbers increased most years, plateauing out at about 877 in the last two years. Proportionally, overall enrolments of men and women increased by about one quarter. Enrolment of domestic women increased from 7,302 in 2001 to 7,577 in 2008, an increase of 275, or 3.8%. Enrolment of domestic women fell steadily to 6,769 in 2005 before recovering in subsequent years. This pattern was repeated in enrolments in bachelors degrees. In 2001, these were 5,896 but fell to 5,069 in 2006 to then rise to 5,574 in 2008. Enrolment of overseas women increased strongly from 1,994 in 2001 to 4,040 in 2008. The increase of 2,046 accounted for over 88% of the increase in the enrolment of women in engineering courses. In contrast to domestic women, overseas women increased enrolments in bachelors degree each year and by 2008 accounted for 44% of women enrolled in this key entry level degree.
2.6. Completions
This Section looks at completions of engineering and related technologies courses. Tables 2.11 to 2.14 use the same format to present the final element of the education pipeline. In 2008, 13,801 engineering and related technologies courses were completed, an increase of 799, or 6.1% over 2007. Since 2001, completions have increased by 28.9%. Postgraduate courses accounted for one third of 2008 completions. Completion of doctorates increased from 421 in 2001 to 697 in 2008, an increase of almost two-thirds. Both domestic and overseas completions increased, with growth in the latter particularly strong. Research masters degree completions were static other than annual fluctuations with much more variability among overseas completions than domestic completions. A key area of growth has been completions of coursework masters degrees. In 2001, there were 1,552 completions, increasing by 1,325 by 2008, an increase of over 85%. Most of this increase came from overseas completions. Domestic completions showed no clear trend, but overseas completions increased from 916 in 2001 to 2188 in 2008 to account for over 38% of that years overseas course completions. Post graduate course completions were 22.7% of domestic course completions in 2008 compared to 47.7% for overseas students. Course completions for women increased between 2001 and 2008, but nearly all the increase was among overseas women. Course completions for domestic women were static with fluctuations in the range 1,260 to 1,290 and a single peak of 1,307 in 2003. Domestic women completed an increasing number of doctorates and other higher degrees, but the numbers of bachelors degree completions have fallen. In 2008, the proportion of overseas women completions was a third higher than the proportion of domestic women completions.
17
ALL STUDENTS DOCTORAL 421 RESEARCH MASTERS 207 COURSEWORK MASTERS 1552 OTHER POSTGRADUATE 510 BACHELORS 7719 ASSOCIATE DEGREE & DIP's 184 OTHER UNDERGRADUATE 113 TOTAL 10706 Source: Data provided by DEEWR
771 697 227 221 2586 2877 657 755 8083 8628 509 607 169 16 13002 13801
TABLE 2.12 STUDENTS COMPLETING AWARDS IN ENGINEERING & RELATED TECHNOLOGIES FROM AUSTRALIAN UNIVERSITIES, BY GENDER MEN LEVEL DOCTORAL RESEARCH MASTERS COURSEWORK MASTERS OTHER POSTGRADUATE BACHELORS ASSOCIATE DEGREE & DIP's OTHER UNDERGRADUATE TOTAL WOMEN DOCTORAL RESEARCH MASTERS COURSEWORK MASTERS OTHER POSTGRADUATE BACHELORS ASSOCIATE DEGREE & DIP's OTHER UNDERGRADUATE TOTAL 82 43 305 80 1312 5 4 1831 80 38 314 78 1292 10 14 1826 112 39 387 97 1363 25 17 2040 112 39 439 98 1401 34 3 2126 127 47 504 102 1386 14 10 2190 133 56 380 93 1403 49 8 2122 154 52 431 131 1309 109 5 2191 156 46 528 152 1434 111 5 2432 2001 339 164 1247 430 6407 179 109 8875 2002 401 150 1381 403 6177 212 283 9007 2003 419 155 1992 450 6465 166 247 9894 2004 462 184 2138 427 6799 148 453 10611 2005 511 161 2430 452 6690 176 181 10601 2006 563 209 2026 554 6966 170 246 10734 2007 2008 617 541 175 175 2155 2349 526 603 6774 7194 400 496 164 11 10811 11369
ALL STUDENTS DOCTORAL 421 RESEARCH MASTERS 207 COURSEWORK MASTERS 1552 OTHER POSTGRADUATE 510 BACHELORS 7719 ASSOCIATE DEGREE & DIP's 184 OTHER UNDERGRADUATE 113 TOTAL 10706 Source: Data provided by DEEWR
771 697 227 221 2586 2877 657 755 8083 8628 509 607 169 16 13002 13801
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ALL DOMESTIC STUDENTS DOCTORAL 324 RESEARCH MASTERS 147 COURSEWORK MASTERS 636 OTHER POSTGRADUATE 404 BACHELORS 6061 ASSOCIATE DEGREE & DIP's 167 OTHER UNDERGRADUATE 112 TOTAL 7851 Source: Data provided by DEEWR
TABLE 2.14 OVERSEAS STUDENTS COMPLETING AWARDS IN ENGINEERING & RELATED TECHNOLOGIES FROM AUSTRALIAN UNIVERSITIES MEN LEVEL DOCTORAL RESEARCH MASTERS COURSEWORK MASTERS OTHER POSTGRADUATE BACHELORS ASSOCIATE DEGREE & DIP's OTHER UNDERGRADUATE TOTAL WOMEN DOCTORAL RESEARCH MASTERS COURSEWORK MASTERS OTHER POSTGRADUATE BACHELORS ASSOCIATE DEGREE & DIP's OTHER UNDERGRADUATE TOTAL 19 15 198 15 285 0 0 532 15 5 201 22 324 0 1 568 23 11 275 24 379 10 11 733 24 14 332 16 426 25 2 839 31 16 390 37 438 7 5 924 35 22 291 31 439 43 5 866 44 21 293 31 454 82 1 926 32 25 403 47 546 81 5 1139 2001 78 45 718 91 1373 17 1 2323 2002 84 36 870 128 1424 36 4 2582 2003 86 35 1441 120 1618 25 41 3366 2004 127 59 1600 101 1794 33 10 3724 2005 154 59 1909 155 1958 42 13 4290 2006 173 104 1539 206 1904 52 28 4006 2007 207 75 1607 179 1836 219 8 4131 2008 152 72 1785 191 2036 290 11 4537
ALL OVERSEAS STUDENTS DOCTORAL 97 RESEARCH MASTERS 60 COURSEWORK MASTERS 916 OTHER POSTGRADUATE 106 BACHELORS 1658 ASSOCIATE DEGREE & DIP's 17 OTHER UNDERGRADUATE 1 TOTAL 2855 Source: Data provided by DEEWR
19
THE ENGINEERING PROFESSION; A Statistical Overview, Seventh Edition 2010 The key source of growth for new entrants to the engineering profession in Australia is domestic completions of bachelors degrees and associate degrees and diplomas in engineering. In 2001, bachelors completions were 6,061. This figure trended down in an irregular fashion to 5,680 in 2005 before increasing to 6,046 in 2008. The numbers of associate degree and diploma completions is much smaller and showed a similar pattern. Chapter 3 examines these figures in greater detail, looking at course duration and area of specialisation.
%
6.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 2001
DOCTORATES OTHER POSTGRADUATE ALL QUALIFICATIONS
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
The proportion of engineering doctoral (dark blue line) and research masters (light blue line) degree completions were twice as high as for bachelors degrees, suggesting a strong attraction to research higher degrees among domestic engineers. In contrast, domestic engineers are much less attracted to coursework masters programs (light green line) where the trend line lies substantially below the overall completions and bachelors completions trends. While overseas student completions figure strongly in the Tables discussed above, Figure 2.9 shows that when taken in the context of university education generally, the issue does not assume quite the same proportion. Domestic engineering completions in 2008 were 4.8%
20
THE ENGINEERING PROFESSION; A Statistical Overview, Seventh Edition 2010 and overseas completions were higher at 6.4%, but the scale of this difference is not great when considered this way. Much the same pattern prevails for the trends in coursework masters and bachelors degree completions where the trend lines are almost superimposed on the trend in overall overseas completions. In other words, there are slightly more overseas completions than domestic completions and the trend lines in both cases have been falling suggesting that engineering completions are not as strong as in the past.
