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Provincial Election Poll Results - April 5, 2012

Provincial Election Poll Results - April 5, 2012

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Published by edmontonjournal
A new poll is showing support for Danielle Smith’s Wildrose party is pulling ahead of Alison Redford’s Progressive Conservative Party, but a significant number of Albertans remain undecided. The Leger Marketing poll, conducted for the Edmonton Journal and the Calgary Herald, was released April 5, 2012,
A new poll is showing support for Danielle Smith’s Wildrose party is pulling ahead of Alison Redford’s Progressive Conservative Party, but a significant number of Albertans remain undecided. The Leger Marketing poll, conducted for the Edmonton Journal and the Calgary Herald, was released April 5, 2012,

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Published by: edmontonjournal on Apr 05, 2012
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110055-106 Street
 –
Suite 460Edmonton, Alberta T5J 2Y2Phone: 780.423.0708Fax: 780.425-0400
-Press Release -
For Immediate Release
 Alberta Provincial Election Poll
Edmonton April 4
th
2012 - A Leger Marketing poll released today is showing support for
Danielle Smith’s Wildrose party is pulling ahead of Alison Redford’s Progressive
Conservative Party but a significant number of Albertans remain undecided
Q. If a Provincial election were held today, for which political party would you be most likely to vote? Would it be for...? 
 
 Among all Albertans, the race to form the next provincial government is nowshowing a significant lead for the Wildrose Party over the ProgressiveConservatives while the other parties are far behind.
Most Likely to Vote
Danielle Smith’s Wildrose Party
30.0%
 Alison Redford’s Progressive Conservative Party of Alberta
24.7%
Raj Sherman’s Liberal Party of Alberta
6.9%
Brian Mason’s New Democratic Party
8.5%
Glenn Taylor’s Alberta Party
1.6% Another Party 1.0%Undecided 21.6%Will not vote/No Answer 5.6%
 
Ian Large, Vice President for Alberta for Leger Marketing notes that
“the PC 
numbers are showing a consistent decline from just one week ago when the two front runners were polling neck and neck.
 
In this poll, the distance between Wildrose and PCs is even wider among decidedvoters.
 Among Decided Voters
Danielle Smith’s Wildrose Party
41.3%
 Alison Redford’s Progressive Conservative Party of Alberta
33.9%
Brian Mason’s New Democratic Party
11.7%Raj Sher
man’s Liberal Party of Alberta
9.5%
Glenn Taylor’s Alberta Party
2.2%
 
2
 
The one in five undecided voters are now evenly split in their leaning betweenProgressive Conservative Party and the Wildrose.
 
 Among decided vote
rs, the findings also show…
 
o
 
The Progressive Conservatives continue lead the Wildrose by a significantmargin in Edmonton but are lagging behind Wildrose in Calgary and therest of the Province where more than half of decided voters are givingtheir support to Wildrose.
o
 
Brian Mason’s NDP party is showing a considerable surge among decided
voters in Edmonton, with one in five supporting his party.
Leadership
Q. In your opinion, which of the following political leaders would make the best premier of Alberta? Would it be... ? 
 
For the first time, more Albertans believe Danielle Smith would make a betterpremier than believe that Alison Redford would be the best in the top spot.
o
 
Best Premier:Danielle Smith 29% Alison Redford 27%Raj Sherman 7%Brian Mason 9%Glenn Taylor 2%
 Among Undecided Voters
 – 
Party Leaning Towards
 Alison Redford’s Progressive Conservative Party of Alberta
18.2%
Danielle Smith’s Wildrose Party
18.4%
Raj Sherman’s Liberal Party of Alberta
6.2%
Brian Mason’s New Democratic Party
9.8%
Glenn Taylor’s Alberta Party
1.7%
Decided Voters Edmonton Calgary Rest of  Alberta
PC 37% 34% 30%Wildrose Party 25% 47% 54%Liberal Party of Alberta 12% 11% 5%New Democratic Party 20% 7% 7% Alberta Party 4% 0.3% 2%
 
3
 
Large notes:
 Al 
ison Redford’s numbers have 
only declined slightly since January (32%) while Danielle Smith has surged in support among Albertan from 14% in the past two months.
 
This poll also shows…
 
o
 
Danielle Smith’s popularity is relatively weak in Edmonton (
18%) buthigher than Alison Redford (34% vs. 25%) in Calgary and the rest of theprovince (34% vs. 21%).
o
 
Danielle Smith does not poll nearly as well among women (22%) as shedoes with men (35%).
o
 
 Alison Redford’s popularity is consistent among both men (
26%) andwomen (28%)
Government in Waiting
Q. Do you believe that the current Progressive Conservative government should be re-elected or would you prefer to have a new government? 
 
Just over one half of Albertans (54%) feel that it is time for the province to havea new government while less than three in ten (29%) believe that theProgressive Conservative government should be re-elected.
o
 
Support for a new government is consistent across the province.
 About the Poll
 
Leger Marketing conducted and online survey of 986 eligible voters across Alberta between April 2
nd
and April 4
th
 
 
 As a non-random internet survey, margin of error is not reported. However, aprobability sample of this size would result in a maximum margin of error of ±3.1% 19 times out of twenty.
 
The margin of error for the regional findings is higher at…
 
o
 
Edmonton ±5.5%
o
 
Calgary ±5.4%
o
 
Rest of Alberta ±5.2%
 All Albertans Edmonton Calgary Rest of  Alberta
New Government 55% 56% 52%PCs re-elected 35% 28% 23%
Don’t know
10% 16% 25%

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