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Table Of Contents

Policy Research Note
Introduction
Overview of Vietnamese Economy and Inflation Dynamics, 2000-2010
Overview of Vietnam’s economy
Figure 1. Economic Growth and Inflation, 1995-2009
Figure 2. GDP Growth Rate Contribution by Sector, 1996-2009
Figure 3. Industry Shares in GDP at Constant Price, 2000-2009
Table 1. Industrial Output Growth by Ownership, 2005-2009
Figure 4. Revenues - Expenditures and Budget Deficits, 2000-2009
Figure 5. Public Debt and External Debt, 2000-2009
Figure 6. Current Account Deficit and Foreign Exchange Reserves, 2000-2009
Figure 7. Real and Nominal Exchange Rate VND/USD, 2000-2009
Vietnam’s inflation dynamics with key changes in policy and economic environment
Previous Studies on Vietnam’s Inflation
Analysis of Key Macroeconomic Determinants of Vietnam’s Inflation
The model
Figure 13. Transmission Channels to Inflation
Data
Conventional data series
Less conventional data
Tests
Unit-root Tests
Cointegration Tests
Results of Vector Error Correction Model (VECM)
The base line model
The extended model
Variance decomposition
Impulse Response Functions
Policy Discussion and Concluding Remarks
Concluding remarks
References
Appendices
Table 1A. Unit root test on variables at level
Table 2A. Unit root test on variables at first difference
Table 3A. Johansen cointegration test on PPP relation
Table 4A. Johansen cointegration test on AD relation
Table 5A. Johansen cointegration test on AS relation
Table 6A. Baseline VECM results
Table 7A. Extended VECM results
Table 8A. Variance Decomposition of CPI
Figure 2A. Impulse response functions
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Published by Huongchan Thich

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Published by: Huongchan Thich on May 09, 2012
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