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Review

2012.5.16

Above

(041510)

In line
Below

()

: 70,000()

Whats new:

Stock Data
KOSPI(5/15)

1,899

(5/15)

45,350

()

926

()

20

52 /()

60,100/17,100

(6, )

21,822

/(%)

78.3/16.8

(%)

21.7

6.9

Positives: ,

Valuation
2011A
40.7
6.2
17.0
27.3
1,000
6,541

PER(x)
PBR(x)
ROE(%)
EV/EBITDA(x)
EPS()
BPS()

2012F
14.4
5.4
45.0
10.0
3,145
8,389

2013F
11.2
3.6
38.9
7.1
4,057
12,446

6
(6.2)
(26.3)

12
148.3
107.5

1
5.1
10.6

(%)
(%p)

12MF PER
25.0

( )

1 , 385, 117 98.8%,


377.9% . 16.0% 402.2%
. 1 1)
, , 2) 11 SM Town
MD , 3) ,
. 1 (141)

.

( )

12MF PER ()

60,000

( )

19 13.7% .
,
.
352.7%, 813.5% .
. ,
. IFRS
45.6% 23.8% .

Negatives:
43.7% . 1
24 36 . EXO-K , (
) 2 .

50,000

20.0

40,000
15.0
30,000
10.0
20,000
5.0

10,000
0

0.0
2007

2008

2009

2010

: WISEfn

2011

,
, , , 2 1
. 1
70,000
. 12 forward EPS PER 19.4( 4 PER )
. , , , 12
71.4%, 257.4% . 12 forward
PER 13 valuation .
(: , %, %p)

1Q12P

3276-6240
swkim@truefriend.com

QoQ

2012F
YoY

41.7

38.5

(7.8)

42.2

(2.2)

98.8

188.4

14.1

11.7

(16.8)

13.8

29.9

377.9

74.3

182.6
67.0

(%)

33.8

30.5

NA

32.7

NA

NA

39.4

36.7

12.5

12.1

(3.3)

NA

35.1

597.3

77.7

NA

10.1

9.4

(7.0)

10.9

29.4

784.3

63.0

57.5

(041510)

< 1>

(: )

1Q11

2Q11

3Q11

4Q11

1Q12

2Q12F

3Q12F

4Q12F

(%, YoY)

19.4

21.2

30.0

39.4

38.5

43.3

49.0

57.6

98.8

(2.2)

5.4

2.9

5.6

5.4

3.0

5.5

5.4

7.3

(43.7)

(43.8)

1.7

1.8

1.6

1.6

1.9

2.0

2.0

1.8

13.7

14.9

4.0

3.1

9.9

6.9

16.9

13.9

22.0

44.9

320.2

145.4
(34.4)

(%, QoQ)

8.3

13.5

12.8

25.5

16.7

21.9

19.6

3.6

100.9

12.6

15.7

20.2

24.4

22.9

22.2

24.6

21.5

80.7

(6.5)

4.3

3.5

3.2

5.4

3.8

5.7

6.1

8.3

(11.3)

(28.6)

2.5

2.4

6.9

9.0

11.7

15.7

18.3

28.5

377.9

29.9

1.7

2.6

7.3

8.9

12.1

16.2

19.3

30.2

597.3

35.1

1.1

2.9

5.3

7.3

9.4

13.1

15.6

24.9

784.3

29.4

12.7

11.1

23.1

22.9

30.5

36.3

37.3

49.5

NA

NA

5.5

13.5

17.7

18.5

24.4

30.2

31.9

43.1

NA

NA

: ,

< 2>

(: , %)

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012F

2013F

22.1

29.9

33.2

43.5

61.8

86.4

109.9

188.4

228.8

7.5

7.6

6.3

8.5

11.4

12.7

19.2

21.3

23.2

0.0

1.1

2.8

2.4

3.8

5.2

6.7

7.7

9.0

6.4

5.3

6.2

8.9

16.6

35.4

23.9

97.7

121.8

0.1

0.3

0.5

0.6

0.2

0.7

2.0

2.7

3.5

6.3

4.9

5.7

8.3

16.4

34.7

21.9

95.0

118.3

8.3

15.9

17.9

23.6

30.0

33.2

60.1

61.8

74.8

7.2

15.7

16.8

20.7

28.2

26.8

36.6

41.0

46.7

1.0

0.2

1.2

2.9

1.8

6.4

23.6

20.7

28.1

15.6

25.4

29.1

35.8

41.8

48.7

73.1

91.2

106.6
26.8

5.3

6.8

7.9

9.3

10.7

12.2

16.4

23.9

1.2

(2.3)

(3.7)

(1.7)

9.3

25.5

20.8

74.3

97.5

1.1

(2.9)

(7.1)

4.5

6.1

22.6

20.6

77.7

102.3

1.2

(4.0)

(7.6)

4.3

4.5

21.8

16.5

63.0

82.9

5.6

(7.8)

(11.2)

(3.9)

15.0

29.5

18.9

39.4

42.6

5.4

(13.5)

