Extract and commentary on Scenarios for the Future of Technology and International Development 2010 Page 2 of 11
A Commentary on Global Scenarios Extract
From the scenario simulation and projection, one thing can be ascertained with clarity; it is anongoing funnelling process of factors affecting the stability of the nation-state.The compounded effects of debt, famine, crop failure, recession, high energy prices, andrapid consumption of resources bracing disaster after disaster lead to the destruction of thestable foundations of nation-states. The apparent goal is to produce exhausted, decapitalised,impoverished, worn-out, crime-ridden, low productivity, stagnant national economies.The over all goal of these confluent factors produces an array of failed states, leaving a globalpower vacuum, which provides the space for a new power structure to emerge from theapparent chaos. A potential world government by federating and pooling resources and thussovereignties to solve the question of instability and failure to meet roles left by the failedstates. The space needed for an organisation such as the United Nations (UN) to take root.A failed state or states would have the following characteristics:“A
is astateperceived as having failed at some of the basic conditions andresponsibilities of asovereigngovernment. In order to make this definition more precise, thefollowing attributes, proposed by theFund for Peace, are often used to characterize a failedstate:
loss of control of its territory, or of themonopoly on the legitimate use of physical force therein,
erosion of legitimate authority to make collective decisions,
an inability to provide public services, and
an inability to interact with other states as a full member of theinternational community.
Often a failed state is characterized by social, political, and/or economic failure.Common characteristics of a
include a central government so weak or ineffectivethat it has little practical control over much of its territory; non-provision of public services;widespread corruption and criminality; refugees and involuntary movement of populations;and sharp economic decline.
You can read the full the definition of this emerging state form here.http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Failed_state Key prerogatives are the rapid and long term re-stabilisation of nation-states and prevent thecausal factors from re-occurring. A determined, realistic hardening of the nation-states isdemanded from multiple aspects, be that economic, social, ethnic, political and technologicalto ensure the state is not further eroded and consumed by the destabilisation factors shown