1 Attachment VI-1SPEEDI trial estimation of total discharge of radioactive nuclides Although accurately estimating the amount of radioactive materialsdischarged by the accident that occurred at Fukushima Dai-ichi NPS wasstill difficult, the NSC announced the estimated amounts of iodine-131 andcesium-137 discharged to the air from Fukushima Dai-ichi NPS on April 12with assistance from the JAEA in an effort to grasp the overall picture of the accident. As the total amount of some radioactive nuclides discharged tothe air from Mar 11 to April 5, estimated values of 1.5×1017Bq of iodine-131and 1.2×1016Bq of cesium-137 (which was corrected as 1.3×1016 on May 12)was obtained.These values were obtained by an inverse estimation method thatestimates discharge rates by comparing them with values obtained by an airdiffusion calculation, assuming environmental monitoring data and a unitdischarge rate of 1Bq/h. Data used were measured by MEXT, JAEA, and theJapan Chemical Analysis Center. Most of the estimated values wereobtained by a comparison between the concentrations of iodine-131 andcesium-137 in the air by dust sampling, and calculated values. However,regarding the discharge of nuclides during the day of March 15 when a largeamount of radioactive nuclides
were deposited on the earth’s surface
in thenorthwest of the NPS while it rained, the discharge rates of iodine-131 andcesium-137 during this period of time were obtained by comparing the airdose rate distributions of surface-deposited nuclides after the radioactiveplume disappeared due to unavailability of dust sampling. As a result, theestimated discharge rate of iodine-131 was about 106Bq/h and theestimated discharge period was around 12:00 till 15:00 based on values suchas environmental monitoring readings obtained by Fukushima prefecture.However, the conservative 6-hour discharge from 9:00 to 15:00 was assumedfor estimating a total discharge because a dose increase was observed at thefront gate of the plant after around 09:00 on the day. The amount of iodine-131 discharge remained in the order of magnitude of 1,014Bq/h untilMarch 24 from March 15 when a large amount was discharged. From March24 to early April, it reduced from the order of magnitude as 1,012Bq/h to1,011Bq/h. The amount of cesium-137 discharged was estimated from a
2comparison between dust sampling data on iodine-131 and cesium-137, andit fluctuated in a similar way to the discharge rate of iodine-131 in acomparative range of 1-100.The amounts of iodine-131 and cesium-137 discharged to the air, whichwere used for a presumptive calculation, are important when peripheralexposure doses are evaluated from the occurrence to the end of the accident.These results are just of an exploratory analysis and they require furtherevaluation with higher accuracy through gathering knowledge fromspecialists of inside-facility analysis and environmental analysis.Radioactive materials discharged into the environment after the accidentinclude noble gases, radioactive materials discharged to the sea, and thosedeposited on the surfaces in the site and the soil.Fig. Provisional discharge rates of Iodine-131 and Cesium-137The horizontal bar represents estimated continuing discharge time.(Source: Material 4-2 for NSC the 31th held on May 12, 2011)
1
Attachment VI-2Outflow of radioactive water off the site near water intakeof Unit 2 at Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Station1.
Evaluation of the fact At around 9:30 am April 2nd, 2011, outflow was found. It had stopped ataround 5:38 pm April 6th, after appropriate counter measure had beingtaken. At around noon April 1st, one day before when outflow was found, it wasconfirmed that atmospheric dose rate near inlet canal screen was1.5mSv/h and increase of dose rate was not observed, and also it wasconfirmed that no sound of outflow into sea face had been observed fromthe pit near the crack. Considering these two facts, it is impractical toestimate, as at the time of April 1st, the outflow had already started in asimilar manner which was observed during April 2nd to 6th. However, wehave no reasonable evidence to estimate when outflow has started, wehave conducted our calculation based on the assumption that outflow wasstarted on April 1st. After outflow was found, we have been monitoring the situation byremote camera and it is detailed in this reportStoppage work has been implemented from 3 pm April 5th, injecting
“
water
glass” underneath of trench, and decrease of outflow was observed,
however, we have conducted our calculation based on the assumption thatoutflow has continued as if there were no decrease of outflow due tostoppage work.Based on above, we estimate the outflow as follows;
・
Fall length (height) : 75 cm
・
Flying distance : 65 cm
・
Diameter of outflow : 30 mm(*)In addition to above assumptions, we estimate about 4.3 m3/h of waterhave continuously flown out for 5days, from April 1st to 6th (120 hours),we calculated accumulated volume of outflow will be approximately 520m3.(*) By interpreting the photographs and hearing from the workers, we judged the diameter of outflow approximately 30 mm.2.
Concentration of radioactive waterConcentration of radioactive water was analyzed by using sample which
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