FIGURE 2.9: ENGINEERING AND RELATED TECHNOLOGIES COMPLETIONS BY OVERSEAS STUDENTS AS A SHARE OF ALL OVERSEAS COMPLETIONS
40.0 35.0 30.0 25.0 20.0 15.0 10.0 5.0 0.0 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
DOCTORATES BACHELORS MASTERS BY RESEARCH ALL QUALIFICATIONS MASTERS BY COURSEWORK
The trend lines for overseas completions of doctorates and research masters degrees are particularly interesting. The trend for doctorates has been falling irregularly over time and in 2008 was 13.0% down from 21.0% in 1996. However, in 2008 domestic doctoral completions were very similar to 1996 at around 11%. Domestic research masters completions fluctuated about 12% but the proportion of engineering research masters degrees in overall overseas completions has increased. In 1996 it was 21.6% and by 2008 it had plateaued out at 30.2%.
21
3.
DEEWR, using a different statistics file, are able to provide disaggregations of the bachelors degree completions shown in Tables 2.11 to 2.14 into bachelors degrees of three years, four years, greater than four years full time equivalent duration. In somes cases, DEEWR were unable to establish course duration from statistical returns submitted by universities. There were two examples of this problem, one in 1996 and another in 2005. Bachelors degrees with duration greater than four years are typically double degrees based on a four year engineering degree. No information on the second field of education is available, but, anecdotally, the most common ones are thought to be science, mathematics, economics/finance and law. There are some small discrepencies between the statistics in this chapter and chapter 2 due to the different data file used and to some miscoding where engineering double degrees were allocated to the secondary field rather than engineering. Graduations in different engineering specialisations is highlighted. In principle, the more disaggregated the statistics the better the focus on specialisation. However, a quirk of the statistics is that the university returns to DEEWR use general categories so excessively that at the most disaggregated level understanding trends becomes impossible. Instead, disaggregation is limited to 4-digit level to optimise the situation. Statistics on TAFE completions were obtained from the National Centre for Vocational Education Research (NCVER). These statistics were arranged in the same way as the university statistics. However, because these statistics are from a completely different collection, different statistical protocols apply. University and TAFE graduation statistics are combined, despite these problems, to establish time series for graduates capable of joining the engineering profession. Many do, but some travel overseas, others undertake post-graduate studies and some react to labour market incentives and accept positions in non-engineering occupations.
22
SPECIALISATION Engineering & Related Technologies Manufacturing Engineering & Technology Process & Resource Engineering Automotive Engineering & Technology Mechanical & Industrial Engineering & Technology Civil Engineering Electrical & Electronic Engineering & Technology Aerospace Engineering & Technology Martime Engineering & Technology Other Engineering & Technology TOTAL Geomatic Engineering TOTAL INCLUDING GEOMATIC ENGINEERING
WOMEN 0300 Engineering & Related Technologies 0301 Manufacturing Engineering & Technology 0303 Process & Resource Engineering 0305 Automotive Engineering & Technology 0307 Mechanical & Industrial Engineering & Technology 0309 Civil Engineering 0313 Electrical & Electronic Engineering & Technology 0315 Aerospace Engineering & Technology 0317 Maritime Engineering & Technology 0399 Other Engineering & Technology TOTAL 0311 Geomatic Engineering TOTAL INCLUDING GEOMATIC ENGINEERING ALL DOMESTIC STUDENTS 0300 Engineering & Related Technologies 0301 Manufacturing Engineering & Technology 0303 Process & Resource Engineering 0305 Automotive Engineering & Technology 0307 Mechanical & Industrial Engineering & Technology 0309 Civil Engineering 0313 Electrical & Electronic Engineering & Technology 0315 Aerospace Engineering & Technology 0317 Maritime Engineering & Technology 0399 Other Engineering & Technology TOTAL 0311 Geomatic Engineering TOTAL INCLUDING GEOMATIC ENGINEERING Source: Data supplied by DEEWR
18 2 18 0 3 0 12 14 1 20 88 10 98
4 3 20 0 3 2 9 22 1 13 77 24 101
12 5 17 0 2 4 6 19 0 10 75 16 91
7 4 15 0 1 0 18 23 0 8 76 17 93
13 13 17 0 1 3 56 22 1 7 133 10 143
3 10 21 0 2 11 41 29 0 14 131 14 145
7 8 12 0 1 1 34 31 0 5 99 9 108
1 23 8 0 12 11 24 39 0 9 127 11 138
In 2008, there were 599 graduates from three year bachelors degrees in engineering, an increase of 25, or 4.4% over 2007. With the exception of two years (2005, 716 and 2006, 810) graduate numbers have been in the mid 500s. In 2008, 21.2% of graduates were women. The three largest areas of specialisation were: Aerospace Engineering and Technology with 204 (34.1%) graduates in 2008. This specialisation has experienced strong growth since 2001. Electrical and Electronic Engineering and Technology with 132 (22.0%) graduates in 2008. This level of graduates is much lower than the figures recorded in
23
THE ENGINEERING PROFESSION; A Statistical Overview, Seventh Edition 2010 2005 (215) and 2006 (244). These results largely explain the high numbers of three year graduates in those years. Other Engineering and Technology with 100 (16.7%) graduates in 2008. This group includes Environmental and Biomedical engineers as well as a catch-all remainder category.
There are comparatively small numbers of graduates in several important engineering specialisations. There were 28 Process and Resource Engineering graduates. This group includes chemical engineers, materials engineers and mining engineers. There were 29 Mechanical and Industrial Engineering and Technology graduates. As well as mechanical engineers, this group includes production engineers and industrial engineers. Finally, there were 28 Civil Engineering graduates. In 2008 there were 28 surveying graduates. Surveyers are included in Engineering and Related Technology and overstate the number of engineers in Tables 2.11 to 2.14.
24
THE ENGINEERING PROFESSION; A Statistical Overview, Seventh Edition 2010 325 in 2005 before increasing to present levels. This group includes chemical engineers (259), mining engineers (104) and materials engineers (41).
TABLE 3.2 DOMESTIC STUDENTS COMPLETING FOUR YEAR BACHELORS DEGREES IN ENGINEERING, BY ENGINEERING DISCIPLINE MEN ASCED 0300 0301 0303 0305 0307 0309 0313 0315 0317 0399 0311
SPECIALISATION Engineering & Related Technologies Manufacturing Engineering & Technology Process & Resource Engineering Automotive Engineering & Technology Mechanical & Industrial Engineering & Technology Civil Engineering Electrical & Electronic Engineering & Technology Aerospace Engineering & Technology Martime Engineering & Technology Other Engineering & Technology TOTAL Geomatic Engineering TOTAL INCLUDING GEOMATIC ENGINEERING
2001 98 13 407 0 503 585 1007 124 11 534 3282 121 3403
2002 134 10 335 0 556 574 992 118 12 472 3203 113 3316
2004 59 23 319 3 553 502 1111 151 23 441 3185 117 3302
2005 169 15 237 19 446 420 896 114 11 421 2748 113 2861
2006 246 17 271 20 527 448 796 130 23 582 3060 120 3180
2007 283 21 342 22 571 565 801 165 13 476 3259 128 3387
2008 271 12 372 22 609 703 687 188 16 612 3492 121 3613
WOMEN 0300 Engineering & Related Technologies 0301 Manufacturing Engineering & Technology 0303 Process & Resource Engineering 0305 Automotive Engineering & Technology 0307 Mechanical & Industrial Engineering & Technology 0309 Civil Engineering 0313 Electrical & Electronic Engineering & Technology 0315 Aerospace Engineering & Technology 0317 Maritime Engineering & Technology 0399 Other Engineering & Technology TOTAL 0311 Geomatic Engineering TOTAL INCLUDING GEOMATIC ENGINEERING ALL DOMESTIC STUDENTS 0300 Engineering & Related Technologies 0301 Manufacturing Engineering & Technology 0303 Process & Resource Engineering 0305 Automotive Engineering & Technology 0307 Mechanical & Industrial Engineering & Technology 0309 Civil Engineering 0313 Electrical & Electronic Engineering & Technology 0315 Aerospace Engineering & Technology 0317 Maritime Engineering & Technology 0399 Other Engineering & Technology TOTAL 0311 Geomatic Engineering TOTAL INCLUDING GEOMATIC ENGINEERING Source: Data supplied by DEEWR
107 16 542 0 559 725 1147 143 11 701 3951 140 4091
160 13 472 0 613 696 1135 142 12 596 3839 133 3972
113 21 413 0 594 644 1317 140 2 582 3826 109 3935
204 17 325 19 482 489 1015 132 11 552 3246 131 3377
280 20 369 22 559 529 897 146 24 720 3566 143 3709
325 26 445 23 614 653 880 182 14 587 3749 141 3890
307 12 479 22 660 803 740 210 18 735 3986 143 4129
There were relatively large numbers of aerospace engineers (210) and relatively large numbers of graduates in Engineering and Related Technologies (307), a general engineering category. Automotive engineering (22) and maritime engineering had very small numbers. The pattern of specialisation among women graduates is not noticeably different to that for men. There were 143 surveying graduates in 2008 that were included in the statistics in chapter 2.
