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Spending DA - Brovero

Spending DA - Brovero

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Gonzaga Debate Institute 2008
 
1
Brovero/Lundeen/Moczulski
Spending DA 
Spending DA
Spending DA ..................................................................................................................................................................11NC – 1/2........................................................................................................................................................................21NC – 2/2........................................................................................................................................................................3Uniqueness: Fiscal Discipline High Now.......................................................................................................................4Uniqueness: Fiscal Discipline High Now.......................................................................................................................5Uniqueness: Fiscal Discipline High Now.......................................................................................................................6Uniqueness: Economy Stable Now.................................................................................................................................7Link: Government Spending...........................................................................................................................................8Link: Research and Development...................................................................................................................................9Link: Low Priority Programs........................................................................................................................................10Link: Solar Space Power...............................................................................................................................................11Link: Ethanol Development..........................................................................................................................................12Link: Ethanol Development..........................................................................................................................................13Link: Coal to Liquid......................................................................................................................................................14Link: Coal to Liquid......................................................................................................................................................15Link: Cap and Trade......................................................................................................................................................16Link: Nuclear Power.....................................................................................................................................................17Internal Link: Deficit Spending ...................................................................................................................................18Internal Link: Deficit Spending/Fiscal .........................................................................................................................19Internal Link: Fiscal Discipline K/ Econ......................................................................................................................20Internal Link: US Econ K/ Global................................................................................................................................21Internal Link: Inflation..................................................................................................................................................22Internal Link: Oil Prices K/ Econ.................................................................................................................................23Internal Link: Oil Prices K/ Econ.................................................................................................................................24Internal Link: Electricity Prices K/ Econ......................................................................................................................25Impacts: Nuclear War....................................................................................................................................................26Impacts: Nuclear War....................................................................................................................................................27Impacts: Disease...........................................................................................................................................................28Impacts: China War ......................................................................................................................................................29AFF: Link Turn – Cap and Trade..................................................................................................................................30AFF: Link Turn – Nuclear Power.................................................................................................................................31AFF: Link Turn – Ethanol ............................................................................................................................................32AFF: Link Turn – R&D................................................................................................................................................33AFF: Link Turn – Alternative Energy...........................................................................................................................34AFF: Non – U Econ Growth Low.................................................................................................................................36AFF: Non – U Recession Now.....................................................................................................................................37AFF: Non – U No Fiscal Now......................................................................................................................................38AFF: US Not K/ Global Econ.......................................................................................................................................39AFF: US Not K/ Global Econ.......................................................................................................................................40
 
Gonzaga Debate Institute 2008
 
2
Brovero/Lundeen/Moczulski
Spending DA 
1NC – 1/2
A. The economy is low now but recovery is on the horizon.Robb 6/17/2008
(Greg, Staff Writer, “Oh, by the way, the Fed will pause next week” MarketWatch Online,
 
)
At the moment,
the Fed forecasts that the economy will begin to recover in the second half of this yearand strengthen further in 2009.
 
The Fed also expects inflation to moderate in coming quarters asenergy prices level out. Top Fed officials have expressed comfort with rates where they are.
"For now,
policy seems well positioned to promote moderate growth and price stability over time
," Fed chief BenBernanke said early this month.
B. Alternative energy development is incredibly expensive.Alternative Energy Online 2007
(“Disadvantages of Alternative Energy” October 17
th
2007)
Alternative energy is being studied to power our vehicles along with our homes. Hybrid cars have been inmarket for a while. They don’t need to be plugged in to recharge otherwise they use the same idea as anelectric car. They have all of the power of a gasoline engine as they use their braking system to regenerate power. Newer fuel cell technologies vehicle are currently being designed so as to work along with a hydro- powered hybrid which uses hydrogen.
Alternative energy is expensive to incorporate into the already setup infrastructure. Most of the alternative energy resources will require an altogether different type of wiring system than what people have. This would delay the conversion to alternative energy sourcesuntil we have made adequate arrangements by which time the fossil fuels found on our Earth todaywill be long depleted.
 
