For immediate release June 6, 2012
Franklin & MarshallCollege Poll
SURVEY OF PENNSYLVANIANSSUMMARY OF FINDINGSPrepared by:Center for Opinion ResearchFloyd Institute for Public PolicyFranklin & Marshall College
BERWOOD A. YOSTDIRECTOR, FLOYD INSTITUTE FOR PUBLIC POLICYDIRECTOR, CENTER FOR OPINION RESEARCHHEAD METHODOLOGIST, FRANKLIN & MARSHALL COLLEGE POLLG. TERRY MADONNADIRECTOR, CENTER FOR POLITICS AND PUBLIC AFFAIRSDIRECTOR, FRANKLIN & MARSHALL COLLEGE POLLANGELA N. KNITTLESENIOR PROJECT MANAGER, CENTER FOR OPINION RESEARCH
PROJECT MANAGER, FRANKLIN & MARSHALL COLLEGE POLLKAY K. HUEBNERPROGRAMMER, CENTER FOR OPINION RESEARCH
June 6, 2012
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Table of Contents
KEY FINDINGS ........................................................................................................................3
T
HE
P
RESIDENTIAL
E
LECTION IN
P
ENNSYLVANIA
......................................................................3
T
HE
S
TATE
B
UDGET
...............................................................................................................5
METHODOLOGY .....................................................................................................................6
ATTACHMENT A .....................................................................................................................7
MARGINAL FREQUENCY REPORT .......................................................................................8
The
Franklin
&
Marshall
College
Poll
is
produced
in
conjunction
with
the
Philadelphia
Daily
News,
WGAL
‐
TV
(South
Central
PA),
Pittsburgh
Tribune
Review,
WTAE
‐
TV
(Pittsburgh),
WPVI
‐
TV6/ABC
(Philadelphia),
Times
‐
Shamrock
Newspapers,
Harrisburg
Patriot
‐
News,
and
Lancaster
Newspapers.
It
may
be
used
in
whole
or
in
part,
provided
any
use
is
attributed
to
Franklin
&
Marshall
College.
3
Key Findings
The June 2012 Franklin & Marshall College Poll finds President Barack Obama with acomfortable lead over his Republican challenger Mitt Romney. The president enjoys significantadvantages over Romney in his personal popularity and most voters believe he is better preparedto handle the presidency even though they are ambivalent about some of his major policyinitiatives.
The Presidential Election in Pennsylvania
President Obama has led Mitt Romney in every Franklin & Marshall College Poll sinceAugust 2011 (see Figure 1). The president currently leads Romney in Pennsylvania 48% to 36%with 12% undecided. President Obama leads in most regions of the state with the exception of central Pennsylvania and the northwest, and he has comfortable leads among non-whites andwomen (see Attachment A). Mitt Romney holds a slight advantage among working-class whites.
Figure 1: Presidential Horse Race, Pennsylvania June 2012
30%26%30%33%36%36%35%41%41%48%8%10%6%8%5%27%30%24%18%12%
0% 25% 50% 75% 100%
Romney
‐
AugRomney
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JanRomney
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June
If the November 2012 general election for president were being held today and the candidates were [rotate] Mitt Romney, the Republican, and Barack Obama, the Democrat,would you vote for [rotate] Mitt Romney, Barack Obama, some other candidate, or aren’t you sure how you would vote?
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Barack
ObamaMitt
Romney
OtherOctober
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2012
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