Essentially, according to the author, the solution liesin regional currencies. According to a Bloombergreport, in October 2008 "European Central Bankcouncil member Ewald Nowotny said a 'tri-polar'global currency system is developing between Asia,Europe and the US and that he's skeptical the USdollar's centrality can be revived".
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The Union of South American Nations
The Union of South American Nations (UNASUR)was established on 23 May 2008, with theheadquarters to be in Ecuador, the South AmericanParliament to be in Bolivia, and the Bank of the Southto be in Venezuela. The BBC reported: "The leaders of12 South American nations have formed a regionalbody aimed at boosting economicand political integration in theregion... The Unasur members are Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile,Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana,Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguayand Venezuela."
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The week following theannouncement of the Union, it wasreported: "Brazilian President LuizInácio Lula da Silva said...that South American nations will seek acommon currency as part of theregion's integration efforts followingthe creation of the Union ofSouth American Nations..." Hewas quoted as saying: "We areproceeding so as, in the future,we have a common central bankand a common currency."
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The Gulf Cooperation Counciland a Regional Currency
In 2005, the Gulf CooperationCouncil (GCC), a regional tradebloc among Bahrain, Kuwait,Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia andthe United Arab Emirates,announced the goal of creating a single commoncurrency by 2010. It was reported: "An economicallyunited and efficient GCC is clearly a more interestingproposition for larger companies than each individualeconomy, especially given the impediments to tradeevident within the region. This is why trade relationswithin the GCC have been a core focus of late."Further, it was stated that "[t]he natural extension ofthis trend for increased integration is to introduce acommon currency in order to further facilitate tradebetween the different countries". It was announcedthat "the region's central bankers had agreed topursue monetary union in a similar fashion to therules used in Europe".
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In June 2008, it was reported that "Gulf Arab centralbankers agreed to create the nucleus of a joint centralbank next year in a major step forward for monetaryunion but signaled that a new common currencywould not be in circulation by an agreed 2010 target".
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In 2002, it was announced that the "Gulf states saythey are seeking advice from the European CentralBank on their monetary union programme". InFebruary 2008, Oman announced that it would not bejoining the monetary union. In November 2008, it wasreported that the "[f]inal monetary union draft says[the] Gulf central bank will be independent fromgovernments of member states".
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In March 2009, it was reported: "The GCC should notrush into forming a single currency as member statesneed to work out the framework for aregional central bank, Saudi Arabia'sCentral Bank Governor Muhammad Al Jasser said..." Al Jasser wasquoted as saying: "It took theEuropean Union 45 years to puttogether a single currency. We should not rush." In 2008, withthe global financial crisis, newproblems were posed for the GCCinitiative: "Pressure mounted lastyear on the GCC members to droptheir currency pegs as inflationaccelerated above 10 per cent in fiveof the six countries. All of themember states except Kuwaitpeg their currencies to the dollarand tend to follow the USFederal Reserve when settinginterest rates."
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An Asian Monetary Union
In 1997, the BrookingsInstitution, a prominent American think-tank, discussedthe possibilities of an East AsianMonetary Union, stating: "Thequestion for the 21st century iswhether analogous monetary blocs will form in East Asia (and, for that matter, in the WesternHemisphere). With the dollar, the yen, and the singleEuropean currency floating against one another, other,small open economies will be tempted to link up toone of the three."But the linkage will be possible only if accompaniedby radical changes in institutional arrangements likethose contemplated by the European Union. Thespread of capital mobility and politicaldemocratization will make it prohibitively difficult topeg exchange rates unilaterally. Pegging will requireinternational cooperation, and effective cooperationwill require measures akin to monetary unification."
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JUNE – JULY 2009www.nexusmagazine.comNEXUS • 13
"The GCC[Gulf CooperationCouncil] shouldnot rush intoforming a singlecurrency asmember statesneed to work outthe framework fora regional centralbank..."
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