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2012 OUTLOOK. JP MORGAN.

2012 OUTLOOK. JP MORGAN.

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Published by: EKAI Center on Apr 08, 2012
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04/08/2012

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E gkioimbe xû{-g{vímwai
I eoi fg :85: mezke wme vzeo{bàëi fg ejeofioi fi g{vímwai miogvåzbi g {kea gtvzgmi gm oísga `aijea! kiocizmg baw{vzefixgai xöz fi {ia/ Gm {we mebiz xezvg! e zgkwxgzeàëi fi {gviz xzbsefi vgzå fg ekiovgkgz xiz kiove xzûxzbe e xezvbz feuwb/ E{oivíkbe{ {ëi mgadizg{ oi{ GWE fi uwg oe Gwzixe iw oi Lexëi/ E Å{be g{vå gm gtxeo{ëi! me{ i exgzvi oe{ vete{ fg lwzi{ g{våvze|gofi i kzg{kbmgovi fg siave e xevemezg{ meb{ zgeab{ve{/ E eavwze fg kefe åzsizg mi{vze e zgkwxgzeàëi gm kefe sezbåsgazgaevbse e {we uwgfe fwzeovg e zgkg{{ëi/ Meb{ bocizmeà÷g{ oi bovgzbiz fe xwjabkeàëi/
E gkioimbe xû{-g{vímwai
I eoi fg :85: mezke wme vzeo{bàëi fg ejeofioi fi g{vímwai miogvåzbi g {kea gtvzgmi gm oísga `aijea! kiocizmg baw{vzefixgai xöz fi {ia/ Gm {we mebiz xezvg! e zgkwxgzeàëi fi {gviz xzbsefi vgzå fg ekiovgkgz xiz kiove xzûxzbe e xezvbz feuwb/ E{oivíkbe{ {ëi mgadizg{ oi{ GWE fi uwg oe Gwzixe iw oi Lexëi/ E Å{be g{vå gm gtxeo{ëi! me{ i exgzvi oe{ vete{ fg lwzi{ g{våvze|gofi i kzg{kbmgovi fg siave e xevemezg{ meb{ zgeab{ve{/ E eavwze fg kefe åzsizg mi{vze e zgkwxgzeàëi gm kefe sezbåsgazgaevbse e {we uwgfe fwzeovg e zgkg{{ëi/ Meb{ bocizmeà÷g{ oi bovgzbiz fe xwjabkeàëi/
 
 
Vdg xi{v-{vbmwaw{ gkioimr
:85: mezn{ e vzeo{bvbio eper czim gtvzgmg `aijea miogvezr eof {kea {vbmwaw{! e{ baaw{vzevgf jr vdg {gvvbo` {wo/ Vdgxzbsevg {gkviz zgkisgzr pbaa mi{var desg vi meng bv io bv{ ipo czim dgzg/ Vdg ogp{ b{ jgvvgz bo vdg W[ vdeo bo Gwzixgiz Lexeo/ E{be b{ gtxeofbo`! jwv vb`dvgz xiabkr zevg{ ezg jzbo`bo` `zipvd jekn vi gezvd/ Vdg dgb`dv ic gekd vzgg {dip{vdg zgkisgzr bo gekd sezbejag zgaevbsg vi bv{ fgkabog fwzbo` vdg zgkg{{bio/ [gg bo{bfg kisgz ciz mizg fgveba{/
GRG IO VDG MEZNGV
IWVAIIN :85:
L/X/ Miz`eo Xzbsevg Jeon
 
