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Co-Authorsaccelerating.org metaverseroadmap.org
John SmartJamais CascioJerry Paffendorf
Contributing Authors
Corey BridgesJochen HummelJames HursthouseRandal Moss, Multiverse, Metaversum, OGSi,AmericanCancer Society, Acceleration Studies Foundation, Open the Future, The Electric Sheep Company
Richard Marks, Sony Computer EntertainmentRueben Steiger, Millions of UsEdward Castronova, Indiana UniversityAlexander Macris, Themis Group
A Cross-IndustryPublic Foresight Project
LEAD SPONSORFOUNDING PARTNERS
Lead Reviewers
Futuring andInnovation Center
Metaverse Roadmap
Pathways to the 3D Web
A Cross-Industry Public Foresight Project
Bridget C. Agabra
Project Manager, Metaverse Roadmap Project
Janna Anderson
Tod Antilla
Flash Developer,American Cancer Society
Wagner James Au
Blogger,New World Notes;Author,
,2008
Jeremy Bailenson
Betsy Book
Director of ProductManagement, Makena
Technologies/There; Editor,Virtual Worlds Review
Corey Bridges
Jamais Cascio
Founder,Openthe Future; Former Editor,
Worldchanging
Edward Castronova
Author,
, 2005; Director of GradStudies, Dept of Telecom, U. of Indiana
Helen Cheng
Assistant Product Manager,Seriosity
Giff Constable
Esther Dyson
Doug Englebart
Randy Farmer
Community Strategic Analyst,Yahoo!, Inc.
Guy Garnett
Eric Gruber
Freelance Producer,MTV Networks
Will Harvey
Founder and CEO,IMVU
Daniel James
CEO,Three Rings
Joaquin Keller
Raph Koster
MMORPG Designer; Former CCO, Sony OnlineEntertainment
Mike Liebhold
Senior Researcher,Institute for the Future
Patrick Lincoln
Julian Lombardi
Ofce of Information Technology
Richard Marks
Bob Moore
Randal Moss
Jerry Paffendorf
Marty Poulin
John Smart
President,Acceleration Studies Foundation
David Smith
Architect,Open Croquet; CTO,3DSolve
Rueben Steiger
CEO, Millions of Us
John Swords
Host,SecondCast
Daniel Terdiman
Writer,CNET
Barry Tolnas
Web Development,American Cancer Society
Sibley Verbeck
Founder and CEO,Electric Sheep Company
Mark Wallace
Journalist; Blogger,3pointDandSecond Life
Herald; Co-Author,
, 2006
Payton White
Manager of Distributed Network Technology, USR&D, Sony Computer Entertainment
Ian Wilkes
Director of Operations,Linden Lab/Second Life
Nick Yee
Ethan Zuckerman
Distinguished industry leaders, technologists, analysts, and creativeswho provided their insights in various 3D web domains.Other foresighted individuals who contributed ideas to orfeedback on the MVR.
Paul J.S. Beaubein
Independent.
Alvis Brigis
Entrepreneur, new media producer, futurist.
Peder Burgaard
William G. Burns III
CTO,VR5Online. Blog,City of Nidus.
David Carmein
Joel Greenberg
Sr. Planner,GSD&M. Friends TalkingPodcast.
John Hanke
General Manager,Google Earth.
Darren Herman
James Hursthouse
Joi Ito
Sven Johnson
Jonas Karllson
Mason Lee
Blog, Mason Lee.
Tim Moenk
Rik Panganiban
Giulio Prisco
Byron Reeves
Joyce Schwarz
Fred Stutzman
Phillip Torrone
Philippe Van Nedervelde
European virtual world developer,entrepreneur, and futurist.
Bruce Woodcock
Baba Yamamoto
Director,LibSecondLife;SL History Wiki.
Other Contributors and Reviewers
MVR Summit Attendees
3
Metaverse Roadmap
Pathways to the 3D Web
A Cross-Industr Public Foresiht Proect
Introduction
Over the past year theAcceleration Studies Foundation(ASF) and its supportingforesight partners have exploredthe virtual and 3D future of theWorld Wide Web in a first-of-its-kind cross-industry publicforesight project, the MetaverseRoadmap (MVR). We use theterm Metaverse in a way thatincludes and builds upon NealStephenson’s coinage in thecyberpunk science fiction novel,
Snow Crash
, which envisioned afuture broadly reshaped byvirtual and 3D technologies.The MVR has “near-term”anticipation horizon of ten years(to 2017), a “longer-term”speculation horizon of twentyyears (to 2025), and a charter todiscover early indicators of significant developments ahead.Seeking diverse points of view,our process included aninvitational Metaverse RoadmapSummit, public and expertsurveys, a few workshops androundtables at major U.S.conferences, social meetups, anda public wiki. Many helpfulpeople from the IT, virtualworlds, professional, academic,futurist, and lay communitiescontributed ideas to the MVR.
In its inaugural version, the MVRfocuses on defining and exploringthis major new social space. Infuture versions we expect to addindustry-developed timelines forMetaverse technologydevelopment. Our inaugural MVRbudget was roughly $100K, paidfor by our generous financialsponsors. With the resourcesprovided we endeavored be asmultinational and inclusive aspossible. With greaterrecognition, more visibility andmore sponsorship support, welook forward to bringing an evenbroader range of expertise to thenext version of the roadmap.
The MVR comprises twodocuments, bothavailable atMetaverseRoadmap.org:1) a set of MVR Inputs
(75 pages) whichsummarize key insightsin 19 foresightcategories, and 2) thisMVR Overview (22pages + Appendix)which synthesizes some(not all) of the Inputsinto a series of narrativesto explain importantfeatures of the changeand opportunity ahead.The goal of the MVR project is toregularly update our ten- andtwenty-year public foresight byperiodically seeking the guidance of experts at sponsored MVR summits,and engaging in extended interactionwith online communities through theuse of blogs, wikis, podcasts, andother media channels.We invite you to contribute yourunique insights to future MetaverseRoadmap summits, conversations,and updates through feedback,volunteer effort, and financialsupport. In these early days of theMetaverse, financial sponsorship isparticularly helpful to improving thequality of future roadmaps. Email usat
Moore’s Law:
A doubling of realcomputing power has occurred every 2.3years, on average, since the birth ofmodern computing. Moore’s Law is one ofseveral enabling technological trends forMetaverse development.
What happens when video games meet Web 2.0?
When virtual worlds meetgeospatial maps of the planet? When simulations get real and life and business govirtual? When you use a virtual Earth to navigate the physical Earth, and youravatar becomes your online agent
?
What happens is the metaverse.
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