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Note

2012.5.31

(122870)
()

; 2

: 69,000()

& ,

Stock Data
KOSPI(5/30)

1,845

(5/30)

40,500

()

404

()

10

52 /()

98,000/37,500

(6, )

8,953

/(%)

54.5/4.3

(%)

43.3

8.6

1
1.5
8.4

(%)
(%p)

6
9.5
(72.5)

12
0.0
0.0

12MF PER
16.0

( )

( )

12MF PER ( )

14.0

() 69,000 .
12 forward EPS PER 19.4( PER ) .
. 1) , 2NE1 ,
11 22.2% 12 26.9%
. 12 416 11 74
. 2) . 3) , 2
NE1,
.

60,000
50,000

12.0
40,000

10.0
8.0

30,000

6.0

1 2.5% . 11 AVEX
1 2~5
. 15.3% . 2 5
ALIVE .
2 . 1) 1 YG Family , ,
2NE1 2 , 2) Repackage , 2
NE1 . 2 , 296, 74
. 3 .

20,000

4.0
2.0
0.0
2007

2008

2009

2010

: WISEfn

2011

10,000

5 17 6 24 5 . ,
, , , . 11, 12 ,
. 6 Repackage . 2NE1
6 . 3 GD
, , .
SBS K-Pop
. 12
54.4%, 86.8% . 12 98,
64 .
.
.

()

()

()

()

()

45

10

13

10

2,615

153.9

2011A

78

17

18

13

3,322

2012F

121

32

39

31

2013F

156

50

60

46

4,380

2014F

185

66

76

59

5,582

2010A

3276-6240
swkim@truefriend.com

: , EPS

EPS EBITDA PER


(%) ()

EV/EBITDA

PBR ROE

(x)

(x)

NM

(0.9)

27.0

20 11.1

15.2

2.4 26.7

2,902 (12.6)

38 14.0

8.7

3.8 33.5

50.9

57

9.2

5.4

2.6 35.5

27.5

74

7.3

3.6

1.9 32.1

12

(x)

(%)

0.0 63.8

(122870)

< 1>

(: )

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012F

2013F

11.5

18.5

35.7

44.8

78.1

120.6

156.1

5.5

9.1

13.3

13.9

20.4

22.6

29.7

2.0

5.9

6.5

8.1

11.2

13.2

17.0

3.4

3.3

6.8

5.8

9.1

9.4

12.7

2.0

1.5

4.9

6.4

17.4

16.8

19.9

2.0

3.2

6.9

10.5

11.9

17.1

26.5

0.2

0.3

3.4

4.6

7.4

41.6

56.4

1.8

4.4

7.2

9.4

21.0

22.5

23.5

6.0

10.2

19.8

24.1

47.0

62.0

76.6

4.9

6.9

9.8

10.4

13.4

25.3

29.0

0.6

1.4

6.1

10.3

17.3

32.4

50.5

0.7

1.9

5.4

12.7

17.6

39.5

59.6

0.5

1.6

4.2

9.8

12.9

30.8

46.5

(%, margin)
OP margin

5.2

7.5

17.2

23.1

22.2

26.9

32.3

NP margin

4.4

8.6

11.7

21.8

16.6

25.5

29.8

: ,

< 2>

(: )

1Q11

2Q11

3Q11

4Q11

1Q12

2Q12F

3Q12F

4Q12F

18.3

26.4

13.3

20.1

17.9

29.6

34.9

38.2

5.6

8.1

3.1

3.6

4.3

5.4

5.9

7.0

3.1

4.6

1.7

1.9

2.9

3.2

3.4

3.8

2.5

3.6

1.4

1.6

1.4

2.3

2.4

3.1

4.5

7.0

2.6

3.3

3.2

2.5

4.7

6.4

3.0

4.8

1.8

2.4

3.2

4.2

4.8

4.9

0.0

0.2

4.8

2.4

1.1

11.8

14.2

14.6

5.2

6.3

1.1

8.4

6.2

5.6

5.4

5.3

9.6

17.2

7.0

13.2

9.7

15.1

17.6

19.6

4.1

3.7

3.3

2.4

4.7

7.0

6.6

7.0

4.2

5.5

2.5

5.2

3.6

7.4

10.4

11.0

4.2

5.4

2.6

5.5

3.8

9.0

12.3

14.4

3.2

4.0

1.4

4.4

3.0

7.0

9.6

11.2

(%, margin)
OP margin

22.7

20.7

18.5

26.1

19.9

25.0

29.8

28.9

NP margin

17.6

15.0

10.4

21.7

17.0

23.8

27.4

29.3

: ,

< 3> ,

(: %)

()
778,706

878,706

978,706

1,078,706

1,178,706

440,000

(22.3)

(19.8)

(17.4)

(14.9)

(12.5)

()

540,000

(13.6)

