May 11, 2012

502 Likely Massachusetts 2012 voters

May 8-10, 2012

Massachusetts Statewide Survey May 2012

Hello, may I speak with [FIRST NAME ONLY] please?

My name is _______________. First, Im not selling anything or asking for money. Im calling from
Harstad Research, the national public opinion research firm. We are doing a survey here in
Massachusetts and would like to ask your opinion on some local issues and interesting topics.
SCREENER
A.

Do you or does anyone in your household happen to work for a radio station, a newspaper, or a
TV station?
No ........................................................................................................... 100%
Yes ..........................................................................................................
-- ! Terminate
Refused/DK/NS ......................................................................................
-- ! Terminate

B.

And thinking ahead to November 2012 when there will be an election for President, Senate, and
Congress, what is the chance that you will vote in that election will you definitely vote, probably
vote, are the chances 50-50, or will you probably not vote? [n=502]
Definitely vote .........................................................................................
Probably vote ..........................................................................................
50-50 chances ........................................................................................
Probably not............................................................................................
Refused/DK/NS ......................................................................................

85%
13%
2%
-- ! Terminate
-- ! Terminate

May 11, 2012

And suppose this Novembers election for Senate were held today and the candidates were Democrat
Elizabeth Warren and Republican Scott Brown [Rotate names], for whom would you vote? [Probe dont
know:] Well, I know the election is a long way off, but if you had to choose today, which way would you lean?
[n=502]

Elizabeth Warren ....................................................................................

Scott Brown ............................................................................................

46%
46%

Warren ....................................................................................................
Lean Warren ...........................................................................................
Brown ......................................................................................................
Lean Brown.............................................................................................
DK/NS .....................................................................................................

44%
2%
44%
2%
8%

Based on the things youve seen or heard about Elizabeth Warren in the past FEW WEEKS or so, are you
MORE likely or LESS likely to vote for Warren for Senate? [n=502]
More likely...............................................................................................
Less likely ...............................................................................................
No difference/heard nothing [Do not read] .............................................
DK/NS .....................................................................................................

39%
38%
14%
9%

Differential: More-Less.........................................................................

+1%

Based on the things youve seen or heard about Scott Brown in the past FEW WEEKS or so, are you
MORE likely or LESS likely to vote for Brown for Senate? [n=502]
More likely...............................................................................................
Less likely ...............................................................................................
No difference/heard nothing [Do not read] .............................................
DK/NS .....................................................................................................

40%
40%
13%
7%

Differential: More-Less.........................................................................

0%

Party registration
Democrat ................................................................................................
Republican ..............................................................................................
Independent ............................................................................................

36%
13%
50%

Thank you for taking our survey, your

answers have been extremely helpful.

Methodology
The Massachusetts Statewide Voter Survey was conducted by Harstad Strategic Research, inc, the
national public opinion research firm in Boulder, Colorado. The results of this survey are based upon 502
random telephone interviews among likely 2012 voters in Massachusetts. The random sample was drawn
from the Massachusetts voter list and interviews were conducted from May 8-10, 2012. This random
sample of 502 has a worst-case 95% confidence interval of plus or minus 4.4% about any one reported
percentage.