Professional Documents
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Paper
28 de Abril de 2012
POLÍTICA DE CRECIMIENTO
Y POLÍTICAS “EXPANSIVAS”
1. Durante los últimos meses, se está volviendo a europeos puede haber llegado a un punto de
poner de moda en algunos entornos políticos la agotamiento político, especialmente si las
necesidad de impulsar “políticas de crecimiento” previsiones de estancamiento o recesión de la
en Europa frente a la actualmente dominante economía europea durante el año 2012 se
estrategia “de austeridad”. confirman.
As a Working Paper, it doesn´t reflect any institutional position or opinion neither of EKAI Center,
nor of its sponsors or supporting entities
EKAI Center seeks to do business with companies or governments covered in its reports. Readers should be aware that
we may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as
only a single factor in making their investment decision.
As a Working Paper, it doesn´t reflect any institutional position or opinion neither of EKAI Center,
nor of its sponsors or supporting entities
EKAI Center seeks to do business with companies or governments covered in its reports. Readers should be aware that
we may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as
only a single factor in making their investment decision.
7. Es importante tener en cuenta que las políticas 10. Pero todas las alarmas son pocas cuando,
expansivas “de crecimiento” no son una novedad entre las propuestas favorables a un giro
en las políticas occidentales frente a la crisis. Al estratégico de las políticas europeas a favor de
contrario, fueron las políticas desarrolladas una “estrategia de crecimiento” se confunden
fundamentalmente durante los años 2008 y con una facilidad sorprendente unos y otros
2009. Y, esto hay que reconocerlo, con un fracaso modelos de políticas “expansivas”.
claro.
11. Porque una política “expansiva” puede ser
8. Desde EKAI Center siempre hemos cualquier política que incremente el gasto o la
cuestionado el carácter excesivamente restrictivo inversión públicos, o la oferta monetaria, aunque
del Pacto de Estabilidad y Crecimiento impuesto sea a través de un gasto inútil. Ciertamente,
en la configuración de la Eurozona. No porque también este gasto inútil supondría,
fuese más o menos exigente con las políticas probablemente, un aparente “relanzamiento”
presupuestarias de los Estados sino –entre otras económico durante el primer o segundo año, y
razones- por la falta de discriminación entre las quizás el desastre durante los años siguientes.
diferentes modalidades de gasto y, en particular,
por no dedicar un tratamiento específico a los
As a Working Paper, it doesn´t reflect any institutional position or opinion neither of EKAI Center,
nor of its sponsors or supporting entities
EKAI Center seeks to do business with companies or governments covered in its reports. Readers should be aware that
we may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as
only a single factor in making their investment decision.
As a Working Paper, it doesn´t reflect any institutional position or opinion neither of EKAI Center,
nor of its sponsors or supporting entities
EKAI Center seeks to do business with companies or governments covered in its reports. Readers should be aware that
we may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as
only a single factor in making their investment decision.
Europa tiene también un problema estructural a) cómo se definen los recursos a destinar
con la situación a este respecto de los países a estas políticas
periféricos, que han venido desarrollando una
activa política de infraestructuras durante las dos b) cómo se distribuyen estos recursos
últimas décadas, en buena parte gracias a la entre los distintos estados miembros.
disponibilidad de recursos públicos aportados por
la Unión Europea. La realidad es que los países c) cómo se asegura que se realizan los
periféricos han venido registrando tasas de esfuerzos necesarios para detectar las
inversión pública sensiblemente altas. posibilidades de inversión
As a Working Paper, it doesn´t reflect any institutional position or opinion neither of EKAI Center,
nor of its sponsors or supporting entities
EKAI Center seeks to do business with companies or governments covered in its reports. Readers should be aware that
we may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as
only a single factor in making their investment decision.
As a Working Paper, it doesn´t reflect any institutional position or opinion neither of EKAI Center,
nor of its sponsors or supporting entities
EKAI Center seeks to do business with companies or governments covered in its reports. Readers should be aware that
we may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as
only a single factor in making their investment decision.
As a Working Paper, it doesn´t reflect any institutional position or opinion neither of EKAI Center,
nor of its sponsors or supporting entities
EKAI Center seeks to do business with companies or governments covered in its reports. Readers should be aware that
we may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as
only a single factor in making their investment decision.