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Guardian ICM opinion poll June 2012

Guardian ICM opinion poll June 2012

Ratings: (0)|Views: 4,712 |Likes:
Published by Jamie Hall
Covers politics, environment and climate change
Covers politics, environment and climate change

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Categories:Types, Brochures
Published by: Jamie Hall on Jun 26, 2012
Copyright:Attribution Non-commercial

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02/03/2014

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Vote In 2010RegionGeneral ElectionVoting IntentionSocial Class AgeGender  NET:Eng-Mid-Scot-LibLibFe- landSouthlandsNorthWaleslandDemLabConOther DemLabConDEC2C1 AB65+35-6425-3418-24maleMaleTotal 86535331133849881132272146558277166326140197339224548156745454571002Unweighted base 855344320338569114719323477722511822302042912772185211561085154871002Weighted base 45518017419134561061331605650158131140941411701583016125286259545Certain to vote (10) 53%52%54%57%60%62%72%69%69%73%69%63%72%61%46%49%61%72%58%39%23%55%53%54% 5520222024111213332014111511241035116293261(9) 6%6%7%6%4%4%8%6%6%4%4%8%8%5%7%4%9%5%7%7%5%6%7%6% 652524264592014-522111412301912321317423274(8) 8%7%7%8%7%6%6%10%6%-7%9%6%6%6%10%7%6%6%8%16%8%7%7% 4218191555981064176101218137201016272552(7) 5%5%6%4%10%6%6%4%4%7%5%7%3%4%6%6%5%3%4%6%15%5%5%5% 15745-22131262336517639717(6) 2%2%1%2%-2%1%1%1%1%3%2%1%1%1%2%2%*1%4%3%2%1%2% 793127283545201031313192430151544209493787(5) 9%9%8%8%5%5%3%3%8%13%5%5%7%8%12%10%5%7%8%13%8%10%8%9% 15752--142-*53244528327815(4) 2%2%2%1%--*2%1%-1%2%2%1%2%1%2%1%2%2%2%1%2%1% 16944-1323136-2682-78241317(3) 2%3%1%1%-1%2%1%1%1%4%2%-1%3%3%1%-1%5%2%1%3%2% 207411-2-14125244123375791322(2) 2%2%1%3%-2%-1%2%2%3%2%1%2%2%4%1%2%1%3%7%2%3%2% 83323336710254----2027322285418214951100Certain not to vote (1) 10%9%10%11%13%11%1%3%2%----9%13%11%8%3%10%12%19%10%11%10% 1-1----------1---11--1-1Refused *-*----------1%---**--*-* 1073-1-1-1----54-125213811Don't know 1%2%1%-1%-1%-*----2%2%-*1%1%1%1%*2%1% 7.787.747.907.838.058.059.178.928.778.858.828.759.088.197.277.418.378.907.977.026.117.937.727.82Mean 3.093.093.043.163.133.131.792.132.272.112.182.081.822.953.333.222.772.303.083.243.363.013.193.10Standard deviation 0.110.170.170.170.450.330.170.140.160.260.290.120.140.170.280.230.150.150.130.260.390.130.150.10Standard error  Page 1
Opinion Poll
CATI Fieldwork : 22nd - 24th June 2012
 Absolutes/col percents
Table 1
Q.A Some people have said they would not vote in a new General Election, while others have said they would vote. I would like toknow how certain it is that you would actually vote in a general election?Base: All respondents
Prepared on behalf of The Guardian by ICM Research
 
