MEMORANDUM TO: FROM: RE: DATE: Key Findings 1. Florida CD 16 continues to be a solidly Republican district.

Looking at the generic Congressional ballot, the Republican candidate leads by double digits, with 48% opting for the generic Republican candidate, and just 32% choosing the Democratic candidate. Twenty percent (20%) are undecided. 2. With favorables north of 50%, Vern Buchanan is clearly well liked in the district. Vern Buchanan enjoys a solid image of 53% favorable/33% unfavorable. Conversely, Buchanan’s opponent Keith Fitzgerald is still largely undefined, with name ID below 50% (45%) and an image of just 16% favorable/7% unfavorable. 3. Buchanan enjoys a commanding lead on the Congressional ballot. Congressman Buchanan leads Fitzgerald by more than twenty points (54% Buchanan/32% Fitzgerald) on the ballot. Buchanan also has a very significant edge on intensity, with 42% of voters saying they will definitively vote for him, compared to just 21% who would definitely vote for Fitzgerald. The Bottom Line Congressman Buchanan is well-positioned for re-election. Buchanan’s favorables continue to be over 50%, and he maintains a twenty-two point lead on the ballot. As a result of these strong numbers, this race continues to show no signs of being competitive. Methodology The survey of a random sample of 400 likely voters in Florida’s 16th Congressional District was conducted by Public Opinion Strategies. The survey was conducted on July 15-16, 2012 and has a margin of error of + 4.9% in 95 out of 100 cases. INTERESTED PARTIES GLEN BOLGER FLORIDA’S 16th CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT SURVEY; KEY FINDINGS JULY 17, 2012

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