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Tullett Prebon - End Game - The Denouement of Exponentials

Tullett Prebon - End Game - The Denouement of Exponentials

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Published by: leithvanonselen on Mar 19, 2012
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03/19/2012

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end-game
the denouementof exponentials
Dr Tim Morgan
Global Head of Research
strategy insights| 
issue six
 
1
strategy insights| 
issue six
contents
about this report
 
2
summariesi. overview a system in crisis
 
5
ii. fundamental drivers – the exponential economy
6
 iii. smoke and mirrors – a denouement disguised
7
 iv. the end-game
8
sources and recommended reading
10
part one:overview – a system in crisis
15afundamentalchange?17smokeandmirrors18wherearewenow?20whathappensnext?24
part two:fundamental dynamics, exponential drivers
27exponentialenergyuse,niteresources28exponentialmoney,escalatingdebt34
part three:smoke and mirrors – a denouement disguised
43misplacedfaith44ofcialdata,underlyingreality44Pollyannacreep47inationthecostofliving,orthepriceofsurvival?48economicoutputaGrosslyDistortedPicture52debtandthedecit56
part four:smoke and mirrors – a denouement disguised
65therstlinkageaweakeningenergyequation70thesecondlinkagerecklessnance74avoidingdisastercanwebreakthelinkages?75
end-game
the denouement of exponentials

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