NPR

What Trump May Be Missing In Those Polls He Calls Fake

Polls taken 18 months before an election are not predictive, but they have sent signals that proved helpful when heeded by presidents in the past.
Recent polling puts President Trump behind his Democratic rivals. While he dismisses them as fake news, there may be a lesson to glean from historical presidential polling. Source: Mandel Ngan

As President Trump attends the G-20 summit in Japan this week, a score of Democrats who want his job are debating in Miami — vying for a nomination that looks increasingly worth having.

Major polls taken in the late spring showed President Trump trailing his top Democratic challengers both nationwide and in key states where the 2020 election will be decided. One recent Fox News poll, for example, showed Trump trailing prospective challengers Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders by 10 and 9 percentage points, respectively.

Weak polling numbers are not a new

You're reading a preview, sign up to read more.

More from NPR

NPR2 min read
Death Toll Climbs After Typhoon Hits Japan
More than 50 people are dead in the aftermath of Typhoon Hagibis, which dropped extreme amounts of rain over the weekend and caused catastrophic flooding in residential areas.
NPR4 min read
Bill Bryson's Latest Is A Different Kind Of Journey — Into 'The Body'
Bryson is beloved for his travel writing, but in his new book he's undertaking an interior journey, looking at everything from medical oddities to the amazing way your body fights off most cancers.
NPR2 min readPolitics
Biden Takes On Trump With A Sweeping Ethics Plan, Amid Push Back Over Ukraine
Joe Biden is taking aim at President Trump over ethics, as the president continues attacks on the candidate and his son. Hunter Biden is now pledging to curtail his overseas business dealings.