25
THE ENGINEERING PROFESSION; A Statistical Overview, Seventh Edition 2010 engineering with a degree in another field. These graduates have the competencies to become Professional Engineers.
TABLE 3.3 DOMESTIC STUDENTS COMPLETING FOUR YEAR DOUBLE DEGREE PROGRAMS IN ENGINEERING, BY ENGINEERING DISCIPLINE MEN ASCED 0300 0301 0303 0305 0307 0309 0313 0315 0317 0399 0311
SPECIALISATION Engineering & Related Technologies Manufacturing Engineering & Technology Process & Resource Engineering Automotive Engineering & Technology Mechanical & Industrial Engineering & Technology Civil Engineering Electrical & Electronic Engineering & Technology Aerospace Engineering & Technology Martime Engineering & Technology Other Engineering & Technology TOTAL Geomatic Engineering TOTAL INCLUDING GEOMATIC ENGINEERING
WOMEN 0300 Engineering & Related Technologies 0301 Manufacturing Engineering & Technology 0303 Process & Resource Engineering 0305 Automotive Engineering & Technology 0307 Mechanical & Industrial Engineering & Technology 0309 Civil Engineering 0313 Electrical & Electronic Engineering & Technology 0315 Aerospace Engineering & Technology 0317 Maritime Engineering & Technology 0399 Other Engineering & Technology TOTAL 0311 Geomatic Engineering TOTAL INCLUDING GEOMATIC ENGINEERING ALL DOMESTIC STUDENTS 0300 Engineering & Related Technologies 0301 Manufacturing Engineering & Technology 0303 Process & Resource Engineering 0305 Automotive Engineering & Technology 0307 Mechanical & Industrial Engineering & Technology 0309 Civil Engineering 0313 Electrical & Electronic Engineering & Technology 0315 Aerospace Engineering & Technology 0317 Maritime Engineering & Technology 0399 Other Engineering & Technology TOTAL 0311 Geomatic Engineering TOTAL INCLUDING GEOMATIC ENGINEERING Source: Data supplied by DEEWR
30 2 24 0 37 28 56 4 0 57 238 0 238
28 4 55 0 21 23 43 2 0 35 211 0 211
51 3 27 0 18 28 55 1 0 48 231 0 231
49 4 55 0 22 21 61 3 0 35 250 1 251
79 0 64 0 16 21 45 8 0 53 286 0 286
72 1 59 0 18 22 21 5 0 49 247 0 247
69 0 50 0 13 19 22 8 0 66 247 0 247
In 2008, the two largest group of graduates were in general engineering categories; 469 in Engineering and Related Technologies and 243 in Other Engineering and Technology. In the latter category there were 17 environmental engineers and 10 biomedical engineers. The remaining graduates in these categories are general engineers. Very few surveyors undertake double degree studies and the their inclusion in Engineering and Related Technology makes very little difference for double degrees.
26
THE ENGINEERING PROFESSION; A Statistical Overview, Seventh Edition 2010 engineering but this cannot be unambiguously verified. For statistical purposes they are included in the 4 year totals covered below.
SPECIALISATION Engineering & Related Technologies Manufacturing Engineering & Technology Process & Resource Engineering Automotive Engineering & Technology Mechanical & Industrial Engineering & Technology Civil Engineering Electrical & Electronic Engineering & Technology Aerospace Engineering & Technology Martime Engineering & Technology Other Engineering & Technology TOTAL Geomatic Engineering TOTAL INCLUDING GEOMATIC ENGINEERING
2001 300 58 512 0 729 731 1519 229 13 758 4849 167 5016
2002 355 52 491 0 725 662 1350 234 15 687 4571 179 4750
2003 415 47 437 0 681 685 1507 230 6 665 4673 172 4845
2004 441 66 488 3 689 618 1553 287 25 669 4839 167 5006
2005 700 22 362 19 540 553 1425 306 17 655 4599 138 4737
2006 677 21 466 20 637 553 1324 341 24 868 4931 142 5073
2007 688 38 467 22 661 651 1181 318 15 758 4799 146 4945
2008 724 23 518 22 706 804 977 375 17 880 5046 138 5184
WOMEN 0300 Engineering & Related Technologies 0301 Manufacturing Engineering & Technology 0303 Process & Resource Engineering 0305 Automotive Engineering & Technology 0307 Mechanical & Industrial Engineering & Technology 0309 Civil Engineering 0313 Electrical & Electronic Engineering & Technology 0315 Aerospace Engineering & Technology 0317 Maritime Engineering & Technology 0399 Other Engineering & Technology TOTAL 0311 Geomatic Engineering TOTAL INCLUDING GEOMATIC ENGINEERING ALL DOMESTIC STUDENTS 0300 Engineering & Related Technologies 0301 Manufacturing Engineering & Technology 0303 Process & Resource Engineering 0305 Automotive Engineering & Technology 0307 Mechanical & Industrial Engineering & Technology 0309 Civil Engineering 0313 Electrical & Electronic Engineering & Technology 0315 Aerospace Engineering & Technology 0317 Maritime Engineering & Technology 0399 Other Engineering & Technology TOTAL 0311 Geomatic Engineering TOTAL INCLUDING GEOMATIC ENGINEERING Source: Data supplied by DEWR
357 65 689 0 825 899 1727 266 14 1002 5844 196 6040
413 62 703 0 806 809 1545 282 16 859 5495 223 5718
501 60 609 0 767 807 1749 273 6 855 5627 203 5830
508 76 684 3 770 737 1812 333 26 823 5772 214 5986
863 37 494 19 593 656 1655 354 18 828 5517 167 5684
793 34 649 22 686 666 1511 394 25 1073 5853 179 6032
809 52 641 23 723 762 1315 371 16 923 5635 168 5803
830 46 683 22 782 934 1076 444 19 1078 5914 171 6085
27
5000
NUMBERS
4000
3000
2000
1000
Figure 3.1 illustrates the trend in Bachelors degree in engineering, highlighting gender differences. The number of female completions was over 900 until 2006 and less since. In the earlier period, the female share varied between 15.8% and 17% but is now down to 14.7%.
FIGURE 3.2: ENGINEERING SPECIALISATIONS AMONG COMPLETIONS OF BACHELORS DEGREES
7000
6000
5000
OTHER MARITIME AEROSPACE ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC CIVIL MECHANICAL AUTOMOTIVE PROCESS & RESOURCE MANUFACTURING GENERAL
NUMBERS
4000
3000
2000
1000
Figure 3.2 illustrates the composition of completions of Bachelors degrees in engineering by specialisations. A key change is the fall in the number of electrical and electronic engineering completions from 1,727 in 2001 to 1,076 in 2008. The growth in general engineering from 357 completions in 2001 to 830 in 2008 is also quite conspicuous. Many engineering specialisations that have been the subject of skills shortages discussions (civil, mechanical, process and mining) show static trends with relatively large annual fluctuations. Process and resource engineering, that includes chemical, materials and mining engineers, has had completions in the mid to high 600s except for a low of 494 completions in 2005. Mechanical and industrial engineering completions were highest in 2001 and have been in
28
THE ENGINEERING PROFESSION; A Statistical Overview, Seventh Edition 2010 the 700s in most years except lows of 593 and 686 in 2005, and 2006 respectively. Civil engineering numbers fell steadily from 899 in 2001 to 656 in 2005 but have now responded to the strong demand for civil engineers.