Gonzaga Debate Institute 2008
 
3
Brovero/Lundeen/Moczulski
Spending DA 
1NC – 2/2
C. New government spending leads to inflationSaville 7/8/2008
(Steve, Editor of the Speculative Investor, “Government Spending andInflation” Safe Haven Online
That being said, the seeds are being sown for the next round of monetary expansion. Those seeds are thefrenetic calls for increased government spending and other "stimulus packages" to address the economicdownturn, and the virtual certainty that politicians of all stripes will heed these calls.
The bonds issued bythe government to finance the additional deficit-spending will lead to more inflation because they willbe purchased by the central bank or private banks with newly-created money
. As noted above, an
increase in government spending cannot possibly help
.
Its likely effect will be to PROLONG thedownturn, but the longer it takes for a sustained recovery to begin the greater the opportunity for thegovernment to 'fight' the downturn via even more inflation-financed spending.
 
D. High inflation leads to economic stagnation and recession.Sailor, Author of India Daily, 07
(Tania, India Daily: “Higher Inflation, lower short-term rates can push gold to $1500 an ounce – but what the longterm prospect of yellow metal?”, June 24, http://www.indiadaily.com/editorial/17296.asp, Date Accessed: July 7,2008)The gold bugs are getting happier every day.
The economy is facing stagflation. Stagflation is great forthe gold investor. The stagnating economy puts political pressure on the Fed to lower short-term rates.But inflation in the economy just pushes gold fundamentally higher. The stagnating economy will alsocreate far higher budget deficit, which will lower the dollar and raise the price of gold.
So gold is a totalwinner isn’t it? Well before thinking about the gold homerun, let us analyze a few things. What happens after stagflation?
The inflation actually puts more pressure on the economy. The economy stagnates furtherand finally plunges into recession. With such high budget and trade deficit, if the long-term bond yieldscross the 10% level, it will plunge the economy into depression.
Now what happens if economy staysdepressed for more than a quarter? Deflation starts. The inflation changes very fast into deflation. So, if stagflation continues and get deeper, it will transform into depression accompanied by deflation. It happenedin Japan. The Japanese economy, since the late eighties, stagnated and collapsed into deflation under heavydebt. That shows depression is not needed for deflation to take over the economy. If the world economiesstart experiencing deflation, the gold will eventually collapse. Gold for now is bullish and may rise very high.But eventually as deflation takes over the economy gold will be trading far below it is trading today. There isone catch though. That wild card is dollar. If dollar collapse like pesos, gold will higher. If dollar holds under deflation, gold will collapse below $300 an ounce.
E.
 
Economic collapse causes extinction
Bearden
, Director of the Distinguished American Scientists (ADAS),
2000
(Thomas, Fellow Emeritus, AlphaFoundation’s Institute for Advanced Study (AIAS) Pg. http://www.cheniere.org/techpapers/)History bears out that desperate nations take desperate actions
. Prior to the final economic collapse, thestress on nations will have increased the intensity and number of their conflicts, to the point where
thearsenals of 
weapons of mass destruction
(WMD)
now possessed by some 25 nations, are almost certainto be released.
As an example, suppose a starving North Korea {
i
} launches nuclear weapons upon Japan andSouth Korea, including U.S. forces there, in a spasmodic suicidal response. Or suppose a desperate China — whose long range nuclear missiles can reach the United States — attacks Taiwan. In addition to immediateresponses, the mutual treaties involved in such scenarios will quickly draw other nations into the conflict,escalating it significantly. As the studies showed,
rapid escalation to full WMD exchange occurs
, with agreat percent of the WMD arsenals being unleashed.
The resulting great Armageddon will destroycivilization as we know it, and
 
 perhaps most of 
the biosphere
, at least for many decades

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