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GDI 2005 Population DAKELLY/SUNI LAB
1
POPULATION DA INDEX
2 – 1NC SHELLUNIQUENESS
6 – GLOBAL FERTILITY DOWN9 – IMMIGRATION RESTRICTIONS UP
LINKS
12 – MANDATORY DETENTION15 – KOREMATSU16 – CONTAINER SECURITY INITIATIVE18 – RACIAL PROFILING
INTERNAL LINKS
19 – IMMIGRATION CRUSHES CARRYING CAPACITY22 – IMMIGRATION INCREASES FERTILITY RATES24 – SAFETY VALUE / PERCEPTION LINKS
IMPACTS
25 – EXTINCTION (US KEY)26 – RESOURCE WARS31 – WATER WARS34 – BIODIVERSITY37 – URBAN SPRAWL41 – DIE BACK 42 – DISEASE45 – ECONOMY47 – CLIMATE CHANGE48 – TERRORISM49 – LINEARITY50 – 5 YEAR TIME FRAM51 – TURNS RIGHTS ADVANTAGE
AT: IMPACT ARGUMENTS
52 – AT: TECH SOLVES54 – AT: MORALITY55 – AT: JULIAN SIMON57 – AT: ADAPTATION58 – AT: HUMAN RIGHTS /REFUGEE ABUSE
AFF ANSWERS
61 – NON-UNIQUE – OVERPOP NOW62 – NON-UNIQUE – IMMIGRATION HIGH NOW63 – NO INTERNAL LINK – IMMIGRATION NOT KEY65 – IMPACT TURNS – POPULATION GOOD (***ALSO SEE RIMAL FILE)69 – AT: URBAN SPRAWL BAD
GDI 2005 Population DAKELLY/SUNI LAB
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POPULATION DA – 1NC
A. UNIQUENESS – GLOBAL FERTILITY IS DECLINING NOW – BIRTH RATES ARE RAPIDLYDECLINING
Mark
Krikorian
, Executive Director, Center for Immigration Studies, April
2005
(“A Review of The Empty Cradle: How Falling Birthrates Threaten World Prosperity and What to Do AboutIt,” The Claremont Review of Books,http://www.cis.org/articles/2005/mskoped042505.html
)
Goodbye, population explosion. Hello, population implosion. Well, not quite yet, but soon. Birthrates are falling in almost everycountry, changing the way the public and policymakers think about a wide range of issues. To mention only the most obvious, SocialSecurity reform, once a taboo topic in American politics, is now up for debate as lower birthrates lead to an unsustainable ratio of workers to retirees. Two new books explore these changes and their implications. Each presents a wide variety of information that will be news to most readers; each offers policy prescriptions; and each, in its own way, falls short. Wattenberg's Fewer has the moreextensive description of the new demographic realities faced by humanity, while Longman's The Empty Cradle offers a more detailedlook at the likely causes for the fertility decline as well as ways to address it in the United States. Although the birthrate decline has begun to have significant effects in the U.S., it is in Europe and East Asia that the consequences will be most dramatic. Indemographic terms, a "total fertility rate" (TFR) of 2.1 is necessary to keep a population from declining—the average woman needs tohave two children (plus the 0.1 for girls who die before reaching reproductive age) to replace herself and the father. The TFR in theU.S. is just a hair below that benchmark, having bounced back from its nadir in the 1970s. But in every other developed nation it islower, and falling: Ireland, 1.9; Australia, 1.7; Canada, 1.5; Germany, 1.35; Japan, 1.32; Italy, 1.23; Spain, 1.15. Birthrates this low areunprecedented in peacetime societies. As Wattenberg writes, "never have birth and fertility rates fallen so far, so fast, so low, for solong, in so many places, so surprisingly."
GDI 2005 Population DAKELLY/SUNI LAB
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POPULATION DA – 1NC
B. LINK – 1. THE PLAN CREATES THE US AS A BEACON FOR CIVIL LIBERTIES – SPURRINGIMMIGRATION TO THE US
Michele R.
Pistone
, Fellow, Cato Institute, March 24,
1998
(“Undermining an American Ideal”http://www.cato.org/pubs/pas/pa299.pdf
)
Throughout its history, the United States has been a refuge for oppressed peoples from around the world. The Pilgrims, the Quakers,the Amish, and countless others came to these shores in centuries past, while in the more recent past immigrants have been Cubans,Jews, Southeast Asians, and others. What those diverse people shared was a belief that America could offer them refuge fromgovernment oppression. Many people worldwide today face similar oppression; they live under governments that forbid them to freelyexercise rights that Americans hold dear as fundamental freedoms and persecute them when they try. We grant political asylum tosuch persons: as a nation, we believe that government oppression because of one's race, religion, political opinion, nationality, or social group is wrong. Oppression undermines our fundamental values. Thus, we traditionally have granted sanctuary to victims of human rights abuses from around the world. Through its refugee and asylum protection policies, the United States has always been atthe forefront of protection issues, serving as a leader in garnering international attention and responses to refugee and humanitarianemergencies around the world. America's example has great influence on how other countries respond to refugees.
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