2002 505 55 0 610 135 1110 105 140 205 2865 120 2985
2003 410 85 10 640 130 1220 100 125 130 2850 80 2930
2005 520 110 40 513 220 1015 100 45 335 2898 75 2973
2007 559 92 65 432 309 1093 87 116 317 3070 107 3177
2008 342 127 146 556 346 1092 86 116 157 2968 95 3063
WOMEN 0301 Manufacturing Engineering & Technology 0303 Process & Resource Engineering 0305 Automotive Engineering & Technology 0307 Mechanical & Industrial Engineering & Technology 0309 Civil Engineering 0313 Electrical & Electronic Engineering & Technology 0315 Aerospace Engineering & Technology 0317 Maritime Engineering & Technology 0399 Other Engineering & Technology TOTAL 0311 Geomatic Engineering TOTAL INCLUDING GEOMATIC ENGINEERING
TOTAL 0301 Manufacturing Engineering & Technology 785 675 915 0303 Process & Resource Engineering 85 110 150 0305 Automotive Engineering & Technology 0 10 10 0307 Mechanical & Industrial Engineering & Technology 630 665 800 0309 Civil Engineering 150 150 180 0313 Electrical & Electronic Engineering & Technology 1175 1275 1015 0315 Aerospace Engineering & Technology 115 115 110 0317 Maritime Engineering & Technology 145 130 60 0399 Other Engineering & Technology 210 130 110 TOTAL 3295 3260 3350 0311 Geomatic Engineering 135 95 75 TOTAL INCLUDING GEOMATIC ENGINEERING 3430 3355 3425 Notes: 1. Data rounded to nearest 5 by provider and, with note 2, totals will not sum. 2. # Data for 2007 is preliminary and may be updated later. Source: National VET Provider Collections, 2002-07, NCVER
1027 106 67 447 324 1215 97 119 338 3740 120 3860
750 145 146 615 405 1173 92 116 177 3619 101 3720
Table 3.5 shows TAFE diploma and advanced diploma completions in the same format as used for university statistics. The statistics begin in 2002, one year later than university statistics, this is the commencement year for the NCVER collection. University statistics are compiled from accountability returns to DEEWR as part of university funding arrangements, and this process has a large bearing on the generally high quality of the statistics. TAFE statistics are collected by NCVER for research purposes. The quality of these statistics and
29
THE ENGINEERING PROFESSION; A Statistical Overview, Seventh Edition 2010 collection protocols reflects the procedures of State and Territory TAFE agencies. There are always difficulties when statistics from different sources are aggregated, but this is unavoidable to build the overview required. The distribution of specialisations among TAFE completions reflects the particular emphasis followed in different jurisdictions. In NSW, the largest discipline is Mechanical and Industrial Engineering, with Electrical and Electronic Engineering the second largest. In Victoria, the dominant discipline by a large margin is Manufacturing Engineering. In Queensland the strongest group is ASCED 0399 Other Engineering, in Western Australia, Electrical and Electronic Engineering is the strongest. In 2008, there were 3,619 TAFE graduates with a diploma or advanced diploma in engineering compared to 3,740 in 2007, a fall of 121 or 3.2%. Completions had slowly increased from 2001 and overall were 324 or 9.8% higher. Almost one third of TAFE completions are in electrical and electronic engineering. In 2008 there were 750, or 20.7% completions in manufacturing engineering, 615, or 17.0% of completions in mechanical engineering and 405, or 11.2% of completions in civil engineering. Remaining completions were widely spread across several areas of specialisation. In 2002, 13.1% of TAFE engineering completions were females. This share remained static until 2004 when it began to increase steadily. By 2008, the female proportion had increased to 18%, much higher than for Bachelor degree completions.
TABLE 3.6 UNIVERSITY COMPLETIONS OF ASSOCIATE DEGREES, DIPLOMAS AND ADVANCED DIPLOMAS IN ENGINEERING 2001 2002 2003 MEN 162 176 141 WOMEN 5 10 15 TOTAL 167 186 156 Source: Data supplied by DEEWR 2004 115 9 124 2005 134 7 141 2006 106 8 114 2007 213 72 285 2008 269 78 347
Table 3.6 shows university completions of associate degrees, diplomas and advanced diplomas in engineering. Overall numbers have been relatively small, too small to sustain meaningful disaggregation into engineering specialisations. Numbers fell to 114 in 2006, but in the last two years have shown strong increases. In 2008, there were 347 completions.
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THE ENGINEERING PROFESSION; A Statistical Overview, Seventh Edition 2010 the flow of potential professional engineers was 55.6% but by 2008 this had fallen to 53.8%, reflecting the increase in TAFE graduates.
TABLE 3.7 THE POTENTIAL FLOW OF NEW GRADUATES TO THE ENGINEERING PROFESSION MEN POTENTIAL FLOW TO Engineering Officer (University) Engineering Officer (TAFE) Engineering Technologist Professional Engineers Total 2002 176 2810 473 4098 7557 2003 141 2850 449 4224 7664 2004 115 2905 441 4398 7859 2005 134 2898 583 4016 7631 2006 106 2961 679 4252 7998 2007 213 3070 475 4324 8082 2008 269 2968 472 4574 8283
WOMEN Engineering Officer (University) 10 Engineering Officer (TAFE) 405 Engineering Technologist 77 Professional Engineers 847 Total 1339
ALL DOMESTIC ENTRY LEVEL GRADUATES Engineering Officer (University) 186 156 124 Engineering Officer (TAFE) 3205 3300 3165 Engineering Technologist 550 523 517 Professional Engineers 4945 5103 5255 TOTAL 8886 9082 9061 Source: Statistics supplied by DEEWR and NCVER
FIGURE 3.3: THE POTENTIAL FLOW OF NEW GRADUATES TO THE ENGINEERING PROFESSION
12000 PROFESSIONAL ENGINEERS ENGINEERING TECHNOLOGISTS ENGINEERING OFFICERS 10000
8000
NUMBERS
6000
4000
2000
There is a presumption that the labour market destination of engineering graduates will be engineering occupations that belong to the engineering profession. In reality, while this nexus is stronger in engineering than in many other disciplines, the demand for engineers has increased in many non-traditional occupations and a proportion of engineering graduates respond to normal labour market incentives and accept occupations where it is unlikely they
31
THE ENGINEERING PROFESSION; A Statistical Overview, Seventh Edition 2010 will practise engineering. Some graduates begin careers in traditional engineering profession occupations and then move into non-traditional occupations later in their career. Others move directly into non-traditional areas. These developments have broadened the demand for engineers while the supply of new engineering graduates has at best increased slowly and only in recent years. Some new engineering graduates are likely to pursue higher degree studies on a full time basis and so will not be available to the labour market until they complete their chosen course. Graduate Careers Australia16 has estimated that the proportion of new graduates involved ranges between zero (for mining engineers) and 13.3% for chemical engineers. Although one cannot rely on a single years figures, the proportions moving into full time further education seem to be smaller for specialisations where skill shortages are greatest (Other engineers 13.8%; Chemical 13.3%; Electronic 11.4%; Aeronautical 11.4%; Electrical 10.0%; Mechanical 6.2%; Civil 5.2% and Mining zero).
16
Graduate Careers Australia, Graduate Destinations 2007, The Report of the Graduate Destinations Survey, www.graduatecareers.com.au
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4.
SKILLED MIGRATION
All applicants applying to have their engineering qualifications recognized who are not native English speakers and who are not holders of an Australian engineering bachelors, masters or doctoral degree are required to provide evidence that their English language competence satisfies at least Band 6 in speaking, listening, reading and writing English of the International English Language Testing System20.
www.engineersaustralia.org.au The signatories to the Washington Accord are Canada, Hong Kong SAR, Ireland, New Zealand, South Africa, the United Kingdom, the United States of America and Australia. 19 The signatories to the Sydney Accord are Canada, Hong Kong SAR, Ireland, New Zealand, South Africa, the United Kingdom and Australia. 20 www.ielts.org
18
17
SKILLED MIGRATION
33
THE ENGINEERING PROFESSION; A Statistical Overview, Seventh Edition 2010 Engineers who come to Australia on temporary 457 visas do not have their qualifications assessed by an assessment authority. Provided that their visa application is accompanied by an employers acceptance of their qualifications, this is deemed sufficient support to fill the position offered by the employer. In the event that the holder of a 457 temporary visa wishes to apply for a permanent migration visa, their qualifications will need to be assessed in the same way as all other applications for permanent migration.