(11.1)

(8.7)

(6.3)

(3.8)

640,000

(4.9)

(2.4)

0.0

2.5

4.9

740,000

3.8

6.3

8.7

11.2

13.6

840,000

12.5

15.0

17.4

19.9

22.3

: 12 .
:

(122870)

[ 1] :

[ 2]

()
180
160

()

180

160

(%)
35
()

()

()

()

30

140

140

120

120

100

100

20

80

80

15

60

60

40

40

20

20

25

10

0
2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012F

0
2007

2013F

2008

2009

2010

: ,

: ,

[ 3]

[ 4]

()
1,800
1,600

()
Big Bang

2NE1

Gummy

Se7en

PSY

Others

1,000
900

2011

2012F

Big Bang

2NE1

Gummy

Se7en

YG Family

PSY

2013F

800

1,400

700

1,200

600

1,000

500
800
400
600

300

400

200

200

100

0
2008

2009

2010

2011

2012F

: ,

2008

2013F

2009

2010

2011

2012F

2013F

: ,

< 4>

11 2

(: )

80,000

11 3

2NE1

70,000

12 1

YG Family

160,000

12 2
12 3 or 4
12 4

200,000

2NE1

150,000

70,000

(122870)

< 5>

(: )

11 1

11,725

2NE1

3,860

139,104

2NE1

13,176

GD&TOP

23,004

41,302
122,472

11 2

11 3

11 4

12 1

12 2

12 2 or 3 ()

1,852

29,035

2NE1

2,110

GD&TOP

3,929

GD

3,379

4,783

2NE1

43,035

2,084

2NE1

82,418

2,290

GD&TOP

7,821

GD

8,906
39,704

2NE1

5,740

2NE1

13,581

2NE1

25,658

8,324

73,706

2NE1

22,224

13,723

2NE1

5,896

257,431

2NE1

6,088

15,280

42,012

2NE1

7,776

8,320

8,026

2NE1

2,718

GD

2NE1

(122870)

(: )

2010A

2011A

2012F

2013F

2014F

22

74

89

120

161

37

36

55

83

10

12

15

(: )

2010A

2011A

2012F

2013F

2014F

45

78

121

156

185

21

31

59

79

98

10

13

25

29

32

12

16

30

52

75

(0)

(1)

19

28

10

17

32

50

66

11

12

33

90

119

172

236

12

14

11

17

21

10

12

15

4
0

13

18

39

60

76

13

17

10

13

31

46

59

13

14

11

18

21

20

76

108

155

214

45

45

45

14

26

57

103

162

(0)

(0)

(0)

20

76

108

155

214

(: )

2010A

2011A

2012F

2013F

16

21

53

57

10

13

31

46

59

(1)

(1)
(5)

10

13

31

46

59

13

31

47

60

EBITDA

13

31

47

60

12

20

38

57

74

2010A

2011A

2012F

2013F

2014F

2014F

10

0
5

45

6
0

(0)

4
0

3
0

0
0

0
0

()
EPS

2,615

3,322

2,902

4,380

5,582

BPS

5,442

15,320

10,791

15,494

21,478

DPS

(%, YoY)

(15)

(0)

(9)

25.4

74.5

54.4

29.5

18.7

40.0

67.6

86.8

55.9

31.0

(1)

(1)

134.7

32.4

138.1

50.9

27.5

(33)

(22)

(34)

(29)

EPS

153.9

27.0

(12.6)

50.9

27.5

46.9

64.3

91.9

50.3

29.1

23.1

22.2

26.9

32.3

35.7

21.8

16.6

25.5

29.8

32.0

EBITDA Margin

27.0

25.4

31.6

36.7

39.9

ROA

36.4

20.9

29.4

31.9

29.1

ROE

63.8

26.7

33.5

35.5

32.1

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

(11)

(64)

(72)

(98)

(135)

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

(3)

(2)

(5)

(5)

(5)

(2)

(25)

(1)

(16)

(8)

EBITDA
(%)

(0)

(6)

(5)

(4)

(5)

(11)

(9)

(11)

41

41

Valuation(X)

PER

NM

11.1

14.0

9.2

7.3

PBR

0.0

2.4

3.8

2.6

1.9

()

24

(1)

18

29

/(%)

PSR
EV/EBITDA

0.0

1.9

3.3

2.6

2.2

(0.9)

15.2

8.7

5.4

3.6

: K-IFRS ()

(122870)


()
(122870)

2011.11.22

85,600

2012.03.16

69,000
120,000
100,000
80,000
60,000
40,000
20,000
0

May-10

Sep-10

Jan-11

May-11

Sep-11

Jan-12

Compliance notice

2012 5 30 1% .
3 .
.

12

: 15%

: -1515%
: 15%

12 ()

: ()

: ()
: ()

, , , ,

.
.
, .

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