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Plain English Guide No. 3
A Plain English Guide to Climate
Change
BY KENNETH GREEN, D.ENV.
Plain English Guide No. 3
Table of Contents
WHY A PLAIN ENGLISH GUIDE?....................................................................................... 1
CLIMATE-CHANGE THEORY............................................................................................. 3

A. In a Greenhouse........................................................................................................................................ 3 B. From Greenhouse to Globe....................................................................................................................... 4 C. Human Action and Climate Change.......................................................................................................... 4

WARMING AND COOLING FORCES................................................................................ 6

A. Carbon Dioxide......................................................................................................................................... 6 B. Methane.................................................................................................................................................... 9 C. Nitrous Oxide......................................................................................................................................... 10 D. Halocarbons........................................................................................................................................... 11 E. Aerosols................................................................................................................................................... 13 F. Water Vapor............................................................................................................................................ 15 G. Solar Activity........................................................................................................................................... 16 H. Ozone..................................................................................................................................................... 17 I. Section Summary....................................................................................................................................17

OBSERVED CLIMATE CHANGES...................................................................................... 19

A. Temperature Trends............................................................................................................................... 20 B. Rainfall Trends........................................................................................................................................ 22 C. Sea-level Trends...................................................................................................................................... 22 D. Surface-water Trends.............................................................................................................................. 23 E. Snow Trends............................................................................................................................................ 23 F. Ice-mass Trends...................................................................................................................................... 23 G. Weather Intensity and Variability Trends............................................................................................... 24 H. Section Summary.................................................................................................................................... 24

THE IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE............................................................................. 26
UNCERTAINTY AND FUTURE RESEARCH NEEDS........................................................... 28

A. The Natural Variability of Climate......................................................................................................... 28 B. The Role of Solar Activity........................................................................................................................ 29 C. The Impact of Clouds and Water Vapor................................................................................................. 29

CONCLUSION................................................................................................................. 31 ABOUT THE AUTHOR..................................................................................................... 32 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS.................................................................................................. 32 OTHER RPPI STUDIES..................................................................................................... 32

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