Both permanent off-shore and permanent on-shore visa numbers have increased substantially (see Figure 4.1). In 2008-09, off-shore visa numbers were 2,746, an increase of 243 or 9.7% over the previous year. Since 2000-01, annual entrants under this visa category have increased from 1,240, or over 120% a year. There were 2,458 on-shore visa entrants in 2008-09 compared to 1,909 in the previous year, an increase of 28.8%. Activity under this
SKILLED MIGRATION
NUMBERS
34
THE ENGINEERING PROFESSION; A Statistical Overview, Seventh Edition 2010 visa category has experienced extraordinary growth since 2000-01, demonstrating a growing inter-dependence between migration policies and the export of education services. The statistics for permanent migration visas in Table 4.1 can be directly compared to domestic completions because these occupations required an educational qualification equivalent to an Australian Bachelors degree in engineering. Comparison is made awkward by migration statistics being for financial years and education statistics for calendar years. The convention used is to compare calendar statistics to the first part of the corresonding financial year; thus 2008 education statistics are compared to 2008-09 migration statistics. This comparison is shown in Figure 4.2 and shows that permanent migration has added an increasing component to Australias domestic completions of degree qualified engineers and by 2008, had added another 88% to the 5,914 domestic Bachelors degree completions.
TABLE 4.2 IMMIGRATION OF CIVIL ENGINEERS TO AUSTRALIA PERMANENT PERMANENT TOTAL TEMPORARY OVERALL OFF-SHORE ON-SHORE PERMANENT 457 VISA TOTAL 2000-01 237 3 240 na na 2001-02 220 44 264 na na 2002-03 266 67 333 na na 2003-04 226 129 355 190 545 2004-05 260 187 447 330 777 2005-06 456 239 695 580 1275 2006-07 504 305 809 750 1559 2007-08 660 261 921 1190 2111 2008-09 702 442 1144 1040 2184 Source: To 2003-04 Birrell, Sheridan and Rapson; since 2004-05 and 457 data Department of Immigration and Citizenship YEAR
TABLE 4.3 IMMIGRATION OF ELECTRICAL AND ELECTRONICS ENGINEERS TO AUSTRALIA PERMANENT PERMANENT TOTAL TEMPORARY OVERALL OFF-SHORE ON-SHORE PERMANENT 457 VISA TOTAL 2000-01 236 2 238 na na 2001-02 200 36 236 na na 2002-03 212 68 280 na na 2003-04 248 163 411 210 621 2004-05 310 311 621 310 931 2005-06 370 390 760 530 1290 2006-07 335 703 1038 710 1748 2007-08 605 614 1219 700 1919 2008-09 701 784 1485 800 2285 Source: To 2003-04 Birrell, Sheridan and Rapson; since 2004-05 and 457 data Department of Immigration and Citizenship YEAR
SKILLED MIGRATION
35
TABLE 4.5 IMMIGRATION OF MINING AND MATERIALS ENGINEERS TO AUSTRALIA PERMANENT PERMANENT TOTAL TEMPORARY OVERALL OFF-SHORE ON-SHORE PERMANENT 457 VISA TOTAL 2000-01 45 0 45 na na 2001-02 48 4 52 na na 2002-03 36 5 41 na na 2003-04 46 13 59 140 199 2004-05 49 15 64 210 274 2005-06 52 18 70 320 390 2006-07 57 25 82 400 482 2007-08 59 91 150 490 640 2008-09 64 110 174 560 734 Source: To 2003-04 Birrell, Sheridan and Rapson; since 2004-05 and 457 data Department of Immigration and Citizenship YEAR
TABLE4.6 IMMIGRATION OF ENGINEERING TECHNOLOGISTS TO AUSTRALIA PERMANENT PERMANENT TOTAL TEMPORARY OVERALL OFF-SHORE ON-SHORE PERMANENT 457 VISA TOTAL 2000-01 117 4 121 na na 2001-02 157 36 193 na na 2002-03 185 41 226 na na 2003-04 181 140 321 100 421 2004-05 257 262 519 160 679 2005-06 343 165 508 250 758 2006-07 209 148 357 310 667 2007-08 154 181 335 360 695 2008-09 133 158 291 410 701 Source: To 2003-04 Birrell, Sheridan and Rapson; since 2004-05 and 457 data Department of Immigration and Citizenship YEAR
SKILLED MIGRATION
36
FIGURE 4.2: DOMESTIC ENGINEERING BACHELORS COMPLETIONS COMPARED TO PERMANENT AND TEMPORARY MIGRATION OF ENGINEERS
16000 TEMPORARY VISAS 14000 PERMANENT ON-SHORE PERMANENT OFF-SHORE DEGREE COMPLETIONS 12000
10000
NUM,BERS
8000
6000
4000
2000
Tables 4.2 to 4.7 show that the growth of permant visas was particularly strong in three engineering specialisations. In 2008-09, the largest intake was electrical and electronic engineers with 1,485 or 28.5% of the intake; there were 1,254 mechanical and production engineers, or 24.1% of the intake; and there were 1,144 civil engineers, or 22% of the intake. Mining and materials engineers with 174 were a relatively minor share of the intake, as were engineering technologists with 294. Other engineers, including chemical engineers accounted for 856 permanent migrants.
SKILLED MIGRATION
37
THE ENGINEERING PROFESSION; A Statistical Overview, Seventh Edition 2010 The entry of migrant engineers under permanent visas did not appear to be influenced by the global financial crisis. However, there were indications that employers adjusted their intakes of temporary migrant engineers in line with economic conditions. The number of temporary civil engineers fell from 1,190 in 2007-08 to 1,040 in 2008-09 and the number of temporary mechanical and production engineers fell sharply from 1,020 in 2007-08 too 700 in 2008-09. However, the number of temporary electrical and electronic engineers increased from 700 in 2007-08 to 800 in 2008-09; the number of temporary mining and materials engineers increased from 490 in 2007-08 to 560 in 2008-09 while the number of temporary engineering technologists increased from 360 to 410. At this stage, the 2008-09 statistic for other engineers is not known. Figure 4.2 shows that migrant engineers, both permanent and temporary, now exceed domestic completions of Bachelors degrees in engineering by a significant margin. In 200708, the combined total of permanent and temporary migrant engineers was 3,357 higher than domestic completions and migrants were 61.5% of new engineers in that year. In 2008-09, the combined total of migrant engineers exceeded domestic completions by 3,700 and migrants were 61.4% of new engineers.
SKILLED MIGRATION
38
5.
5.1 Introduction
The purpose of this Statistical Overview is to assemble statistics from as many sources as possible to shed light on the size and characteristics of the engineering workforce. This Chapter considers several characteristics describing engineers including, age, work experience and salaries. Statistics on these matters are not available from official sources and the statistics used here statistics are from the Association of Professional Engineers, Scientists and Managers, Australia (APESMA)21 surveys of engineering salaries. These surveys have been conducted since 1974 and use a random sample drawn from members of APESMA and Engineers Australia22. The statistics differentiate between engineers in the private and public sectors, as well as between engineers at different points in their careers. While quartile statistics are available, here the focus is on mean statistics that for most purposes provides useful insights.
APESMA, Professional Engineer Remuneration Survey Reports, December 1997 to 2007, www.apesma.asn.au A subsidiary of Engineers Australia, Engineers Media, also conducts a salaries survey, but this commenced in 2004 and does not provide a time series of sufficient length. This survey samples businesses that hire engineers rather than individuals and has provided useful data on engineering skill shortages. See www.engineersmedia.org.au 23 APESMA, op cit, December 2007, pp8-9
22
21
39
THE ENGINEERING PROFESSION; A Statistical Overview, Seventh Edition 2010 administrative function, directing several professional and other groups engaged in inter-related engineering responsibilities or as an engineering consultant. This level independently conceives programs and problems to be investigated and participates in their resolution within existing organizational operating and management arrangements. Typical reporting line is to senior management. Above Level 5 Professional Engineer; this level is not separately defined by APESMA, but is used for engineering senior management positions including, Managing Director, Chief Executive Officer and Group General Manager.
The APESMA data are available for the past 30 years, but only the past decade is covered in this Overview. APESMA statistics relate to Professional Engineers only and do not cover Engineering Technologists and Engineering Associates.
5.3 Age
The mean age of private sector engineers in each of the responsibility levels is shown in Table 5.1. Table 5.2 shows the corresponding statistics for public sector engineers.
