1.

Data Komoditi
Barang
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9

2008

Satuan

P2008
6,800
3,800
2,550
22,845
11,850
6,700
810
20,250
72,605

Beras
Kg
Kacang
Kg
Jagung
Kg
Mentega
Kg
Telur
Kg
Gula
Kg
Garam
Kg
Minyak Goreng
Liter
Gas
Tabung

2009

Q2008
1,253,760
764,978
578,934
870,975
769,221
1,096,419
525,949
683,710
787,717

P2009
7,520
4,450
2,950
23,750
12,150
7,750
930
21,700
74,200

METODE LASPEYRES
Barang
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9

Satuan

Beras
Kg
Kacang
Kg
Jagung
Kg
Mentega
Kg
Telur
Kg
Gula
Kg
Garam
Kg
Minyak Goreng
Liter
Gas
Tabung

IL Pn.Qo x 100

IL
IL
IL

Po.Qo

2008
2009
2010

2008
P2008
P2008 x Q2008
6,800
8,525,568,000
3,800
2,906,916,400
2,550
1,476,281,700
22,845
19,897,423,875
11,850
9,115,268,850
6,700
7,346,007,300
810
426,018,690
20,250
13,845,127,500
72,605
57,192,192,785
120,730,805,100
100.00
105.06
107.80

METODE PAASCHE
Barang
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9

2008
P2008
Q2008
P2008 x Q2008
6,800
1,253,760
8,525,568,000
3,800
764,978
2,906,916,400
2,550
578,934
1,476,281,700
22,845
870,975
19,897,423,875
11,850
769,221
9,115,268,850
6,700
1,096,419
7,346,007,300
810
525,949
426,018,690
20,250
683,710
13,845,127,500
72,605
787,717
57,192,192,785
120,730,805,100

Satuan

Beras
Kg
Kacang
Kg
Jagung
Kg
Mentega
Kg
Telur
Kg
Gula
Kg
Garam
Kg
Minyak Goreng
Liter
Gas
Tabung

IP Pn.Qn x 100
Po.Qn

Q2008
1,253,760
764,978
578,934
870,975
769,221
1,096,419
525,949
683,710
787,717

IP
IP

2008
2009

100.00
105.13

IP Pn.Qn x 100
Po.Qn

IP

2010

108.11

METODE FISHER
F
F
F

F IL x IP

2008
2009
2010

100.00
105.10
107.95

2. Catatan Keuntungan (dalam ribuan)

Bulan
Januari
Februari
Maret
April
Mei
Juni
Juli
Agustus
September
Oktober
Nopember
Desember
Y
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23

2009
30,849
32,059
35,058
34,030
38,110
37,344
37,902
36,946
37,873
35,945
38,278
39,349
keuntungan
30,849
32,059
35,058
34,030
38,110
37,344
37,902
36,946
37,873
35,945
38,278
39,349
39,880
39,752
41,095
43,932
47,950
43,867
41,929
45,379
45,640
45,412
45,865

2010
39,880
39,752
41,095
43,932
47,950
43,867
41,929
45,379
45,640
45,412
45,865
48,566

2011
46,776
45,126
50,366
43,932
50,685
48,530

24
25
26
27
28
29
30

48,566
46,776
45,126
50,366
43,932
50,685
48,530

a. Gambar Tren Keuntungan

Y
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28

CMA
32,655.33
33,715.67
35,732.67
36,494.67
37,785.33
37,397.33
37,573.67
36,921.33
37,365.33
37,857.33
39,169.00
39,660.33
40,242.33
41,593.00
44,325.67
45,249.67
44,582.00
43,725.00
44,316.00
45,477.00
45,639.00
46,614.33
47,069.00
46,822.67
47,422.67
46,474.67
48,327.67
47,715.67

b. Persamaan Garis Trend

MODEL LOGARITMA
Y
1
2
3

keuntungan
30,849
32,059
35,058

Log
4.49
4.51
4.54

Ln
10.3369
10.3753
10.4648

Persamaan linear
Slope
intercept

4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30

34,030
38,110
37,344
37,902
36,946
37,873
35,945
38,278
39,349
39,880
39,752
41,095
43,932
47,950
43,867
41,929
45,379
45,640
45,412
45,865
48,566
46,776
45,126
50,366
43,932
50,685
48,530

4.53
4.58
4.57
4.58
4.57
4.58
4.56
4.58
4.59
4.60
4.60
4.61
4.64
4.68
4.64
4.62
4.66
4.66
4.66
4.66
4.69
4.67
4.65
4.70
4.64
4.70
4.69

10.4350
10.5482
10.5279
10.5428
10.5172
10.5420
10.4897
10.5526
10.5802
10.5936
10.5904
10.6236
10.6904
10.7779
10.6889
10.6437
10.7228
10.7285
10.7235
10.7335
10.7907
10.7531
10.7172
10.8271
10.6904
10.8334
10.7899

Persamaan logaritma
slope
intercept
Persamaan ln
slope
intercept

2009

2010
Q2009
1,348,610
755,177
601,847
920,645
770,997
1,211,148
684,854
709,093
806,645

P2010
8,050
4,675
3,125
24,225
12,340
8,015
1,010
22,380
75,475

2009
P2009
P2009 x Q2008
7,520
9,428,275,200
4,450
3,404,152,100
2,950
1,707,855,300
23,750 20,685,656,250
12,150
9,346,035,150
7,750
8,497,247,250
930
489,132,570
21,700 14,836,507,000
74,200 58,448,601,400
##########

Q2010
1,734,460
745,375
624,759
996,450
827,325
1,325,877
820,760
734,476
825,573

2010
P2010
P2010 x Q2008
8,050
10,092,768,000
4,675
3,576,272,150
3,125
1,809,168,750
24,225
21,099,369,375
12,340
9,492,187,140
8,015
8,787,798,285
1,010
531,208,490
22,380
15,301,429,800
75,475
59,452,940,575
130,143,142,565

2009
P2009
7,520
4,450
2,950
23,750
12,150
7,750
930
21,700
74,200

Q2009
P2009 x Q2009
P2008 x Q2009
1,348,610 10,141,547,200
9,170,548,000
755,177
3,360,537,650
2,869,672,600
601,847
1,775,448,650
1,534,709,850
920,645 21,865,318,750
21,032,135,025
770,997
9,367,613,550
9,136,314,450
1,211,148
9,386,397,000
8,114,691,600
684,854
636,914,220
554,731,740
709,093 15,387,318,100
14,359,133,250
806,645 59,853,059,000
58,566,460,225
########## 125,338,396,740

2010
P2010
8,050
4,675
3,125
24,225
12,340
8,015
1,010
22,380
75,475

575.94
32,687.16

an logaritma
0.00613709
4.52043347

0.01413116
10.4086827

2010
Q2010
P2010 x Q2010
P2008 x Q2010
1,734,460 13,962,403,000
11,794,328,000
745,375
3,484,628,125
2,832,425,000
624,759
1,952,371,875
1,593,135,450
996,450 24,139,001,250
22,763,900,250
827,325 10,209,190,500
9,803,801,250
1,325,877 10,626,904,155
8,883,375,900
820,760
828,967,600
664,815,600
734,476 16,437,572,880
14,873,139,000
825,573 62,310,122,175
59,940,727,665
########## 133,149,648,115