NPR

What Trump May Be Missing In Those Polls He Calls Fake

Polls taken 18 months before an election are not predictive, but they have sent signals that proved helpful when heeded by presidents in the past.
Recent polling puts President Trump behind his Democratic rivals. While he dismisses them as fake news, there may be a lesson to glean from historical presidential polling. Source: Mandel Ngan

As President Trump attends the G-20 summit in Japan this week, a score of Democrats who want his job are debating in Miami — vying for a nomination that looks increasingly worth having.

Major polls taken in the late spring showed President Trump trailing his top Democratic challengers both nationwide and in key states where the 2020 election will be decided. One recent Fox News poll, for example, showed Trump trailing prospective challengers Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders by 10 and 9 percentage points, respectively.

Weak polling numbers are not a new

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