TABLE 5.1 THE MEAN AGES OF PRIVATE SECTOR ENGINEERS YEAR LEVEL 1 LEVEL 2 LEVEL 3 LEVEL 4 LEVEL 5 > LEVEL 5 1997 25.0 31.0 36.0 41.0 43.0 47.0 1998 25.0 29.0 36.0 42.0 43.0 46.0 1999 26.0 29.0 36.0 42.0 44.0 45.0 2000 25.0 30.0 36.0 42.0 44.0 46.0 2001 26.0 29.0 35.0 42.0 43.0 48.0 2002 25.8 30.3 35.6 43.3 43.2 46.9 2003 26.0 29.7 35.3 42.9 43.9 46.3 2004 26.5 30.5 36.4 42.4 42.3 48.9 2005 25.2 29.5 36.3 43.8 43.9 47.1 2006 25.1 29.4 37.8 44.3 46.6 48.5 2007 24.7 28.1 37.4 44.6 47.5 50.8 2008 24.9 29.5 37.6 45.3 48.3 50.5 2009 24.3 29.8 39.0 44.2 49.6 51.6 Source: APESMA, Professional Engineer Remuneration Survey Reports
TABLE 5.2 THE MEAN AGES OF PUBLIC SECTOR ENGINEERS YEAR LEVEL 1 LEVEL 2 LEVEL 3 LEVEL 4 LEVEL 5 > LEVEL 5 1997 27.0 38.0 42.0 45.0 46.0 49.0 1998 27.0 35.0 42.0 46.0 47.0 49.0 1999 29.0 36.0 42.0 45.0 48.0 49.0 2000 28.0 37.0 42.0 47.0 48.0 49.0 2001 29.0 37.0 41.0 47.0 48.0 50.0 2002 29.2 39.7 41.5 47.2 48.2 50.0 2003 28.4 37.3 42.5 47.4 49.0 51.1 2004 28.2 39.3 40.4 46.5 47.2 50.7 2005 27.1 38.1 42.5 47.2 47.1 52.2 2006 27.0 33.4 42.6 47.4 50.5 52.2 2007 25.4 33.7 43.8 47.7 49.1 53.6 2008 26.5 34.6 41.7 48.6 49.7 53.8 2009 25.9 35.2 42.3 48.0 51.9 55.1 Source: APESMA, Professional Engineer Remuneration Survey Reports
40
In general, private sector engineers are younger at each resonsibility level than public sector colleagues. Although there are frequent annual fluctuations, the pattern in both sectors is one of remarkable stability within responsibility levels. However, over time more engineers have moved into higher responsibility levels leading to an increase in average age. The average age for each sector was estimated as a population weighted average across responsibility levels and the sectoral averages obtained were similarly weighted and combined to estimate the average age for the two sectors combined. Table 5.3 shows the average age of private sector, public sector and all engineers combined since 1997. The trends in this Table are illustrated in Figure 5.1.
TABLE 5.3 THE MEAN AGES OF ENGINEERS IN AUSTRALIA YEAR 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 PRIVATE SECTOR PUBLIC SECTOR ALL ENGINEERS 35.6 42.2 38.7 35.9 42.6 38.3 36.4 42.4 38.3 36.9 43.6 39.0 36.5 42.8 38.8 37.4 43.8 40.3 37.5 43.7 40.2 37.9 43.0 40.2 38.2 43.9 40.7 40.3 45.0 42.1 39.3 44.4 41.3 40.7 44.9 42.4 39.8 44.9 41.8
44.0
42.0
AGE IN YEARS
40.0
38.0
36.0
34.0 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 PUBLIC 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
PRIVATE
ALL ENGINEERS
At the beginning of the period shown, the average age of private sector engineers was about 6 years younger than public sector engineers, but in recent years this gap has reduced and is now about 5 years, still a significant difference. The average age of both sectors combined
41
THE ENGINEERING PROFESSION; A Statistical Overview, Seventh Edition 2010 has been increasing over time, but a slow down in this change has been evident in recent years. This is an important outcome in the light of the large numbers of migrant engineers joining the Australian labour market. Present arrangements in the migration system favours younger engineers, especially those aged under 34 years.
On average private sector engineers have fewer years of work experience than public sector engineers at each level of responsibility. Annual fluctuations are relatively high but in both sectors the trends in work experience for levels 1 and 2 have been relatively constant, although in recent years there has been some evidence of lesser years of experience in
42
THE ENGINEERING PROFESSION; A Statistical Overview, Seventh Edition 2010 these grades in the public sector. This could be a response to skill shortages in the public sector. One response to skills shortages is to hire individuals with less work experience than was the case in the past. In most cases, a requirement of public sector employment is Australian citizenship and this means that public sector access to the large crop of younger migrant engineers who have come to Australia in recent years may be delayed by the time it takes individuals to obtain citizenship. This is not an issue in the private sector and may be part of the explanation for the flat trends in these grades.
FIGURE 5.2: AVERAGE YEARS OF WORK EXPERIENCE OF PRIVATE SECTOR ENGINEERS
30.0
25.0
20.0
YEARS
15.0
10.0
5.0
0.0 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 LEVEL 2 2002 2003 2004 LEVEL4 2005 2006 2007 LEVEL 5+ 2008 2009
LEVEL 1
LEVEL3
LEVEL 5
30.0
25.0
20.0
YEARS
15.0
10.0
5.0
0.0 1997 1998 1999 LEVEL 1 2000 2001 LEVEL 2 2002 2003 2004 LEVEL 4 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
LEVEL 3
LEVEL 5
> LEVEL 5
In the private sector, the average work experience in responsibility levels 3 and above has been increasing. There are similar trends in the public sector, but for level 4 and above. The most likely explanation for these trends is the aging of the engineering workforce as explained in the previous section. Because skilled migration favours younger engineers, the influence of skilled migration is more likely to be evident for lower responsibility levels given the statistics in the Tables are from 1997. Skilled migration may have an ameliorating impact on the rising trends discussed,but more information is necessary to separate this from the dominant aging impact. Similarly, there does not appear to be any evidence that skill shortages have led to more rapid movements to the more senior responsibility levels.
43
Table 5.6 shows the value of real salary packages for private sector engineers and Table 5.7 shows the corresponding statistics for the public sector. The significance of these statistics is drawn out in Figures 5.4 to 5.9. These illustrations compare the trends in the ratios of private and public sector salary packages to average adult ordinary time earnings for the 6 responsibility levels to consider whether the differences between engineering salaries and average earning have changed and to highlight the impact of skills shortages. For this
44
THE ENGINEERING PROFESSION; A Statistical Overview, Seventh Edition 2010 comparison, average adult ordinary times earnings were annualised and adjusted to include statutory superannuation.
FIGURE 5.4: COMPARING PRIVATE AND PUBLIC SECTOR ENGINEERS LEVEL 1 SALARY PACKAGES
1.50
1.40
1.30
RATIO TO AWE
1.00
0.90
0.80
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
FIGURE 5.5: COMPARING PRIVATE AND PUBLIC ENGINEERS LEVEL 2 SALARY PACKAGES
2.00 1.90 1.80 1.70
RATIO TO AWE
1.60 1.50 1.40 1.30 1.20 1.10 1.00 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 PRIVATE L2 PUBLIC L2
Figure 5.4 shows that the significant difference between public and private sector level 1 salary packages has eroded over time. Public sector salary packages have fallen in relation to average adult ordinary time earnings (AWE) and are now more-or-less on par with them. Private sector salary packages rose in relation to AWE until 2001 and then fell until 2004. About this time engineering skills shortages were being felt in the Australian economy and private sector salary packages began to rise in relation to AWE and from 2007 onwards exceeded public sector packages. Figure 5.5 compares level 2 engineers salary packages. There was a similar fall in the trend for public sector engineer level 2 salary packages,but the private sector trend was more ambivalent with the changes shown more compatible with periodic fluctuations than any clear cut trend.
45
FIGURE 5.6: COMPARING PRIVATE AND PUBLIC SECTOR ENGINEER LEVEL 3 SALARY PACKAGES
2.40
2.20
2.00
RATIO TO AWE
1.40
1.20
1.00 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
FIGURE 5.7: COMPARING PRIVATE AND PUBLIC SECTOR ENGINEER LEVEL 4 SALARY PACKAGES
2.70
2.50
2.30
RATIO TO AWE
2.10
PRIVATE L4 PUBLIC L4
1.90
1.70
1.50 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
The characteristics of the trends for engineer level 3 salary packages in Figure 5.6 are comparable to those for level 1 in Figure 5.4. Public sector salary packages fell in comparison to AWE and in the private sector after falling until 2005, there has been an increase in salary package relativities for the period when skills shortages were evident. This trend reversed in 2009 in line with responses to the global financial crisis. Figure 5.7 and 5.8 shows the trends for engineer level 4 and level 5 salary packages respectively. There were strong falls in public sector salary package relativities, but a similar pattern to other grades in the private sector. From 2005 onwards, private sector salary packages increased relative to AWE, peaking at 2.3 times AWE for level 4 and at over 2.8 times AWE for level 5. The impact of the global financial crisis is evident in the 2009 for level 4 but did not appear to impact level 5.
