High Quality
Open the downloaded document, and select print from the file menu (PDF reader required).
1
John P. Holdren
The
Science
of
Climate
Change
What
Do
We
Know?
What
Can
We
Do?
cence an ecnoogy vsor o resen amaand Director,White House Office of Science and Technology PolicyLectur Lecture at the
UNFCCC COP-15
Copenhagen • 16 December 2009
What do we know?
2
The Earth isgetting hotter: the thermometer record
Green bars show 95%confidence intervals2005 was the hottest year on record;2007 tied with 1998 for 2
nd
hottest; 14hottest all occurred since 1990http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/
The rate of heating is notslowing down
The Copenhagen Diagnosis 2009
3
The heating is not uniform geographically
Surface T in 2001-2005
vs
1951-80, averaging 0.53ºC increase
J. Hansen et al.,
PNAS 103
: 14288-293 ( 2006)
Other climate indicators are changing apace
NCDC, 2000
This too is not uniform; most places getting wetter, some drier.
Add a Comment