Public Policy Polling3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604Phone: 888 621-6988Web: www.publicpolicypolling.comEmail: information@publicpolicypolling.com
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE April 17, 2012INTERVIEWS: Tom Jensen 919-744-6312IF YOU HAVE BASIC METHODOLOGICAL QUESTIONS, PLEASE E-MAILinformation@publicpolicypolling.com, OR CONSULT THE FINAL PARAGRAPHOF THE PRESS RELEASE
Obama leads GOP field in Florida
Raleigh, N.C. –
Barack Obama starts the general election with a 5 point advantage overMitt Romney in Florida, 50-45. This is the biggest lead Obama's had in Florida over thecourse of five polls PPP's done in the state since the beginning of 2011.The main reason for Obama's enhanced standing in the state is that his own popularity ison the rise. 51% of voters now approve of him to 45% who disapprove. His numbers withRepublicans are unchanged from the last time we polled the state but he's now gettingstrong marks from independents (57/37, up from 43/50) and Democrats are unifyingaround him as the general election approaches (he's at 86/11, up from 73/20).In the head to head with Romney Obama wins independents 53-34, while each candidategets a pretty even amount of support from his own party with Obama at 84% of theDemocratic vote and Romney at 83% of the GOP vote. Obama is up 69-21 with youngvoters and 52-37 with Hispanics.We also looked at how four prominent Florida Republicans- Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio,Allen West, and Rick Scott- might affect the race as Vice Presidential candidates. OnlyBush has a positive impact for Romney, bringing the race within three points at 49-46.Bush continues to be a popular figure in the state with 52% of voters viewing himfavorably to 40% with a negative opinion.Rubio's drawn the most attention as a potential Veep pick, but with him on the ticketRomney actually drops from 45% to 43% with Obama staying at 50%. There's not muchevidence Rubio would be able to draw Hispanic voters to Romney. In the straightObama/Romney match Obama leads 52-37 with Hispanics and in the Obama/Biden v.Romney/Rubio match Obama still leads 52-37 with Hispanics.“Barack Obama’s looking very strong in Florida right now,” said Dean Debnam,President of Public Policy Polling. “That’s bad news for the GOP because it’s hard to seethem winning this fall without the Sunshine State in their column.”PPP surveyed 700 Florida voters from April 12
th
to 15th. The margin of error for thesurvey is +/-3.7%. This poll was not paid for or authorized by any campaign or politicalorganization. PPP is a Democratic polling company, but polling expert Nate Silver of the
New York Times
found that its surveys in 2010 actually exhibited a slight bias towardRepublican candidates.
April 12-15, 2012
Survey of 700 Florida voters
April 12-15, 2012
Survey of 700 Florida voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-69883020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Florida Survey Results
Q1
Do you approve or disapprove of PresidentBarack Obama’s job performance?51%
Approve
..........................................................
45%
Disapprove
......................................................
4%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q2
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Newt Gingrich?26%
Favorable
........................................................
63%
Unfavorable
....................................................
10%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q3
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Ron Paul?31%
Favorable
........................................................
56%
Unfavorable
....................................................
13%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q4
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Mitt Romney?41%
Favorable
........................................................
51%
Unfavorable
....................................................
8%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q5
If the candidates for President this year wereDemocrat Barack Obama and RepublicanNewt Gingrich, who would you vote for?52%
Barack Obama
................................................
40%
Newt Gingrich
.................................................
8%
Undecided
.......................................................
Q6
If the candidates for President this year wereDemocrat Barack Obama and Republican RonPaul, who would you vote for?50%
Barack Obama
................................................
40%
Ron Paul
.........................................................
10%
Undecided
.......................................................
Q7
If the candidates for President this year wereDemocrat Barack Obama and Republican MittRomney, who would you vote for?50%
Barack Obama
................................................
45%
Mitt Romney
....................................................
5%
Undecided
.......................................................
Q8
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Jeb Bush?52%
Favorable
........................................................
40%
Unfavorable
....................................................
9%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q9
Do you approve or disapprove of SenatorMarco Rubio's job performance?43%
Approve
..................
41%
Disapprove
..............
16%
Not sure
..................
Q10
Do you approve or disapprove of GovernorRick Scott’s job performance?34%
Approve
.................
54%
Disapprove
............
13%
Not sure
................
Q11
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Allen West?24%
Favorable
........................................................
32%
Unfavorable
....................................................
44%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q12
If the Democratic ticket for President wasBarack Obama and Joe Biden, and theRepublican ticket was Mitt Romney and JebBush, which would you vote for?49%
Obama-Biden
..................................................
46%
Romney-Bush
.................................................
5%
Not sure
..........................................................
April 12-15, 2012
Survey of 700 Florida voters
April 12-15, 2012
Survey of 700 Florida voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-69883020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Q13
If the Democratic ticket for President wasBarack Obama and Joe Biden, and theRepublican ticket was Mitt Romney and MarcoRubio, which would you vote for?50%
Obama-Biden
..................................................
43%
Romney-Rubio
................................................
6%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q14
If the Democratic ticket for President wasBarack Obama and Joe Biden, and theRepublican ticket was Mitt Romney and RickScott, which would you vote for?51%
Obama-Biden
..................................................
40%
Romney-Scott
.................................................
9%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q15
If the Democratic ticket for President wasBarack Obama and Joe Biden, and theRepublican ticket was Mitt Romney and AllenWest, which would you vote for?50%
Obama-Biden
..................................................
40%
Romney-West
.................................................
10%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q16
Who did you vote for President in 2008?47%
John McCain
...................................................
47%
Barack Obama
................................................
6%
Someone else/Don't remember
......................
Q17
Would you describe yourself as very liberal,somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhatconservative, or very conservative?10%
Very liberal
......................................................
19%
Somewhat liberal
............................................
32%
Moderate
.........................................................
22%
Somewhat conservative
..................................
16%
Very conservative
...........................................
Q18
If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.55%
Woman
...........................................................
45%
Man
.................................................................
Q19
If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,press 2. If you are an independent or identifywith another party, press 3.41%
Democrat
........................................................
41%
Republican
......................................................
18%
Independent/Other
..........................................
Q20
If you are Hispanic, press 1. If white, press 2.If African-American, press 3. If other, press 4.13%
Hispanic
..........................................................
71%
White
..............................................................
11%
African-American
............................................
5%
Other
...............................................................
Q21
If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you areolder than 65, press 4.12%
18 to 29
...........................................................
24%
30 to 45
...........................................................
31%
46 to 65
...........................................................
33%
Older than 65
..................................................
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