Vote In 2010RegionGeneral ElectionVoting IntentionSocial Class AgeGender  NET:Eng-Mid-Scot-LibLibFe- landSouthlandsNorthWaleslandDemLabConOther DemLabConDEC2C1 AB65+35-6425-3418-24maleMaleTotal 86535331133849881132272146558277166326140197339224548156745454571002Unweighted base 855344320338569114719323477722511822302042912772185211561085154871002Weighted base 17378604445114140---18228465256637930118697182Conservative 20%23%19%13%7%6%7%2%60%---100%12%23%18%20%29%15%19%10%17%20%18% 216777310114213315210--251-72457362481293836127124251Labour  25%22%23%30%26%23%23%79%4%--100%-31%22%25%22%22%25%24%33%25%26%25% 61212625385334-72--1012331611401110452772Liberal Democrat/ 7%6%8%7%6%9%36%1%2%-100%--4%6%11%6%5%8%7%9%9%6%7%Liberal **-20-20-*-21---546671022101021Scottish National **-6%-22%-*-27%---2%2%2%2%3%2%1%2%2%2%2%Party/ SNP --9-9--1-9---13-4-81-539Plaid Cymru --3%-15%--*-11%---1%2%-2%-1%1%-1%1%1% 137643151117---43-101122210617Green Party 2%2%2%1%5%1%4%1%*22%---2%1%-4%1%2%1%2%2%1%2% 17676-221619---4-86882-61319UK Independence Party 2%2%2%2%-2%1%*3%25%---2%-3%2%4%2%1%-1%3%2%(UKIP) 4211----14---12-1-31-134British National Party *1%**----*6%---1%1%-*-1%1%-*1%*(BNP) 8251--1--8---314--34--88Other  1%1%1%*--1%--10%---1%*1%--1%3%--2%1% 83323336710254----2027322285418214951100Will not vote 10%9%10%11%13%11%1%3%2%----9%13%11%8%3%10%12%19%10%11%10% 2038777661216382056----58505964401284023125106231Don't know 24%25%24%20%21%17%26%11%24%----25%24%20%23%18%25%26%21%24%22%23% 77312533482411----22112431324674503989Refused 9%9%8%10%7%9%1%2%5%----10%5%8%11%15%9%4%4%10%8%9% Page 2
Opinion Poll
CATI Fieldwork : 22nd - 24th June 2012
 Absolutes/col percents
Table 2
Q.B The Conservatives, Labour, the Liberal Democrats and other parties would fight a new election in your area. If there were ageneral election tomorrow which party do you think you would vote for?Base: All respondents
Prepared on behalf of The Guardian by ICM Research
 
Vote In 2010RegionGeneral ElectionVoting IntentionSocial Class AgeGender  NET:Eng-Mid-Scot-LibLibFe- landSouthlandsNorthWaleslandDemLabConOther DemLabConDEC2C1 AB65+35-6425-3418-24maleMale Total390150142169254674179135524622414015558881611272486423249213462Unweighted base 4071561561743048981511506461204157112901441401282506938248237485Weighted base 1506851373594131---1572537454958662587483157Conservative 37%44%33%21%9%10%9%3%87%---100%22%42%32%35%45%26%36%21%30%35%32% 1725660881319321418--204-6135555345109272210797204Labour  42%36%39%50%44%39%33%94%5%--100%-54%39%38%38%35%44%39%59%43%41%42% 49172123384923-61--8102913103686392161Liberal Democrat/ 12%11%14%13%11%17%50%2%2%-100%--7%11%20%10%8%15%12%16%16%9%13%Liberal **-16-16-*-16---515568116916Scottish National **-9%-32%-*-25%---4%1%3%3%5%3%2%2%3%4%3%Party/ SNP --9-9--1-9---13-4-81-539Plaid Cymru --6%-29%--1%-14%---1%4%-3%-3%1%-2%1%2% 116533*51114---41-9111119514Green Party 3%4%3%2%9%1%5%1%1%22%---3%1%-7%1%4%2%1%4%2%3% 16565-12*617---4-85781-61117UK Independence Party 4%4%4%3%-2%2%*4%26%---4%-5%3%6%3%2%-2%5%3%(UKIP) 4211----14---12-1-21-124British National Party 1%1%*1%----*6%---1%2%-*-1%2%-1%1%1%(BNP) 5131--1--5---3-2--23--55Other  1%1%2%*--1%--8%---3%-1%--1%4%--2%1% Page 3
Opinion Poll
CATI Fieldwork : 22nd - 24th June 2012
 Absolutes/col percents
Table 3
Data derived from:-Q.A Some people have said they would not vote in a new General Election, while others have said they would vote. I would like toknow how certain it is that you would actually vote in a general election?Q.B The Conservatives, Labour, the Liberal Democrats and other parties would fight a new election in your area. If there were ageneral election tomorrow which party do you think you would vote for?Data excludes those who definitely will not vote (10%), don't know who they would vote for (23%) or refuse to answer (9%)THIS TABLE DOES NOT INCLUDE ADJUSTMENT FOR DON'T KNOW/REFUSERS
Prepared on behalf of The Guardian by ICM Research

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