46
FIGURE 5.8: COMPARING PRIVATE AND PUBLIC SECTOR ENGINEER LEVEL 5 SALARY PACKAGES
4.00 3.80 3.60 3.40
RATIO TO AWE
3.20 3.00 2.80 2.60 2.40 2.20 2.00 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 PRIVATE L5 PUBLIC L5
FIGURE 5.9: COMPARING PRIVATE AND PUBLIC SALARY PACKAGES FOR ENGINEERS ABOVE LEVEL 5
5.50
5.00
4.50
RATIO TO AWE
4.00
3.50
3.00
2.50 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Above level 5 the pattern was different. Public sector salary package relativities fell until 2007 when a recovery was evident. Private sector salary package relativities fluctuated above 3.5 times AWE until 2004 when they began to increase. The increase continued until 2007 and was followed by two years of falls, suggesting that at the most senior levels, the impact of the global financial crisis may have been felt earlier. In general, private sector salaries are likely to be more responsive to labour market conditions than public sector salaries, which involve more institutional factors. The above illustrations suggest that public sector salaries have moved in a counter-intutive way at a time of engineering skill shortages. There is some evidence of private sector salaries increasing in response to skill shortages, but this evidence is not sufficiently strong to be conclusive.
47
1.15
1.10
1.05
1.00
0.95 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2003 MEN 2003 2004 2005 ALL 2006 2007 2008 2009
WOMEN
The statistics reported above are from the APESMA salary surveys to maintain consistency with the salaries statistics discussed in the previous section. To establish how engineering salaries compare to equivalent starting salaries in other disciplines, one needs to turn to statistics from the Graduate Careers Australia24. Over the past decade engineering
24
48
THE ENGINEERING PROFESSION; A Statistical Overview, Seventh Edition 2010 graduates have typically commanded the 4th highest starting salaries. In 2008, they were the 3rd highest, exceeded only by dentistry and optometry. The trends shown above should be seen against this background. Since 2005, engineering graduate starting salaries have increased strongly in real terms and in relation to AWE. In 2009, real salaries increased by 13.3% over the previous year following a 4.7% real increase the year before. For most of the period since 1997, engineering graduate starting salaries have fluctuated about 5% above AWE. Since 2005, this margin has increased and in 2009 was 15% above AWE.
49
6.
6.1 Introduction
Until the onset of the global financial crisis it was widely acknowledged that Australia had a shortage of skilled engineers. This is despite the difficulties involved in formally substantiating this situation. The evidence available was from surveys of employers, from indirect or surrogate measures, from strong immigration statistics and anecdotal information from employers and from members of Engineers Australia. The normal lag in the availability of official statistics has clouded the situation. Engineers Australia believes there are indications that during the course of 2010 shortages of skilled engineers will re-emerge as a serious constraint to infrastructure development and the development of Australias exports of commodities. This chapter considers the available evidence to support this view.
The material in this section draws on a forth-coming Engineers Australia publication Engineers and the Engineering Profession In Australia; A Profile from the 2006 Population Census. Tablebuilder cross-tabulations will occasionally produce small differences in totals because not all individuals responding to the Census answer all questions fully and/or accurately.
25
50
THE ENGINEERING PROFESSION; A Statistical Overview, Seventh Edition 2010 engineers in Australia and in each of the States and Territories. Figure 6.1 illustrates the statistics in Table 6.1.
TABLE 6.1 UNEMPLOYMENT RATES FOR QUALIFIED ENGINEERS IN THE 2006 POPULATION CENSUS (%) DEGREE DIPLOMA QUALIFIED QUALIFIED NSW 3.34 3.09 VICTORIA 3.39 3.57 QUEENSLAND 2.12 2.30 SOUTH AUSTRALIA 3.47 3.11 WESTERN AUSTRALIA 1.88 2.14 TASMANIA 1.94 3.75 NT 0.44 0.98 ACT 2.10 1.51 OTHER AREAS 0.00 0.00 AUSTRALIA 2.97 2.92 Source: ABS, 2006 Population Census Tablebuilder JURISDICTION ALL QUALIFICATIONS 3.25 3.46 2.20 3.33 1.98 2.94 0.73 1.89 0.00 2.95
In 2006, the unemployment rate for qualified engineers in Australia was 2.95% compared to 5.24% for the general work force. There was little difference between the unemployment rate for degree qualified individuals (2.97%) and diploma qualified individuals (2.92%). The highest unemployment rate for qualified engineers was in Victoria (3.46%), two-thirds the unemployment rate for the economy, and the lowest in the Northern Territory (0.73%). The two jurisdictions at the leading edge of minerals and commodities developments, Western Australia and Queensland recorded rates of 1.98% and 2.20% respectively. The unemployment rates shown in Table 6.1 provide unambiguous evidence that in 2006 there was an acute shortage of qualified engineers in Australia. The pool of unemployed qualified engineers can be disaggregated into 4,868 individuals born overseas and 2,498 individuals born in Australia. The unemployment rate for migrant qualified engineers with degrees was 1.95% and and the unemployment rate for Australian born qualified engineers was 1.0%. Among the migrant unemployed, 3,410 were degree qualified and 1,458 were diploma qualified with unemployment rates of 2.18% and 1.56% respectively. Thus while there are more unemployed overseas born qualified engineers than
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THE ENGINEERING PROFESSION; A Statistical Overview, Seventh Edition 2010 Australian born qualified engineers, the unemployment rates for overseas born individuals are consistent with shortages of qualified engineers.
TABLE 6.2 UNEMPLOYMENT RATES FOR ENGINEERING EDUCATION SPECIALISATIONS IN 2006 SPECIALISATION DEGREE QUALIFIED 2.53 4.42 4.66 3.11 1.79 3.05 3.95 4.92 0.00 3.13 5.10 4.76 3.67 2.66 0.00 0.00 3.72 2.36 0.00 2.46 3.05 4.06 4.32 6.49 5.61 2.18 0.00 3.09 .. 5.43 3.33 3.76 4.60 4.64 2.97 DIPLOMA QUALIFIED 2.64 4.77 5.42 6.58 1.65 2.37 3.21 2.17 5.50 2.88 3.37 4.49 0.00 3.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.34 2.48 3.34 7.26 3.54 2.93 2.37 2.31 2.85 0.71 2.27 3.67 6.12 0.00 1.24 2.92 ALL QUALIFICATIONS 2.56 4.52 5.29 3.29 1.75 2.85 3.56 2.66 5.45 3.02 4.52 4.50 3.67 2.92 0.00 0.00 3.72 2.36 0.00 2.43 2.85 3.74 4.84 5.05 3.59 2.22 2.31 2.91 1.21 2.93 3.60 3.86 4.28 2.44 2.95 LABOUR FORCE 106,148 1616 4030 5829 3877 4384 3621 338 220 18573 1218 844 381 1334 22 72 215 127 16 20336 17484 7110 3860 5547 21397 1618 1428 8843 580 1501 3582 1087 421 2130 249,789
Engineering & Related Technologies NFD Manufacturing Engineering Rest of Manufacturing Engineering Chemical Engineering Mining Engineering Materials Engineering Rest of Process & Resource Engineering Automotive Engineering Rest of Automotive Engineering Mechanical Engineering Industrial Engineering Rest of Mechanical & Industrial Engineering Construction Engineering Structural Engineering Building Services Engineering Water & Sanitary Engineering Transport Engineering Geotechnical Engineering Ocean Engineering Rest of Civil Engineering Electrical Engineering Electronic Engineering Computer Engineering Communications Technologies Rest of Electrical & Electronic Engineering Aerospace Engineering Aircraft Maintenance Engineering Aircraft Operations Rest of Aerospace Engineering Maritime Engineering Rest of Maritime Engineering Environmental Engineering Biomedical Engineering Rest of Other Engineering ALL SPECIALISATIONS Source: ABS, 2006 Population Census Tablebuilder
Table 6.2 looks at unemployment rates for engineering education specialisation. An alternative to education specialisations are the occupations that engineers are employed in. However, to be in an occupation means that an individual is by definition employed. Thus this is not a viable alternative to consider the labour market circumstances of engineers and educational specialisations are used instead. Table 6.2 provides statistics for the majority of ASCED 6- digit engineering classifications. In the main the labour market destination for engineering educational specialisations is linked to occupations that depend on these skills. Thus, most mechanical engineers in Table 6.2 are likely to hold occupations with strong mechanical engineering connections even though occupation titles may vary. The main exception in Table 6.2 is civil engineering where the specific specialisations identified are in the minority and most civil engineers come from the group rest of civil engineering. The significance of Table 6.2 is that most engineering education specialisations in 2006 had unemployment rates well below the unemployment rate for the Australian labour force as a whole (5.24%). The few exceptions, highlighted in yellow, have unemployment rates at about or above the national rate. They include diploma level engineers in the rest of manufacturing engineering category, diploma level chemical engineers, diploma level automotive engineers, diploma level computer engineers, degree level engineers in communications technologies, degree level engineers in the rest of electrical and electronic engineering category, degree level maritime engineers and diploma level environmental engineers. Most groups are relatively small in size, including the degree component of the rest of electrical and electronic
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THE ENGINEERING PROFESSION; A Statistical Overview, Seventh Edition 2010 engineers (5,281). Diploma level engineers in this group in contrast had a low unemployment rate. Since 2006, there has been strong growth in the Australian economy, especially in those areas of the economy in which engineers are employed. Growth in the supply of engineers to meet demand has come from the flow of new domestic graduates holding entry level qualifications, full time students resuming labour market activity after completing higher education courses and overseas engineers entering Australia under permanent and temporary migrant visas. As well, some of the 2006 pool of unemployed qualified engineers may have found employment.
