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Oregon Football 2012: Over/Under – Offense

Oregon Football 2012: Over/Under – Offense

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http://fishduck.com/2012/06/oregon-football-2012-overunder-offense/
http://fishduck.com/2012/06/oregon-football-2012-overunder-offense/

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OriginallypostedonFishDuck.com:http://fishduck.com/2012/06/oregon-football-2012-overunder-offense/OregonFootball2012:Over/Under–OffenseReportedbyJoshWhiteonJune1,2012inFishWrap,FishWrapArchive|3CommentsHowgoodcantheoffensebethisyearwithoutLaMichael?TheOregonDucksfurthercementedtheirreputationforexplosiveoffensiveprowessin2011.Nationally,whenpeoplestarttotalkaboutOregon,thewordsNikeandpointsarenotfarbehind…lotsandlotsofpoints.Rightalongwithuniformsandspeed,theDucksseemtobeviewedasatrifectaofalloftheseattributes,andforgoodreason.In2011,OregonhadcareerpassingandrushingrecordsfallasDarronThomasandLaMichaelJamescombinedforanencoreperformanceonthefieldthatprovedtobetheircurtaincalldespitebothbeingjuniors.Thosetwohavenowmovedon,leavingmostoftheschool’soffensiverecordsshatteredintheirwake,andsomebigshoestofill.LuckilyforOregon,theydonotappeartobedevastatedbythelosses,ifanythingtheaddedexperienceinotherpositionsandaddedtalentcouldinfactmakeOregonamoretalentedteamin2012thantheywereintheirPac-12championshipseasonof2011.Mostnationalpunditsandpollsagree,thereigningRoseBowlChampionsstillresembleatop-5team.FansofotherPac-12teamshopingthattheearlydeparturesofThomasandJamestotheNFLwouldgivearespitetoOregon’srecentdominance,oratleastgivingtheirteamsarealisticshotatthetitle,needtotempertheirenthusiasmsomewhat.Oregonremainstop-to-bottomasgoodasanyteamintheconferenceandamongthebestinthenation.Weknowthattheoffense,particularlythebackfield,willlookdifferent,buthowwillthateffecttheproductiononthefield?Let’stakealookatsomeofthemajorstatisticalcategoriesfromlastseason,andtrytoprojectthechangesnextyear.TimetoplayOver/Underwiththe2012Ducksoffense!Leadingrusheryards(season)Lastyear:LMJ1,80518tdsUNDER:LaMichaelJameswasn’tstatisticallythebestOregonrunningbackinhistorybyaccident.Thespeedy,shiftybackfromTexarkana,TXranformoreyardslastyearthananyotherplayerinanyseasoninschoolhistory,surpassinghisownrecordfrom2010.KenjonBarnerhasshownhecanbejustaseffectiveasLMJattimesduringhiscareer,buttoexpectaseasononparorexceedingJamesandhis1,805yardsand18tdsisamajorstretch.IthasbeenmentionedthatallKenjonneedsisONLY1
 
