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QPOLL 061212

QPOLL 061212

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Published by jmicek
New Quinnipiac PA Poll for 12 June 2012
New Quinnipiac PA Poll for 12 June 2012

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Categories:Types, Research, Law
Published by: jmicek on Jun 12, 2012
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06/12/2012

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FOR RELEASE: JUNE 12, 2012
WOMEN GIVE OBAMA 6-POINT LEAD IN PENNSYLVANIA,QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS;GOV. CORBETT JOB APPROVAL AT LOWEST POINT EVER
 
With strong support from women and independent voters, President Barack Obama leads Gov.Mitt Romney 46
 – 
40 among Pennsylvania voters, according to a Quinnipiac University pollreleased today. Romney would do a better job on the economy, voters say 49
 – 
41 percent.The matchup compares to a 47
 – 
39 percent Obama lead in a May 3 survey by theindependent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University.
In today‟s surve
y, women back President Obama 51
 – 
36 percent, while men tip toRomney 44
 – 
40 percent. Obama leads 83
 – 
10 percent among Democrats and 43
 – 
35 percentamong independent voters, while Republican voters back Romney 80
 – 
7 percent.Pennsylvania voters say 77
 – 
18 percent that Obama is a likable person, compared to58
 – 
29 percent for Romney. The Republican would create more jobs, voters say 45 percent,while 43 percent say Obama would create more jobs.
President Barack Obama is holding his ground against Gov. Mitt Romney inPennsylvania. While almost four-fifths of voters, including 58 percent of Republicans, say thePresident is a likable person, where the rubber meets the road on the campaign trail
 – 
theeconomy
 – 
Romney has the lead
,”
said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the QuinnipiacUniversity Polling Institute.
Pennsylvanians may like the president more than they like Mitt Romney, but the warmand fuzzy feeling gives way to the cold hard truth of a still shaky economy
.”
-more-
 
Tim Malloy, Assistant Director,Quinnipiac University Polling Institute(203) 645-8043Rubenstein Associates, Inc.Public RelationsContact: Pat Smith (212) 843-8026
 
 
2
Quinnipiac University Poll/June 12, 2012
 – 
page 2
In the Pennsylvania U.S. Senate race, Democratic incumbent Sen. Robert Casey Jr. leadscoal mine-owner Tom Smith, his largely unknown Republican challenger, 51
 – 
32 percent.Voters approve 51
 – 
29 percent of the job Casey is doing and say 49
 – 
32 percent that hedeserves reelection.Casey gets a 45
 – 
 
23 percent favorability rating while 71 percent of voters say they don‟t
know enough about Smith to form an opinion.
Governor
’s Approval
 
Pennsylvania voters disapprove 47
 – 
36 percent of the job Gov. Tom Corbett is doing, hislowest approval rating ever and down from an all-time high of a 50
 – 
32 percent approval in aSeptember 29 Quinnipiac University poll. Women disapprove 51
 – 
32 percent while men aresplit with 40 percent approving and 43 percent disapproving.Disapproval is 68
 – 
20 percent among Democrats and 45
 – 
35 percent amongindependent voters, while Republicans approve 55
 – 
26 percent.Voters disapprove 53
 – 
33 percent of the way Corbett is handling the state budget.
Gov. Tom Corbett tanks among men and women, giving him the lowest approval ratingsince taking office
18 months ago,” Malloy said.
 
Voter ID
Pennsylvania voters approve 66
 – 
32 percent a new state law requiring voters to havephoto ID to cast their ballot. Approval is 91
 – 
7 percent among Republicans and 64
 – 
35 percentamong independent voters, while Democrats are opposed 53
 – 
46 percent.There is strong support for the photo ID requirement among all age and income groups.
“Keystone State voters
say overwhelmingly,
No photo ID card, no ballot,
supporting2-1 the new state law requiring a picture ID in order to vote
,”
Malloy said.From June 5
 – 
10, Quinnipiac University surveyed 997 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts publicopinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginiaand the nation as a public service and for research.
For more data or RSS feed
 – 
 http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml,call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter. 
 
1. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates wereBarack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote?Tot Rep Dem Ind Men WomObama 46% 7% 83% 43% 40% 51%Romney 40 80 10 35 44 36SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 - 4 3 1WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 1 6 3 3DK/NA 9 9 5 12 9 9COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS.......Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-49 50-64 65+Obama 46% 46% 59% 48% 42% 36% 44% 49% 47%Romney 44 39 28 41 43 51 39 40 40SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 2 1 1 2 3 1 2WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 1 1 2 8 5 1 1DK/NA 4 11 10 9 11 4 9 8 10TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates wereBarack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote?(* Obama high also 47% Jun 2011, 2011 wording referenced "2012 election")OBAMA.........High LowJun 12 May 03 Mar 28 Mar 14 Dec 08 May 03 Aug 022012 2012 2012 2012 2011 2012 2011Obama 46 47 45 46 46 47 42Romney 40 39 42 40 43 39 44SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 2 2 2 2 3WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 3 4 3 3 3DK/NA 9 8 7 8 6 8 82. Is your opinion of - Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enoughabout him?Tot Rep Dem Ind Men WomFavorable 35% 65% 11% 32% 38% 31%Unfavorable 42 9 70 44 41 43Hvn't hrd enough 20 22 15 23 19 21REFUSED 3 4 3 1 2 5COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS.......Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-49 50-64 65+Favorable 39% 33% 22% 36% 38% 43% 32% 34% 37%Unfavorable 42 42 46 44 43 42 44 42 42Hvn't hrd enough 17 21 26 18 18 13 23 20 16REFUSED 2 4 6 2 2 2 2 4 4TREND: Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enoughabout him?FAVORABLE.....High LowJun 12 May 03 Mar 28 Mar 14 Dec 08 Mar 28 Feb 082012 2012 2012 2012 2011 2012 2007Favorable 35 35 37 33 34 37 12Unfavorable 42 39 38 43 30 38 11Hvn't hrd enough 20 22 22 21 33 22 76

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