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ForumComm ND Polling Summary Report 12-15

ForumComm ND Polling Summary Report 12-15

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Published by: inforum_documents on May 17, 2012
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04/18/2014

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ESSMAN
/RESEARCH
 
*Significance testing is unreliable due to the small sample size.
 ⎯ 
 
Do you plan to vote Republican or Democrat in the June 12
th
primary?
 
Republican 59% / (297)
 
Democrat 41% / (203)
Plan to Vote:Republicanor DemocratCounty Breakdown AllCounties(500) All counties,excluding Sioux (475)Sioux County (25)*BurleighCounty (63)CassCounty (116)GrandForks(42)Ramsey County (5)*WardCounty (41)
Plan to voteRepublican59%(297)61%(289)32%(8)
71%(45)
59%(68)41%(17)40%(2)
71%(29)
Plan to voteDemocrat41%(203)39%(186)
68%(17)
 29%(18)41%(48)
60%(25)60%(3)
29%(12)*Significance testing is unreliable due to the small sample size.
Republicans
 ⎯ 
 
In the U.S. Senate race, Rick Berg faces Duane Sand in the June 12
th
primary.If the primary election were held today, who would you vote for?
 With regard to the GOP primary for the U.S. Senate, 65% of likely Republican andIndependent voters would vote for Rick Berg and 21% would vote for Duane Sand forthe U.S. Senate. Fourteen percent are still undecided.
Berg vsSandCounty Breakdown AllCounties(297) All counties,excluding Sioux (289)Sioux County (8)*BurleighCounty (45)CassCounty (68)GrandForks(17)*Ramsey County (2)*WardCounty (29)*Rick Berg 65%(194)
 65%(189)63%(5)62%(28)68%(46)59%(10)100%(2)66%(19)Duane Sand 21%(61)20%(59)25%(2)20%(9)22%(15)29%(5)0 21%(6)Undecided 14%(42)14%(41)13%(1)18%(8)10%(7)12%(2)0 14%(4)*Significance testing is unreliable due to the small sample size.
 
ESSMAN
/RESEARCH
 
MARKETING RESEARCH THAT WORKS
100 EAST GRAND • SUITE 340 • DES MOINES, IOWA 50309-1800TEL: 515.282.7145 • FAX: 515.282.4535mail@essmanresearch.com www.essmanresearch.com
14
There were no significant differences among the Republicans and Independents.
Berg VsSandTotal(297)Party AffiliationRepublican(191)Independent(101)
Rick Berg 65%(194)71%(136)53%(53)Duane Sand 21%(61)14%(27)34%(34)Undecided 14%(42)15%(28)14%(14)
Democrats and Republicans
 ⎯ 
 
If the general election was held today, and the candidates for the U.S. Senateare Heidi Heitkamp (Democrat) and Rick Berg (Republican), who would you votefor?
For the U.S. Senate seat, if the candidates today were Rick Berg and Heidi Heitkamp,51% of likely voters would vote for Berg and 44% would vote for Heitkamp. Fivepercent are undecided.Among the six counties, a higher percentage of voters in Sioux (48%) and Grand Forks(62%) counties would vote for Heitkamp.
Berg vsHeitkampCounty Breakdown AllCounties(500) All counties,excluding Sioux (475)Sioux County (25)*BurleighCounty (63)CassCounty (116)GrandForks(42)Ramsey County (5)*WardCounty (41)Rick Berg 51%(254)
 52%(245)36%(9)54%(34)51%(59)33%(14)60%(3)61%(25)HeidiHeitkamp44%(220)44%(208)
48%(12)
 43%(27)45%(52)
62%(26)
 40%(2)37%(15)Undecided 5%(26)5%(22)16%(4)3%(2)4%(5)5%(2)0 2%(1)*Significance testing is unreliable due to the small sample size.
Among party affiliation, 54% of the Independent voters polled will vote for Heitkamp.
Berg vsHeitkampTotal100%(500)Political Party Republican(192)Democrat(117)Independent(183)Rick Berg 51%(254)
 87%(166)9%(10)41%(75)Heidi Heitkamp 44%(220)8%(16)87%(102)
54%(98)
 Undecided 5%(26)5%(10)4%(5)6%(10)
 
ESSMAN
/RESEARCH
 
MARKETING RESEARCH THAT WORKS
100 EAST GRAND • SUITE 340 • DES MOINES, IOWA 50309-1800TEL: 515.282.7145 • FAX: 515.282.4535mail@essmanresearch.com www.essmanresearch.com
15
 ⎯ 
 
If the general election was held today, and the candidates for the U.S. Senateare Heidi Heitkamp (Democrat) and Duane Sand (Republican), who would you vote for?
For the U.S. Senate seat, if the candidates today were Duane Sand and Heidi Heitkamp,48% of likely voters would vote for Heitkamp and 45% for Sand. Eight percent areundecided.Among the six counties, a higher percentage of voters in Burleigh (48%), Ramsey (60%)and Ward (56%) counties would vote for Sand.
Sand vsHeitkampCounty Breakdown AllCounties(500) All counties,excluding Sioux (475)Sioux County (25)*BurleighCounty (63)CassCounty (116)GrandForks(42)Ramsey County (5)*WardCounty (41)HeidiHeitkamp48%(239)
 47%(222)68%(17)44%(28)47%(55)60%(25)40%(2)37%(15)Duane Sand 45%(223)46%(217)24%(6)
48%(30)
45%(52)31%(13)
60%(3)56%(23)
Undecided 8%(38)8%(36)8%(2)8%(5)8%(9)10%(4)0 7%(3)*Significance testing is unreliable due to the small sample size.
Among party affiliation, 58% of the Independent voters polled will vote for Heitkamp.
Sand vsHeitkampTotal100%(500)Political Party Republican(192)Democrat(117)Independent(183)Heidi Heitkamp 48%(239)
 12%(23)92%(107)
58%(106)
 Duane Sand 45%(223)79%(152)4%(5)34%(62)Undecided 8%(38)9%(17)4%(5)8%(15)

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