(23.0)

9.8

7.2

25.2

15.0

33.4

36.2

: 09 K-GAAP .
: ,

[ 1]

4,000

[ 2]

()

()

f(x)

2,000
1,800

3,500

1,600

f(x)

SM Town

3,000
1,400
2,500

1,200

2,000

1,000
800

1,500

600
1,000
400
500

200

0
2001

2003

2005

2007

2009

2011

2013F

:
.
: , ,

2003

2005

2007

2009

2011

2013F

:
.
: , ,

(041510)

< 3> 11, 12

(: )

11 1

53,138

4,212

280,272

49,746

293,480

11 2

11 3

11 4

12 1

12 2

44,679

439,998

161,932

100,346

67,613

f(x)

58,419

f(x)

26,616

204,980
165,423

45,506

175,578

1,418

71,927
150,000

NA

387,790

88,467

217,367

84,219

148,465

57,882

100,439

SM Town

SM Town

(, )

NA

8,017

NA
NA
44,467()

98,049

12,612
154,463

1,585

36,925

20,730

143,333

25,649

13,863

17847

3,968

4739

22,534

4,158

3,482

25,194

11,906

3,056

EXO-K

4,512

1,687

74,329

: , ,

(041510)

< 4> 12

12 2

f(x)

12 3

12 4

f(x)

SM Town

or

or

: ,

< 5> 11

(: )

11 1

36,000

SM Town

26,000

158,000

SM Town

14,000

42,000

9,441

SM Town

150,000

20,000

24,000

NA

NA

11 2
11 3

11 4

24,000

15,000

5,000

90,000

, f(x)

SM Town

7,000
20,000
NA

: , ,

< 6> 12

(: )

12 1

30,000

16,000

14,000

40,000

40,000

NA

11,000

1 18 ~4 23

310,000

12 2

7,000

10,000

12 3
12 4

10,000
110,000

270,000

(4 ~7 )

253,000

SM Town(3 )

, , ,

NA

NA

: ,

(041510)

(: )

(: )

2010A

2011A

2012F

2013F

2014F

73

83

162

204

278

10

13

21

34

47

16

27

21

33

14

47

71

127

145

172

29

48

85

93

111

26

21

74

98

131

15

18

22

120

154

289

349

450

28

44

110

90

77

13

28

38

46

56

2010A

2011A

2012F

2013F

2014F

86

110

188

229

278

38

37

97

122

158

12

16

24

27

30

(1)

(1)

29

46

118

95

83

55

55

55

55

55

25

21

78

102

141

15

19

27

24

16

63

83

114

(0)

(0)

(0)

(0)

24

16

63

82

114

EBITDA

28

26

82

109

145

24

16

63

83

114

2010A

2011A

2012F

2013F

2014F

28

45

108

191

305

91

108

171

253

367

86

108

171

254

368

(: )

2010A

2011A

2012F

2013F

2014F

24

23

109

76

75

24

16

63

83

114

10

12

38

(18)

(53)

(3)

(1)

(24)

(20)

(101)

(60)

(62)

(2)

(2)

(3)

(3)

(3)

(20)

(13)

(36)

(9)

(17)

()
EPS

1,504

1,000

3,145

4,057

5,590

BPS

5,256

6,541

8,389

12,446

18,036

DPS

(%, YoY)

39.8

27.2

71.4

21.4

21.5

177.5

(19.2)

257.4

31.3

34.1

446.6

(32.5)

281.9

31.6

37.8

EPS

441.1

(33.5)

214.5

29.0

37.8

EBITDA

136.5

(8.1)

218.6

33.1

32.5

29.8

18.9

39.4

42.6

47.0

28.3

15.0

33.4

36.2

41.1

EBITDA Margin

32.5

23.4

43.6

47.8

52.1

ROA

23.5

12.0

28.4

26.0

28.6

ROE

32.8

17.0

45.0

38.9

36.7

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

(50)

(48)

(103)

(151)

(189)

2.9

2.5

1.3

0.0

0.0

(%)

(2)

(4)

(16)

(13)

(16)

(1)

(46)

(35)

(26)

(0)

(2)

(0)

(2)

Valuation(X)

PER

10.0

40.7

14.4

11.2

8.1

PBR

2.9

6.2

5.4

3.6

2.5

14

13

()
/(%)

PSR

2.8

6.1

4.8

4.0

3.3

EV/EBITDA

8.1

27.3

10.0

7.1

5.1

: 1. K-IFRS ()
2. EPS, BPS ,

(041510)


()
(041510)

2011.10.11

56,000

2011.11.30

62,000

2012.01.19

53,000

2012.03.16

70,000
80,000
70,000
60,000
50,000
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000
0

May-10

Sep-10

Jan-11

May-11

Sep-11

Jan-12

Compliance notice

2012 5 16 1% .
2015 05 15 14 00 3 .
.

12

: 15%

: -1515%
: 15%

12 ()

: ()

: ()
: ()

, , , ,

.
.
, .

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