Bo vdg peng i vdg zgkg{{bio! e aiv i {vbmwaw{ pe{ effgf vi vdg `aijea gkioimr/ Vdg agsga i `aijea xiabkrzevg{ eof c{kea fgckbv{ fgcog{ vdg vzelgkvizr i vdg {wo/ Cb{kea vb`dvgobo` b{ {kdgfwagf eami{v gsgzrpdgzgiz :85:/ Io miogvezr xiabkr! pdbag boevbio exxgez{ vi jg kzg{vbo`! vdb{ mizg ivgo xzgsgov{ xaeoogf xiabkrzevg bokzge{g{! zevdgz vdeo w{dgzbo` bo eoivdgz xgzbif i {wj{veovbea ge{bo`/ Mizg miogvezr xiabkr zg{xio{g{bo Gwzixg ezg abngar! jwv vdgr ezg mi{var bovgofgf vi xzgsgov e kiaaex{g i vdg Miogvezr Wobio e{ jeon{ eof`isgzomgov{ fg-agsgz/Vdg dgb`dv i gekd vzgg {dip{ dip mwkd gekd sezbejag de{ zgkisgzgf! zgaevbsg vi bv{ xzbiz fgkabog/ Ciz gtemxag![#X xzicv{! db`d-gof zgveba eof @gzmeo @FX desg oip zgkisgzgf eami{v eaa i pdev vdgr ai{v fwzbo` vdgzgkg{{bio! pdbag W[ dimg xzbkg{ eof Gwzixgeo xgzbxdgzea gmxairmgov ezg {vbaa kai{g vi vdgbz xi{v-zgkg{{bioaip{/ Vdg vdzgg kimxezb{io xibov{ iz kimxwvbo` vdg zgkisgzr ezg vdg xzg-krkag xgen> vdg aipg{v agsga i vdg ae{viwz rgez{> eof vdg kwzzgov seawg/ Iog gtkgxvbio< W[ diw{gdiaf jeaeokg {dggv zgxebz b{ kimxwvgf e{ vdg fgkabogbo zgea xgz diw{gdiaf fgjv zim vdg xgen/Kimmifbvr kiwovzbg{ abng Keoefe! Jze|ba eof Ew{vzeabe! pdi{g @FX bo e``zg`evg b{ mwkd aez`gz vdeo [iwvdgzoGwzixg! zgkisgzgf zexbfar/ Vdg {xggfjiev b{ E{be! pdi{g xzifwkvbio eof iwvxwv {wgzgf ioar mboiz fgkabog{!eof pdbkd desg aio` {bokg gkabx{gf xzg-zgkg{{bio agsga{/ Dipgsgz! kzgfbv eof xiabkr zevg vb`dvgobo` desg kew{gfe {aipfipo vi vdg E{beo {xggfjiev eof vdg zg{v i vdg gmgz`bo` pizaf! kimxezgf vi vdg jiimbo` `zipvd zevg{i :858/ Vdg fgevgf siaagrjeaa b{ vdg Gwzixgeo Gkioimbk eof Miogvezr Wobio/ [gg {iwzkg{ eof fgcobvbio{ evvdg gof i vdb{ xwjabkevbio/
 
 
MEZR KEAAEDEO GZFIG[
Kdbg Gtgkwvbsg IckgzL/X/ Miz`eo E{{gv Meoe`gmgov
E{ pg vwzo vdg xe`g eof dgef bovi e ogp rgez! bv b{ bmxizveov iz w{ vi zggkvio vdg kwzzgov aeof{kexg! eof vi `bsg riw iwz jg{v vdbonbo` io pdgzg vdg pizafb{ dgefbo`/Vdg xe{v vpgasg miovd{ pgzg caagf pbvd woxzgkgfgovgf gsgov{/ Pg pbvog{{gfEzej [xzbo` wxzb{bo`{ eof {wj{guwgov `isgzomgovea kdeo`g{! e fgse{vevbo`gezvduweng eof v{woemb bo Lexeo! vdg cz{v gsgz fipo`zefg i W/[/ fgjv! ekiovbowiw{ar gsiasbo` Gwzixgeo {isgzgb`o fgjv kzb{b{! eof vdg izmea kiokaw{bioi e ogez fgkefg-aio` kiobkv bo Bzeu/Embf{v {wkd vzeo{izmevbioea gsgov{ eziwof vdg pizaf! pg zgki`ob|g vdev iwz liji {bvbo` vdziw`d eaa i vdb{ eof cofbo` exxzixzbevg bosg{vmgov ixxizvwobvbg{iz vdg wvwzg b{ gsgo mizg bmxizveov/ Iwz Kdbg Bosg{vmgov Ikgz MbkdegaKgmjeag{v! bo xezvogz{dbx pbvd iwz bosg{vmgov vgem{ ekzi{{ vdg pizaf! de{kzgevgf eo bo{b`dvwa zemgpizn iz wofgz{veofbo` eof e{{g{{bo` vdg `aijeaixxizvwobvbg{ eof zb{n{ vdev pg keo gtxgkv bo vdg kimbo` rgez/B dixg riw golir vdg kagsgz kisgz xbkvwzg Mbkdega kimmb{{biogf vi kexvwzgio iog xe`g vdg xzi`zg{{ vdev de{ jggo mefg $iz aekn vdgzgi" {bokg vdg `aijeazgkg{{bio i :884‛:882/Pg pb{d riw e dgeavdr eof dexxr ogp rgez/ Eof mi{v bmxizveovar! pg vdeon riwiz riwz kiovbowgf vzw{v eof kiocfgokg bo L/X/ Miz`eo/Mi{v {bokgzgar!

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