Table 6.3 shows an overview of survey results since 2006. The survey is administered in December each year. During this period, the Australian economy experienced strong economic growth, which then was impacted by the global financial crisis. These impacts began to be felt in 2008 and were widespread during 2009. The key question that Table 6.1 deals with is has your company experienced professional engineer skill shortages over the past 12 months? In the first 3 years shown in the Table, over 70% of companies reported that they had experienced professional engineer skill shortages during the preceding year. These results confirmed anecdotal information from Engineers Australia members. In the 2009 survey 53% of companies reported they had experienced professional engineer skill shortages.
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Engineers Media, Engineers Australia Salary and Benefits Survey, 2006, 2007, 2008 and 2009, www.bookshop.engaust.com.au
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THE ENGINEERING PROFESSION; A Statistical Overview, Seventh Edition 2010 Shortages remained more acute in the public than in the private sector but the patterns were very similar. These results show that skill shortages were eased by global economic conditions, but remained significant for half of companies surveyed.
TABLE 6.4 RECRUITING PROBLEMS EXPERIENCED AS A RESULT OF ENGINEERING SKILLS SHORTAGES (%) SURVEY SECTOR Longer recruiting Could not recruit Recruited different Paid higher than Could not recruit YEAR period than normal required skill set skill set for retraining expected salary at all 2006 PRIVATE 66 82 19 50 39 PUBLIC 65 83 17 29 58 TOTAL 66 82 18 42 46 2007 PRIVATE PUBLIC TOTAL PRIVATE PUBLIC TOTAL 65 57 64 48 70 52 82 71 80 75 67 74 72 71 72 29 21 28 26 10 23 20 20 20 60 43 58 42 20 38 35 22 32 42 29 40 34 53 37 29 44 32 Other 3 0 2 2 0 2 7 3 5 5 7 5
2008
2009
TABLE 6.5 CONSEQUENCES OF ENGINEERING SKILLS SHORTAGES (%) SURVEY SECTOR Minor irritation but Moderate problem. Major problem incl Did not proceed YEAR no monetary issues Some monetary issues project delays & costs with available project 2006 PRIVATE 16 44 34 6 PUBLIC 4 31 60 6 TOTAL 12 39 43 6 2007 PRIVATE PUBLIC TOTAL PRIVATE PUBLIC TOTAL 9 21 10 18 3 16 39 50 40 42 50 43 45 34 43 44 29 42 32 37 33 26 39 28 9 0 7 8 10 8 9 5 8
2008
2009
Table 6.4 shows how companies have adjusted recruitment practises to cope with the difficulties experienced. Despite the change in economic conditions, the pattern of reactions has not changed greatly over time. In 2009, 51% of companies took longer than normal to recruit engineers; 72% of companies could not recruit the required skill set; 20% of companies recruited a different skill set and then retrained recruits; 32% of companies paid higher than expected salaries; and 32% of companies could not recruit at all. The 2009 results reflect the unfavourable economic conditions immediately after the global financial crisis. Table 6.5 shows the consequences for companies who experienced engineering skills shortages. This table shows some changes reflecting economic times. More companies reported that the consequences were minor irritations with no monetary implications than in the past; the proportion of companies experiencing moderate consequences involving some monetary issues was remarkably stable; fewer companies experienced major problems involving project delays and cost increases than in the past; but a significant proportion of projects did not proceed due to the shortages.
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FIGURE 6.2: ENGINEERING SKILLS SHORTAGES EXPERIENCED FOR DIFFERENT RESPONSIBILITY LEVELS
2006 80 2007 2008 2009
70
60
% OF RESPONDENTS
50
40
30
20
10
ENGINEERING DISCIPLINE
Figure 6.2 illustrates the pattern of engineering skills shortages experienced by responsibility level. In 2009, fewer companies reported skill shortages for engineers grades 1, 2 and 5. Grade 1 comprises engineers at the beginning of their careers and grade 2 comprises engineers with some, but still limited, experience; while grade 5 typically comprises senior executives. However, shortages of engineers grade 3 were relatively stronger than in the past and shortages of engineers grade 4 were as strong as there were prior to the global financial crisis. Figure 6.3 illustrates the distribution of engineering skills shortages across engineering disciplines. Consistent with the statistics in Table 6.2, all disciplines experienced lesser shortages than in the past, but none-the-less the specific discipline shortages experienced by companies remained comparatively high. No engineering discipline was reported to be in surplus. The highest shortages were in the key mainstream disciplines of civil engineers, mechanical engineers electrical engineers and structural engineers.
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THE ENGINEERING PROFESSION; A Statistical Overview, Seventh Edition 2010 Table 6.6 shows the relative skills shortage index for engineers from 1999 to 2009. The index shows that there was a relative skills shortage for new engineering graduates throughout this period. Bear in mind that the unemployment rates in the Table were measured about 4 months after students completed their qualifications. The relative shortage was at its peak in 2008 when the index was 47.3. As the impacts of the global financial crisis were felt during 2009 the index eased to 63.5%. This result is consistent with the survey information discussed in the previous section. Although the relative skills shortage has been below 100 since 1999 for engineers as a group, this is not the case when the statistics are disaggregated into engineering disciplines. This information is shown in Table 6.7. The defintions for engineering disciplines are ones adopted by Graduate Careers Australia and do not necessarily line up with the ASCO or ANZSCO classification systems used by the ABS. Table 6.7 shows that embedded in an overall relative engineering skills shortage between 1999 and the present are periods of relative surplus for some engineering disciplines. The two notable disciplines are aeronautical engineering and electronic engineering. The latter category includes computer engineering in addition to electronic engineering. The major engineering disciplines that have figured in recent skills shortage experience were in shortage throughout the period shown (mechanical from 2000).
140.0 120.0 100.0 80.0 60.0 40.0 20.0 0.0 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18
The surrogate measure for the demand for engineers was the Construction Forecasting Councils estimates for engineering construction27. Actual ABS statistics are used up to and including 2008-09 and projections beyond then. The methodology used to obtain these projections is described on the Councils web-site. These statistics were converted from
27
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THE ENGINEERING PROFESSION; A Statistical Overview, Seventh Edition 2010 monetary form to an index number with 2006-07 as base in line with the Census. The blue line in Figure 6.4 shows the index for the surrogate measure for the demand for engineers until 2017-18. The surrogate measure for the supply of engineers was the flow of domestic graduates holding acceptable engineering qualifications. Actual figures were used until 2008 and projections, based on the average growth between 2002 and 2008, for remaining years. To line up calendar year and financial year statistics, calendar years were aligned to the first half of financial years. These figures were also converted into index numbers with the same base as engineering construction. The red line in Figure 6.4 shows the index for the surrigate measure for the supply of engineers. It is clear from Figure 6.4 that there is a growing gap between these surrogate measures for the demand for and supply of engineers. This gap will need to be filled either by more rapid growth in domestic graduations of engineers or through expanded skilled migration.
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