will arise in the developing countries in the earth’s lowlatitudes. In these countries, even a relatively small climatic shift can trigger or exacerbatefood shortages, water scarcity, the spread of disease, and natural resource competition.Such conditions fuel political turmoil, drive already weak states toward collapse, andthreaten regional stability
. According to a recent report by 11 former Army generals and Navy admirals,
climatechange is a “threat multiplier for instability” in volatile parts of the world.
16 Nigeria and East Africa pose particularly acute challenges. Nigeria, Africa’s most populous country, will confront intense drought, desertification, and sea-level rise in thecoming years. Already, approximately 1,350 square miles of Nigerian land turns to desert each year, forcing both farmers and herdsmen toabandon their homes.17 Lagos, the largest Nigerian city, is one of the West African coastal megacities that the IPCC identifies as at risk from sea-level rise by 2015.18 These conditions, coupled with rapid population growth projections, are likely to force significant human migration andcontribute to regional political and economic turmoil. The threat of regional turmoil is higher yet in East Africa because of the concentration of weak or failing states, numerous unresolved political conflicts, and the severe effects of climate change. Climate change will likely create largefluctuations in the amount of rainfall in East Africa during the next 30 years—a 5 percent to 20 percent increase in rainfall during the winter months would cause flooding and soil erosion, while a 5 percent to 10 percent decrease in the summer months would cause severe droughts.19Such volatility will jeopardize the livelihoods of millions of people and the economic capacity of the region: Agriculture constitutes some 40 percent of East Africa’s GDP and employs 80 percent of the population.20 In Darfur and elsewhere in Sudan, Ethiopia, and Kenya, water shortages have already led to the desertification of large tracts of farmland and grassland. Fierce competition between farmers and herdsmen over the remaining arable land, combined with simmering ethnic and religious tensions, helped ignite the first genocide of the 21st century.21 Thisconflict has now spilled into Chad and the Central African Republic. Meanwhile, the entire Horn of Africa remains threatened by a failed Somaliaand other weak states.
Beyond Africa, the IPCC warns that “coastal areas, especially heavilypopulated mega-delta regions in South, East and Southeast Asia, will be at greatest risk dueto increased flooding
from the sea and, in some mega-deltas, flooding from the rivers.”22
In South Asia, thiswill generate political tension as displaced people traverse the region’s many contestedborders and territories, such as those between Bangladesh, India, Pakistan, and China. InBangladesh, for example, the combination of deteriorating socioeconomic conditions,radical Islamic political groups, and dire environmental insecurity brought on by climatechange could prove a volatile mix, one with severe regional and potentially globalconsequences.
Independently, warming causes human extinctionHenderson 2006
(Bill, Frequent Contributor to online news source CounterCurrents, Counter Currents, August 19, 2006, Accessed May10, 2008, http://www.countercurrents.org/cc-henderson190806.htm)
The scientific debate about human induced global warming is over but policy makers - let alone the happily shopping general public - still seem to not understand the scope of the impending tragedy.
Global warming isn't just warmertemperatures, heat waves, melting ice and threatened polar bears. Scientific understandingincreasingly points to runaway global warming leading to human extinction
measures are not immediately put in place to keep further emissions of greenhouse gases out of the atmosphere we are looking at the death of billions