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PPP Release MA 0626121

PPP Release MA 0626121

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Published by masslive
The June 2012 survey from the Democratic Public Polling Policy firm shows Republican U.S. Sen. Scott Brown closing in on Democrat Elizabeth Warren in the Massachusetts Senate race.
The June 2012 survey from the Democratic Public Polling Policy firm shows Republican U.S. Sen. Scott Brown closing in on Democrat Elizabeth Warren in the Massachusetts Senate race.

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Published by: masslive on Jun 26, 2012
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06/26/2012

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Public Policy Polling3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604Phone: 888 621-6988Web: www.publicpolicypolling.comEmail: information@publicpolicypolling.com
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE June 26, 2012INTERVIEWS: Tom Jensen 919-744-6312IF YOU HAVE BASIC METHODOLOGICAL QUESTIONS, PLEASE E-MAILinformation@publicpolicypolling.com, OR CONSULT THE FINAL PARAGRAPHOF THE PRESS RELEASE
Massachusetts Senate Race Tied
Raleigh, N.C. – 
The ever close Massachusetts Senate race has drawn closer in the lastthree months. Elizabeth Warren remains at 46%, but incumbent Republican Scott Brownhas drawn up five points to tie Warren because of resurgent support from independentvoters.In fact, Brown has doubled his margin with independents. He led by 12 points with themthe last time PPP polled the state in March, and he is up 24 now. The candidates’ sharesof the respective two-party vote remain essentially unchanged, with Brown still drawingnearly 20% of Warren’s party and Warren pulling less than 10% of Brown’s. The problem for Warren is that 13% of current Obama voters and 18% of those who say theyvoted for him in 2008 are with Brown right now.Brown has improved in Bay Staters’ eyes, bringing his approval margin from a narrowly positive 45-42 to a pretty strong 51-38 since the previous survey. That is because his rawapproval rating has moved up seven points with each Democrats (to 30%) andindependents (to 60%). Meanwhile, Warren has inched down a bit thanks to those sameindependents who now favor Brown more. Democrats continue to see her in a more positive light while Republicans move equally against her. Hurting her, though, is thefact that the nearly half of voters who claim neither party label have moved from a 39-38favorability spread to 36-48, bringing her overall mark down from 46-33 to 47-38.Ultimately, voters still see Brown as being more out of step with his party and in stepwith them than Warren. 48% see his views as being “about right,” slightly more than the47% who say the same of Warren. But 42% see Warren as being too liberal, including53% of independents, versus the 34% who say Brown is too conservative (only a quarter of independents). 56% say the GOP itself is too far to the right.“This race continues to be a sheer toss up,” said Dean Debnam, President of PublicPolicy Polling. “One thing to keep an eye on is the undecideds. They’re supportingBarack Obama over Mitt Romney by 50 points. That could mean Warren has more roomto grow.”PPP surveyed 902 Massachusetts voters from June 22
nd
to 24th. The margin of error for the survey is +/-3.3%. This poll was not paid for or authorized by any campaign or  political organization. PPP surveys are conducted through automated telephoneinterviews.
 
June 22-24, 2012
Survey of 902 Massachusetts voters
June 22-24, 2012
Survey of 902 Massachusetts voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-69883020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Massachusetts Survey Results
Q1
Do you approve or disapprove of Senator ScottBrown’s job performance?51%
 Approve
..........................................................
38%
Disapprove
......................................................
11%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q2
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Ellizabeth Warren?47%
Favorable
........................................................
38%
Unfavorable
....................................................
15%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q3
If the candidates for Senate this fall wereRepublican Scott Brown and DemocratElizabeth Warren, who would you vote for?46%
Scott Brown
....................................................
46%
Elizabeth Warren
............................................
8%
Undecided 
.......................................................
Q4
Do you think that Scott Brown is too liberal, tooconservative, or about right?8%
Too liberal 
.......................................................
34%
Too conservative
.............................................
48%
 About right 
......................................................
10%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q5
Do you think that Elizabeth Warren is tooliberal, too conservative, or about right?42%
Too liberal 
.......................................................
2%
Too conservative
.............................................
47%
 About right 
......................................................
9%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q6
Do you think the Republican Party in general istoo liberal, too conservative, or about right?10%
Too liberal 
.......................................................
56%
Too conservative
.............................................
27%
 About right 
......................................................
8%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q7
Do you think the Democratic Party in general istoo liberal, too conservative, or about right?47%
Too liberal 
.......................................................
11%
Too conservative
.............................................
38%
 About right 
......................................................
4%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q8
Do you think Scott Brown has been more anindependent voice for Massachusetts or apartisan voice for the national RepublicanParty?49%
 An independent voice for Massachusetts
.......
39%
 A partisan voice for the national RepublicanParty 
...............................................................
12%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q9
Who did you vote for President in 2008?34%
John McCain
...................................................
58%
Barack Obama
................................................
8%
Someone else/Don't remember 
......................
Q10
Would you describe yourself as very liberal,somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhatconservative, or very conservative?13%
Very liberal 
......................................................
25%
Somewhat liberal 
............................................
35%
Moderate
.........................................................
19%
Somewhat conservative
..................................
8%
Very conservative
...........................................
 
June 22-24, 2012
Survey of 902 Massachusetts voters
June 22-24, 2012
Survey of 902 Massachusetts voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-69883020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Q11
If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.49%
Woman
...........................................................
51%
Man
.................................................................
Q12
If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,press 2. If you are an independent or identifywith another party, press 3.39%
Democrat 
........................................................
13%
Republican
......................................................
48%
Independent/Other 
..........................................
Q13
If you are white, press 1. If other, press 2.85%
White
..............................................................
15%
Other 
...............................................................
Q14
If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you areolder than 65, press 4.9%
18 to 29
...........................................................
30%
30 to 45 
...........................................................
41%
46 to 65 
...........................................................
20%
Older than 65 
..................................................

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