this Congress was never really accurate, and shouldnot be used for comparison (see Ref C). Oncemunicipal level numbers are available, we willprovide additional observations, including theprevalence of extremely high votes for onecandidate (a possible sign of vote coercion and/orbuying). End Summary.
------------------- ARGUING FOR DECLINE-------------------
¶2. (C) Numerous commentators and national presshave stated that the level of AUC influence in thenext Congress (taking office July 20) will decline,as the three vocally pro-AUC MOCs -- Carlos Morenode Caro, Rocio Arias, and Eleonora Pineda -- failedto win reelection (or, in the case of Arias, movefrom House to Senate). In addition, ConservativeRep. Muriel Benitorebollo of conflictive SucreDepartment, subject of numerous accusations of AUCties in major media and reportedly in the sights ofthe Prosecutor General's Office (Fiscalia), wasdefeated.¶3. (C) Department of Administrative Security(DAS, rough FBI equivalent) Director Andres Penatetold PolCouns that his institution considered 50Congressional candidates (out of some 2700 total)as directly linked to the AUC, FARC, ornarcotraffickers (but predominantly the former).Of those 50, according to Penate, 17 were elected,with 13 linked to the AUC. Penate offered threecriteria for DAS determination of ties to illegal