WNDI 2008
1Elections DA 3 Week
Elections DA 3 Week
Elections DA 3 Week .....................................................................................................................1Uniqueness – McCain Win – Polls ................................................................................................2Uniqueness – Obama Lose – Voters ............................................................................................3Uniqueness – Obama Lose – Terrorism ......................................................................................4Uniqueness – Obama Win – Polls ................................................................................................5Obama good – Troop Withdrawal ...............................................................................................6Troop withdrawal
Decreased spending ..................................................................................7Obama good – Iraqi Civil War .....................................................................................................8Iraqi Civil War Spills Over ..........................................................................................................9Obama good – Soft power ...........................................................................................................10Obama good – Hegemony 1/2 ......................................................................................................11Obama good – Hegemony ..........................................................................................................12Obama good – Iran Diplomacy ..................................................................................................13Obama Good – Iran-Israel Conflict ...........................................................................................14Obama Good – Iran-Israel Conflict ...........................................................................................15Obama good – US-Latin America relations ...............................................................................16Obama good – US-French Relations .........................................................................................17Obama Good – Nuclear Power ...................................................................................................18Obama bad – Hegemony .............................................................................................................19Obama bad – Alternative energy ................................................................................................20McCain good – Global Warming ...............................................................................................21McCain Good – Healthcare ........................................................................................................22McCain Good – Economy ...........................................................................................................23McCain Bad – US-NK Relations ................................................................................................24McCain Bad – Iran Attack ..........................................................................................................25
WNDI 2008
2Elections DA 3 Week
Uniqueness – McCain Win – Polls
Yes McCain – PollsLightman
, David (staff writer). Kansas City Times “Foreign tour gives Obama no lasting bounce in polls”July 31st, 20
08
< http://www.kansascity.com/445/story/728329.html>"It's almost like McCain and Obama are generic Republican and Democratic candidates," Newport said."American presidential races are pretty well structured," he said, and even in November, most people tend tovote with the same parties they've backed for years.Third, the Obama trip was a vivid reminder toRepublicans that the Illinois senator is poised to run a strong, energetic campaign, so they had better mobilizequickly.
Gallup's daily polls measure registered voters. But Gallup also reports on the mood of "likely"voters - generally those who are paying more attention to the race - and last Friday through Sunday,they gave McCain a 49-45 percent edge.
The Gallup Poll Shows McCain is AheadThe Economist
“The Big Bellwether Battlefield” July 31st, 20
08
<http://www.economist.com/world/unitedstates/displaystory.cfm?story_id=11848408>BARACK OBAMA is doing everything he can to make it look as if the election is a mere formality, andadoring media types are keen to play along.
Yet the latest USA Today-Gallup poll puts John McCain fourpoints ahead,
Optimistic Republicans recall that Michael Dukakis was 17 points ahead of George Bush senior inthe summer of 1988, and still lost.
So there is plenty of evidence to suggest that this election, like the previous two, could boil down to a tight race settled by close results in a handful of “swing” states. Ohio isthe quintessential battleground state. Bill Clinton won it by some of the narrowest of his margins for any bigstate—just two points in 1992 and six in 1996. In 2004 George Bush won Ohio, with its precious 20 of the270 electoral college votes needed to secure the presidency, by a mere 118,600 votes. Had 60,000 Ohioansgone the other way, John Kerry would have been president
WNDI 2008
3Elections DA 3 Week
Uniqueness – Obama Lose – Voters
Obama Won’t Win – Can’t Appeal to the Average AmericanChozick
, Amy (staff writer) The Wall Street Journal. “Too fit to be president?” August 1st, 20
08.
<http://online.wsj.com/article/SB121755336096303089.html?mod=special_page_campaign2008_topbox>Speaking to donors at a San Diego fund-raiser last month, Barack Obama reassured the crowd that hewouldn't give in to Republican tactics to throw his candidacy off track. "Listen, I'm skinny but I'm tough,"Sen. Obama said. But
in a nation in which 66% of the voting-age population is overweight and 32% isobese
,
could Sen. Obama's skinniness be a liability
? Despite his visits to waffle houses, ice-cream parlorsand greasy-spoon diners around the country,
his slim physique just might have some Americanswondering whether he is truly like them.
T
he candidate has been criticized by opponents for appearingelitist or out of touch with average Americans.
A Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll conducted in Julyshows Sen.
Obama still lags
behind Republican John McCain
among white men and suburban womenwho say they can't relate to his background or perceived values.
"He's too new ... and he needs to putsome meat on his bones," says Diana Koenig, 42, a housewife in Corpus Christi, Texas, who says she votedfor Sen. Hillary Clinton in the Democratic primary. "I won't vote for any beanpole guy," another Clintonsupporter wrote last week on a Yahoo politics message board. The last overweight president to be elected was335-pound William Howard Taft in 1908. As for tall and lanky presidents, "you might have to go back toAbraham Lincoln" in 1860, says presidential historian Stephen Hess. "Most presidents were sort of in themiddle."
No Obama Win – Out of Touch with Working Class VotersAllen-Mills,
Tony
&
Berman,
Nina. (Staff writers). The Sunday Times “How Obama Can Win Over WorkingClass Whites” August 3rd, 20
08
Obama went tenpin-bowling in Altoona and later appeared on a farm to feed milk to a calf from a bottle.These were standard ploys for a Harvard-educated, big-city politician anxious to appear a good ol’ country boy, yet the opinion polls swerved resolutely in favour of Clinton. At one point
Obama
ruminated publiclyabout the difficulties of attracting the working-class whites who had abandoned the Democrats for Bush. He
said
:
“It’s not surprising that they get bitter. They cling to guns or religion… or anti-immigrantsentiment… as a way to explain their frustrations.”
He sounded like a Harvard sociologist, and
Clintonleapt on the blunder.
Obama was an elitist snob, she suggested, out of touch with working-classAmerican
s who “don’t cling to religion… they value their faith. You don’t cling to guns, you enjoy huntingor collecting or sport”.
Obama duly tumbled to a heavy defeat in Pennsylvania
, although the setback proved only temporary. Yet
the issue is certain to return as he faces John McCain in the autumn
, and it’sclear that Obama aides are still searching for the right tone of voice for a black intellectual candidate to usewhen addressing a dim-witted redneck. They even called Bageant for help.
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