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June Keystone Poll, Franklin & Marshall College

June Keystone Poll, Franklin & Marshall College

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Published by: jmicek on Jun 07, 2012
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06/07/2012

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For immediate release June 6, 2012 
Franklin & MarshallCollege Poll
SURVEY OF PENNSYLVANIANSSUMMARY OF FINDINGSPrepared by:Center for Opinion ResearchFloyd Institute for Public PolicyFranklin & Marshall College
BERWOOD A. YOSTDIRECTOR, FLOYD INSTITUTE FOR PUBLIC POLICYDIRECTOR, CENTER FOR OPINION RESEARCHHEAD METHODOLOGIST, FRANKLIN & MARSHALL COLLEGE POLLG. TERRY MADONNADIRECTOR, CENTER FOR POLITICS AND PUBLIC AFFAIRSDIRECTOR, FRANKLIN & MARSHALL COLLEGE POLLANGELA N. KNITTLESENIOR PROJECT MANAGER, CENTER FOR OPINION RESEARCH
 
PROJECT MANAGER, FRANKLIN & MARSHALL COLLEGE POLLKAY K. HUEBNERPROGRAMMER, CENTER FOR OPINION RESEARCH
June 6, 2012
 
 2
Table of Contents
KEY FINDINGS ........................................................................................................................3
 
T
HE
P
RESIDENTIAL
E
LECTION IN
P
ENNSYLVANIA
......................................................................3
 
T
HE
S
TATE
B
UDGET
...............................................................................................................5
 
METHODOLOGY .....................................................................................................................6
 
ATTACHMENT A .....................................................................................................................7
 
MARGINAL FREQUENCY REPORT .......................................................................................8
 
The
 
Franklin
 
&
 
Marshall
 
College
 
Poll
 
is
 
produced
 
in
 
conjunction
 
with
 
the
 
Philadelphia
 
Daily
 
News,
 
WGAL
TV
 
(South
 
Central
 
PA),
 
Pittsburgh
 
Tribune
 
Review,
 
WTAE
TV
 
(Pittsburgh),
 
WPVI
TV6/ABC
 
(Philadelphia),
 
Times
Shamrock
 
Newspapers,
 
Harrisburg
 
Patriot
News,
 
and
 
Lancaster
 
Newspapers.
 
It
 
may
 
be
 
used
 
in
 
whole
 
or
 
in
 
part,
 
provided
 
any
 
use
 
is
 
attributed
 
to
 
Franklin
 
&
 
Marshall
 
College.
 
 
 3
Key Findings
The June 2012 Franklin & Marshall College Poll finds President Barack Obama with acomfortable lead over his Republican challenger Mitt Romney. The president enjoys significantadvantages over Romney in his personal popularity and most voters believe he is better preparedto handle the presidency even though they are ambivalent about some of his major policyinitiatives.
 
The Presidential Election in Pennsylvania 
President Obama has led Mitt Romney in every Franklin & Marshall College Poll sinceAugust 2011 (see Figure 1). The president currently leads Romney in Pennsylvania 48% to 36%with 12% undecided. President Obama leads in most regions of the state with the exception of central Pennsylvania and the northwest, and he has comfortable leads among non-whites andwomen (see Attachment A). Mitt Romney holds a slight advantage among working-class whites.
Figure 1: Presidential Horse Race, Pennsylvania June 2012
30%26%30%33%36%36%35%41%41%48%8%10%6%8%5%27%30%24%18%12%
0% 25% 50% 75% 100%
Romney
AugRomney
JanRomney
June
If the November 2012 general election for president were being held today and the candidates were [rotate] Mitt Romney, the Republican, and Barack Obama, the Democrat,would you vote for [rotate] Mitt Romney, Barack Obama, some other candidate, or aren’t you sure how you would vote? 
DNK
 
Barack
 
ObamaMitt
 
Romney
 
OtherOctober
 
2011
 
January
 
2012
 
August
 
2011
 
February
 
2012
 
June
 
2012
 

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