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Reaching the U.S. employment increase 'tipping point'

Reaching the U.S. employment increase 'tipping point'

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Published by Danielle Webb

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Published by: Danielle Webb on Jun 27, 2012
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06/27/2012

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 REACHING THE U.S. EMPLOYMENTINCREASE TIPPING POINT”
THE POSITIVE EFFECTS ON THE DRAMATICIMPROVEMENT IN STATE MORTGAGE MARKETSDURING THE FIRST QUARTER OF 2012, AND ONTHE PROSPECTS FOR SINGLE-FAMILYHOUSING CONSTRUCTION, 2012 TO 2015
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Doug Smyth and Associates
June, 2012
 
Doug Smyth and Associates
i
 
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
 
TABLE OF CONTENTS
PART ONE
THE EFFECT OF MAJOR MANUFACTURING-RELATED INDUSTRIES ONTHE SURGE IN TOTAL NONFARM EMPLOYMENT IN THE UNITEDSTATES, JANUARY, 2010 TO MAY, 2012
The effect of major manufacturing-related industries on the surge in total nonfarmemployment in the United States, February, 2010 to May, 2012 1
 
The acceleration of total nonfarm month-to-month employment growth, February toNovember, 2010 and 2011 1February to November, 2011 2
The accelerating rate of year-over-year increases in total nonfarm employment in theUnited States, 2010 to 2012 2
 
The manufacturing-led increase in total payroll employment in the United States,December, 2009 to December, 2011 2
The recovery of the 2008-2009 job losses during 2010, 2011 and 2012 3
 
Future employment in 2010-2015: productivity losses versus ‘onshoring’ increases 4
 The sustainability of improvements in durable goods manufacturing employment 5
Part One: Appendix A
The impact of the recovery of the U.S. auto and light truck manufacturing industry ondurable goods manufacturing employment and on economic growth, 2010 - 2012 6The multiplier effect of improved motor vehicle industry employment on the durablegoods manufacturing industry and on the broader economy 6
The demise and recovery of the housing-related industry sectors 7
PART TWO
THE EFFECT OF RISING EMPLOYMENT LEVELS IN THE UNITED STATESON THE RECENT MORTGAGE MARKET CRISIS AND SINGLE-FAMILYHOUSING CONSTRUCTION, 2010 TO 2013
The effect of rising employment levels in the United States on the recentmortgage market crisis and single-family housing construction, 2010 to 2013
 
8
 The impact of the rapid recovery of the national job market on recession joblosses, January, 2010 to May, 2012 8The effect of individual state employment trends on the mortgage market crisis 9
 
Doug Smyth and Associates
ii
 
Key mortgage market indicators 10The impact of declining mortgage originations on mortgage delinquency statistics 10
The effect of employment increases in the major job-creating states on the surgein total U.S. nonfarm jobs, December, 2009 to December, 2012
 
11
Employment shares of the top 20 states 11Positive effect on the mortgage market 11Key mortgage indicators: 90-day plus delinquent loans 11
The effect of rising employment levels in the United States on the single-familyhome mortgage market crisis, 2010 to 2013
 
12
The role of employment income factors in repairing the mortgage-financing system 12The underwater mortgage myth 12The lending standards factor in declining mortgage delinquencies 13Winding down the foreclosure inventory 13
The effect of the decline in purchase mortgage originations on key mortgage marketindicators in the United States, 2005 to 2011
14
The impact of declining mortgage originations on mortgage delinquency statistics:absolute number changes versus percentage rates 15
Epilogue: Reaching the employment increase “tipping point”: the dramaticimprovement in the key mortgage market indicators during the first quarter of 2012
 
15
The recovery in the nationwide mortgage market, first quarter, 2012 16Shutting down the mortgage foreclosure process: eliminating the 90-day plusmortgage “pool” 16
The State-by-State Progress Report
17
What ever happened to subprime mortgages?
 
18
The effect of subprime mortgage foreclosures on Hispanic homeowners in theUnited States, January 1, 2007 to January 1, 2010 18The bank’s subprime mortgage fraud 19
The impact of the recovery of the subprime mortgage market on the overallmortgage market indicators, first quarter, 2010 to first quarter, 2012
 
20
 The recovery of the subprime mortgage market, first quarter, 2010 to firstquarter, 2012 20The subprime mortgage driver of the improving overall mortgage market, first quarter,2010 to first quarter, 2012 21
The positive impact of the improving mortgage market on U.S. house prices andhome sales
21

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