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Issue&Obama Crosstabs

Issue&Obama Crosstabs

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Published by jmonahan8289

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Published by: jmonahan8289 on May 31, 2012
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05/31/2012

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May 30, 2012 TO:JOE MONAHANFROM:Bruce DonisthorpeMANZANO STRATEGIESRE: 2012 DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY ANALYSIS & DEMOGRAPHIC BREAKOUTS
METHODOLOGY 
Automated phone dialing survey using established demographic methodologicalstandards to about 1,500 likely voting Demcratic registered households with knownvoting history in primary elections from throughout New Mexico. Surveys wereconducted using this method on May 22, 2012, between 6 pm and 9 pm.As is done routinely in surveys, results were weighted or adjusted at the top-line toensure that responses accurately reflect the population’s makeup by factors such asage, sex, region, and other established demographic standards and variables. The margin of sampling error for the surveys conducted for most questions is 2.5%with a 95% level of confidence for the interviews conducted in this survey.
TOP LINE: ISSUES Question:
I AM GOING TO READ YOU A LIST OF ISSUES ANDLATER ASK WHICH
ONE
OF THEM IS MOST IMPORTANT TO YOU IN THIS ELECTION. THE ISSUES: EDUCATION, HEALTH CARE, JOBS & THE ECONOMY, THE ENVIRONMENT,PROTECTING SOCIAL SECURITY AND MEDICARE, AND IMMIGRATION REFORM. WHICHOF THESE ISSUES IS MOST IMPORTANT TO YOU IN VOTING FOR CANDIDATES IN THISELECTION?
 Jobs/Economy:32%
Protecting SS/Medicare:29%
Health Care: 17%
Education: 9%
Environment: 6%
Immigration Reform: 3%
UNSURE: 4%Margin of Error: 2.5%
 
DEMOGRAPHIC BREAKOUTS:
EDUC% ENV% H.CARE% i-REF% JOBS/E% SS/M% UNSURE%
TOPLINE
9% 6% 17% 3% 32% 29% 4%
GENDERFEMALE
10% 6% 21% 3% 26% 29% 4%
MALE
8% 6% 12% 3% 37% 30% 5%
ETHNICITY ANGLO
8% 8% 17% 3% 29% 31% 5%
HISPANIC
10% 2% 17% 4% 30% 33% 4%
GEOGRAPHY 1ST CD
9% 6% 16% 4% 33% 27% 4%
2ND CD
5% 2% 15% 3% 31% 38% 5%
3RD CD
10% 7% 17% 2% 31% 29% 4%
IDEOLOGY LIBERAL
12% 9% 20% 3% 24% 26% 5%
MODERTE
8% 3% 16% 2% 37% 29% 3%
CONSERV
5% 7% 15% 3% 36% 29% 5%
TOP LINE: OBAMA Question:
IDO YOU HAVE A FAVORABLE OR UNFAVORABLEOPINION OF THE JOB PERFORMANCE OF PRESIDENT BARAK OBAMA?
CD-1 CD-2 CD-3
Favorable:71%51%74%
Unfavorable:18%33%16%
UNSURE: 11%16%10%Margin of Error/CD: 4%4.8%4.4%

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