,400yardstobecomethe#2rusherontheUOall-timelist.Afterall,heranfornear1y1,000yardslastseason,andheissuretoreceivemorecarriesthisseason,buteven1,400yardsismorethananyDucknotnamedJonathanStewartorLaMichaelJameshaveeveraccomplishedinoneyear.LaMichaelhad1,475yardsinhis1styearasthemainweaponinthebackfieldin2009,aroleheonlyassumedafterintendedfeaturebackLeGarretteBlountwassuspendedformostoftheseasonfollowingtheopenervs.BoiseState.However,don’tbesurprisedtoseemorecarriesfromthequarterbackposition,muchlikein’09.DeAnthonyThomasissuretogethistouchesaswell.Thereareotherpossibilitiesthisseasontoo,suchasapositionswitchoraplayerlikeColtLyerlacontributingintherungamethatcouldcutintothecarriesforKB,orhelpdistributetheloaddependingonhowyoulookatit.TeamtotalrushyardsLastyear:4,189OVER:WhileIbelievetherushingyardchartthisyearwillbeless“topheavy”withthelossofJames,Idoexpectthatopponent’sdefenseswillhemorrhagemoreyardageoverallonthegroundin2012,thankstotheaddeddeceptionthatcomeswithvalidrunningthreatsatQBwhetherBennettorMariotabecomethestarter.Therearejusttoomanyoptionsforevenareallygooddefensetocover.What’sthatyousay,Kenjonishavingabadgame?HavefundefendingMariotaorBennett.TheQBkeepnotopen?TryandcatchDe’AnthonyThomasinstead.Anditdoesn’tendthere,asplayerslistedaswidereceiverslikeincomingfreshmanBralonAddisoncouldhelp,anddon’tdiscounttheabilityofJoshHuff(See85yardrunvsArizona),andAyeleFordehasshowntremendousskillsaswellinthelimitedtimehehasearned.4,189isahugenumber,butOregonshouldhaveenoughoptionstobeevenbetter,andalighterschedulethataffordstheopportunitytorackupsomebignumbersagainstlesserdefenses.Passingyards2011:3,130OVERDarronThomashadamonsterseasonlastyear,andbecametheall-timeTDleaderwhileatOregon,whilealsofinishingwithabettercompletionpercentagethanformergreatslikeDanFouts,BillMusgrave,DannyO’NeilandJoeyHarrrington.However,thereweretimesDarronwasoffonathrow,andwhilenodoubthewaseffectiveherarelycompletedahighpercentageofhispassesingames.WhileDarronwasveryefficientanddidn’tthrowmanyinterceptions,thereisnodoubtthatseveralopportunitieswereleftonthefield.ExpectthenextDucksQBtocompleteanevenhighernumberofpasses,andformoreyards,in2012.PassingTouchdowns2011:39
 
UNDERWhileitisquitepossiblethatOregonmayactuallypassformoreyardsthisyear,itwouldbeatitanicachievementforafirstyearstartertoaccountformorethanDarron’srecord33fromlastyear.Theremaybehighexpectations,butevenbyFishDuckstandardsofhomerismit’saverytallorder.Certainlyisitexpectedforthenewquarterbacktobeeffective,andthrowforatonofyardsandtouchdowns?Yes,butwithoutevenknowingwhichquarterbackwillbeleadingtheteamatthispoint,itisdifficulttoaskeithertobreakOregonpassingrecordsonthefirsttry.Interceptions2011:7OVERIbelieveOregon’snewquarterbackwillthrowandcompletemorepassesformoreyards,andscoreplentyoftouchdownsthroughtheairandontheground.Butwiththoseincreasedpassattempts,combinedwithsomeinexperience,wouldsurelyhavetoamounttosomeinterceptionsaswell.7overthecourseofaseasonisastronomicallylow,andevenifthenewsignalcallerweretothrow10or12,myguessisthattheDucksreallywouldn’tmissabeat.FansoftengrumbledaboutDarronThomasattimesbeingoff-target,butnotmayofthoseerrantthrowseverendedupinthehandsofopposingdefenders,certainlynotasoftenassomeofhispredecessors.LeadingReceiver2011:48Catches,599yards,10TDs–LavasierTuinei(DAT–46catches605yards,9TDs)OVEROhhowwelovetorememberwhatJeffMaehlwasabletodoin2010.Willweseeaplayerontherostergrab77passfor1100yardsand12touchdownslikeJeffdid?Mostlikelynot,butifyoubuyintomythinkingofmorepassattemptsthisyear,youhavetoimaginesomeonewillstepuptotaketheplaceofLT’s600yardsand10TDs.ButaRoseBowlMVPtrophy?We’lljusthavetoseeaboutthat.TheDucksareloadedwithrawtalentatWRandshouldhaveplentyofgood,capablehandsandspeedylegsvyingforthejobifanyofthehighly-soughtprospectscanturnpotentialintoproduction.OffensiveTouchdowns88OVEROpponentsheadswilllikelybespinningwithallofthegreenandyellowblursstreakingpastthem.JustwhenateamthinkstheyhaveanOregonplayerdefended,someoneelseshootsouttheothersideforabiggainer.Insummary,Ipredictitwillbealongyearforopposingdefensivecoordinators.88touchdownsisgoodfor645points,equaling46.1pointsperouting.However,thisDucksteamwill

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