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Energy Sec Msp Elec

Energy Sec Msp Elec

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Published by Jan
Energy Security Master Plan – Electricity. 2007 to 2025 for the republic of South Africa
Energy Security Master Plan – Electricity. 2007 to 2025 for the republic of South Africa

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Published by: Jan on Dec 28, 2008
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10/16/2011

 
 
ENERGY SECURITY MASTER PLAN -ELECTRICITY2007- 2025
 
Department Of Minerals And Energy Energy Security Master Plan - ElectricityPage i
Table of Contents
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY SYNOPSIS.........................................................................................................3
 
1.
 
INTRODUCTION..............................................................................................................................6
 
2.
 
GOVERNMENT POLICY AND OBJECTIVES..................................................................................6
 
3.
 
HISTORICAL CONTEXT..................................................................................................................7
 
4.
 
GOALS OF THE ELECTRICITY MASTERPLAN.............................................................................8
 
5.
 
UNCERTAINTY AND THE VALUE OF FLEXIBILITY......................................................................8
 
6.
 
PLANNING ASSUMPTIONS............................................................................................................9
 
7.
 
ANALYSIS OF CURRENT SITUATION.........................................................................................13
 
7.1
 
ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
........................................................................................................................13
7.2
 
GENERATION OUTLOOK
....................................................................................................................14
7.3
 
TRANSMISSION OUTLOOK
................................................................................................................15
7.4
 
DISTRIBUTION OUTLOOK
..................................................................................................................16
7.4.1
 
RESIDENTIAL ELECTRICITY INFRASTRUCTURE
........................................................................16
7.4.2
 
NON-GRID TECHNOLOGIES
..............................................................................................................17
7.4.3
 
ECONOMIC INFRASTRUCTURE
.......................................................................................................18
7.4.4
 
UNDER-INVESTMENT IN ECONOMIC INFRASTRUCTURE
........................................................21
7.5
 
ENERGY EFFICIENCY AND DEMAND SIDE MANAGEMENT
.....................................................21
7.5.1
 
BACKGROUND
......................................................................................................................................21
7.5.2
 
DSM ACCELERATION
.........................................................................................................................22
7.5.3
 
DSM TARGETS
......................................................................................................................................23
7.5.4
 
DSM ACTIVITIES
...................................................................................................................................24
8.
 
ELECTRICITY DEMAND FORECAST...........................................................................................25
 
9.
 
STATUTORY AND REGULATORY CONTEXT.............................................................................28
 
9.1
 
GENERATION ADEQUACY MEASURES
.........................................................................................29
9.1.1
 
APPROPRIATE RESERVE MARGIN
.................................................................................................30
9.1.2
 
RELIABILITY SUMMARY
.....................................................................................................................32
9.2
 
TRANSMISSION ADEQUACY MEASURES
.....................................................................................36
9.2.1
 
LEVEL OF SECURITY OF SUPPLY
...................................................................................................37
9.2.1.1
 
GENERAL N-1 CAPACITY
...........................................................................................................37
9.2.1.2
 
N-1-1 CAPACITY FOR MAINTENANCE
....................................................................................37
9.2.1.3
 
LOAD CENTRES AND POWER CORRIDORS EXCEEDING 500MW N-1-1 CAPACITY
.38
9.2.1.4
 
CRITICAL TRANSMISSION NODES AND POWER CORRIDORS N-2 CAPACITY
..........38
10.
 
DECISION MAKING CONSIDERATIONS......................................................................................38
 
10.1.1
 
ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT ASSESSMENTS (EIA’S)
...................................................................38
10.1.2
 
SITE SELECTION AND OPTIMISATION
...........................................................................................39
10.1.3
 
CLIMATE CHANGE
...............................................................................................................................39
10.1.4
 
RENEWABLE ENERGY
........................................................................................................................40
10.1.5
 
FUNDING AND RESOURCING
...........................................................................................................40
10.1.6
 
FORECASTING AND PHASING OF CAPITAL EXPENDITURE
....................................................40
10.1.7
 
SKILLS MANAGEMENT
.......................................................................................................................41
10.1.8
 
EDI RESTRUCTURING
........................................................................................................................41
10.1.9
 
RESEARCH AND TECHNOLOGY
......................................................................................................41
10.1.10
 
THE 2010 FIFA WORLD CUP
.....................................................................................................41
11.1
 
INTEGRATED RESOURCE PLAN
......................................................................................................43
11.2
 
CAPACITY EXPANSION PROGRAMME
...........................................................................................44
 
Department Of Minerals And Energy Energy Security Master Plan - ElectricityPage ii
11.3
 
TOTAL SYSTEM CAPACITY AND RELIABILITY PLAN
.................................................................45
11.4
 
TRANSMISSION EXPANSION
............................................................................................................46
11.5
 
REDS
.......................................................................................................................................................50
11.6
 
ELECTRIFICATION OF HOUSEHOLDS, SCHOOLS AND CLINICS
............................................52
11.7
 
MAINTENANCE AND REFURBISHMENT OF GENERATING PLANT
.........................................54
11.8
 
ACCELERATED DEMAND SIDE MANAGEMENT (DSM)
..............................................................54
INDEPENDENT POWER PRODUCERS
.......................................................................................................55
12.
 
IMPLEMENTATION MATRIX.........................................................................................................57
 
13.
 
MASTER PLAN REVIEW...............................................................................................................57
 
14.
 
STAKEHOLDER CONSULTATION................................................................................................57
 
15.
 
RECOMMENDATIONS..................................................................................................................58
 

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