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 CBS NEWS/NEW YORK TIMES POLLFor release: Wednesday, April 18, 201126:30 pm (EDT)As the General Election Heats up, A Tied RaceApril 13-17, 2012
Republican Mitt Romney -- the presumptive Republican presidential nominee -- is now ina dead heat against President Barack Obama. 46% of registered voters say they wouldvote for Romney if the election were held today, while 46% would back the President.
Romney now has the backing of nine in 10 Republicans and runs neck and neck with thePresident among independent voters.
More than half of voters express confidence in both the President and Romney on thenation’s most important issue – the economy.
48% approve of the job Barack Obama is doing as president, while 42% disapprove.
The November Election
With less than seven months to go before the presidential election, the race is dead evenbetween Barack Obama and his presumptive Republican rival Mitt Romney. The race was alsoclose last month, when President Obama led Romney by just three points.
Who Would You Vote for if the Candidates Were…?
(Among registered voters)Now 3/2012 2/2012 1/2012Barack Obama 46% 47% 48% 45%Mitt Romney 46 44 42 45The race is about even among the key voting group of independents. Mitt Romney now edgesout Mr. Obama among independent voters by just one point. In March, the President held just atwo-point lead among this group. These small leads are within the poll’s margin of error. Eachcandidate gets strong majority support from their own party. Mr. Obama captured the support of52% of independents in 2008.
Who Would You Vote for if the Candidates Were…?
(Among registered voters)------- Now --------- ----- 3/2012 ----Reps Dems Inds Reps Dems IndsBarack Obama 4% 87% 41% 4% 88% 45%Mitt Romney 90 11 42 84 8 43
 
The President continues to lead Romney among women voters, but the gap has narrowed somesince last month. Now, Obama is ahead of Romney by six points, down from 11 points in March.Republican women are now solidly behind Romney, the presumptive Republican nominee.Romney continues to have the support of men.
 
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 Who Would You Vote for if the Candidates Were…?
 (Among registered voters)------- Now --------- ----- 3/2012 ----Women Men Women MenBarack Obama 49% 43% 50% 44%Mitt Romney 43 49 39 50Married women are backing Romney (49%) over Obama (42%), while Obama has the supportof a majority of single women. Working women also support the President over his likelyRepublican rival.Romney is getting the support of conservatives and white evangelicals in a general electionmatch-up against the president – groups he often had trouble winning over during the primaries.Obama leads Romney among moderates by a large margin.Those with household incomes under $50,000 would vote for the President if the election wereheld today, while Romney leads among those with incomes higher than that.Voters under age 45 would back the President, while Romney has the edge among older voters.
Who Would You Vote for if the Candidates Were…?
(Among registered voters)Obama RomneyTotal 46% 46%Men 43% 49Women 49% 43Married women 42% 49Single women 62% 34< Age 45 50% 42Age 45+ 43% 49<$50K 51% 41$50K+ 44% 50Reps 4% 90Dems 87% 11Inds 41% 42Liberal 82% 16Moderate 55% 35Conservative 17% 73College grad 48% 44No degree 45% 47White evangelicals 21% 73
 
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As the general election campaign heats up, 43% of voters are paying a lot of attention to it, butthat’s down from 55% at this time four years ago. Similar percentages of Republicans andDemocrats are paying attention to the campaign.
Attention to the Campaign
(among registered voters)Now 4/2008A lot 43% 55%Some 35 37Not much/not at all 22 8
The Candidates on the Issues
On the economy, the most pressing issue for voters, more than half have at least someconfidence in both President Obama (51%) and Mitt Romney (55%) to make the right decisionson the issue. More, however, are very confident in Obama (20%) on the economy than say thatabout Romney (14%). During the 2008 campaign, Mr. Obama led his opponent John McCainon this key question.
Confidence in Economic Decisions: Obama vs. Romney
(Among registered voters)Obama RomneyVery 20% 14%Somewhat 31 41Not too 17 20Not at all 31 20Majorities are at least somewhat confident in both Obama and Romney to be an effectivecommander-in-chief, but just 13% are very confident in Romney, compared to 30% who say thatabout the President.
Confidence as Commander-In-Chief: Obama Vs. Romney
(Among registered voters)Obama RomneyVery 30% 13%Somewhat 29 43Not too 15 17Not at all 25 20
Republicans Unite Behind Romney
Now that Rick Santorum has suspended his bid for the Presidency, most Republican primaryvoters – whether they voted in the primaries already or not – have rallied behind Republicanfrontrunner Mitt Romney. 54% of Republican primary voters now say they want to see MittRomney become the Republican nominee, far ahead of Newt Gingrich (20%) or Ron Paul(12%). Just 30% backed Romney in March, when Santorum was still in the race.
Republican Nomination Preference
(Among Republican Primary Voters)Mitt Romney 54%Newt Gingrich 20Ron Paul 12
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